Poll

How many SpaceX orbital flight attempts do you anticipate in 2023?

1-5
6-10
11-15
16-20
21-25
26-30
31-35
36-40
41-45
46-50
51-55
56-60
61-65
66-70
71-75
76-80
81-85
86-90
91-95
96-100
101-105
106-110
111-115
116-120
More than 120!... let's hear your story
Zero, goose egg, nada, zip

Author Topic: POLL: Number of SpaceX orbital flights in 2023  (Read 10424 times)

Offline Comga

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Re: POLL: Number of SpaceX orbital flights in 2023
« Reply #20 on: 04/08/2023 03:48 pm »
Wow just seen this!
Vote 99
Woops closed! TYVM opened - voted

Woops! I did not see that Lar reopened the poll.  So much for being diligent. ::)
edit:  And it still keeps going!
These revised results ignore the five votes at the bottom. >:(
Given that SpaceX had already launched over a dozen times, votes of less than ten suggest you were voting on Starship launches.
The vote for "more than 120" was given a value of 123 for the calculation, but it doesn't matter.  Extreme votes on either end don't change the Gaussian fit significantly.  (And you didn't tell us your theory as Lar requested. :o )
And after all that, the results are pretty much the same. :P
The average goes from 89.2 to 89.8, and now 90.3 and the mean of the gaussian goes from 91.5 to 92.0, and now 92.4
This with a 50% increase in valid votes after watching a veritable burst of launches over more than a calendar quarter.
(Can we please stop this now?)
« Last Edit: 04/08/2023 03:50 pm by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline Lar

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Re: POLL: Number of SpaceX orbital flights in 2023
« Reply #21 on: 04/09/2023 09:47 pm »
I did not mean to unlock the poll when I fixed the grouping. It's locked now, apologies for any confusion
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: POLL: Number of SpaceX orbital flights in 2023
« Reply #22 on: 09/02/2023 06:59 pm »
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1698045247547212093

Quote
Aiming for 10 Falcon flights in a month by end of this year, then 12 per month next year

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