Quote from: JayWee on 07/09/2022 12:56 pmI've tried to fiddle with Google Earth to get similar view as in the SuperHeavy catch profile and it looks like it's going to stage around 150km downrange. Isn't that very very early? A partial fuel load? From the picture, I personally estimate a stagging downrange to be around 60 km and a maximum RTLS downrange less than 150 km. This is quite a bit more than for the Falcon 9, which usually has a RTLS stagging downrange around 40 km and a maximum RTLS downrange around 80 km (according to my own simulations and according to https://flightclub.io/ simulations).
I've tried to fiddle with Google Earth to get similar view as in the SuperHeavy catch profile and it looks like it's going to stage around 150km downrange. Isn't that very very early? A partial fuel load?
SpaceX filed an extension for the Starship first launch (the previous permit expires Sept. 1).1230-EX-ST-2022
“We are so close” here’s my (unofficial) infographic detailing what to expect from the 1st flight of @SpaceX’s fully stacked #starship. Stay up-to-date with changes I may need to make as we approach the imminent launch. Thanks to @LunarCaveman for helping me fine tune the details
Nice work, Tony! Spotted a minor typo: Paragraph labelled "Boostback burn" has the Booster peaking at over 20km. Should that be 200?
Quote from: darkenfast on 08/16/2022 12:50 amNice work, Tony! Spotted a minor typo: Paragraph labelled "Boostback burn" has the Booster peaking at over 20km. Should that be 200?20km is certainly too low, but 200km seems too high, at least compared to what we've seen with Falcon 9 boosters.Have we ever seen any numbers on the subject from SpaceX?We do have a 3D booster trajectory on pg. 3 of this FCC exhibit. Perhaps it would be possible to recreate the Google Earth angle and magnification and extract something from that plot.
twitter.com/yasin_shafiei/status/1572562946387218438QuoteHi Elon. Can you please give us some updates about orbital flight date? I can’t wait to see this launch 😀https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1572563987258290177QuoteLate next month maybe, but November seems highly likely. We will have two boosters & ships ready for orbital flight by then, with full stack production at roughly one every two months.
Hi Elon. Can you please give us some updates about orbital flight date? I can’t wait to see this launch 😀
Late next month maybe, but November seems highly likely. We will have two boosters & ships ready for orbital flight by then, with full stack production at roughly one every two months.
twitter.com/bnordhaug/status/1572564338577379328QuoteSo booster 7 will be first to fly? (hopefully)https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1572564908381999105QuoteThat’s the plan. We’re taking a little risk there, as engine isolation was done as retrofit, so not as good as on Booster 9.
So booster 7 will be first to fly? (hopefully)
That’s the plan. We’re taking a little risk there, as engine isolation was done as retrofit, so not as good as on Booster 9.
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1587100031999676416QuoteRight now the schedule would lead to "an early December" launch of Starship and Super Heavy. NASA's Mark Kirasich said he does not believe SpaceX will attempt to recover the Super Heavy first stage on that test flight.
Right now the schedule would lead to "an early December" launch of Starship and Super Heavy. NASA's Mark Kirasich said he does not believe SpaceX will attempt to recover the Super Heavy first stage on that test flight.
I think December is pretty ambitious.
Based on a couple of conversations, I think SpaceX has a reasonable chance of making Starship's orbital launch during the first quarter of 2023. No guarantees, and there still is a lot of work to do. But they're making progress.
One thing I would note: SpaceX has moved on the from the "cowboy" phase of development in South Texas, when there was a higher tolerance of risk and failure during Starship prototype testing. With the expensive launch tower, they taking more time to increase chances of success.
Well that and the simple fact that the upcoming orbital flight had better be a success. They are taking the extra time to assure themselves of probable success. The last little bits take time anyway.
If they can clear the pad on that first launch, and get it out over the water, then I think they'll declare victory. Everything else will be gravy after that.
Starship orbital launch will slip into 2023. SpaceX has not said anything official, but based on a couple of conversations, I think SpaceX has a reasonable chance of making Starship's orbital launch during the first quarter of 2023. There are no guarantees, and there still is a lot of work to do. But the company is making progress. I can say for certain that an orbital launch attempt this year is off the table.Protect the tower, please ... Another thing I would note is that SpaceX has moved on from the "cowboy" phase of rocketry development in South Texas, when there was a higher tolerance of risk and failure during Starship prototype testing in 2021. This means the company is moving more slowly and deliberately. With the expensive launch tower, in particular, it is taking more time to increase its chances of success with the first launch of the Super Heavy booster and its Starship upper stage.
latest NET date for Starship appears to be January 20.2044-EX-ST-2022
We have a real shot at late February. March launch attempt appears highly likely.
Cross-post:Quote from: gongora on 12/15/2022 01:04 amlatest NET date for Starship appears to be January 20.2044-EX-ST-2022
