Author Topic: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners  (Read 40525 times)

Offline rubicondsrv

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #80 on: 08/25/2022 01:04 pm »
https://twitter.com/BrendanCarrFCC/status/1562433655578193921

Quote
The FCC’s abrupt decision to reverse an $885 million infrastructure award to Elon Musk’s Starlink is concerning.

For one, the decision is without legal justification.

For another, it will leave rural Americans waiting on the wrong side of the digital divide.

My statement:


The thing is it will not impact starlink deployment at all, in fact the strongest argument against starlink subsidies is the network is getting built at the same rate with or without the money. 

that is not to say there might or might not be funny business involved in the decision, but to argue it will impact access to starlink is questionable at best.   
   

Offline neoforce

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #81 on: 08/25/2022 01:14 pm »



The thing is it will not impact starlink deployment at all, in fact the strongest argument against starlink subsidies is the network is getting built at the same rate with or without the money. 

that is not to say there might or might not be funny business involved in the decision, but to argue it will impact access to starlink is questionable at best.   
 

Agreed it won't impact starlink deployment.  And I don't know how RDOF works, but was any of the money set aside for low income folks to get subsidies, as in this program:  https://www.fcc.gov/acp  Or was the money 100% for infrastructure?

If the ACP program would have gotten this money for some folks to get discounts on starlink, this decision certainly impacts people. 

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #82 on: 08/25/2022 01:22 pm »
I wonder if there's any connection between the RDOF program and the Starlink/T-Mobile announcement?

In theory ductaping a Starlink dish with a 5G basestation would be an extremely effective and fast way to boost connectivity, much cheaper than fiber.

After kicking out Starlink from RDOF they're no longer competitors so maybe they're going to partner.

Offline rubicondsrv

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #83 on: 08/25/2022 03:00 pm »

Agreed it won't impact starlink deployment.  And I don't know how RDOF works, but was any of the money set aside for low income folks to get subsidies, as in this program:  https://www.fcc.gov/acp  Or was the money 100% for infrastructure?

If the ACP program would have gotten this money for some folks to get discounts on starlink, this decision certainly impacts people. 


in most of the areas covered cost subsidies is a minor consideration, the improvement from existing service is so great that even if large amounts of people cant afford the service it will be a huge improvement.

these are areas where the best case for improving service involves being close to an existing line and paying tens of thousands of dollars or more to the owner of that line to provide service to your house, if they are even willing to do anything.

they could charge $500 per month and still have large numbers of subscribers. 





Offline CT Space Guy

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #84 on: 08/25/2022 03:54 pm »
Cross posted
Perhaps SpaceX is not qualified in the same way that Tesla was not qualified to be at the White House for the EV summit back in August

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #85 on: 08/25/2022 11:05 pm »
The losers here is not SpaceX but the RDOF qualified subscribers who lost their priority position in the receiving of a terminal. An interesting side note is that there is not much of a terminal waiting list anymore but a bandwidth/bit-rate at a location waiting list.

As more sats and Gateways are added the data rates will improve. The current situation is a temporary occurrence that was caused by a terminal build rate that outstripped the sat launch rate last year and keeping SpaceX hopping in expanding the capabilities of the existing and installation of new Gateways. Eventually the subscriber rate increase related to the sat deployment rate will start to widen vs contracting.

Offline su27k

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #86 on: 09/12/2022 02:15 am »
https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1568352153026154504

Quote
Update: SpaceX filed a request to the FCC, asking to appeal the FCC's RDOF decision and saying the denial issued last month "is flawed as a matter of both law and policy."

https://fcc.gov/ecfs/filing/status/detail/confirmation/20220909251827409



SpaceX implying the FCC's turnaround on RDOF subsidies is an "improper attempt" under President Biden's administration "to undo" a decision made during former President Trump's administration, saying "it is hard not to see it" that way.

Offline launchwatcher

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Re: SpaceX is (not) one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #87 on: 12/13/2023 12:08 am »
Looks like the appeal was rejected:
Quote
FCC REAFFIRMS DECISION TO REJECT STARLINK APPLICATION
FOR NEARLY $900 MILLION IN SUBSIDIES

Applicant Failed to Meet Burden for Rural Digital Opportunity Fund

WASHINGTON, December 12, 2023—The Federal Communications Commission today
reaffirmed the Wireline Bureau’s prior decision to reject the long-form application of Starlink to
receive public support through the Rural Digital Opportunity Fund program, based on the
applicant’s failure to meet the program requirements.

...


https://www.fcc.gov/document/fcc-reaffirms-rejection-nearly-900-million-subsidy-starlink
Ruling (pdf) is here:
https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/FCC-23-105A1.pdf

« Last Edit: 12/13/2023 01:26 am by launchwatcher »

Online eeergo

Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #88 on: 12/13/2023 07:37 am »
Looks like the appeal was rejected:
Quote
FCC REAFFIRMS DECISION TO REJECT STARLINK APPLICATION
FOR NEARLY $900 MILLION IN SUBSIDIES

Applicant Failed to Meet Burden for Rural Digital Opportunity Fund

WASHINGTON, December 12, 2023—The Federal Communications Commission today
reaffirmed the Wireline Bureau’s prior decision to reject the long-form application of Starlink to
receive public support through the Rural Digital Opportunity Fund program, based on the
applicant’s failure to meet the program requirements.

...


https://www.fcc.gov/document/fcc-reaffirms-rejection-nearly-900-million-subsidy-starlink
Ruling (pdf) is here:
https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/FCC-23-105A1.pdf



Reasoning excerpt:

Quote
[Precedents]
Among other things, the Bureau asked Starlink to explain why its network performance was below the required minimum speeds of 100/20 Mbps [redacted + context note: A Public Notice announcing that Starlink was in default was released concurrently] After reviewing all of the information submitted by Starlink, the Bureau ultimately concluded that Starlink had not shown that it was reasonably capable of fulfilling RDOF’s requirements to deploy a network of the scope, scale, and size required to serve the 642,925 model locations in 35 states for which it was the winning bidder.
[Latest resolution]
the Bureau followed Commission guidance and correctly concluded that Starlink is not reasonably capable of offering the required high-speed, low-latency service throughout the areas where it won auction support [...] by approving Starlink’s short-form application, the Bureau concluded that, based on the high-level information required in the short-form application, Starlink was reasonably capable of offering, at some level, the required service in at least one relevant area in each of the states in which it was approved to bid [...] the long-form application review [instead] determined whether the applicant could provide that service “associated with its winning bids,” i.e., in each of the areas where it ultimately won support
The most recent available evidence showed that "Starlink performance had been declining for download speed, upload speed and jitter test performance". In other words, it was not only failing to meet the RDOF public interest obligations, but also trending further away from them. [...] Unlike fiber and other technologies currently in use, Starlink did not point to examples where its technology was providing service at the required level in the United States.
Starlink recorded a median download speed of 64.54 Mbps in Q3 2023, a marginal decline quarter-on-quarter, but still an increase over the 53.00 Mbps recorded in Q3 2022. Even if the performance had improved though, that would still not demonstrate an ability to meet RDOF's performance standards, and it also does not show how Starlink would meet its RDOF obligations to a significantly larger customer base.
-DaviD-

Online edzieba

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #89 on: 12/13/2023 09:40 am »
Short version:
- Funding required providing uplink and downlink speeds above a certain threshold.
- Starlink could provide these speeds, but only by limiting subscribers per cell - fixed bandwidth per satellite, fixed number of satellites visible per cell, subdivide too much and you drop below that threshold per subscriber.
- Starlink had the choice to either go for the funding and cap subscriber numbers within the US, or keep subscribers uncapped and lose out on funding due to not meeting speed requirements.
- Starlink chose not to cap subscribers, thus could not guarantee the minimum speeds required for fund eligibility.

Whether that was the right choice is up to Starlink's accountants (i.e. whether the funds lost out on are more or less than the subscription fees lost out on by capping subscribers until more satellites can be rolled out), but they can't have their cake and eat it when it comes to bandwidth-per-sat vs. bandwidth-per-subscriber.

Offline thespacecow

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #90 on: 12/13/2023 12:00 pm »
Short version:
- Funding required providing uplink and downlink speeds above a certain threshold.
- Starlink could provide these speeds, but only by limiting subscribers per cell - fixed bandwidth per satellite, fixed number of satellites visible per cell, subdivide too much and you drop below that threshold per subscriber.
- Starlink had the choice to either go for the funding and cap subscriber numbers within the US, or keep subscribers uncapped and lose out on funding due to not meeting speed requirements.
- Starlink chose not to cap subscribers, thus could not guarantee the minimum speeds required for fund eligibility.

Whether that was the right choice is up to Starlink's accountants (i.e. whether the funds lost out on are more or less than the subscription fees lost out on by capping subscribers until more satellites can be rolled out), but they can't have their cake and eat it when it comes to bandwidth-per-sat vs. bandwidth-per-subscriber.

Of course they can have their cake and eat it too, they just need to launch more satellites and increase the overall network capacity, which is what they're doing.

The latest ookla data is showing 79.04 Mbps in November, an substantial increase from the 64.54 Mbps in Q3 2023, and SpaceX is still two years away from the first milestone, where is the analysis to show they couldn't get to 100 Mbps in the next two years with the insane # of launches they're planning?

Offline ZachF

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #91 on: 12/13/2023 12:56 pm »
The primary objective of this program was never bringing broadband to rural areas, that was just a possible side effect of the real objective: spreading funds to politically connected special interests.
artist, so take opinions expressed above with a well-rendered grain of salt...
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Offline Nomadd

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #92 on: 12/13/2023 12:59 pm »
 In other words, the government requirements would have prevented people from getting service instead of helping them.
Those who danced were thought to be quite insane by those who couldn't hear the music.

Online edzieba

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #93 on: 12/13/2023 04:08 pm »
In other words, the government requirements would have prevented people from getting service instead of helping them.
Damned if you do, dammed if you don't. Set very low (100mbps down 30 mbps up IIRC) minimum service requirements, be accused of setting requirements too high, don't set minimum service requirements and be accused of GEO SATCOM/dialup/GSM providers receiving funds for doing little to nothing.

Sadly, regulatory capture means that proposing an actual solution (funding of last-mile link installation, and mandating Local Loop Unbundling) which would allow actual direct competition, would disrupt the current commercial monopoly model that US ISPs operate under, so is a non-starter without regulatory reform.
« Last Edit: 12/13/2023 04:32 pm by edzieba »

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #94 on: 12/13/2023 04:12 pm »
In other words, the government requirements would have prevented people from getting service instead of helping them.
Damned if you do, dammed if you don't. Set very low (100mbps down 30 mbps up IIRC) minimum service requirements, be accused of setting requirements too high, don't set minimum service requirements and be accused of GEO SATCOM/dialup/GSM providers receiving funds for doing little to nothing.

Sadly, regulatory capture means that proposing an actual solution (funding of last-mile link installation, and mandating Local Loop Unbundling) which would allow actual direct competition, would disrupt the current commercial monopoly model that US ISPs operate under, so is a non-starter without regulatory reform.
Yep. SpaceX's response will be to ultimately provide a better service for less money than even the subsidized providers. It'll just take a bit longer. Maybe two years?

Offline envy887

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #95 on: 12/14/2023 04:56 pm »
In other words, the government requirements would have prevented people from getting service instead of helping them.
Damned if you do, dammed if you don't. Set very low (100mbps down 30 mbps up IIRC) minimum service requirements, be accused of setting requirements too high, don't set minimum service requirements and be accused of GEO SATCOM/dialup/GSM providers receiving funds for doing little to nothing.

Sadly, regulatory capture means that proposing an actual solution (funding of last-mile link installation, and mandating Local Loop Unbundling) which would allow actual direct competition, would disrupt the current commercial monopoly model that US ISPs operate under, so is a non-starter without regulatory reform.

The requirements were 100/20, and that is not "very low" when you consider that the vast majority of the areas Starlink bid on have zero providers offering service meeting the old 25/3 FCC standard. Starlink, even if it isn't quite at 100/20 on average yet, is still a massive upgrade.

Offline matthewkantar

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #96 on: 12/14/2023 06:07 pm »
Favoring the perfect that has historically not come, over the good that is available right now screws the folks the program is supposedly trying to help. 

Online cpushack

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #97 on: 12/14/2023 07:21 pm »
In other words, the government requirements would have prevented people from getting service instead of helping them.
Damned if you do, dammed if you don't. Set very low (100mbps down 30 mbps up IIRC) minimum service requirements, be accused of setting requirements too high, don't set minimum service requirements and be accused of GEO SATCOM/dialup/GSM providers receiving funds for doing little to nothing.

Sadly, regulatory capture means that proposing an actual solution (funding of last-mile link installation, and mandating Local Loop Unbundling) which would allow actual direct competition, would disrupt the current commercial monopoly model that US ISPs operate under, so is a non-starter without regulatory reform.

The requirements were 100/20, and that is not "very low" when you consider that the vast majority of the areas Starlink bid on have zero providers offering service meeting the old 25/3 FCC standard. Starlink, even if it isn't quite at 100/20 on average yet, is still a massive upgrade.

And they had till 2025 to hit 100mb average, and are trending higher, yet the govt says they are trending lower (despite the data)

Offline r8ix

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #98 on: 12/14/2023 07:38 pm »
There is some question, based on recent court cases (primarily involving the SEC), that the FCC ruling on its own decision may, in fact, be unconstitutional. In the SEC cases, higher courts have ruled that internal judication is an illegal transfer of authority from the judicial branch to the executive branch. Something similar could, in principle, be in play here.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: SpaceX is one of the RDOF Auction Winners
« Reply #99 on: 12/14/2023 11:22 pm »
If the FCC is gonna hold them to that standard, they're also checking on the other RDOF participants and their adherence to said standard, right?

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