Author Topic: SpaceX F9/Crew Dragon : Polaris Dawn : KSC LC-39A : NET Late August 2024  (Read 204432 times)

Offline AndrewM

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To quote myself... :(

I couldn't help but notice that this mission is delayed per every three months for another three months.

This!  One wonders if the issue launch scheduling with higher priority missions bumping it back, general training issues, EVA training issues, or readiness of the EVA suit?  Or all of these?

It seems like it is primarily due to EVA suit readiness.

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Hey Felix - I hope you are enjoying your summer. We are optimistic about 🚀 towards the end of the year. The EVA suits are in critical testing this month. If they pass then the path gets clear.  Then it will come down to weather, which is more challenging later in the year.

https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1678028420087726081?s=20

Offline Vultur

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Has anyone seen anything on the EVA suit progress for this mission?

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Quote
Some Updates:
-
@PolarisProgram
 - Polaris Dawn is still moving along. We were just onsite for formal updates on avionics, trajectory, suit testing and more. It was great to see 🐉207 Resilience in the cleanroom and get back in the EVA suit again. We did complete a major milestone a few weeks in support of a key objectives, but more details on that later 🎶📡. As for updates on other Polaris missions, we hope to learn more on Polaris II by the end of the summer. For those looking for more regular updates, please know Polaris is a development program & what SpaceX is working on takes time and in many cases hasn't been done in decades or never before. Personally, I feel fortunate to watch and learn from them - they continue to make the world more interesting by the day.

[...]

https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1688265134982991872
Lukas C. H. • Hobbyist Mission Patch Artist 🎨 • May the force be with you my friend, Ad Astra Per Aspera ✨️

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan.html

Quote from: Jared Isaacman
We’re still hoping for the end of the year, but I suspect it will probably slip into the beginning of next year.

https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan/id1680523433?i=1000624808995
« Last Edit: 08/18/2023 07:18 am by FutureSpaceTourist »

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan.html

Quote from: Jared Isaacman
We’re still hoping for the end of the year, but I suspect it will probably slip into the beginning of next year.

https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan/id1680523433?i=1000624808995

Regardless of actual EVA suit or mission readiness, pad availability will almost certainly push this into Q1.

Online zubenelgenubi

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https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan.html
Quote from: Jared Isaacman
We’re still hoping for the end of the year, but I suspect it will probably slip into the beginning of next year.
https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan/id1680523433?i=1000624808995
Regardless of actual EVA suit or mission readiness, pad availability will almost certainly push this into Q1.
An interesting situation, where pad availability will likely be the long pole of the launch campaign.

ISS operations needs will also take precedence.

High time for the SLC-40 improvements to come on-line!
« Last Edit: 08/18/2023 04:46 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline ddspaceman

Polaris
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Great visit to @EmbryRiddle @ERAU_Daytona yesterday, speaking to students and visiting the Space Technologies Lab 🛰️📸🧑🏼‍🚀🌎

https://twitter.com/PolarisProgram/status/1693987932535926848


Online zubenelgenubi

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Cross-post; article references CNBC interview.
SN Polaris Dawn mission likely to slip to 2024, Jeff Foust, August 22
https://twitter.com/SpaceNews_Inc/status/1694106233295282482
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SpaceNews @SpaceNews_Inc
Polaris Dawn mission likely to slip to 2024
https://spacenews.com/polaris-dawn-mission-likely-to-slip-to-2024/

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan.html [updated August 16]
Quote from: Jared Isaacman
We’re still hoping for the end of the year, but I suspect it will probably slip into the beginning of next year.
https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/manifest-space-with-morgan-brennan/id1680523433?i=1000624808995
Regardless of actual EVA suit or mission readiness, pad availability will almost certainly push this into Q1.
An interesting situation, where pad availability will likely be the long pole of the launch campaign.

ISS operations needs will also take precedence.

Kennedy LC-39A
Aug 25           F9   Crew-7
Oct 5              FH   Psyche
Nov 1             F9    SpX-29
Nov 15-20     F9    IM-1
NET Nov 30   FH   USSF-52
Eo'23/Bo'24   F9    Polaris Dawn
Jan 10            F9    AX-3
Early Feb        F9    Crew-8
<open launch slot here?>
Apr                  FH   GOES-U
« Last Edit: 08/23/2023 07:18 pm by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Polaris Dawn is looking like Q1-2024.  It is a development program and new technology takes time to implement.  The EVA suits being a big driver of the timeline.   

No updates from NASA on Polaris II, but we are still hopeful we can help out Hubble. We have a great plan to extend the life and capability of the exploration platform at really no cost to the government.

https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1702303458844455060
Lukas C. H. • Hobbyist Mission Patch Artist 🎨 • May the force be with you my friend, Ad Astra Per Aspera ✨️

Offline scr00chy

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The official website also says "early 2024" now. (Not sure when it was changed.)

https://polarisprogram.com/dawn/

Offline SMS

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https://x.com/PolarisProgram/status/1703772678841115078

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Great fighter jet training weekend for the Polaris Dawn crew

https://x.com/PolarisProgram/status/1703772661384417663

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These flights allow for high g-force familiarization and crew resource management in a high-consequence environment 🚀
« Last Edit: 09/18/2023 08:43 pm by SMS »
---
SMS ;-).

Offline ddspaceman

Jack Gregory Wright
@JackwrightNYC
Last week, I sat down with the crew of Polaris Dawn,  the next @SpaceX  mission blasting off in Q1 next year.

The crew will go deeper into outer space than anyone since the moon landings - and then exit their vehicle.

Before our interview, Commander Jared Isaacman - and two of his ex-Top Gun mates - showed me what G-force is...

Out now on The Intersection: https://apple.co/3RzQR2y

@PolarisProgram @elonmusk @rookisaacman

https://twitter.com/JackwrightNYC/status/1706075972204658967


Offline yg1968

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At 43 minutes of the interview above, Jared Isaacman says that he may not be as young as he is now when the Polaris 3 mission flies. He said that the priority for Starship is Starlink and HLS. But he says that when Starship flies from end to end that will really open up space because a 4 billion expendable rockets isn't going to open up space. He says that he expects that we will not be walking on Mars for another 15 years. He said that within the decade for Mars would have been possible in a low interest rate environment but that with the interest rates that we have now, it will probably take at least 15 years.
« Last Edit: 09/26/2023 12:08 am by yg1968 »

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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https://twitter.com/polarisprogram/status/1706789164430332271

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Excited to test out Starlink for the first time during a human spaceflight mission with Polaris Dawn!

NET April.

Quote
Hello Felix!
- I am at SpaceX today for EVA suit testing. This is an evolution of the dev suits.
- Suit pics will be released in advance of mission but I don't know when.
- ~April is the goal to launch & the pace of training is accelerating.
Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays.

https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1733535996577517810

« Last Edit: 12/09/2023 04:44 pm by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline Svetoslav

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Hey, we got an answer from Jared about why this mission appears to be constantly 3 months in the future!

https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1733618196769284432

FST edit:

Quote
- Building and certifying new EVA suits for starters.  There is a big difference between an IVA suit that is a last line of defense in the vehicle vs. suit engineered from the start to be exposed to vacuum outside the spaceship.  That includes suit changes for mobility, life support redundancy, sun glare, some resiliency to MMOD.
- Similarly, the vehicle was designed to go to vacuum only in an emergency.  There are changes to software and ECLSS hardware to make an EVA a nominal operation.
- Laser-based communication over the Starlink constellation is not an easy task either.  Its not just turning the router switch to the ON position.   Every draco firing could break a link.
- We are flying higher and closer to the Van Allen belts than anyone has gone since Apollo 17.  The radiation exposure during those orbits over a few days is the equivalent to months on the ISS.  Avionics don't like radiation which means there is a lot to analyze and sim to get right.

SpaceX engineers are doing an outstanding job tackling big problems very quickly.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2023 10:00 pm by FutureSpaceTourist »

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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https://twitter.com/rookisaacman/status/1745972094477676782

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Great update from @elonmusk including a rendering of Dragon's EVA config w/mobility aids. Elon highlighted the challenge of building an EVA suit but also the importance for future lunar & Mars applications. The suits we will test on Polaris Dawn represent a step towards that goal
« Last Edit: 01/13/2024 08:01 am by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline kdhilliard

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Did anyone else catch this one-liner dropped by Musk as he was transitioning from Polaris Dawn to Starlink?
Quote from: Elon Musk
And we're also going to launch Starlink on that flight.
See time 27:16 of Musk's 2024-01-24 SpaceX company update:
twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1745941814165815717

He had digressed slightly into the subject of Mars suits, but "this flight" was clearly a reference to Polaris One.
Quote with context, starting at 26:23:
Quote from: Elon Musk
This is really going to be another great milestone, to actually be able to have someone floating out there in the vacuum of space and come back.  And we want to have a spacesuit that you can walk around in.  You want to be able to walk around on the Moon, walk around on Mars.  So having a high-mobility spacesuit that actually isn't crazy expensive, ideally, that you can walk around in comfortably is a big deal.  It's actually an important thing that needs to be developed and ultimately made in large numbers, because if we send, say, a million people to Mars, then that's a million Mars suits that you need.  So we'll have to make a lot of these things.  And we're also going to launch Starlink on that flight.  So, then coming to Starlink, this is almost a whole separate company, but we're basically rebuilding the Internet in space, which is pretty wild.  ...

So do we think they will co-manifest a few Starlink satellites with the Polaris Dawn flight (presumably in the trunk), or did Musk misspeak, meaning instead that they will use Starlink on that flight (re the planned laser interconnect between Dragon and Starlink).  Or, is it possibly they will deploy a Starlink satellite or two as close-flyers, keeping company with Dragon and providing the laser interconnect to the Starlink network while maintaining an RF connection to Dragon.  (It would be very cool if the close-flyer was also equipped with cameras to record the EVA from its perspective!)

Offline DanClemmensen

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Did anyone else catch this one-liner dropped by Musk as he was transitioning from Polaris Dawn to Starlink?
Quote from: Elon Musk
And we're also going to launch Starlink on that flight.
See time 27:16 of Musk's 2024-01-24 SpaceX company update:
twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1745941814165815717

He had digressed slightly into the subject of Mars suits, but "this flight" was clearly a reference to Polaris One.
Quote with context, starting at 26:23:
Quote from: Elon Musk
This is really going to be another great milestone, to actually be able to have someone floating out there in the vacuum of space and come back.  And we want to have a spacesuit that you can walk around in.  You want to be able to walk around on the Moon, walk around on Mars.  So having a high-mobility spacesuit that actually isn't crazy expensive, ideally, that you can walk around in comfortably is a big deal.  It's actually an important thing that needs to be developed and ultimately made in large numbers, because if we send, say, a million people to Mars, then that's a million Mars suits that you need.  So we'll have to make a lot of these things.  And we're also going to launch Starlink on that flight.  So, then coming to Starlink, this is almost a whole separate company, but we're basically rebuilding the Internet in space, which is pretty wild.  ...

So do we think they will co-manifest a few Starlink satellites with the Polaris Dawn flight (presumably in the trunk), or did Musk misspeak, meaning instead that they will use Starlink on that flight (re the planned laser interconnect between Dragon and Starlink).  Or, is it possibly they will deploy a Starlink satellite or two as close-flyers, keeping company with Dragon and providing the laser interconnect to the Starlink network while maintaining an RF connection to Dragon.  (It would be very cool if the close-flyer was also equipped with cameras to record the EVA from its perspective!)
A close flying Starlink is probably the quickest and easiest way to provide a laser ISL for the Polaris mission, but how can Crew Dragon interconnect to to the close flyer at high data rates with little or no NRE? Existing Radio? A Starlink user terminal? CAT5 cable  :D ? If radio, how/why would the Crew Dragon's radio system have any faster connectivity with the close flyer than with the rest of the Starlink system?

I don't know if a Starlink user terminal could be used without modification. Presumably the directional phased array antenna could be replaced with an omni. The protocols may have been created with an implicit assumption about the minimum distance (i.e., minimum delay) from user to satellite. The satellite also uses a directional phased array antenna for its user links that may also need to be replaced by an omni, but that would be hard if the antenna is also the ground link antenna. Kill the ground link since you intend to use ISL? but that requires the Starlink to enter the net using only ISL, which is also not a design requirement for the protocols.

Any good engineering group could solve this in multiple different ways with a new design. I'm asking if there is a solution that needs at most minimal new hardware and software design.

Offline Zed_Noir

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<snip>
A close flying Starlink is probably the quickest and easiest way to provide a laser ISL for the Polaris mission, but how can Crew Dragon interconnect to to the close flyer at high data rates with little or no NRE? Existing Radio? A Starlink user terminal? CAT5 cable  :D ? If radio, how/why would the Crew Dragon's radio system have any faster connectivity with the close flyer than with the rest of the Starlink system?

I don't know if a Starlink user terminal could be used without modification. Presumably the directional phased array antenna could be replaced with an omni. The protocols may have been created with an implicit assumption about the minimum distance (i.e., minimum delay) from user to satellite. The satellite also uses a directional phased array antenna for its user links that may also need to be replaced by an omni, but that would be hard if the antenna is also the ground link antenna. Kill the ground link since you intend to use ISL? but that requires the Starlink to enter the net using only ISL, which is also not a design requirement for the protocols.

Any good engineering group could solve this in multiple different ways with a new design. I'm asking if there is a solution that needs at most minimal new hardware and software design.
Just mounted 10 fixed phased array antennas of the latest kickstand Starlink user terminal type in the trunk underneath dielectric panels orientated like the facets of a ten sided dice. Somewhat similar to how the USN gets omni coverage with  the Aegis radar arrays on their warships.

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