Author Topic: SpaceX F9 : Starlink group 4-19 : KSC LC-39A : 17 June 2022 (16:09 UTC)  (Read 30567 times)

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Thread for the Starlink 4-19 group launch from one of the Florida three Falcon 9 launch complexes.

NSF Threads for Starlink 4-19: Discussion

Launch June 17, 2022 at 16:09 UTC (12:09 pm EDT) from Kennedy LC-39A on booster 1060-13.  First stage successfully landed aboard A Shortfall of Gravitas.

Payload 53 Starlink satellites to 53.2 degree inclination on a northeastern trajectory.  Initial orbit of 337 x 232 km.

Starlink v1.5 satellite mass is now about 300kg after the addition of laser ISL terminals.

Please use the Starlink Discussion Thread for all general discussion on Starlink.

Check the Starlink Index Thread for links to more Starlink information.




L2 SpaceX:
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?board=60.0
« Last Edit: 06/27/2022 01:33 pm by gongora »
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SFN SpaceX deploys more Starlink satellites, aims for higher launch cadence, dated April 21:
Quote
Two more Falcon 9 rockets are scheduled to launch on Starlink missions May 8, followed [by] as many as three additional Falcon 9 launches later next month from pads in Florida and California.
Starlink 4-13, Vandenberg SLC-4E, assumed early May

Starlink 4-18, Canaveral SLC-40, assumed mid May

One more Starlink

This launch appears to be NET late May, but could be delayed into June.  It could be from any of the three Falcon 9 launch complexes.

Timing would need to be almost perfect to launch from Canaveral SLC-40,  between Starlink 4-18 in mid May and Transporter-5 on June 1.

The timing is easier for this launch from either Kennedy LC-39A, between May 8 and June 7; or Vandenberg SLC-4E, between early May and NET early June.

Edited



Space Coast orbital launches in the immediate future:

2022 Launched:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

June 8 Apr NET Apr Apr 30 NET May late? Jun 7 10 7 - Nilesat-301 - Falcon 9-157 158 (1062.7 JRTI ASDS expended 1049.11 ASDS) - Canaveral SLC-40 / SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A - 21:04 Jun 10 05:00 Jun 8 21:03 Jun 8 to 23:30
(geosynchronous transfer orbit)

FAILURE
June 12 NET Jan 8/NLT Jul 31 late spring/early summer Apr Q2 TBD Jun TBD Jun NET 12 - TROPICS 1 and 2 - Rocket 3.3 - Canaveral SLC-46 / Kwajalein - 17:43 Jun 12 16:00 to 18:45 Jun 12 16:00 to 18:00
(low-inclination LEO)

June 17 NET late May or TBD/NET Jun Mid Jun?/NET 10 16 - Starlink 4-19? (x53 x50+?) (flight 48) [v1.5 L19] - Falcon 9-158? 156 TBD 159? 160? (1060.13 ASOG ASDS) - Kennedy LC-39A? / Vandenberg SLC-4E / LC-39A / Canaveral SLC-40 - 16:09:20 Jun 16 14:50 Jun 17 14:50 Jun 17 16:08:50
(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)

June 19 Mid Jun/NET 7 - USA 328-331, Globalstar-2 FM-15, unknown US Government sat(s) - Falcon 9-160? (1061.9 JRTI ASDS 1073.2?) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A - 04:27:36  Jun 19 04:30 Jun 19 04:25
(mid-inclination LEO? orbit)

2022 Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

June 26 Jul NET end of Jun/beginning of Jul/ early Jul/ NET 27 - Starlink 4-21 (x53) (flight 49 TBD) [v1.5 L20 L-TBD] - Falcon 9-161? 164? 165? 163? 164? (1058.13 ASOG ASDS) - Kennedy LC-39A? / Canaveral SLC-40? / LC-39A - 00:43
(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)

June 28 Q2 Jul Q2 NLT end of Jun H2 Jun/Jul Jun late/mid? Jun - SES-22 - Falcon 9-162? 161? (1073.2 ASDS? 1062.7? 1073.2? 1052.6?) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A - 21:04 Jun 28 21:00
(geosynchronous transfer orbit)

June 29 2020 NET Aug 2021 NET 2022 Apr NET ~Apr 1/NLT ~Apr 20 TBD NET late Jul NET late Sep - USSF-12 AFSPC-12: WFOV (Wide Field Of View) GEO Testbed, USSF-12 Ring (NG ESPA Star bus) ESPA rideshares - Atlas V 541 or 551 (AV-094) - Canaveral SLC-41
(directly to geosynchronous orbit)

NET July 12 May May 1 Jun Jun 7 Jun 9 Jun 10 NET Jun 12 TBD NET Jun 28 Jun 28 NET Jul 11 - Dragon SpX-25 (C208.3) - Falcon 9-165? 159? TBD 157 158 161? (1067.5 ASDS) - Kennedy LC-39A - ~01:00 to 02:00 Jun 7 15:25 Jun 7 15:15 Jun 7 15:30 Jun 9 14:45 Jun 10 14:22 Jun 12 ~13:35? TBD Jun 28 ~07:00
(ISS flights: 22-26 minutes earlier/day)

July 31 Jan to Sept H1 NET Jun NET late Jun Jun 18 TBD/NET late Sep? - SBIRS-GEO 6 - Atlas V 421 (AV-097) - Canaveral SLC-41
(geosynchronous transfer orbit)

TBD NET Jan 8/NLT Jul 31 late spring/early summer Apr/May Apr Q2 TBD Jun TBD late Jun - TROPICS 3 and 4 - Rocket 3.3 - Canaveral SLC-46 / Kwajalein
(low-inclination LEO)

NET September End of June - Starlink 4-20 (x53) (flight TBD 49) [v1.5 L-TBD L20] - Falcon 9-TBD 162 163 (ASDS) - Kennedy LC-39A? / Canaveral SLC-40 / SLC-40
(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)

TBD 2023 early 2022 Feb/Mar 2022 Mar 2022 Q2/NET mid or late May 2022 Q2 2022 Jun 2022 late June 2022 TBD/NET Dec 2022 - USSF-44 AFSPC-44: 2 satellites?, LDPE-2 [LINUS-A, TETRA-1, WL2XOU, 3 satellites] - Falcon Heavy-TBD 4 (side 1064.1? ASDS ASDS JRTI, side 1065.1? ASDS ASDS ASOG, 1066.1? expended) - Kennedy LC-39A
(directly to geosynchronous orbit)

Changes on February 26th, 2021
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zubenelgenubi
« Last Edit: 06/27/2022 08:07 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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SFN Launch Schedule update, April 28 (one of many updates on said date):
No mention of this launch, but there were several changes for other May Falcon 9 launches.

If this is a Vandenberg launch, there is time for a launch campaign available between Starlink 4-13 on May 10 (was 8th) and the SARah 1 launch in June.

If this is a Florida launch, there is apparently time for a launch campaign in June at SLC-40, after Transporter-5.

But, there are is are a commercial customers that should be or may be ready to launch from SLC-40 in June: Nilesat-301 and SES-22 and the first mPower triplet.

As for LC-39A, there's no launch officially scheduled between Starlink 4-17 and Cargo Dragon SpX-25 (May 6 5, June 7).

Personally, I wonder if Starlink 4-18 will be moved to LC-39A for a mid May launch.

Edit May 4: Yes, Starlink 4-18 launches May 18 21 from LC-39A.

If so, then there likely is no time for a LC-39A launch campaign for this launch in the next months.  Dragon launch campaigns seem to use about 2 weeks.  Falcon Heavies may need a whole month.  One would progress from my hypothesized Starlink 4-18, to SpX-25, to USSF-44, to Psyche, with no breaks.

Edited April 29, May 1, May 4, and May 11.
« Last Edit: 05/14/2022 01:23 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Alexphysics

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Next launch from Vandy after 4-13 is SARah-1, there's not any Starlink in between

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Cross-post:
0861-EX-ST-2022
Mission 1781, Starlink 4-19, from Florida, NE trajectory, NET June [10]
ASDS North  32  41  38   West  75  44  20



This launch will likely be the SLC-40 launch following Transporter-5.  And, it may precede the Nilesat 301 launch at SLC-40.

I'm curious to see if SpaceX has any other Starlink launches in June at SLC-40 or Vandenberg: a hypothetical Starlink 4-20 or 21.
« Last Edit: 05/07/2022 09:26 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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No booster assignment yet for Starlink 4-19--which one might it be?

Rotating forward the boosters by oldest available after previous recovery, but not already assigned, gives us: 1051.13 (March 19), 1060.13 (April 21), and perhaps 1062.7 (April 29) and 1058.13 (May 6).
<snip>
And then in July and sort of in this order:
<snip>
Starlink Group 4-21 from Florida (I'd say pad 40 is likely) using B1058-13
<snip>
Starlink Group 4-25 from Florida (betting all my money on pad 40 for this one) using B1051-13

Edit May 13: 1062.7 may be held back for SES-22, to give an "external" customer a lower-reuse booster.

If repairs from the previous December 21 landing have been completed, then 1069.2 is available.
Oh I forgot... B1069-2 is flying on Starlink Group 4-26. NET August from Florida.

Static Fire for the above?  My predictions.

No: 1051.13, 1058.13, 1060.13, 1062.7

Yes: 1069.2 (first launch after extensive repairs)

No Static Fire means the booster is first and only transported to the pad, with payload stacked, a day or less before liftoff.

Edit May 20: It's 1060.13.

Edit May 26:
Quote from: Alexphysics tweet
So remember that thing about B1049-11 being expended for Nilesat 301? Well, that has changed. This booster surely likes to change missions. Nilesat 301 is now launching on B1062-7 which previously flew on Starlink Group 4-16 in late April.
« Last Edit: 05/26/2022 08:43 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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As a Florida launch in June at SLC-40, after Transporter-5, Starlink 4-19 is "competing" with two commercial customers also launching from SLC-40 in June: Nilesat-301 and SES-22.

If I remember correctly, foreign manufactured or owned satellites launch from SLC-40 because the ITAR accommodations are easier at the Space Force Station than at the adjacent NASA center.

Nilesat-301 is now launching (NET) June 7 (the same date as SpX-25 from LC-39A).

SES-22 arrives on the same cargo ship as Nilesat-301, circa May 14.  SES-22 should be ready to launch at virtually the same time as its ocean travel companion.

I predict that, without any difficulties between now and early June, that the SES-22 launch will immediately follow Nilesat-301 at SLC-40, in mid June, as soon as the pad can be turned around.

There is no need to wait for an ASDS to be free, as only one will be used earlier in June, for SpX-25Nilesat-301 is an expendable launch.

SpaceX probably wants to continue an aggressive launch rate through 2022.  That would include a Starlink 4-19 launch as near to NET June 10 as possible.

USSF-44 has been delayed NET December.  The next launch that must use LC-39A is Psyche on August 1.

SpaceX may choose to insert one or two June Starlink launches from LC-39A, before an approximately all-of-July Falcon Heavy/Psyche launch campaign begins.

I think Starlink 4-19 is one of them.  I predict that it will be moved to LC-39A for a mid June launch, as soon as possible after the Cargo Dragon launch.

Wild card in the deck: Working with or around Artemis I Wet Dress Rehearsal requirements at LC-39B, if WDR is underway.
« Last Edit: 05/14/2022 02:41 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Cross-post; my bold:
SFN SpaceX launches third Starlink mission in five days, May 18:
Quote
Additional SpaceX flights in June will launch the Nilesat 301 geostationary communications satellite for the Egyptian operator Nilesat, the German military’s SARah 1 radar observation spacecraft, the SES 22 television broadcasting payload, and more Starlink internet satellites.

« Last Edit: 05/19/2022 05:48 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Conexion Espacial

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NextSpaceFlight indicates that B1060.13 will support the launch of this mission.
I publish information in Spanish about space and rockets.
https://twitter.com/conexionspacial

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX F9 : Starlink group 4-19 : Florida : mid June 2022
« Reply #9 on: 05/20/2022 04:14 pm »
NextSpaceFlight indicates that B1060.13 will support the launch of this mission.

Cross-post:
Added a bunch of upcoming SpaceX launches to NextSpaceflight and some booster assignments. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/agency/upcoming/1/

Starlink Group 4-19 looking like mid June (I'd bet on LC-39A for that one) and using B1060-13.
« Last Edit: 05/21/2022 05:31 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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NextSpaceFlight shows Starlink 4-19 launch site is KSC LC-39A. [updated May 29?]
« Last Edit: 05/30/2022 10:43 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Because of Artemis 1 WDR activities which are likely to take place in the period between June 16 to June 24. If that changes the period is likely just slip a week or two to later in June. As such it will make a launch on 39A an interesting event. Which could possible take advantage of a day or 2 down time of no active prop loading by SLS, to do a launch. It would only need ~24 hours or less to get the vehicle to the pad and launch.

Nothing to do but wait and see how all the items shake out come the middle of June. SLS is basically limited to 3 full or near full prop loading events for a WDR after which the next attempt would be a likely week latter. It is a matter of the storage tanks having sufficient prop to do multiple full load attempts. After which more prop has to be brought in to fill the storage tanks at 39B. Getting started to load before a test abort may not be a limitation though.

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With the CRS-25 delay, maybe this launch will be moved up?

Offline zubenelgenubi

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My bold:
Launch Photography Viewing Guide, updated June 8:
Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 will launch the Nilesat 301 communication satellite from pad 40 on June 8 at 5:04pm EDT. The launch window stretches to 7:30pm EDT. A Falcon 9 will launch a Starlink batch from pad 39A on mid June. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch a Globalstar communicaton satellite mid June. A Falcon 9 will launch the SES-22 communication satellite from pad 40 on June 27 or 28. A Falcon 9 from pad 39A will launch the CRS-25 resupply mission to the ISS on June 28 at the earliest, around 3am EDT. Falcon 9 will launch more Starlink batches on TBD. A Falcon 9 will launch the Korean Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter on August 2, likely around 7:30pm EDT. The next astronaut crew launch and the next Falcon Heavy launch are scheduled for September earliest.
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Online ZachS09

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https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6799

Launch is scheduled for June 16, 2022 at 14:50 UTC (10:50 AM EDT).
Liftoff for St. Jude's! Go Dragon, Go Falcon, Godspeed Inspiration4!

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Cross-post; this launch should be completed two days before:

NASA confirms the next Artemis 1 wet dress rehearsal is now scheduled to begin June 18.https://twitter.com/StephenClark1/status/1535375271154565120
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Offline Ken the Bin

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NGA notices that appear to be for this launch, but note that the Primary Day is June 17, not June 16.  However a hazard warning period starting at 14:40 on June 17 is consistent with a launch time of 14:50.  If June 16 at 14:50 had initially been correct, then I would have expected 14:28 for June 17, however that's the likely launch time for June 18 based on the hazard warning period start of 14:18.

Quote from: NGA
082348Z JUN 22
NAVAREA IV 553/22(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   171440Z TO 171707Z JUN, ALTERNATE
   181418Z TO 181645Z, 191356Z TO 191623Z,
   201335Z TO 201602Z, 211313Z TO 211540Z,
   221252Z TO 221519Z AND 231230Z TO 231457Z JUN
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-40.31N 080-38.61W, 29-33.00N 079-44.00W,
      29-26.00N 079-35.00W, 28-30.01N 080-32.87W.
   B. 31-27.00N 077-29.00W, 33-17.00N 076-03.00W,
      33-31.00N 074-59.00W, 33-10.00N 074-36.00W,
      32-27.00N 074-46.00W, 31-15.00N 077-17.00W.
2.CANCEL THIS MSG 231557Z JUN 22.
Quote from: NGA
120207Z JUN 22
NAVAREA XII 377/22(21,22,83).
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
   171550Z TO 171653Z JUN, ALTERNATE
   181528Z TO 181731Z, 191506Z TO 191709Z,
   201445Z TO 201648Z, 211423Z TO 211626Z,
   221402Z TO 221605Z AND 231340Z TO 231543Z JUN
   IN AREA BOUND BY
   08-18.00N 120-00.00W, 04-51.00N 120-00.00W,
   03-30.00N 120-55.00W, 03-30.00N 123-16.00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 231643Z JUN 22.

Edit: Fixed one incorrect time.  That's what I get for doing math in my head too quickly.
« Last Edit: 06/12/2022 03:45 am by Ken the Bin »

Online Galactic Penguin SST

NGA notices that appear to be for this launch, but note that the Primary Day is June 17, not June 16.  However a hazard warning period starting at 14:40 on June 17 is consistent with a launch time of 14:50.  If June 16 at 14:50 had initially been correct, then I would have expected 14:28 for June 17, however that's the likely launch time for June 18 based on the hazard warning period start of 14:18.

Quote from: NGA
082348Z JUN 22
NAVAREA IV 553/22(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   171440Z TO 171707Z JUN, ALTERNATE
   181418Z TO 181645Z, 191356Z TO 191623Z,
   201335Z TO 201602Z, 211313Z TO 211540Z,
   221252Z TO 221519Z AND 231230Z TO 231457Z JUN
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-40.31N 080-38.61W, 29-33.00N 079-44.00W,
      29-26.00N 079-35.00W, 28-30.01N 080-32.87W.
   B. 31-27.00N 077-29.00W, 33-17.00N 076-03.00W,
      33-31.00N 074-59.00W, 33-10.00N 074-36.00W,
      32-27.00N 074-46.00W, 31-15.00N 077-17.00W.
2.CANCEL THIS MSG 231557Z JUN 22.
Quote from: NGA
120207Z JUN 22
NAVAREA XII 377/22(21,22,83).
EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
   171550Z TO 171653Z JUN, ALTERNATE
   181528Z TO 181731Z, 191506Z TO 191709Z,
   201445Z TO 201648Z, 211423Z TO 211626Z,
   221402Z TO 221605Z AND 231340Z TO 231543Z JUN
   IN AREA BOUND BY
   08-18.00N 120-00.00W, 04-51.00N 120-00.00W,
   03-30.00N 120-55.00W, 03-30.00N 123-16.00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 231643Z JUN 22.

Edit: Fixed one incorrect time.  That's what I get for doing math in my head too quickly.

Ben Cooper's site now does say 10:50 am Eastern on June 17 as well.
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NGA notices that appear to be for this launch...

Maps from the NGA notices.

1. The ASDS is 652km downrange.
2. The space debris area appears to be in the right location for a first orbit re-entry, but the shape of the area is odd. Perhaps it is still missing a few coordinates?

Offline zubenelgenubi

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