Jilin-1 GF3D#4 to 7 & GF4A CZ-11H E. China Sea - April 30 2022 03:30UTC

[mikezang]

This launching might be more delayed to 2Q, because Debo-2 and Debo-3 are on the business trip, then new launch ship is till under construction, I don't think that shipbuilding can be finished this month.

[Satori]

https://twitter.com/CNSpaceflight/status/1513562754535211012

[mikezang]

B0980/22 NOTAMN
Q) RPHI/QRALW/IV/NBO/W /000/999/1618N11823E053
A) RPHI B) 2204260300 C) 2204300700
D) 0300-0700
E) SPECIAL OPS (AEROSPACE FLT ACT) WILL TAKE PLACE WI:
15 39 00N 117 48 00E -
17 08 00N 118 13 00E -
16 56 00N 118 58 00E -
15 27 00N 118 32 00E -
15 39 00N 117 48 00E.
F) SFC G) UNL

This might be launched from Tairui on South China sea (not East China sea if this 1st Stage) because Tairui is near Haiyang port at the moment.

[mikezang]

F1025/22 NOTAMN
Q) YMMM/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/3838S10104E250
A) YMMM
B) 2204260300 C) 2204300700
D) DAILY 0300/0700
E) CHINESE AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES WILL TAKE PLACE
FLW RECEIVED FROM CIVIL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION OF CHINA:
DUE TO AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES, THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF AIRCRAFT IN
THE FOLLOWING AREA MAY BE AFFECTED:
S3949E10005
S3715E10111
S3728E10202
S4003E10059
FOUR POINT CONNECTION RANGE.
F) SFC G) UNL

[mikezang]

Base on CZ-11 on March 30 from Jiuquan, I think this might be launched from South China sea not East China sea， the Latitude might be near the Wenchang, about N19.60.

[Liss]

Well, I've got latitude of launch site at 35 N, just near Qingdao.

[mikezang]

Well, I've got latitude of launch site at 35 N, just near Qingdao.

If my guess is right, this will be launched from Tairui, the speed will be about 4 knots, so there is no enough time from Haiyang port to South China sea, it is about 1000 Nautical mile, at the moment it is not yet moved. But how do you explain about 300 km from launch spot to 1st stage for CZ-11?
If site is 35N, there will be Yellow Sea not East China Sea.
By the way, if B0980/22 is 2nd Stage and F1025/22 is 3rd Stage, that might be possible launched from Yellow/East China Sea.

[Liss]

If the selected LTDN is indeed 11:20, I'd expect launch at essentially the same time, 11:22 Beijing time to be precise.

[mikezang]

https://weibo.com/6884222611/Lpjth4rEM

The first batch of four stars in the six-star launch of the "Daoda Sky" Taoda constellation series satellites; Tianjixing, Tianwenxing, Tianyaoxing, and Tianchoxing are ready to launch in April 2022!
Follow-up there are Tianluoxing, Tianxinxing two stars.

Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D4 （Tianji） （吉林一号高分03D04（天机星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D5 （Tianwen） （吉林一号高分03D05（天问星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D6 （Tianyao） （吉林一号高分03D06（天钥星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D7 （Tiancho） （吉林一号高分03D07（天筹星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D8 （Tianluo）（吉林一号高分03D09（天罗星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-3D9  （Tianxin）（吉林一号高分03D09（天芯星））
Jilin-1 Gaofen-4A（吉林一号高分04A（安溪铁观音二号））

[Galactic Penguin SST]

Launch will be on April 27 03:19 - 04:34 UTC, it looks like the launch point will be at 32° 11' N, 123° 48' E, not far from the mouth of Yangtze River.

A0872/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3211N12348E011
A) ZSHA B) 2204270319 C) 2204270434
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N3211E12348
WITH RADIUS OF 20KM. VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

A0873/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2908N12240E016
A) ZSHA B) 2204270325 C) 2204270437
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED,THE UNBURNED DEBRIS IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE N2909E12241,THE POSSIBLE FALLING AREA WILL
NOT EXCEED THE RANGE WITHIN THE
N2858E12227-N2924E12236-N2919E12254-N2854E12245,FOUR POINT
CONNECTION RANGE. VERTICAL ALTITUDE:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

[mikezang]

Launch will be on April 27 03:19 - 04:34 UTC, it looks like the launch point will be at 32° 11' N, 123° 48' E, not far from the mouth of Yangtze River.

A0872/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3211N12348E011
A) ZSHA B) 2204270319 C) 2204270434
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N3211E12348
WITH RADIUS OF 20KM. VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

A0873/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2908N12240E016
A) ZSHA B) 2204270325 C) 2204270437
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED,THE UNBURNED DEBRIS IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE N2909E12241,THE POSSIBLE FALLING AREA WILL
NOT EXCEED THE RANGE WITHIN THE
N2858E12227-N2924E12236-N2919E12254-N2854E12245,FOUR POINT
CONNECTION RANGE. VERTICAL ALTITUDE:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

[mikezang]

SOUTH  YELLOW SEA TO EAST CHINA SEA,  TUG  BEIHAIJIU119  TOWING  BARGE  TAIRUI,   FROM  250000UTC  APR  TO 051600UTC  MAY,    LENGTH  OVERALL  610  METERS, SPEED  4 KNOTS,  VIA:
A：36-37.8N/121-13.2E；
B：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
C：32-11.1N/123-48.0E；
D：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
E：36-32.0N/121-16.0E.
WIDE  BERTH  REQUESTED.
SHANDONG MSA CHINA.

Tai rui will ship CZ-11 H3 from Haiyang to launch spot on East China Sea.

[mikezang]

SOUTH  YELLOW SEA TO EAST CHINA SEA,  TUG  BEIHAIJIU119  TOWING  BARGE  TAIRUI,   FROM  250000UTC  APR  TO 051600UTC  MAY,    LENGTH  OVERALL  610  METERS, SPEED  4 KNOTS,  VIA:
A：36-37.8N/121-13.2E；
B：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
C：32-11.1N/123-48.0E；
D：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
E：36-32.0N/121-16.0E.
WIDE  BERTH  REQUESTED.
SHANDONG MSA CHINA.

Tai rui will ship CZ-11 H3 from Haiyang to launch spot on East China Sea.

The distant from A to C is about 290 nautical mile, so it will spent 280/4=72 hours, so April 25 8:00 + 72 hours will be April 28 8:00, CZ-11 H3 can not be launched in scheduled date (April 27 11:26), may I make sense?

[input~2]

SOUTH  YELLOW SEA TO EAST CHINA SEA,  TUG  BEIHAIJIU119  TOWING  BARGE  TAIRUI,   FROM  250000UTC  APR  TO 051600UTC  MAY,    LENGTH  OVERALL  610  METERS, SPEED  4 KNOTS,  VIA:
A：36-37.8N/121-13.2E；
B：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
C：32-11.1N/123-48.0E；
D：36-12.0N/121-20.0E；
E：36-32.0N/121-16.0E.
WIDE  BERTH  REQUESTED.
SHANDONG MSA CHINA.

Tai rui will ship CZ-11 H3 from Haiyang to launch spot on East China Sea.

Here is the route

[mikezang]

The Tai Rui has started to move to East China Sea for CZ-11 launching.

[mikezang]

A0894/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3211N12348E011
A) ZSHA B) 2204290319 C) 2204290434
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N3211E12348
WITH RADIUS OF 20KM. VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

A0896/22 NOTAMN
Q) ZSHA/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2908N12240E016
A) ZSHA B) 2204290320 C) 2204290437
E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED,THE UNBURNED DEBRIS IS
EXPECTED TO FALL IN THE N2909E12241,THE POSSIBLE FALLING AREA WILL
NOT EXCEED THE RANGE WITHIN THE
N2858E12227-N2924E12236-N2919E12254-N2854E12245,FOUR POINT
CONNECTION RANGE. VERTICAL ALTITUDE:SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL

Delayed!

[mikezang]

F1150/22 NOTAMN
Q) YMMM/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/3838S10104E250
A) YMMM
B) 2204290332 C) 2204290501
E) CHINESE AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES WILL TAKE PLACE
FLW RECEIVED FROM CIVIL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION OF CHINA:
DUE TO AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES, THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF THE AIRCRAFT
IN THE FOLLOWING AREA MAY BE AFFECTED:
S3955E10001
S3722E10109
S3736E10200
S4009E10054
FOUR POINT CONNECTION RANGE
F) SFC G) UNL

[input~2]

BEI HAI JIU 119 departed from FENGCHENG, CN on 2022-04-25 09:47 LT  (UTC +8)

[input~2]

SH6/22 EAST CHINA SEA MILITARY EXERCISES FROM 270800UTC APR. TO 011600UTC MAY. ENTERING PROHIBITED WITHIN 3 MILES RADIUS OF 32-11.10N 123-47.94E
SHANGHAI MSA CHINA

[Bean Kenobi]

Was...

F1150/22 NOTAMN
E) CHINESE AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES WILL TAKE PLACE
FLW RECEIVED FROM CIVIL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION OF CHINA:
DUE TO AEROSPACE FLIGHT ACTIVITIES, THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF THE AIRCRAFT
IN THE FOLLOWING AREA MAY BE AFFECTED:
F) SFC G) UNL

Became...

SH6/22 EAST CHINA SEA MILITARY EXERCISES FROM 270800UTC APR. TO 011600UTC MAY. ENTERING PROHIBITED WITHIN 3 MILES RADIUS OF 32-11.10N 123-47.94E
SHANGHAI MSA CHINA

 

(Bolds are mine.)