Author Topic: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece  (Read 12428 times)

Online catdlr

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The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece[/b


ritm 1
Posted:  Oct 2020

Quote
What Elon did was very different. He didn’t just throw some play money in. He put in his heart, his soul and his mind.
Elon Musk founded SpaceX under the belief that "a future where humanity is out exploring the stars is fundamentally more exciting than one where we are not." The company was founded in 2002, with the ultimate goal of enabling human life on Mars. Musk envisions a future where humans live in a spacefaring civilization, frequent voyages from Earth to Mars and vice-versa.
0:00​ Introduction
0:41​ SpaceX presentation
1:58​ How SpaceX was founded
3:03​ SpaceX history and difficulties 2002- 2008
7:19​ Falcon 9 Rocket development and first stage landing of an orbital rocket
9:16​ Falcon Heavy launch
11:09​ Commercial crew program presentation
11:52​ Demonstration 1 mission (DM1) uncrewed mission
20:13​ In-flight abort test uncrewed mission
25:11​ Demonstration 2 mission (DM2) crewed mission
31:14​ Outro The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece

It's Tony De La Rosa, ...I don't create this stuff, I just report it.

Offline daver

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #1 on: 05/16/2021 11:32 am »
I really enjoyed this video.   Watched most of it happen here, live on NSF.
I'm ready for the Starship, Moon, and Mars chapters. 


Offline su27k

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #2 on: 02/16/2023 04:12 am »
https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1625172068558946305

Quote from: Eric Berger
The experiences of US launch entrepreneurs George Koopman and Andrew Beal really underline that SpaceX’s success was far from certain and, in fact, highly improbable.


Quote from: Andrew Higgins
Gave my lecture on rocket engine cycles today. I love starting with: “A brash young millionaire with a penchant for sports cars decides to overturn the space launch industry by developing a FedEx-like, low-cost and reliable space launch service. Who am I talking about?”



The class answers: “Elon!”
“Wrong! George Koopman.”
[blank stares]
https://www.gettyimages.co.uk/detail/news-photo/american-rocket-company-engineer-george-koopman-in-rocket-news-photo/685183913



Later in the same lecture: “Finally, someone with deep pockets enters the scene: A highly successful investor and self-taught mathematical genius decides to build a line of giant rockets in Texas to launch their own fleet of communication satellites. Who am I talking about?”



The class answers: “Elon!”
“Wrong! Andrew Beal.”
[more blank stares]
https://newspaceglobal.com/wp-content/uploads/files/images/volume_24/andrew-beal.jpg



What I really enjoyed about @SciGuySpace's “Liftoff" and @Lori_Garver's “Escaping Gravity” is their coverage of this largely forgotten history. It isn’t that Space-X did something that no one had tried, it is that they kept trying and succeeded where so many others had failed…



…and to some extend succeeded by using the DNA from those earlier efforts, which both Berger and Garver acknowledge.

Online M.E.T.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #3 on: 02/16/2023 06:30 am »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

I think that is a justifiable statement.

Offline laszlo

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #4 on: 02/16/2023 11:31 am »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger

Online M.E.T.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #5 on: 02/16/2023 12:25 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger

Sure, dude.

To quote:

The Dunning–Kruger effect is usually explained in terms of metacognitive abilities. This approach is based on the idea that poor performers have not yet acquired the ability to distinguish between good and bad performances. They tend to overrate themselves because they do not see the qualitative difference between their performances and the performances of others.”

Yep. That sounds about right for the guy who built SpaceX and Tesla on a platform of unmatched innovation and a famously extreme standard for performance and ability🙄.
« Last Edit: 02/16/2023 12:29 pm by M.E.T. »

Offline rpapo

In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger

Sure, dude.

To quote:

The Dunning–Kruger effect is usually explained in terms of metacognitive abilities. This approach is based on the idea that poor performers have not yet acquired the ability to distinguish between good and bad performances. They tend to overrate themselves because they do not see the qualitative difference between their performances and the performances of others.”

Yep. That sounds about right for the guy who built SpaceX and Tesla on a platform of unmatched innovation and a famously extreme standard for performance and ability🙄.

There may be bit of that going on here, but on a different scale from us more-or-less normal people.  Whether or not he really knows more about space technology than anyone else on the planet at this point in time, he certainly stands way up there.  But just like anyone at that level of intellectual achievement, especially in technical things, he has problems in dealing with non-technical issues.  Something he has freely admitted (reference the Saturday Night Live episode).
Following the space program since before Apollo 8.

Offline eeergo

In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger

Sure, dude.

To quote:

The Dunning–Kruger effect is usually explained in terms of metacognitive abilities. This approach is based on the idea that poor performers have not yet acquired the ability to distinguish between good and bad performances. They tend to overrate themselves because they do not see the qualitative difference between their performances and the performances of others.”

Yep. That sounds about right for the guy who built SpaceX and Tesla on a platform of unmatched innovation and a famously extreme standard for performance and ability🙄.

Maybe, just maybe, the guy has a good/outstanding ability to focus on enterprises that he manages by force of will and promotion to attract the best talents to - who then proceed to provide most/some/all of the tangible results you mention. That doesn't preclude he just maybe might not hold all that knowledge about "space technology" himself, just as he probably doesn't hold the title of "knowing the most about automotive technology on Earth" in spite of having been involved with it for longer.

There's another person that boldly and publicly proclaims to know more than anybody on Earth about a few things he's alledgedly been involved with, although perhaps in a less literal way than Musk intended above:

https://www.axios.com/2019/01/05/everything-trump-says-he-knows-more-about-than-anybody

On the other hand, certain nobodies like Socrates or Einstein, to name a few, have a somewhat more humble approach to knowledge.
[...]like anyone at that level of intellectual achievement, especially in technical things, he has problems in dealing with non-technical issues.
Well, and arguably technical too (insert here example of many misstatements, from covid to actual rocket science concepts)
« Last Edit: 02/16/2023 01:23 pm by eeergo »
-DaviD-

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #8 on: 02/16/2023 01:32 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger

Sure, dude.

To quote:

The Dunning–Kruger effect is usually explained in terms of metacognitive abilities. This approach is based on the idea that poor performers have not yet acquired the ability to distinguish between good and bad performances. They tend to overrate themselves because they do not see the qualitative difference between their performances and the performances of others.”

Yep. That sounds about right for the guy who built SpaceX and Tesla on a platform of unmatched innovation and a famously extreme standard for performance and ability🙄.

Maybe, just maybe, the guy has a good/outstanding ability to focus on enterprises that he manages by force of will and promotion to attract the best talents to - who then proceed to provide most/some/all of the tangible results you mention. That doesn't preclude he just maybe might not hold all that knowledge about "space technology" himself, just as he probably doesn't hold the title of "knowing the most about automotive technology on Earth" in spite of having been involved with it for longer.

There's another person that boldly and publicly proclaims to know more than anybody on Earth about a few things he's alledgedly been involved with, although perhaps in a less literal way than Musk intended above:

https://www.axios.com/2019/01/05/everything-trump-says-he-knows-more-about-than-anybody

On the other hand, certain nobodies like Socrates or Einstein, to name a few, have a somewhat more humble approach to knowledge.
[...]like anyone at that level of intellectual achievement, especially in technical things, he has problems in dealing with non-technical issues.
Well, and arguably technical too (insert here example of many misstatements, from covid to actual rocket science concepts)

Not going to bother with a response.

Offline deadman1204

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #9 on: 02/16/2023 01:41 pm »
title makes me wanna vomit a little.
Musk is the CEO who runs the company. The engineers are the ones who actually made it.

Offline spacenut

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #10 on: 02/16/2023 02:14 pm »
Problem is Musk was deeply involved in developing Falcon 9 and Merlin.  Musk was also deeply involved in development of Raptor, Raptor 2 as well as Superheavy and Starship.  From what I understand, he actually designed the Raptor.  He also listens to his workers and then makes a decision. 

Give him credit where credit is due.  The man has worked 16 hours a day and lived in a 20' x 20' or 6m x 6m house at Boca Chica during the development stage of Raptor, Starship and Superheavy.  He has slept on the production floor of Tesla on a cot, while getting Tesla production up and running. 

No one works as hard as he does on something he is passionate about.  I know many of you here despise Musk, but you can't ignore what he has and is accomplishing. 

Where would we be today in space related activities if it wasn't for Musk?  Also, no one would be mass producing electric cars. 

Offline laszlo

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #11 on: 02/16/2023 03:29 pm »
Problem is Musk was deeply involved in developing Falcon 9 and Merlin.  Musk was also deeply involved in development of Raptor, Raptor 2 as well as Superheavy and Starship.  From what I understand, he actually designed the Raptor.  He also listens to his workers and then makes a decision. 

Give him credit where credit is due.  The man has worked 16 hours a day and lived in a 20' x 20' or 6m x 6m house at Boca Chica during the development stage of Raptor, Starship and Superheavy.  He has slept on the production floor of Tesla on a cot, while getting Tesla production up and running. 

No one works as hard as he does on something he is passionate about.  I know many of you here despise Musk, but you can't ignore what he has and is accomplishing. 

Where would we be today in space related activities if it wasn't for Musk?  Also, no one would be mass producing electric cars.

I don't despise him and I do give him credit, but a lot of other people deserve credit that he seems to be grabbing for himself. As a point of fact, the electric car, FFSC rocket engine and mostly reusable rocket all existed either before he was born or reached puberty. What he did was improve and market them more successfully than his predecessors.

As far as "No one works as hard as he does on something he is passionate about.", well that's just utter bilge. Everyone who is that passionate about something works just as hard or harder. Look at single parents working 3 jobs to feed their kids, soldiers on deployment protecting their nation, doctors in ERs trying to keep people alive during a pandemic. The list is endless. Musk's passion just happened to be Mars and electric cars.

BTW, the definition of Dunning-Kruger I was going with was the one from Psychology Today - "The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people wrongly overestimate their knowledge or ability in a specific area." which is totally consistent with "...he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time."

Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #12 on: 02/16/2023 03:40 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

I think that is a justifiable statement.
I assume the full quote is something like, “there’s probably no one who knows more about current limits of space tech than me, and I can tell you that none of these things is alien”
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #13 on: 02/16/2023 03:46 pm »
Problem is Musk was deeply involved in developing Falcon 9 and Merlin.  Musk was also deeply involved in development of Raptor, Raptor 2 as well as Superheavy and Starship.  From what I understand, he actually designed the Raptor.  He also listens to his workers and then makes a decision. 

Give him credit where credit is due.  The man has worked 16 hours a day and lived in a 20' x 20' or 6m x 6m house at Boca Chica during the development stage of Raptor, Starship and Superheavy.  He has slept on the production floor of Tesla on a cot, while getting Tesla production up and running. 

No one works as hard as he does on something he is passionate about.  I know many of you here despise Musk, but you can't ignore what he has and is accomplishing. 

Where would we be today in space related activities if it wasn't for Musk?  Also, no one would be mass producing electric cars.

I don't despise him and I do give him credit, but a lot of other people deserve credit that he seems to be grabbing for himself. As a point of fact, the electric car, FFSC rocket engine and mostly reusable rocket all existed either before he was born or reached puberty. What he did was improve and market them more successfully than his predecessors.

As far as "No one works as hard as he does on something he is passionate about.", well that's just utter bilge. Everyone who is that passionate about something works just as hard or harder. Look at single parents working 3 jobs to feed their kids, soldiers on deployment protecting their nation, doctors in ERs trying to keep people alive during a pandemic. The list is endless. Musk's passion just happened to be Mars and electric cars.

BTW, the definition of Dunning-Kruger I was going with was the one from Psychology Today - "The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people wrongly overestimate their knowledge or ability in a specific area." which is totally consistent with "...he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time."
there are a bunch of people who are sharper than Elon but who think Starship isn’t doable. I know one who told me barge landing isn’t possible.

I actually think the statement is defensible, if taken in its original context. SpaceX is at the cutting edge of space technology in multiple areas, and there isn’t anyone who has a higher insight into all of these technical areas at SpaceX than Elon, chief engineer of SpaceX. (Shotwell is co-leader of SpaceX, but focuses less on technical areas and more on business areas.)

This isn’t about “Elon invented FFSC” (which he did not), it’s just a fact that Elon is the chief engineer of the company that is most at the cutting edge of space technology.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #14 on: 02/16/2023 03:46 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger
Who knows more about current space technology than the chief engineer of SpaceX? Give an example. (Note we aren’t talking people who are smarter or better technically skilled… there are lots of people with higher IQ than Elon. This is about knowledge of current space tech.)
« Last Edit: 02/16/2023 04:26 pm by Robotbeat »
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #15 on: 02/16/2023 04:27 pm »
I might know about as much. 😝

I think I can name a few other people who have similar knowledge level. (EDIT: I’d be tempted to say Robert Zubrin may be more knowledgeable, actually, but Elon likely has more intimate knowledge of things in the industry that are non-public, due to his role as CEO/Chief Engineer at SpaceX.)

(But knowledge doesn’t always translate into competence or good engineering judgement… And it certainly doesn’t have to translate into social intelligence, like knowing that a basically true statement like that is gonna get you cyberbulled…)

But if any of you want to challenge me to an Autist-off on space tech knowledge, it’d be a fun thing to livestream.
« Last Edit: 02/16/2023 07:14 pm by Robotbeat »
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline kevinof

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #16 on: 02/16/2023 04:48 pm »
I prefer to think of the team at SpaceX rather than focus on Musk. They have built up a hell of a team with huge domain knowledge and a can do attitude. Musk may have been the initiator and catalyst but it’s the team that’s pushing forward now.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #17 on: 02/16/2023 04:57 pm »
I prefer to think of the team at SpaceX rather than focus on Musk. They have built up a hell of a team with huge domain knowledge and a can do attitude. Musk may have been the initiator and catalyst but it’s the team that’s pushing forward now.
Sure, but He’s still the chief engineer and keeps intimate knowledge of the frontier of space tech they’re pushing. The context of this is also just overall space tech knowledge (in context of whether there are alien UFOs), not who “deserves credit.”

(And Elon wasn’t that knowledgeable about these things when he started SpaceX… he made a bunch of rookie engineering mistakes.)
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline RedLineTrain

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #18 on: 02/16/2023 05:26 pm »
What is his level of knowledge relative to other chief engineers in the space industry?  For sure, SpaceX is handling a wide-ranging tech tree and its operations are unusually vertically integrated.
« Last Edit: 02/16/2023 06:06 pm by RedLineTrain »

Offline matthewkantar

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #19 on: 02/16/2023 08:56 pm »
People who live in Dunning–Kruger glass houses shouldn’t throw Dunning–Kruger stones. 🤪

Offline spacenut

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #20 on: 02/16/2023 09:33 pm »
There is a huge difference in working hard or long hours because you have to than if you do it for your passion.   

Offline deadman1204

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #21 on: 02/17/2023 01:57 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger
Who knows more about current space technology than the chief engineer of SpaceX? Give an example. (Note we aren’t talking people who are smarter or better technically skilled… there are lots of people with higher IQ than Elon. This is about knowledge of current space tech.)
I'm gonna go with the legion of actual engineers who design and run the stuff. Not the CEO who has spent the last 5 months tanking twitter, and somehow also runs Tesla too? The very idea that he can waltz into a meating and know what it took other 10-20 years of study and experience to learn is ludicrous.

Don't forget, "cheif engineer" is a bs title given to placate the guy who fires people when they disagree with him (well documented, it happened again just last week). Show me his phd in:
1. metalurgy
2. orbital mechanics
3. electrical engineering
4. mechanical engineering
5. Aerospace engineering
Or his lifetime of practice using these skills and learning. He has none of these, because he doesn't NEED them (and its also not possible). His job is to direct the company.
He sounds knowledgable because like EVERY CEO, he has people to coach him on what to say. This is an open secret in business, lots of people do it.
« Last Edit: 02/17/2023 02:01 pm by deadman1204 »

Offline RedLineTrain

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #22 on: 02/17/2023 02:18 pm »
He sounds knowledgable because like EVERY CEO, he has people to coach him on what to say.

Unsubstantiated.

Offline steveleach

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #23 on: 02/17/2023 02:45 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger
Who knows more about current space technology than the chief engineer of SpaceX? Give an example. (Note we aren’t talking people who are smarter or better technically skilled… there are lots of people with higher IQ than Elon. This is about knowledge of current space tech.)
I'm gonna go with the legion of actual engineers who design and run the stuff. Not the CEO who has spent the last 5 months tanking twitter, and somehow also runs Tesla too? The very idea that he can waltz into a meating and know what it took other 10-20 years of study and experience to learn is ludicrous.

Don't forget, "cheif engineer" is a bs title given to placate the guy who fires people when they disagree with him (well documented, it happened again just last week). Show me his phd in:
1. metalurgy
2. orbital mechanics
3. electrical engineering
4. mechanical engineering
5. Aerospace engineering
Or his lifetime of practice using these skills and learning. He has none of these, because he doesn't NEED them (and its also not possible). His job is to direct the company.
He sounds knowledgable because like EVERY CEO, he has people to coach him on what to say. This is an open secret in business, lots of people do it.
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

And let's not get into whether you need a PhD in something to be an expert. Academic qualifications are one way to demonstrate deep knowledge, but by no means the only one. And he does have a lifetime (at least career-wise) of learning and practice, of course.

Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #24 on: 02/17/2023 02:57 pm »
Peter Beck didn’t even go to college, but he’s a very competent and knowledgeable engineering leader.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Online greybeardengineer

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #25 on: 02/17/2023 05:37 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger
Who knows more about current space technology than the chief engineer of SpaceX? Give an example. (Note we aren’t talking people who are smarter or better technically skilled… there are lots of people with higher IQ than Elon. This is about knowledge of current space tech.)
I'm gonna go with the legion of actual engineers who design and run the stuff. Not the CEO who has spent the last 5 months tanking twitter, and somehow also runs Tesla too? The very idea that he can waltz into a meating and know what it took other 10-20 years of study and experience to learn is ludicrous.

Don't forget, "cheif engineer" is a bs title given to placate the guy who fires people when they disagree with him (well documented, it happened again just last week). Show me his phd in:
1. metalurgy
2. orbital mechanics
3. electrical engineering
4. mechanical engineering
5. Aerospace engineering
Or his lifetime of practice using these skills and learning. He has none of these, because he doesn't NEED them (and its also not possible). His job is to direct the company.
He sounds knowledgable because like EVERY CEO, he has people to coach him on what to say. This is an open secret in business, lots of people do it.

Throughout my career very, very few of the engineers I have worked with had a PhD and a small minority had a MSc like myself. A PhD is a strong sign someone is interested primarily in pursuing an academic career rather than work in industry at the forefront of innovation. Some of the best engineers I worked with didn't have engineering degrees but backgrounds in physics (like Elon Musk) or math.

Offline TrevorMonty

Both Tory and Peter are aerospace engineers who have actually physically built rockets and also managed the development of them.

Between Tory's LM and ULA careers would have very good knowledge of space systems a lot of which are highly classified.

Offline TrevorMonty





Where would we be today in space related activities if it wasn't for Musk?  Also, no one would be mass producing electric cars.

Electric car industry was going to happen with or without Tesla but it has help shorten timeline. 
Nissan Leaf has been production since 2010 well before Tesla S and was lot more affordable.


Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #28 on: 02/17/2023 06:12 pm »
Both Tory and Peter are aerospace engineers who have actually physically built rockets and also managed the development of them.

Between Tory's LM and ULA careers would have very good knowledge of space systems a lot of which are highly classified.
Tory’s non-launch knowledge is relatively out of date, and ULA is prohibited from making satellites and they don’t make their own engines.

You can make a much better case for Peter Beck, as RocketLab is vertically integrated like SpaceX (they make their own engines from scratch) and also makes a bunch of satellites.
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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #29 on: 02/17/2023 06:19 pm »




Where would we be today in space related activities if it wasn't for Musk?  Also, no one would be mass producing electric cars.

Electric car industry was going to happen with or without Tesla but it has help shorten timeline. 
Nissan Leaf has been production since 2010 well before Tesla S and was lot more affordable.
I own both a Nissan Leaf and a Model S, both first generation from 2013 (that I bought used). Electric cars sucked, and were a huge compromise over conventional cars before Tesla (which got started with the Roadster… although it was Straubel, who Elon brought with him, who was the technical genius there, even though Elon was starting grad school to study supercapacitor energy storage before he quit to be an entrepreneur). It was not at all a given at the time that EVs would’ve mainstreamed. But yeah, that was Straubel (who Elon had already started collaborating with) in the early days who was the greatest technical person, not Musk and certainly not the other two co-founders.

The Volt was explicitly developed after the Tesla Roadster showed what was possible with electric cars. Wouldn’t be surprised if that applied to the Leaf, too, even though it’s much less impressive than the Volt.
« Last Edit: 02/17/2023 06:26 pm by Robotbeat »
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #30 on: 02/17/2023 06:46 pm »
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

And let's not get into whether you need a PhD in something to be an expert. Academic qualifications are one way to demonstrate deep knowledge, but by no means the only one. And he does have a lifetime (at least career-wise) of learning and practice, of course.
The same question could be asked of any CEO at a tech company.

The key questions of a successsful CEO are a)Can they understand the problem b)Can they understand the options for solving it c)Can they make a decision on how to solve that problem quickly?

Musk has demonstrated that he can do these things.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #31 on: 02/17/2023 07:32 pm »
In my view, Elon is exceptionally good at spotting when ‘received/conventional wisdom’ is wrong. This is result, I believe of Elon knowing his physics.
You couldn’t possibly land a first stage without having a pathetic payload, a battery powered car would have no range. And so on.
I was certainly convinced of the impracticality of landing a booster usefully.
It takes imagination and courage to see when accepted wisdom is wrong, or incomplete.
Sure, Tom Mueller and others then provided data to prove what’s possible vs what is accepted, but for SpaceX Elon put up $100m, and came close to bankruptcy.
That took some balls.

« Last Edit: 02/17/2023 07:33 pm by nicp »
For Vectron!

Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #32 on: 02/17/2023 07:54 pm »
The interesting thing is that Blue Origin was pursuing VTVL before SpaceX was, and SpaceX was pursuing parachutes, still. But Elon was willing to change his mind when he saw a much better approach succeeding (by Masten Space Systems) while parachutes were failing for Falcon 1/9. Blue probably would’ve executed faster if Bezos were more intimately involved from the early days.
« Last Edit: 02/17/2023 08:09 pm by Robotbeat »
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Offline Lar

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #33 on: 02/17/2023 08:40 pm »
Let's make sure we keep this thread useful and collegial. Some of the back and forth was at best marginal on those two metrics.

Thanks!
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Online greybeardengineer

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #34 on: 02/17/2023 11:00 pm »
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

This type of CEO is extremely rare but Elon is not unique. The CEO of my last employer before retirement was one of the first dozen employees of the company (Now >$1B/yr and hundreds of employees around the world) and the design engineer of the first hit product that put the company on the map and made lots of money. He has been management/CEO for more than two decades but is intimately involved in knowing what is going on in design development and debugging. He will often show in the lab and make very useful suggestions when the designers get stuck in debugging or finding work arounds. He occasionally imposed specific odd little choices/features in early new product architectural design that turn out later to be bacon savers. When he asked you something about what you're working on, even though you were the authority on it, you would never even consider trying BS or deflection away from issues, the guy would see through to the heart of the matter anyway. You would never want to anyway, he is still one of us. Funny thing he is actually a very good CEO too.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #35 on: 02/18/2023 12:12 am »
The interesting thing is that Blue Origin was pursuing VTVL before SpaceX was, and SpaceX was pursuing parachutes, still. But Elon was willing to change his mind when he saw a much better approach succeeding (by Masten Space Systems) while parachutes were failing for Falcon 1/9. Blue probably would’ve executed faster if Bezos were more intimately involved from the early days.
Blue Origin with Bezos at the helm

Offline meekGee

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #36 on: 02/18/2023 12:31 am »
The interesting thing is that Blue Origin was pursuing VTVL before SpaceX was, and SpaceX was pursuing parachutes, still. But Elon was willing to change his mind when he saw a much better approach succeeding (by Masten Space Systems) while parachutes were failing for Falcon 1/9. Blue probably would’ve executed faster if Bezos were more intimately involved from the early days.
Blue Origin with Bezos at the helm
I'm guessing this post is in response to Lars'?

And, who's who in the drawing?

Lol.

SLP.  (Short Lived Post)
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Offline TrevorMonty

I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

This type of CEO is extremely rare but Elon is not unique. The CEO of my last employer before retirement was one of the first dozen employees of the company (Now >$1B/yr and hundreds of employees around the world) and the design engineer of the first hit product that put the company on the map and made lots of money. He has been management/CEO for more than two decades but is intimately involved in knowing what is going on in design development and debugging. He will often show in the lab and make very useful suggestions when the designers get stuck in debugging or finding work arounds. He occasionally imposed specific odd little choices/features in early new product architectural design that turn out later to be bacon savers. When he asked you something about what you're working on, even though you were the authority on it, you would never even consider trying BS or deflection away from issues, the guy would see through to the heart of the matter anyway. You would never want to anyway, he is still one of us. Funny thing he is actually a very good CEO too.
One partner in my company was money man, start talking about technical and his eyes glazed over and left. Other partner was engineer, start talking technical and engineering stories would come out, had plenty of time for him. Unlike first who'd throw you under bus if there was money to be made.

Online M.E.T.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #38 on: 02/18/2023 09:52 am »
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

This type of CEO is extremely rare but Elon is not unique. The CEO of my last employer before retirement was one of the first dozen employees of the company (Now >$1B/yr and hundreds of employees around the world) and the design engineer of the first hit product that put the company on the map and made lots of money. He has been management/CEO for more than two decades but is intimately involved in knowing what is going on in design development and debugging. He will often show in the lab and make very useful suggestions when the designers get stuck in debugging or finding work arounds. He occasionally imposed specific odd little choices/features in early new product architectural design that turn out later to be bacon savers. When he asked you something about what you're working on, even though you were the authority on it, you would never even consider trying BS or deflection away from issues, the guy would see through to the heart of the matter anyway. You would never want to anyway, he is still one of us. Funny thing he is actually a very good CEO too.
One partner in my company was money man, start talking about technical and his eyes glazed over and left. Other partner was engineer, start talking technical and engineering stories would come out, had plenty of time for him. Unlike first who'd throw you under bus if there was money to be made.

But did the engineering guy understand the financial implications of his technical ideas? Surely a CEO that is a master of both fields is the Holy Grail. Which brings us nicely back to the person who is the topic of discussion.
« Last Edit: 02/18/2023 09:53 am by M.E.T. »

Offline steveleach

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #39 on: 02/18/2023 01:49 pm »
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

This type of CEO is extremely rare but Elon is not unique. The CEO of my last employer before retirement was one of the first dozen employees of the company (Now >$1B/yr and hundreds of employees around the world) and the design engineer of the first hit product that put the company on the map and made lots of money. He has been management/CEO for more than two decades but is intimately involved in knowing what is going on in design development and debugging. He will often show in the lab and make very useful suggestions when the designers get stuck in debugging or finding work arounds. He occasionally imposed specific odd little choices/features in early new product architectural design that turn out later to be bacon savers. When he asked you something about what you're working on, even though you were the authority on it, you would never even consider trying BS or deflection away from issues, the guy would see through to the heart of the matter anyway. You would never want to anyway, he is still one of us. Funny thing he is actually a very good CEO too.
One partner in my company was money man, start talking about technical and his eyes glazed over and left. Other partner was engineer, start talking technical and engineering stories would come out, had plenty of time for him. Unlike first who'd throw you under bus if there was money to be made.

But did the engineering guy understand the financial implications of his technical ideas? Surely a CEO that is a master of both fields is the Holy Grail. Which brings us nicely back to the person who is the topic of discussion.
Or maybe a technical CEO who finds that the market disruptions that their technical decisions result in often end up making them a huge amount of money, despite that not being the primary objective.

Offline deadman1204

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #40 on: 02/19/2023 01:43 pm »
In his interview with the World Government summit which was posted onto social media yesterday, Elon, in response to a question about UFO’s, said that he doesn’t think there is anyone on Earth who knows more about Space Technology than himself at this point in time.

Dunning–Kruger
Who knows more about current space technology than the chief engineer of SpaceX? Give an example. (Note we aren’t talking people who are smarter or better technically skilled… there are lots of people with higher IQ than Elon. This is about knowledge of current space tech.)
I'm gonna go with the legion of actual engineers who design and run the stuff. Not the CEO who has spent the last 5 months tanking twitter, and somehow also runs Tesla too? The very idea that he can waltz into a meating and know what it took other 10-20 years of study and experience to learn is ludicrous.

Don't forget, "cheif engineer" is a bs title given to placate the guy who fires people when they disagree with him (well documented, it happened again just last week). Show me his phd in:
1. metalurgy
2. orbital mechanics
3. electrical engineering
4. mechanical engineering
5. Aerospace engineering
Or his lifetime of practice using these skills and learning. He has none of these, because he doesn't NEED them (and its also not possible). His job is to direct the company.
He sounds knowledgable because like EVERY CEO, he has people to coach him on what to say. This is an open secret in business, lots of people do it.
I think you are probably misunderstanding what makes Elon Musk unique (and frustrating). He dives into the detail on all important decisions, and he is a very hands-on chief engineer. He is not like "every CEO", and has demonstrated that more times than I could list. He is an engineer first, and a CEO second.

And let's not get into whether you need a PhD in something to be an expert. Academic qualifications are one way to demonstrate deep knowledge, but by no means the only one. And he does have a lifetime (at least career-wise) of learning and practice, of course.
You think other people who run companies don't also dive into details and learn about stuff?

What makes spaceX unique is that they placed progress over fat paychecks.

What makes musk unique is that he has waged a very successful publicity campaign for years to convince so many people that a billionaire who mistreats everyone else is worthy of worship and somehow can do the work of thousands.  There is a reason his following is described with words like "cultish".
« Last Edit: 02/19/2023 01:44 pm by deadman1204 »

Online Robotbeat

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #41 on: 02/19/2023 02:16 pm »
You sound like someone who has never talked with folks who worked at SpaceX and believes all the made up crap Elon hate clubs on Twitter spread.

Also hilarious you think Elon is effective at publicity campaigns. The only reason he has had positive image is because the efforts he led have succeeded. He sucks at public speaking and before SpaceX and Tesla had objectively been successful, they were not taken seriously.

But seriously, we get tired of your relentless Musk hate campaign, here. Why not instead advocate for what you think is better, signal boost those groups that are doing better, in your opinion?
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline alugobi

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #42 on: 02/19/2023 04:18 pm »
Musk haters are cultish, too.

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Re: The Rise of SpaceX Elon Musk's Engineering Masterpiece
« Reply #43 on: 02/19/2023 04:23 pm »
And keep in mind this is a spaceflight *enthusiast* forum. We do and should err on the side of being enthusiastic about some spaceflight thing.

(Note that while critical analysis is good, it’s true that sometimes the SLS hate goes overboard… overly cynical attitudes about spaceflight in general shouldn’t be welcome here.)
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

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