Tianxing-1 02 - Kuaizhou-1A - Jiuquan - January 11, 2023 (03:52 UTC)

[mikezang]

The NOTAM for ? from Jiuquan .

[mikezang]

This might be Lijian-1 Y3 as as https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=58497.0.

[mikezang]

This might not be Lijian-1 Y3....

[mikezang]

This might be Gusehnxing-1 Y10?

[mikezang]

This is for Kuaizhou-1A from Jiuquan. There are two cases:
1. A new Launch on January 11
2. Only one luanch with F4393/23 from YWWW

[Galactic Penguin SST]

The 3 closure zones seems to more or less line up on a SSO-bound path, the 1st NOTAM does cover the Jan. 11 window and I can't see JSLC's "mobile launcher pad" being configured for 2 launches in consecutive days (they just tried one 2 days apart, but that's with the same LV). I think it's one and the same.

Kinetica-1/LJ-1 flight 3 still looks like the most likely candidate given the Indian Ocean zone at about 2-5 degrees South + 2 zones inside China, and the one closest to Jiuquan almost completely match the ones for the first 2 Kinetica-1s. However I can't rule out this being a Ceres-1 or even Hyperbola-1 launch yet, although with their own zones in Indian Ocean a few degrees away N-S in the past + no NOTAMs inside China for similar launches the last times, these are quite less likely. I'm not merging the other Kinetica-1/LJ-1 Y3 thread yet, just in case this one isn't from CAS Space.

[mikezang]

YMMM NOTAM updated! is this CZ-2D/YZ-3?

[Galactic Penguin SST]

YMMM NOTAM updated! is this CZ-2D/YZ-3?

I take a look at this one again and with the NET January 23 one looking more likely to be Kinetica-1/LJ-1, I no longer think this is Kinetica-1 flight 3, especially as I missed the notice that the 5 MinoSpace satellites only left the plant in Beijing on January 2nd, too late to launch on this.

The size and location of the drop zone in the Indian Ocean (~2.5 - 5 deg. South, 92.15 - 93.15 deg. East) can also fit with a Galactic Energy Ceres-1 launch. I now think this is more likely despite that zone being a few degrees more north than usual and (unlike Ceres-1 launches from Jiuquan last year) there are 2 intra-China zones. Plus IIRC I have seen quotes from the Galactic Energy CEO last November that they planned 2 Ceres-1 launches in December - this would account for the 2nd one.

[mikezang]

The Kuaizhou-1A or Kuaizhou-1B?

[mikezang]

Successful!

[Galactic Penguin SST]

Like the original Tianxing-1 launched in June 2022, the only info we know of it is that it's for "spatial environment measurement" purposes. The one thing that makes it special though is that the original one was deployed into a very low SSO of ~280 km! I wonder if this one is too (the original one has already re-entered in March 2023).

Per photo below Tianxing-1 is built by CAS Micro-satellites and has the alternative name of CX (Chuangxin?)-15 - this one is CX-15 (02).

[mikezang]

The number is Y24.

[catdlr]

[Galactic Penguin SST]

From USSF Space-Track:

2024-008A/58756: 283 x 350 km x 95.12° (S/C?)
2024-008B/58757: 155 x 385 km x 95.16° (4th stage?)