Author Topic: Genesis II launch - June 28, 2007  (Read 48066 times)

Offline Jim

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RE: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #40 on: 06/28/2007 03:14 am »
Quote
Norm Hartnett - 27/6/2007  11:02 PM

1.  Jim are you seriously suggesting that NASA would be willing to pay a COTS provider or Russia to fly a private industry payload to the ISS? Maybe they might do a space available deal but how likely is it that there would be space available on any foreseeable ISS re-supply missions even if COTS comes to full fruition?

2.  As for the astronauts, even with six on board they are going to be working full time on housekeeping and NASA/partner work, I doubt that they are going to have a lot of free time to monitor/conduct outside experiments. While I cannot swear to it I thought I heard Gerstenmaier say that NASA would charge during the June 25th teleconference.

3.  Finally, and what is the nail in the coffin for NASA vs Bigelow, the sheer tonnage of paper work that NASA requires to take anything to the ISS is bound to be a deal breaker for private industry if not for other government agencies.


1.  NASA does now.  There really isn't that many experiments out there.  NASA paid for them on spacehab.  

2.  These "private industry" payloads are not "additional" payloads.   There isn't enough experiments  to fill the ISS the way it is now  and they are looking for payloads.

3. Most of the experimenters already know the paperwork and it isn't that bad.  Bigelow will need paperwork too.  


Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #41 on: 06/28/2007 03:37 am »
I hope Bigelow sues the pants off them.
“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline MKremer

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #42 on: 06/28/2007 03:42 am »
This story explains it fairly well:
NASA seeks public, private partners interested in using space station

For costs:
Quote
The report released Monday says NASA plans to cover the costs for cargo transportation, crew support and station maintenance under agreements with future users.

Those users would not have to pay access fees or provide separate lab equipment. But they would be required to cover any costs associated with their own research projects and payload devices, said Mark Uhran, assistant associate administrator for the space station.

So, they have to fund (or get grants for) their own research time, and any extra people needed, plus all their research equipment required - including the R&D/development/construction/testing of the payload experiment.

The transportation and on-orbit setup/maintenance/monitoring/possible sample handling and collection & return would be covered by NASA.

Not a bad deal, IMO, if it comes to fruition.

Offline Avron

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #43 on: 06/28/2007 03:46 am »
Quote
MKremer - 27/6/2007  11:42 PM

This story explains it fairly well:
NASA seeks public, private partners interested in using space station

For costs:
Quote
The report released Monday says NASA plans to cover the costs for cargo transportation, crew support and station maintenance under agreements with future users.

Those users would not have to pay access fees or provide separate lab equipment. But they would be required to cover any costs associated with their own research projects and payload devices, said Mark Uhran, assistant associate administrator for the space station.

So, they have to fund (or get grants for) their own research time, and any extra people needed, plus all their research equipment required - including the R&D/development/construction/testing of the payload experiment.

The transportation and on-orbit setup/maintenance/monitoring/possible sample handling and collection & return would be covered by NASA.

Not a bad deal, IMO, if it comes to fruition.


Humm,... maybe NASA will cover the paperwork?

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #44 on: 06/28/2007 03:50 am »
So NASA quashes another private space effort.

Interesting, is that in their mission statement somewhere?

I can understand it though, they have done such a poor job with the billions the taxpayers have given them it would be a shame if private industry did a better job with mere millions.

Enough! Time to get radical.
“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline MKremer

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #45 on: 06/28/2007 04:18 am »
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Norm Hartnett - 27/6/2007  10:50 PM

So NASA quashes another private space effort.

Just wondering, how do you come by that idea?

The NASA document says they'll pay for transportation, installation, setup, etc. Nowhere do they state *whose* transportation costs they'll only pay for.

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #46 on: 06/28/2007 04:31 am »
Bigelow Aerospace.

But I am reminded that BA's target customers are foreign governments, so while NASA's announcement will damage BA's customer base and investment possibilities it is not likely to cripple them.

Kind of reminds me of when NASA killed the ELV's to force payloads onto the shuttle. Now what is America's share of the global launch market? In ten years when the ISS is turned over to ESA/Russia (or dumped in the drink) there could be several BA stations with international participation.

And who knows Ares I could be flying too although it won't have anywhere to go.

“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline James Lowe1

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #47 on: 06/28/2007 04:35 am »
I spoke to Chris about coverage and he recieved an e-mail, along with a few other journalists, saying that no information would be released, this came from Bigelow PAO. Even the e-mail saying this was tagged as not to be published. They said they will send a statement from Bigelow himself several hours after launch if successful.

Launch is still on for Thursday and we'll hope the Russians on here will be able to help more than some automated clock on another site.

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #48 on: 06/28/2007 04:45 am »
Thanks James!

Looking forward to what information we get.
“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline MKremer

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #49 on: 06/28/2007 04:53 am »
But Bigelow themselves aren't going to be flying anything at all - they only plan on selling the modules to others (who'll have to do all the launch contracting and payments, and also figure out and plan and pay for getting the people/equipment to the Bigelow module they bought once it's in orbit).

Just because NASA is saying they'll pay the freight to orbit and ISS, doesn't mean the experiments/research/PIs will have an advantage over a purely commercial orbital station. Doing research on the ISS still means they'll have to abide by all of NASA's rules and regulations for ISS hardware requirements and limitations; data collection and download&upload bandwidths; and time allocations & restrictions for operation and on-orbit maintenance/servicing/data&sample collection.
Those may or may not be much more restrictive and limiting than a private entities' restrictions and requirements for a Bigelow module-based research experiment - maybe enough that the extra costs for launching and delivering/setup of research/experiment hardware are worth the extra expense to use the Bigelow site over ISS.


Offline MKremer

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #50 on: 06/28/2007 05:00 am »
Quote
James Lowe1 - 27/6/2007  11:35 PM

I spoke to Chris about coverage and he recieved an e-mail, along with a few other journalists, saying that no information would be released, this came from Bigelow PAO. Even the e-mail saying this was tagged as not to be published. They said they will send a statement from Bigelow himself several hours after launch if successful.

Launch is still on for Thursday and we'll hope the Russians on here will be able to help more than some automated clock on another site.

Thanks for the info.

I was going to be surprised if they supplied live coverage or updates - they are, after all, going with an admittedly budget launch service with no guarantee of success (as compared to one of the 'biggies' including Soyuz... maybe more reliable but much, much more expensive).

So we cross our fingers and patiently wait for later updates.

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #51 on: 06/28/2007 05:06 am »
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MKremer - 27/6/2007  9:53 PM

But Bigelow themselves aren't going to be flying anything at all - they only plan on selling the modules to others (who'll have to do all the launch contracting and payments, and also figure out and plan and pay for getting the people/equipment to the Bigelow module they bought once it's in orbit).

Not according to BA's business plan. They will lease space on their modules and provide launch of all equipment and personel as a package deal. The link is around here somewhere.

Quote
MKremer
Just because NASA is saying they'll pay the freight to orbit and ISS, doesn't mean the experiments/research/PIs will have an advantage over a purely commercial orbital station. Doing research on the ISS still means they'll have to abide by all of NASA's rules and regulations for ISS hardware requirements and limitations; data collection and download&upload bandwidths; and time allocations & restrictions for operation and on-orbit maintenance/servicing/data&sample collection.
Those may or may not be much more restrictive and limiting than a private entities' restrictions and requirements for a Bigelow module-based research experiment - maybe enough that the extra costs for launching and delivering/setup of research/experiment hardware are worth the extra expense to use the Bigelow site over ISS.


Yes, that should help BA's overall situation, but there is little doubt that NASA's announcement is going to influence potential investors. Not unlike NASA's announcement of the deal with Russia for extended support has impacted the COTS investment environment.

“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline Norm Hartnett

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #52 on: 06/28/2007 05:19 am »
Anik's latest said June 28 – Genesis 2 – Dnepr – Dombarovskiy – 15:02:20 UTC it is currently 05:20 UTC so we have some ten hours till launch. Time for bed.
“You can’t take a traditional approach and expect anything but the traditional results, which has been broken budgets and not fielding any flight hardware.” Mike Gold - Apollo, STS, CxP; those that don't learn from history are condemned to repeat it: SLS.

Offline Jim

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #53 on: 06/28/2007 10:59 am »
Quote
Norm Hartnett - 27/6/2007  11:50 PM

So NASA quashes another private space effort.

Interesting, is that in their mission statement somewhere?

I can understand it though, they have done such a poor job with the billions the taxpayers have given them it would be a shame if private industry did a better job with mere millions.

Enough! Time to get radical.

This was the intent of the ISS always.  It is nothing new.  Just calling it a National Lab is the new part.

Offline Jim

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #54 on: 06/28/2007 11:00 am »
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Norm Hartnett - 27/6/2007  11:37 PM

I hope Bigelow sues the pants off them.

Can't.

Offline Tergenev

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #55 on: 06/28/2007 12:16 pm »

I really don't see how NASA's ISS announcement really impacts Bigelow much, if at all. They're attempting to reach two different markets. NASA's 'National Lab' call is clearly aimed at government agencies and scientists at major institutions that want to place experiment packages into a technical environment. Bigelow's plan seems more aimed at the Hiltons, Hyatts, and International Hotels Groups (PLC) of the world, as well as the national space agencies themselves, simply to provide bulk accommodations. So, in ten years, I could maybe see a country like India (but not China) buying a couple modules and lofting them to form an Indian space station, if the Bigelow price were right.

If, on the other hand, a single Indian researcher just wanted to put an experimental package on the ISS to study, say, the background drift of dark matter in local space, that could happen, but I don't think that potential investment would have ever been large enough, or even appropriate, for the purchase of a BA330 module.


Offline Tergenev

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #56 on: 06/28/2007 12:22 pm »
UTC 12:22:20 now.  (8:22am EST) So, 2 hours and 40 minutes to go until the supposed launch time.

Offline stockman

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #57 on: 06/28/2007 01:13 pm »
I just had a look at space.com and the countdown clock was blank (at least to my screen) and the story from two days ago had a key phase in it:

"as early as June 28"

this indicates to me that today would be earliest it could launch. I see nothing that says it WILL launch today.

Are there any russian sources that can verify what is truly going on?


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Online DaveS

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #58 on: 06/28/2007 01:47 pm »
Quote
stockman - 28/6/2007  3:13 PM
Are there any russian sources that can verify what is truly going on?

Read James's earlier reply:
Quote
James Lowe1 - 28/6/2007  6:35 AM

I spoke to Chris about coverage and he recieved an e-mail, along with a few other journalists, saying that no information would be released, this came from Bigelow PAO. Even the e-mail saying this was tagged as not to be published. They said they will send a statement from Bigelow himself several hours after launch if successful.

Launch is still on for Thursday and we'll hope the Russians on here will be able to help more than some automated clock on another site.
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Offline Tergenev

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Re: Genesis II launch - June 28
« Reply #59 on: 06/28/2007 02:02 pm »
It's now 14:02 UTC. One hour until the supposed 11:02am EST launch time.

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