Radioheaded - 15/1/2007 9:14 AM
After watching the excellent Diary of Discovery posted by Gordo, I noticed that in one part of that program they very quickly showed the crew working an RTLS scenario in the simulator. I was curious (considering how quickly they moved to a different scene) how often are the RTLS performed successfully in the simulator? It's my understanding that were this abort to actually occur that it might take some good fortune (perhaps even divine intervention) to pull it off. It just made me wonder how crews handle it during their simulator time, and what would be the % of successfull landings versus not.
That is really a loaded question. The problem with giving an easy answer is there are too many variables. For instance is the RTLS being performed because of a Systems problem such as with the APUs, Fuel Cells & Electrical Power Busses, Cabin Leaks, OMS/RCS Propellant Leak, or was the Abort called because of a Performance Problem such as the loss of an engine? Then you have to consider what if anything happens during the Abort Profile. Did additional engines fail, are there flight control system issues, is Guidance and Nav good or degraded?
During flight specific training a crew will receive plenty of exposure to RTLS aborts with varying levels of complexity. In fact just about every 4 hour training session of Ascent/Abort procedures will have at least one run that results in an RTLS (a typical session has 4 to 5 ascent runs).
Despite the best effort of the training team to “kill” their crew, it is not something that happens very often. Believe me the instructors work very hard to come up with creative ways to make life hard for the Crew in training, however, if the crew dies during a training session it is a very big deal within the Mission Operations Community. Many folks will look over every detail of what happened to determine if the reason for the simulated “loss of the crew” was related to a real world problem with the shuttle and its flight regime, a flaw in the simulator hardware or software, a mistake by the training team, or a mistake by the crew (or mission control team for integrated simulations).
My point is the intent of training is to work the crew very hard by giving them multiple problems to deal with in an effort to increase the stress levels. However, it is counter productive to train them with situations they can not get out of. If crews are dying in the sim then something is wrong somewhere and it needs to be addressed.
Back to your specific question; RTLS is a certified abort profile and is expected to be survivable. It ws not invented to give the crew something to occupy their time until they hit the dirt. Being a "certified abort" means that it has been studied to a high level of confidence and with much more rigor than other less likely aborts such as contingency cases. For the loss of a single engine or many of the potential system failures I personally see no reason RTLS will not work as advertised. This is not to say that it is not an ambitious profile and that it does not “push the performance envelope”. There are points in the profile where the vehicle is flying backwards thru its own exhaust plume at high mach numbers (~ Mach 5 – 7) and relatively high alpha (angle of attack), the vehicle has to perform an aggressive pitch around maneuver (while mated to the ET), there is a point where the mated stack is falling vertically at around Mach 1 as it zeros out its downrange velocity and begins to head back to the Cape, the orbiter has to get off the external fuel tank (ET), the ET doors have to get closed, and the entry flight software has to get loaded – these are just some of the reasons RTLS is ambitious.
In the simplest of RTLS scenarios, I would have to say my biggest concern would be at ET SEP. You have to make sure the orbiter is at the right alpha (angle of attack) of -2 degrees, and with minimal remaining propellant (i.e. less than 2%) to ensure the tank does not re-contact the orbiter…at least that is what the models say.
Survival both in the sim and real world will depend on just how bad a day the crew is having and how many things are going wrong. I really cant give you the answer in a percentage…
Personally I thought flying RTLS in the simulator was a hell of a lot of fun and the more complicated the scenario the better. In fact in order for me (or anyone) to be certified in the simulator as a so called “motion pilot” – meaning you are allowed to use the simulator on your own (without a safety instructor) with full motion on – I had to fly the entire RTLS profile manually without the use of the HUD (heads up display) while an instructor evaluates you and asks lots of questions so you can’t concentrate. Compared to the more complex RTLS scenarios this was actually pretty easy.
The reason they make you do this for the certification is because it demonstrates your ability to maneuver the shuttle (simulator) in a manner that will not damage the sim or its occupants. The motion based simulator can move aggressively and they don’t want you hurting people or damaging expensive equipment. They also don’t want you hurting some VIP (such as the President, Congressman, movie star, or Journalist) that has managed to get a sim ride.
Mark Kirkman
P.S.
Last year Craig Covault of Aviation Week and Space Technology sat in on a suited Ascent/Abort sim with the STS-115 crew. He wrote an aritcle about it last fall which gives a good overview of the RTLS profile and a narative of a typical TAL Abort. If you have access to the magazine this will give you some good insight into what a training session is like. He is much better at translating the technical stuff than I am.