Author Topic: Starlink direct to cell (was SpaceX & T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022)  (Read 103291 times)

Offline Asteroza

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2911
  • Liked: 1127
  • Likes Given: 33
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #140 on: 09/02/2022 02:00 am »
What is the business case for TMobile and other potential international carriers to forgo let's say as a wild guess, 2.5Mhz (2Mhz plus guard bands)  of their extremely valuable and in many cases, extremely expensive L/S Band spectrum to dedicate to this endeavor?  Especially for FREE on some plans?  What is the business case for SpaceX to undergo development and production costs, let alone potential regulatory headaches to add an additional L/S band payload to V2.0?  I mean there has to be a business case here.  This whole satellite connectivity for consumer handsets isn't much of a  business plan. 

The money here is in Satellite IoT, and TMobile and Starlink understand this.  Satellite IoT is expected to grow from a 775MM market in 2021 to a 6.7 Billion dollar market by 2031.  There are a number of Satellite IoT operators like Globalstar, Irdium, Orbcomm, and Swarm.  All use "dedicated spectrum", satellites, and custom user terminals for either Simplex or Duplex services.  This "dedicated spectrum" creates an environment of expensive development and low quantities on a manufacturing basis.  So the UT's tend to be "moderately expensive" $100's of $ due to lack of Economics of Scale in the development of components. Likewise, Service Plans tend to be a bit elevated for the tiny amount of data being transmitted/processed. Other issues are integration issues of bringing data from the Satellite IoT specific network into the corporation's other Terrestrial IoT networks. Some operators like Iridium are providing gateways via AWS.  So now you say you can move this Satellite IoT into global CMRS spectrum.  The Economics of Scale of the Satellite IoT User Terminal just explodes. Tiny parts/antennas/GPS/modems developed by hundreds/thousands of companies are now available to manufacture CMRS Satellite IoT devices that will be frequency agile to cover several CMRS bands for tens of dollars.. Not hundreds of dollars.  In addition, the pricing plans would likely be "Highly Disruptive" to these traditional Satellite IoT providers.  This is the 800lb Gorilla in the room.  Companies like Iridium and Globalstar have largely dismissed these "Mega-Constellations" as any threat of competition to their futures.  They have claimed in some cases that constellations like Starlink and OneWeb are actually "complementary" to their business models.  Well, with this move, these Satellite IoT companies have surely modified their "viewpoints", but perhaps not publically.   Especially those Simplex-centric Satellite IoT companies. After all, you go from needing specific globally harmonized Satellite spectrum to compete in this market to a point that most CMRS Spectrum can now be used as Simplex Satellite IoT.  This business model will propel other Telecom Operators from around the globe to integrate this Satellite IoT featrure into their own spectrum allowing these Satellite IoT devices to roam from country to country, yet still deliver the data on a unified network that is already in place. The really expensive part of the equation is already in place.  The global 4G/5G Terrestrial Core Networks.  Heck, while they are at it. Starlink could add 1090Mhz ADSB receiver and give companies like Aireon a run for their money.

On top of cellular IoT, adding ADS-B/AIS surveillance and a little PNT to Starlink, and you end up with the spec list for the chinese Guowang constellation roughly. One constellation to rule them all...

Offline su27k

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6414
  • Liked: 9104
  • Likes Given: 885
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #141 on: 09/02/2022 02:34 am »
One constellation to rule them all...

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that's the end game for Starlink, don't forget to add some Earth observation capability as well.

Offline docmordrid

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6351
  • Michigan
  • Liked: 4223
  • Likes Given: 2
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #142 on: 09/02/2022 03:04 am »
One constellation to rule them all...

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that's the end game for Starlink, don't forget to add some Earth observation capability as well.

Skynet
DM

Offline randomly

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 674
  • Liked: 326
  • Likes Given: 182
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #143 on: 09/02/2022 03:27 am »
I'm most familiar with Iridium and it's markets vs the other IoT satellite companies, but this directly competes with every technical niche and market that Iridium covers. Bandwidth, signal penetration, coverage, user side antenna size and power consumption,...It seems a catastrophic threat to Iridium's entire business model.

Offline Zed_Noir

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5490
  • Canada
  • Liked: 1811
  • Likes Given: 1302
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #144 on: 09/02/2022 03:40 am »
I'm most familiar with Iridium and it's markets vs the other IoT satellite companies, but this directly competes with every technical niche and market that Iridium covers. Bandwidth, signal penetration, coverage, user side antenna size and power consumption,...It seems a catastrophic threat to Iridium's entire business model.
The next generation of Iridium orbital assets might be hosted payloads on the Starlink constellation and/or maybe other constellations. Maybe Iridium become a part of Skynet Starlink.

Offline vsatman

Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #145 on: 09/02/2022 07:39 pm »
I am hearing that Starlink handheld service is only available at 1.9 - 2.0 MHz, which is  T-Mobile spectrum in the US. I am not sure why Starlink chose this frequency (apart from the T-Mobile partnership), since AFAIK, they aren’t licensed for this frequency elsewhere.

It would be an odd design choice if that was a hardware limitation.  Are you sure that's not just the frequencies they're choosing to use in the US?
First item: isn't the frequencies 1.9 - 2.0 GHz? Which gives T-Mobile 100Mz of bandwidth. Else Mhz would give T-Mobile 100KHz of bandwidth.

In the initial 12,400 sat constellation to be fully operational on or before Nov 2027 (the FCC licensing date). Would give T-Mobile excellent coverage. For the more advanced constellation of 30,000 sats which would be fully operational on or before 2030. Could have total of 3 cell phone providers each have 10,000 dedicated sats each. which would result in at least 3 cell phone providers from sat just by Starlink plus the other sat constellations that also implement cell services. Such that by 2030 you could have more than a dozen cell phone providers operating from orbit.

Additionally what SpaceX and Starlink design may be going for is to be like a cell phone tower operator that receives a fixed fee for each operational tower. As more "towers" (sats) are added the more revenue that SpaceX would get and the more advantage that T-Mobile would have in capabilities to have a solid connection space that covers all of US and territories. Which should bring in to T-Mobile more subscribers since they can cover areas and customers that no one else can.

I highly doubt T-Mobile would let SpaceX use 100Mhz of specturm... probably 5Mhz, and maybe they can use 2-3x 1.4Mhz LTE channels -- 1.4Mhz gets you 3Mbps.

SpaceX would only use the T-Mobile spectrum where there are no cell towers. Otherwise T-Mobile can use its spectrum to serve terrestrial customers.

That's possible, but I imagine the cell size is fairly large (>140 sq mi), so managing that would be tricky. Also:
"I was able to confirm that T-Mobile will use the G block of the PCS band for this new Starlink service. (1910–1915 MHz for uplink and 1990–1995 MHz for downlink.)"
IMO the reason why StarLink will only use these 5 MHz is simply that these are the only frequencies licensed from the FCC T Mobile throughout the United States

Offline vsatman

Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #146 on: 09/02/2022 07:48 pm »
The first gen constellation is ~4k sats, not ~12k.
The first license is 4K but the first generation is the first two licenses, which do add up to 12K.

There hasn't been any recent indication that the V-band sats will actually happen.  The gen 1 constellation is the 4k Ku/Ka-band sats.

Is there any reason why the v2 birds can't have a version that supports V-band?  That license is approved and the clock is ticking on it.  The Gen2 license isn't.  (Again, "v2" vs. "Gen2" is horribly confusing.  They might mean the same thing, or they might not.)

The reason is. and SpaceX himself wrote about it in the FСС. These frequencies are simply not suitable for communication. see picture

Offline vsatman

Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #147 on: 09/02/2022 08:01 pm »
in my opinion, those who read this very good review do not pay enough attention to the issues of frequency licenses.
https://www.lightreading.com/satellite/how-and-when-you-might-connect-your-smartphone-to-satellite/d/d-id/780114
You can talk about 20+ T Mobile partners in the world, but in each country it is a separate company and it must obtain permission for frequency  from the national regulator.
2) the issue of changing the assignment of the band from cellular to satellite is very rare event (if not a unique precedent) that should be discussed in the ITU.
3) In this regard, the idea of ​​using the GlobalStar or Iridium service with an Apple phone can be very effective because their frequencies were agreed in most countries of the world back in the 20th century. And then immediately there will be tens of millions of subscribers who will be able to send text messages...

Offline JayWee

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1022
  • Liked: 1037
  • Likes Given: 2049
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #148 on: 09/02/2022 08:22 pm »
You can talk about 20+ T Mobile partners in the world, but in each country it is a separate company and it must obtain permission for frequency  from the national regulator.
On top of that - it might be "easy" to do in the US, however it's going to be very difficult in Europe/Africa, with its patchwork of small countries.
Otoh, not many deadzones in Europe (except maybe Norway/Sweden).

Offline su27k

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6414
  • Liked: 9104
  • Likes Given: 885
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #149 on: 09/03/2022 05:28 am »
May or may not be related to Starlink or this event:

https://twitter.com/lockheimer/status/1565355464086265856

Quote
Wild to think about user experiences for phones that can connect to satellites. When we launched G1 in '08 it was a stretch to get 3G + Wifi working. Now we're designing for satellites. Cool! Excited to support our partners in enabling all of this in the next version of Android!

He's the "SVP Platforms & Ecosystems (Android, Chrome, Chrome OS & Play, Comms, Photos) at Google"

Offline macpacheco

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 892
  • Vitoria-ES-Brazil
  • Liked: 368
  • Likes Given: 3041
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #150 on: 09/04/2022 12:05 am »
The reason is. and SpaceX himself wrote about it in the FСС. These frequencies are simply not suitable for communication. see picture
Bingo, this is 2G spectrum. This can't be used for 5G or even 4.5G service.
This is spectrum that is used strictly as a last resort service for customers that are too far for even 4G service.
Keyword is PCS, aka 2G.
Cellphone frequencies aren't lego pieces that can be repurposed willy nilly. Hence the highly speculative if the FCC will allow Starlink to do mobile service from satellites at all.
« Last Edit: 09/04/2022 07:16 pm by macpacheco »
Looking for companies doing great things for much more than money

Offline MP99

Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #151 on: 09/05/2022 02:19 pm »
The reason is. and SpaceX himself wrote about it in the F. These frequencies are simply not suitable for communication. see picture
Bingo, this is 2G spectrum. This can't be used for 5G or even 4.5G service.
This is spectrum that is used strictly as a last resort service for customers that are too far for even 4G service.
Keyword is PCS, aka 2G.
Cellphone frequencies aren't lego pieces that can be repurposed willy nilly. Hence the highly speculative if the FCC will allow Starlink to do mobile service from satellites at all.
According to wiki, PCS (1900MHz) is used for 3g, 4g and 5g services in the USA.

UK does the same in the 1800MHz band.

Cheers, Martin
« Last Edit: 10/06/2022 07:23 am by zubenelgenubi »

Offline gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10438
  • US
  • Liked: 14360
  • Likes Given: 6149
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #152 on: 09/05/2022 02:41 pm »
The reason is. and SpaceX himself wrote about it in the FСС. These frequencies are simply not suitable for communication. see picture
Bingo, this is 2G spectrum. This can't be used for 5G or even 4.5G service.

The post you quoted was talking about V-band frequencies

Offline EL_DIABLO

  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 185
  • Liked: 150
  • Likes Given: 166
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #153 on: 09/06/2022 09:15 am »
Another strategic impact would be to significantly undermine the business case for AST Spacemobile type services before it even gets off the ground.

Think about it for a moment.

These rural areas are sparsely populated, and most visitors would be going there once or twice a year on vacation. For home internet at your remote cabin or ranch and for long term mobile internet in e.g. an RV - Starlink will be the service of choice for people in these areas.

That leaves only the need to have emergency contact capability in dead zone areas while travelling / hiking etc. Which the Starlink-T-mobile alliance will provide for free.

So with those two needs covered, who will still need a costly higher bandwidth phone capability from AST for the limited number of times you need to stream a video call while in a dead zone?

In my view, once the emergency contact need is covered, most of the AST Spacemobile business case disappears.

ASTS is different, they are promising broadband speeds.

Offline meekGee

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14680
  • N. California
  • Liked: 14693
  • Likes Given: 1421
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #154 on: 09/07/2022 11:03 pm »


What is the business case...

I think T-Mobile gives it for free to its customers, but charges other providers for roaming so they can either charge their customers (making T-Mobile look good) or just pay direct.  Either way, T-Mobile wins.

Starlink meanwhile just gets more ubiquitous and so can increase capacity allowing it to creep closer to the high concentration areas that it can't handle right now.

Starlink will never replace towers in cities, but there's a huge amount of medium density areas where a sat network can work if it's humangeous enough.
ABCD - Always Be Counting Down

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 50841
  • UK
    • Plan 28
  • Liked: 85433
  • Likes Given: 38218
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #155 on: 09/08/2022 05:32 am »

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 50841
  • UK
    • Plan 28
  • Liked: 85433
  • Likes Given: 38218
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #156 on: 09/10/2022 11:30 pm »
https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-hiring-t-mobile-starlink-cell-service/

Quote
SpaceX ramps hiring for T-Mobile Starlink cell service partnership

By Johnna Crider   Posted on September 10, 2022

SpaceX is ramping hiring efforts for its T-Mobile Starlink cell service partnership. Last month, SpaceX and T-Mobile announced their new partnership to end mobile dead zones. According to a post from SpaceX’s senior director of satellite engineering, there are three new positions that SpaceX is currently hiring for.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/sara-spangelo-188a6a44_coverage-above-beyond-t-mobile-activity-6974016148153475072-dHtT/

Quote
Sara Spangelo
1d

Thrilled to be announcing SpaceX & T-Mobile's partnership bringing direct to cell phone connectivity to the entire US & globe.  https://lnkd.in/eJtYNqyh

You can learn more about the program here:
www.spacex.com
https://lnkd.in/ggx6WRpy

Please check out these exciting roles on our team!

Partnerships Manager (Direct to Cell)
https://lnkd.in/g3kadbH2

Communications Integration Engineer (Direct to Cell)
https://lnkd.in/gmDy2r-w

Sr. Software Engineer (Direct to Cell)
https://lnkd.in/gSyaspVK

Offline Asteroza

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2911
  • Liked: 1127
  • Likes Given: 33
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #157 on: 09/11/2022 11:44 pm »
There's a few more too:

- Principal Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Communications Integration Engineer (Direct to Cell)
- Partnerships Manager (Direct to Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, Data Plane (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G Protocols (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G MAC/PHY (Direct To Cell)

That smells a lot like no 3G support. Unclear on 4G VoLTE though.

Offline russianhalo117

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8818
  • Liked: 4748
  • Likes Given: 768
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #158 on: 09/12/2022 12:02 am »
There's a few more too:

- Principal Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Communications Integration Engineer (Direct to Cell)
- Partnerships Manager (Direct to Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, Data Plane (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G Protocols (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G MAC/PHY (Direct To Cell)

That smells a lot like no 3G support. Unclear on 4G VoLTE though.
2G/3G, CDMA, UTMS, GSM including GSM-R (suppliers will provide extended end of life support until the end of 2030), etal have already been deprecated with a global shutdown target date of December 31, 2026 with the US FCC setting the end date on December 31, 2022. Certain 4G formats are also deprecated such as WiMAX (shutdown complete) and LTE (shutdown started in the US with T-Mobile including acquired Sprint at the end of June 2022). Spectrum from 0G through 4G will be made available at auction for reuse by newer generations.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2022 12:18 am by russianhalo117 »

Offline TheRadicalModerate

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4681
  • Tampa, FL
  • Liked: 3487
  • Likes Given: 660
Re: SpaceX and T-mobile event 25 Aug 2022
« Reply #159 on: 09/12/2022 08:32 pm »
There's a few more too:

- Principal Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Software Engineer (Direct To Cell)
- Communications Integration Engineer (Direct to Cell)
- Partnerships Manager (Direct to Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, Data Plane (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G Protocols (Direct To Cell)
- Sr. Software Engineer, 4G/5G MAC/PHY (Direct To Cell)

That smells a lot like no 3G support. Unclear on 4G VoLTE though.

Do the 5G physical layers add anything more than MIMO and mmWave?  Neither of those really applies.  There are some VoLTE changes, but they're back in the IMS network, and mostly make switchover between mobile spectrum and wifi more seamless.  I'd be really surprised if LTE wasn't fully supported.  (Well, fully supported for text, with voice being on the bubble.)

Tags:
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement Northrop Grumman
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
1