Author Topic: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane  (Read 65596 times)

Offline Ronsmytheiii

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Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« on: 11/30/2020 04:25 pm »
From Businessweek’s Mark Harris

https://twitter.com/meharris/status/1333451938189361160?s=21

Basic points:

Radian just closed $20 million series A
Developing rocket-sled launched SSTO five person spaceplane
Uses kerolox engines, have already conducted a firing near Seattle
Edit: Radian estimates cost per seat $5 million initially


Story is linked, but paywalled: https://www.businessinsider.com/space-startup-radian-seeks-funding-for-catapult-based-spaceplane-2020-11
« Last Edit: 12/01/2020 10:20 pm by gongora »

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #1 on: 11/30/2020 04:29 pm »
https://twitter.com/robotbeat/status/1333460655664472066

Quote
More info on Radian Aerospace (Gary Hudson of Rotary Rocket and DC-X is involved). The patent discussed in the article: patents.google.com/patent/US20200…

twitter.com/meharris/statu…

Patent attached

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #2 on: 11/30/2020 04:32 pm »
OK, kerolox SSTO rocket plane. Fuel ratio of 95%.

Was there some material science breakthrough? Can you build spaceships of hard light?

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #3 on: 11/30/2020 04:38 pm »
From Businessweek’s Mark Harris

twitter.com/meharris/status/1333451938189361160

Basic points:

Radian just closed $20 million series A
Developing catapult launched SSTO five person spaceplane
Uses kerolox engines, have already conducted a firing near Seattle

More points:

Radian Aerospace believes its so-far-unnamed spaceplane could reach orbit as soon as 2025
Radian hopes to be launching on a daily basis by 2031, serving commercial and government customers
"It will take about $450 million to get to our first flight."

Offline Ronsmytheiii

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #4 on: 11/30/2020 04:41 pm »
OK, kerolox SSTO rocket plane. Fuel ratio of 95%.

Was there some material science breakthrough? Can you build spaceships of hard light?

I mistakenly called it a catapult, but it is actually a "rocket sled" that is initiallly used to bring it up to speed before launch. so perhaps not a strict SSTO?

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #5 on: 11/30/2020 04:50 pm »
OK, kerolox SSTO rocket plane. Fuel ratio of 95%.

Was there some material science breakthrough? Can you build spaceships of hard light?

I mistakenly called it a catapult, but it is actually a "rocket sled" that is initiallly used to bring it up to speed before launch. so perhaps not a strict SSTO?

The sled brings it to plane take-off speed. So nothing, basically.

Offline Markstark

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #6 on: 11/30/2020 04:56 pm »
Hope they succeed!

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #7 on: 11/30/2020 05:17 pm »
Hope they succeed!

Well, they stand a better chance than Spinlaunch.

Offline freddo411

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #8 on: 11/30/2020 05:29 pm »
SSTO with Kero/LOX?   With wings and landing gear and a heat shield?

I will criticize others when they say something is impossible (because there are many things that are possible that haven't been built yet).    But I'm very, very confident when i say:

This is not going to happen.

Offline Craftyatom

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #9 on: 11/30/2020 05:55 pm »
Patent attached
A few notable details I gleaned from a quick skim through the patent:
The Launch Sled
-Acts as a TEL, with propellant feed lines and physical supports attached to the vehicle
-Has its own engines, which fire in addition to the vehicle's engines
-May feed propellant into the vehicle to replace that burned by the vehicle's engines during the takeoff run (quick disconnect before takeoff)
-May rotate the vehicle from an initial low-drag configuration to a nose-up takeoff configuration
-Has a braking system that can bring the whole vehicle to a halt in case of emergency (the takeoff run is one long engine checkout)
-Provides some initial velocity, but more importantly, reduces the demands on (and thus mass of) the landing gear, since the vehicle is only on its gear when its tanks are empty for landing
The Vehicle
-Designed for crew and low-mass cargo, "about 5-10000 pounds to LEO" (2.3-4.5 mT), claims the F9 is overpowered for these applications
-Fuel is JET-A, oxidizer is LOX
-Main engines have a "Tripped Area Ratio"/"Tripped Flow", which changes from about 33:1 to about 60:1 in-flight, allowing good sea-level and vacuum performance (no details on how exactly this would be implemented)
-Separate set of OMS engines above the main engines, potentially pressure-fed LOX/CNG gas-gas thrusters (I know who might be developing one of those)
-In addition to the shuttle's abort modes (ATO, AOA, Downrange, and RTLS), the entire cabin can detach and perform a powered abort (picture attached), using "bipropellant thrusters" and fuel tanks in the nose, plus chutes for recovery.  Intact abort modes would require venting fuel before landing due to the low-rated gear.
-Material selection hasn't been made yet, but short-lists composites, Aluminum, Titanium, and Stainless Steel.  Heat shield material also not selected yet, but TUFROC given as example.

Opinions: the sled QD will be a huge pain, the crew cabin will be overweight, and the materials really need to be narrowed down before the design solidifies.  That said, I think (without having modeled anything yet) that their mass to orbit numbers aren't impossible, as long as you consider the crew section (the nose of the plane and its abort systems) a part of that mass, and assume that their tripped flow engine works out.
« Last Edit: 11/30/2020 06:12 pm by Craftyatom »
All aboard the HSF hype train!  Choo Choo!

Offline ZChris13

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #10 on: 11/30/2020 06:09 pm »
"Tripped area ratio" sounds like a dual bell nozzle to me.

SSTO with Kero/LOX?   With wings and landing gear and a heat shield?

I will criticize others when they say something is impossible (because there are many things that are possible that haven't been built yet).    But I'm very, very confident when i say:

This is not going to happen.
It's easier to get higher mass ratios with denser propellants, at least this has a better chance of happening than any hydrogen SSTO.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #11 on: 11/30/2020 06:37 pm »
OK, kerolox SSTO rocket plane. Fuel ratio of 95%.

Was there some material science breakthrough? Can you build spaceships of hard light?

I mistakenly called it a catapult, but it is actually a "rocket sled" that is initiallly used to bring it up to speed before launch. so perhaps not a strict SSTO?

The sled brings it to plane take-off speed. So nothing, basically.

All time record for kerolox specific impulse: must be RD-0124, 362 seconds - in vaccuum.

All time record propellant mass fraction: 0.962 - Titan 2 stage 1. Expendable, zero payload without a second stage.

The margins are razor slim or non existing.

Hey, looks like our very own HMXHMX is part of this ! ;)
« Last Edit: 11/30/2020 06:40 pm by libra »

Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #12 on: 11/30/2020 06:50 pm »
They should pay royalties to the Gerry Anderson estate. This concept looks like the Fireball XL5 rocketship down to the rocket powered sled and capsule miniship that separates from the rest of the airframe.   :)

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #13 on: 11/30/2020 06:57 pm »
OK, kerolox SSTO rocket plane. Fuel ratio of 95%.

Was there some material science breakthrough? Can you build spaceships of hard light?

I mistakenly called it a catapult, but it is actually a "rocket sled" that is initiallly used to bring it up to speed before launch. so perhaps not a strict SSTO?
It's essentially the kerolox version of the Boeing RASV concept without a high pressure staged combustion LH2 engine and for many of the same reasons. 

That patent is the USPTO "Anything that is not patented is patentable (and let the lawyers sort it out)" approach so disliked by other countries. It could be this. It could be that. It could be the other. Blah blah. Vehicle has "stuff" on board which does "things."  Oh really. My mind is blown by the depth of such concepts.

Anyone who's read the RASV docs from NASA (they are here on another thread) will recognize the likenesses.

What baffles me is why they stayed with RP1.
Assisted SSTO (the technical term for this approach)  is so marginal why wouldn't you go for something better than RP1? Sure LH2 makes people twitchy but it's definitely no longer the only other game in town. You're already handling LOX, why not go Methane or better Propyne?
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Gliderflyer

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #14 on: 11/30/2020 07:13 pm »
Face-shutoff pintle with pure film cooling. Interesting choice given those are not known for their efficiency. Chamber shouldn't have much fatigue issues though.

https://patents.google.com/patent/WO2020010098A1/
I tried it at home

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #15 on: 11/30/2020 07:18 pm »
All time record for kerolox specific impulse: must be RD-0124, 362 seconds - in vaccuum.

All time record propellant mass fraction: 0.962 - Titan 2 stage 1. Expendable, zero payload without a second stage.

The margins are razor slim or non existing.
And of course a winged vehicle will not get anywhere close to that.  Check the Virgin Global Challenger. That had a structural mass fraction of something like 25%.
Quote from: libra
Hey, looks like our very own HMXHMX is part of this ! ;)
Which suggests this might not be entirely hopeless.

RASV's takeoff speed was higher than Skylon's.  :o . While that's  about 2.25% of total orbital velocity (less depending on how much you add on for losses) it's the delta v that is the most expensive in fuel burn to get

Secondly it's already going at an angle, not vertically, which is the direction you want it in to lower ascent losses.

Thirdly those wings (despite their mass) absorb many of those ascent losses, "neutralizing" mass while allowing the engines to focus on accelerating the vehicle.

Is this enough to get the job done? IDK. But it'll be fun watching what happens.

You're right about the margins though. Although it's "not quite" SSTO the usual design rules apply. Every mass unit counts. The landing gear is a real biggie. Likewise the OMS/RCS/internal power (they are fluids. It is a vehicle. This does not make it an IVF system) can benefit from being combined in some ways. 
« Last Edit: 11/30/2020 07:25 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline matthewkantar

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #16 on: 11/30/2020 07:22 pm »
SSTO with Kero/LOX?   With wings and landing gear and a heat shield?

I will criticize others when they say something is impossible (because there are many things that are possible that haven't been built yet).    But I'm very, very confident when i say:

This is not going to happen.

My bold, PLUS a separable structural cabin that has engines, propellant and chutes!

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #17 on: 11/30/2020 07:23 pm »
Face-shutoff pintle with pure film cooling. Interesting choice given those are not known for their efficiency. Chamber shouldn't have much fatigue issues though.
Isn't the pintle the only design that supposed to never had an issue with combustion instability? Attractive if you want a hassle free, quick to develop (and quite easily throttled) engine I imagine.

You're point about efficiency does make it an odd choice to include in a patent. With mass growth and efficiency so critical in this application you'd expect them to go for the best they can find.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Gliderflyer

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #18 on: 11/30/2020 07:44 pm »
Face-shutoff pintle with pure film cooling. Interesting choice given those are not known for their efficiency. Chamber shouldn't have much fatigue issues though.
Isn't the pintle the only design that supposed to never had an issue with combustion instability? Attractive if you want a hassle free, quick to develop (and quite easily throttled) engine I imagine.

You're point about efficiency does make it an odd choice to include in a patent. With mass growth and efficiency so critical in this application you'd expect them to go for the best they can find.

I've heard that about pintles before, but never from someone who worked on one (they tend to laugh at that). Face-shutoff is also annoying to get working from what I've heard, but I think Gary has done it before so he may have a head start.

Film cooling is the strangest choice to me. Armadillo did a similar cooling method, and the Isp hit was large.
I tried it at home

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #19 on: 11/30/2020 09:53 pm »
I think it was HMXHMX who previously stated if he tried again, he would run with a dense propellant like propane or propyne. I think he also said he wanted to do tripropellant as well to adjust fuel density for flight regime. With these guys also exploring 3D printed engines, there way be some additional trickery involved there. The mention of an advanced carbon fiber LOx tank may suggest linerless to reduce weight?

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #20 on: 12/01/2020 04:35 am »
Was there some material science breakthrough?

ermm, not exactly new, but composites that can handle cryogenics(i.e. rocket lab electron)?

Quote
In the past, using composites for the storage of cryogenic liquid fuel – liquid hydrogen, liquid oxygen, liquid methane – has been met with concern revolving around the potential for leaks, due to microcracking of traditional carbon/epoxy composite laminates at extremely low temperatures. A leap forward with the technology seems to be underway.
https://www.compositesworld.com/articles/composite-pressure-vessels-take-on-cryogenic-temperatures

I mean, the ITS presentation that people took seriously suggested that the tanker would have a dry mass of 90 t, a propellant mass of 2500 t and an ISP of 361 at sea level and 382 in vacuum. Delta v would be 11.5 - 12.5 km/s which would easily be enough for SSTO (and then some).
« Last Edit: 12/01/2020 04:39 am by ncb1397 »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #21 on: 12/01/2020 06:07 am »
I've heard that about pintles before, but never from someone who worked on one (they tend to laugh at that). Face-shutoff is also annoying to get working from what I've heard, but I think Gary has done it before so he may have a head start.
I don't think the pintle has ever had a decent chapter in a design text book devoted to it.
Quote from: Gliderflyer
Film cooling is the strangest choice to me. Armadillo did a similar cooling method, and the Isp hit was large.
Another odd choice.  :( 
I know people have their habits and preferences but anything close to SSTO is so demanding (especially if you're going with a straight rocket engine) you have to re-consider everything. We know that only winged stages have been recovered from orbit intact (everything else has basically been a payload on ascent).  Beyond that everything has to be up for trading to get to a minimum product (or in this case a demonstrable stage of development that can unlock the next round of funding).

I keep hoping for Doug Jones (Ex Rotary Rocket and XCOR) to write an engines book but I guess it's never going to happen.  :(
The mention of an advanced carbon fiber LOx tank may suggest linerless to reduce weight?
Rotary may have been the first in the industry to try that and make it work.

There are 2 issues with composites.

1) Once you get away from straight shapes of revolution complexity rises fast.   This is a plane.

2) SSTO (even assisted SSTO) requires you look at the total design problem under all conditions.  Rotary were among the first (the first?) to get composite LOX tanks (and LOX chamber cooling) working.

But then you've got to get that structure back  and now the problem isn't what's inside the tank, it's what's outside.

With SSTO you can't stage your problem away when things get tough. They have to be considered from day one. In fact you would probably do as well to work backward and ask  yourself "OK So our customers say they want a payload of X x Y x Z meters and M Kg to this orbit (or N passengers).  What do have to wrap that in to get it there (and keep it there for N hours) ? Now what do have to wrap the wrapping (propellant, engines and structure) in to get that back?"

Materials wise stainless steel still looks very interesting. It blunts so many of the problems in terms of formability, thermal conductivity, high and low temperature capability. 
Stainless steel. The "half way" material to get you halfway to anywhere.   :)
« Last Edit: 12/01/2020 06:38 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #22 on: 12/01/2020 07:45 am »
Very crude calculations...

9.81*362*ln((200+4.5)/(11+4.5)) = 9161 m/s

Let's suppose their rocket plane weights 200 mt (completely arbitrary number, but one has to start to speculate somewhere !)

Payload is 4.5 mt : 10 000 pounds.

Specific impulse: I retained the RD-0124 vacuum and record, since they have nozzles adapted to sea level conditions (otherwise, would have been 340 seconds at sea level for kerolox)

From there it is pretty simple: the empty weight must be 11 mt. If they bust that limit : the thing won't go into orbit anymore !

Thus, propellant mass fraction... 200-(200*0.945) = 11 so 0.945

Now, the all time record I already mentioned remains with Titan II stage 1 at 0.962 : 117 mt full, 4.45 mt empty (from memory)

Except that Titan II stage 1 was just an expendable rocket stage. An aluminium cylinder with LR-87 at the bottom, and that was it.

So basically, they have to wrap a rocketplane around a rocket stage -and stay within their necessary mass fraction limit 0.945. Which is already extremely close from the all time record of 0.962... which hadn't any rocketplane around its rocket stage.

Mind you, I did such calculations for my suborbital refueling pet peeve. It amounts to wrapping Mitch burnside Clapp Black Horse / Black Colt "rocketplane elements" around the said Titan II stage 1.

End result: even that barebone hybrid instantly ruins the propellant mass fraction well below 0.90, 0.85 best case. And it can't go into orbit - no way.

---------------------------

Now, if they switched to TAN - Thrust Augmented Nozzle, presently buried at / by Aerojet - it COULD be made to work.

They need Melvin Bulman !

"Variable Element Launcher" - see attached. THIS is the way to go, to get a workable SSTO. No need for a rocket sled.
Best of kerolox and hydrolox, altogether - high density and specific impulse.

Through Aerojet, Bulman is kind of "heir" of Beichel and Salkeld extensive tripropellant research started in 1970. He has carried on and gone a step further with TAN, the true accomplishment of tripropellant rocketry.

----

Alternative 1 : put an expendable stage and stick with suborbital. Note that inflatable heatshields could make expendable upper stages reusables.

Second alternative: build two of these things and try suborbital refueling :p 

Offline Davidthefat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #23 on: 12/01/2020 07:46 am »
If you want to see a legacy example of a face shut off pintle injector used in the LMDE. The fuel annulus isn’t shown, but is on the outside of the moveable sleeve.

This isn’t the only way to do a face shut off on a pintle, but is just one instance of it.

Just curious on how they plan on actually sealing on shutoff in their design shown in the patent. Especially on the annulus side with no apparent way to seal.

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #24 on: 12/01/2020 09:52 am »
TBH: this looks like someone drew a "cool spaceplane" without considering feasibility at all. It's something I used to "invent" at the age of ten.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #25 on: 12/01/2020 05:43 pm »
Very crude calculations...

9.81*362*ln((200+4.5)/(11+4.5)) = 9161 m/s

Let's suppose their rocket plane weights 200 mt (completely arbitrary number, but one has to start to speculate somewhere !)

Payload is 4.5 mt : 10 000 pounds.

Specific impulse: I retained the RD-0124 vacuum and record, since they have nozzles adapted to sea level conditions (otherwise, would have been 340 seconds at sea level for kerolox)

From there it is pretty simple: the empty weight must be 11 mt. If they bust that limit : the thing won't go into orbit anymore !


But what is the staging velocity for the rocket sled? I believe that the land based manned speed record is subsonic but unmanned rocket sleds have reached up to mach 8. It probably doesn't make sense to make a manned version from the start.

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #26 on: 12/01/2020 06:04 pm »

But what is the staging velocity for the rocket sled? I believe that the land based manned speed record is subsonic but unmanned rocket sleds have reached up to mach 8. It probably doesn't make sense to make a manned version from the start.

Mach 8 parallel to the ground at sea level is not helpful.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #27 on: 12/01/2020 07:59 pm »
But what is the staging velocity for the rocket sled? I believe that the land based manned speed record is subsonic but unmanned rocket sleds have reached up to mach 8. It probably doesn't make sense to make a manned version from the start.
Good question. 

But you're wrong about the land speed record. As of 1997 Thrust SSC reached 763.035mph, or M1.016 at sea level.

That said transonic drag around M0.9-1.1 is going to be severe at ground level.

Requiring the design be crewed from the start (like the Shuttle, but unlike every other crewed space vehicle) would be a majorhandicap in development, and is simply unnecessary (unless you have a NASA center that demands  the design needs to be crewed from the start  :(  )
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #28 on: 12/02/2020 03:37 am »
But what is the staging velocity for the rocket sled? I believe that the land based manned speed record is subsonic but unmanned rocket sleds have reached up to mach 8. It probably doesn't make sense to make a manned version from the start.
Good question. 

But you're wrong about the land speed record. As of 1997 Thrust SSC reached 763.035mph, or M1.016 at sea level.

That said transonic drag around M0.9-1.1 is going to be severe at ground level.

Requiring the design be crewed from the start (like the Shuttle, but unlike every other crewed space vehicle) would be a majorhandicap in development, and is simply unnecessary (unless you have a NASA center that demands  the design needs to be crewed from the start  :(  )

Didn't the air force send guys in manned rocket sleds going faster than sound, ostensibly for ejection tests? Or did that only involved animals...

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #29 on: 12/02/2020 03:47 am »
300mph is all the sled goes up to. That's a very good number, IMHO. Any higher than that and airframe stresses increase, and you start getting local supersonic flow. And to go 600mph, you'd need to quadruple your track length (for the same acceleration).
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #30 on: 12/02/2020 06:31 am »
300mph is all the sled goes up to. That's a very good number, IMHO. Any higher than that and airframe stresses increase, and you start getting local supersonic flow. And to go 600mph, you'd need to quadruple your track length (for the same acceleration).
Raising the sled speed is attractive. It brakes harder but all that mass should be in the sled, which is not an issue and every m/s you raise the vehicle speed (at full GTOM) is a win.

The joker is a launch abort with the sled at maximum speed just about to separate the vehicle. RASV did it by metal plates digging into the ground and IIRC parachutes for extreme emergency. Water cooled brakes are an option as well. 

Obviously a lot of that GTOM is LOX.  If you could safely vent a lot of that then the mass you have to decelerate drops a lot. Sadly a LOX cooled emergency braking systems is a complete non starter.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #31 on: 12/02/2020 07:08 am »
Yes the land speed record (absolute, unmanned, all vehicles) is some kind of rocket sled, circa mach 8.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocket_sled

Mach 8.5 - but I'm not sure it is applicable to throwing a rocketplane !
« Last Edit: 12/02/2020 07:12 am by libra »

Offline Eerie

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #32 on: 12/02/2020 07:11 am »
They should partner with Spinlaunch.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #33 on: 12/02/2020 08:11 am »
Probably the closest thing to this system (at least for the first phase of launch) was "snark" intercontinental cruise missile testing that was done on a rocket sled prior to the rockets being available.



I guess if the spaceplane doesn't quite make orbit as a single stage, you could use relatively small rockets similar to how the snark was launched normally for that extra kick to close the performance requirements (the closer to SSTO you get, the smaller and cheaper SRBs you can use). That makes it seem rather space shuttle like (but also quite different given the integrated fuel tank and the SRBs potentially being much much smaller).


Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #34 on: 12/02/2020 03:56 pm »
I hate to be a nitpicker, but Snark was a cruise missile... no ballistic trajectories for them.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #35 on: 12/03/2020 07:36 am »
Yes the land speed record (absolute, unmanned, all vehicles) is some kind of rocket sled, circa mach 8.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocket_sled

Mach 8.5 - but I'm not sure it is applicable to throwing a rocketplane !
Indeed.

Track, sled and air launch have certain things in common. They add complexity but can lower launch vehicle mass and can add launch site flexibility.

In some ways sled launch is a good compromise. Not as fixed as needing a track so you can launch in any direction (that's a good thing) and provided you're running over bedrock you can make the sled almost as big as you like (if you can find jet or rocket engines big enough), whereas launch aircraft size is a major constraint for air launch.

However the number of groups that have experience of breaking the sound barrier at ground level is very limited (ejector seat mfgs and Sandia with the USAF come to mind).  Without LH2 this thing is so marginal you need every edge you can get so faster is better but >M1 at ground level raises serious safety issues

Staying with kerosene when you're already OK with LOX still baffles me, unless you want to retain wing tanks, which you might well want to minimize surface area to protect on reentry.

And then there is the CoG/CoM shift that happens as your vehicle operates over 23 Mach numbers and 60+Km of altitude through the sensible atmosphere....

With engines at the back their control surfaces are going to be quite busy.   
« Last Edit: 12/03/2020 07:38 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #36 on: 12/03/2020 07:50 am »
It's easier to get higher mass ratios with denser propellants, at least this has a better chance of happening than any hydrogen SSTO.
That depends on what you're doing with the hydrogen.

I wish them luck and I'll look forward to seeing what funding they have attracted and what progress they've made in say 5 years time.

2025 should be an exciting year.

« Last Edit: 12/03/2020 07:53 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline edzieba

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #37 on: 12/03/2020 08:31 am »
In some ways sled launch is a good compromise. Not as fixed as needing a track so you can launch in any direction (that's a good thing) and provided you're running over bedrock you can make the sled almost as big as you like (if you can find jet or rocket engines big enough), whereas launch aircraft size is a major constraint for air launch.
All of the hypersonic (and for that matter supersonic) sleds have been on tracks. The only reason they're 'sleds' on 'tracks' and not on 'rails' is because they slide on bearing surfaces rather than roll on wheels.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #38 on: 12/03/2020 10:21 pm »
In some ways sled launch is a good compromise. Not as fixed as needing a track so you can launch in any direction (that's a good thing) and provided you're running over bedrock you can make the sled almost as big as you like (if you can find jet or rocket engines big enough), whereas launch aircraft size is a major constraint for air launch.
All of the hypersonic (and for that matter supersonic) sleds have been on tracks. The only reason they're 'sleds' on 'tracks' and not on 'rails' is because they slide on bearing surfaces rather than roll on wheels.

Has anyone every actually built a high speed unfixed "floating" sled before? Something that can run on salt flats or lakebeds? Say a hovercraft, or a ground effect PAR-WIG? Some old concept designs for an SSTO had a "flying" jet sled/platform that resembled a WIG.

Offline HMXHMX

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #39 on: 12/04/2020 02:43 am »
I can make this one comment and no other.  I (and my colleague Bevin McKinney) have our names on the patents because of our past contractor role with Radian.  He and I make our living as contractors/consultants.  We are not currently engaged by Radian, but we remain under NDA so can’t participate in this sub-forum.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #40 on: 12/04/2020 05:47 am »
Has anyone every actually built a high speed unfixed "floating" sled before? Something that can run on salt flats or lakebeds? Say a hovercraft, or a ground effect PAR-WIG? Some old concept designs for an SSTO had a "flying" jet sled/platform that resembled a WIG.
The Thrust Super Sonic Car that broke the land speed record in the 90's could be described as such since it ran on wheels.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #41 on: 12/04/2020 05:49 am »
All of the hypersonic (and for that matter supersonic) sleds have been on tracks. The only reason they're 'sleds' on 'tracks' and not on 'rails' is because they slide on bearing surfaces rather than roll on wheels.
I was using the terms sled in the sense it's used by Boeing in the RASV papers of a powered vehicle that goes in a straight line but is not on a track, allowing (in principle) any long enough runway rated to the load to be used as a takeoff site. 
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #42 on: 12/05/2020 06:43 am »

All time record for kerolox specific impulse: must be RD-0124, 362 seconds - in vaccuum.

All time record propellant mass fraction: 0.962 - Titan 2 stage 1. Expendable, zero payload without a second stage.
Let's look at those numbers little bit more closely.
I'll use 9100m/s for orbital velocity inc losses  and 300m/s for the sled speed.

So e^((9100-300)/(9.81*362)) give a mass ratio of 12.24 or 8.17% of GTOW. If you're payload is 1% (common rule of thumb for VTO rocket SSTO) 4.5mt is 450mt vehicle with a total structural mass of 32252Kg. Payload at 2% of GTOW halves the GTOW but now you have to build the whole structure in 138764Kg.  :o

I did a quick straw pole of empty/gross weights for some combat aircraft and it came up as around 38-45%, even for ones as "sporty" as the Talon T-38, a supersonic trainer with pretty much no payload but the instructor and trainee.

The Virgin Global Challenger aircraft (an engine, air bubble and wings wrapped round a humongous fuel tank) gave a design of 17% structure, so better is possible if you sacrifice other things.

Rockets can give you 10x the T/W ratio of SoA turbofans, OTOH they also give you roughly 1/10 the Isp  :(

So can you wrap 413247Kg of propellant in 32252Kg of structural mass (including escape module) to hold 4500 of payload? that's about 2.37x better than the Virgin Global Flyer managed.

Quote from: libra
The margins are razor slim or non existing.
Agreed.

If they can then any doubts about wheather Skylon is possible (not SABRE, it's the structural fraction that's got CNES and the USAF spooked) disappear.  If they can't we will have confirmed that rocket only non LH2 HTOL SSTO (even with assistance) is (to coin a phrase) "Super damm tough" but we will have learned something about what's possible :)

Let's see what happens.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2020 07:38 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #43 on: 12/05/2020 06:23 pm »

I did a quick straw pole of empty/gross weights for some combat aircraft and it came up as around 38-45%, even for ones as "sporty" as the Talon T-38, a supersonic trainer with pretty much no payload but the instructor and trainee.

The Virgin Global Challenger aircraft (an engine, air bubble and wings wrapped round a humongous fuel tank) gave a design of 17% structure, so better is possible if you sacrifice other things.

Rockets can give you 10x the T/W ratio of SoA turbofans, OTOH they also give you roughly 1/10 the Isp  :(

So can you wrap 413247Kg of propellant in 32252Kg of structural mass (including escape module) to hold 4500 of payload? that's about 2.37x better than the Virgin Global Flyer managed.


Space Shuttle was about (78000 empty orbiter+26500 empty SLWT)/(78000 empty orbiter+760000 full SLWT) = 12.5%. This would have some advantages and disadvantages in terms of mass ratios.

pros
-kerolox vs hydrolox storage
-presumeably a much smaller crew compartment and payload bay relatively speaking (adds weight but not fuel capacity)
-kerolox engines can have higher thrust to weight
-maybe some advancement in material strength to weight ratios (in terms of composites vs aluminum air frames or fuel tanks)
-maybe some advancements in heat shield materials in terms of weight reduction
-3d printing
-advancements in avionics
-advancements in welding (FSW, etc.)
-advancements in computer design and analysis tools

negatives
-internal fuel tank that needs to be covered in greater amount of TPS for re-entry.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #44 on: 12/05/2020 08:32 pm »
negatives
-internal fuel tank that needs to be covered in greater amount of TPS for re-entry.
This is where it gets complicated.

That large empty fuel tank means the vehicle has a much lower ballistic coefficient.

So it hits an air density that's high enough to begin significant deceleration at a higher altitude.
Which means it can bleed off more velocity before it hits denser air and its skin temperature climbs through the roof.
Which means that it can (no guarantees it will :( ) use a lighter layer of TPS, which improves their chances of delivering a design that closes.

Trading off shape Vs volume Vs TPS is the sort of problem that's going to take lots of computer time, which fortunately has improved a great deal over the 45yrs or so since since the slab sided Shuttle was designed (as long as you don't believe all the stories CFD software tells you  ;) ).
« Last Edit: 12/05/2020 08:41 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #45 on: 12/06/2020 07:50 am »
Two years ago on another thread HMX provided a link to part of Boeing's  RASV report.

T/O speed was 220m/s (Skylon is 180m/s, which REL view as high but viable)

For anyone who wants to know what a major aerospace corp at the height of its design skills was thinking about assisted SSTO in the late 1970's it makes fascinating reading. Lots of little detail design points that anyone would need to consider.  Although some technologies are vastly better (computers, RLGs, batteries and high speed generators or alternators spring to mind)  other stuff is still as big an issue as it was then.

Figure 2 in the report reckons Wings need 38.2%, body is 28.4% and tail takes 3.6% of the dry weight of the vehicle. "Propulsion" (SSME, OMS/RCS, pressurization and prop feed system) is 18.8%

I'll leave others to work out what that implies about structural issues.

Logically there are two groups of investors for this.
a) Those who have done due diligence but are satisfied its developers have plausible ways to solve the issued raised.
b) Those who do not care.  They just want to give it a shot and see what happens.

Obviously I'm hoping most of the investors are in group a) and the promoters do have such answers.

« Last Edit: 12/06/2020 08:00 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #46 on: 12/06/2020 10:25 pm »
For those of youw who want to play along at home I have prepared a little game which I have called "Radian Design Game."

Usual rules apply. Blue boxes are parameters you can change. Red dots indicate notes showing known values  The rest are calculated by the game.

Since this is a game the object of the game is to keep the "Unassigned Mass" cell >0. It goes red if you don't.  Initial percentages for the tail, wings, body, landing gear and propulsion are drawn from the RASV report.

Orbital velocity is calculated from altitude and ascent losses are your choice. You can use SL Isp to set a single Isp or use a trajectory averaged Isp based on SL and Vac Isp's. You are reminded the sled speed cannot exceed the speed of light and probably should not exceed the speed of sound.
« Last Edit: 12/06/2020 10:26 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #47 on: 12/08/2020 07:42 am »
Brilliant and interesting posts there. Couldn't remember if I had downloaded that RASV report or not, so downloaded it again.

Let me throw my 2cts into this... attached document: Dan Delong / Teledyne 1988 rocketplane, with extremely detailed mass breakdown.
Including the Space Shuttle orbiter very own mass breakdown.

Something I learned, the hard way: it is extremely difficult to find detailed mass breakdown of SSTO, TSTO, RLV, rocketplanes...
From the top of my head, the few I find
- This Delong document, for his spaceplane and the Shuttle orbiter
- some limited data for Skylon
- The RASV document linked above
- Mitchell Burnside Clapp "Black Horse" and "Black Colt" designs got detailed mass breakdowns, too
(link below)
http://www.ai.mit.edu/projects/im/magnus/bh/analog.html

Bar that... not much. Which is a little annoying.

At some point, one is left wondering "how much does a *manned RLV* cockpit weight ? and wings, and tail, and TPS, and engines, and undercarriage ?" the logical move is to try and check some historical vehicle or projects mass breakdowns... well, they are very difficult to find. The reason must be that 99% of RLV projects since 1955 remained paper-bound, nothing was build.

Quote
Figure 2 in the report reckons Wings need 38.2%, body is 28.4% and tail takes 3.6% of the dry weight of the vehicle. "Propulsion" (SSME, OMS/RCS, pressurization and prop feed system) is 18.8%

What is really crazy is that the percentages, above, are "slices" or "bits" of... 5% of the GLOW (Gross Lift Off Weight) since 95% else is the propellant in the tanks.

I created a very simple sentence to illustrate why all-rocket-SSTO are so hard...

"Takes the SSTO, standing still on the pad, ready to launch.
The propellant tanks are full.
Well - 95% of the mass must be raw propellants. Otherwise, kiss Earth orbit goodbye !
Sooo...
- the tanks around the propellants,
- and the SSTO around the tanks,
- with the payload (obviously !)

...are allocated 5%. Five percent.

And if you miss, and get 7% or even 6%, the SSTO falls short of orbit.

Put otherwise...

I'm the proud owner of a Fiat Grande Punto since 2011. A very nice car. It weights 1000 kg. And since the tank hold 45 L of gasoline, that must be 40 kg in mass.  40 kg out of 1000 kg. Leaves plenty of margin.

Now If I applied "all-rocket SSTO" numbers to it... the gasoline in the tank would represents 950 kg. No kidding.

This mean that
a) the tank around the gasoline,
b) the car around the tank,
c) and the payload in the car (myself, my kid, my wife, the dog and the furniture)
would have to fold into 50 kg.

Because, if the car busted the 1000 kg limit, it wouldn't work anymore. It would't move.

Would you buy such a car ? I wouldn't, because AFAIK, I'm (to my regret) much more than 50 kg in weight, all by myself...

GAME OVER. YOU LOSE.
« Last Edit: 12/08/2020 08:07 am by libra »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #48 on: 12/08/2020 08:40 pm »
What is really crazy is that the percentages, above, are "slices" or "bits" of... 5% of the GLOW (Gross Lift Off Weight) since 95% else is the propellant in the tanks.
That is what makes this so very tricky to get to work.  :(

Quote from: libra
I'm the proud owner of a Fiat Grande Punto since 2011. A very nice car. It weights 1000 kg. And since the tank hold 45 L of gasoline, that must be 40 kg in mass.  40 kg out of 1000 kg. Leaves plenty of margin.

Now If I applied "all-rocket SSTO" numbers to it... the gasoline in the tank would represents 950 kg. No kidding.
Actually it's somewhat worse than that.   :(
As a hydrocarbon rocket you'll carry about 2.6x that mass of LO2 as well.

Which makes the absolute mass of your 5% bigger but the volume you have to wrap bigger as well. Your car is an air breather, which makes it considerably easier to support. If only you could use that insight....

Fortunately all is not entirely lost....

Consider a 20 foot shipping container mfg in composites like this  It weighs 3450lb and holds 49460lbs, a structural fraction of 6.52%. It is expected to survive with a stack weight of423,238 lbs on top of it (IE about a 8 stack high) with an expected life of 20-30 years. 

Or the classic humble soda can. In metric countries this holds 330ml of fluid (which we know is 95-99% water so about 330g. It's empty mass is about 11g IE 3.225% of payload. BTW I have stacked 10 unpressurized (but water loaded) soda cans on top of each other without collapse. Although they are pressurized to about 3bar the can is not a pressure stabilized tank like the Atlas 1's, 2's and Centaur tanks.

These improvements have been driven solely by the economics of shipping. With enough 10ths of a gram saved (or kilos) off each unit that adds additional carrying capacity to the vehicle.

Better is possible.

An interesting challenge in the game is what you have to do if you use the usual SL and Vac Isp's of a Merlin for the stage.  What else has to accommodate to allow that?


MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #49 on: 12/08/2020 09:48 pm »
Brilliant and interesting posts there. Couldn't remember if I had downloaded that RASV report or not, so downloaded it again.
Thank you.

Another idea which should be on any SSTO (or assisted SSTO) is sub cooling of propellants.
Attached is a report on the LOX sub cooler for the Taurus II ELV. Note that with just regular NBP LN2 the resistance between the LN2 and the LOX is 0.9K, which is pretty impressive.  And still leaves the flash boiled GN2 cold enough to freeze most hydrocarbon fuels rock solid (without careful control of relative flow rates).
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #50 on: 12/08/2020 10:52 pm »

"Takes the SSTO, standing still on the pad, ready to launch.
The propellant tanks are full.
Well - 95% of the mass must be raw propellants. Otherwise, kiss Earth orbit goodbye !
Sooo...
- the tanks around the propellants,
- and the SSTO around the tanks,
- with the payload (obviously !)

...are allocated 5%. Five percent.

And if you miss, and get 7% or even 6%, the SSTO falls short of orbit.


That isn't necessarily true.  I graphed both 9000 m/s and 9300 m/s and as long as you can get average ISP of around ~330, dry mass around ~6% is sufficient if 9300 m/s is requires and ~7% is sufficient if 9000 m/s is required. Merlin 1D sea level performance is 282 seconds and vacuum performance is 311, but the vacuum variant gets about 348. RD-180 is between 311(sea level) and 338 (vacuum), so getting 330 average shouldn't be impossible. Even at 320, you still can go to 5.5-6% (of course, lower is better).

edit: average isp isn't really the best way to describe the above. Two systems that have the same average isp might perform somewhat differently from a change in velocity perspective. But starting at the RD-180 sea level isp of 311 and linearly moving to 338 over the burn, a vehicle that is 6% dry weight and 94% propellant gets about 9100 m/s. Which, adding 300 mph or 135 m/s for the rocket sled, could probably get you to orbit (dependent on gravity/drag loses and latitude).

« Last Edit: 12/09/2020 01:52 am by ncb1397 »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #51 on: 12/09/2020 06:16 am »
That isn't necessarily true.  I graphed both 9000 m/s and 9300 m/s and as long as you can get average ISP of around ~330, dry mass around ~6% is sufficient if 9300 m/s is requires and ~7% is sufficient if 9000 m/s is required. Merlin 1D sea level performance is 282 seconds and vacuum performance is 311, but the vacuum variant gets about 348. RD-180 is between 311(sea level) and 338 (vacuum), so getting 330 average shouldn't be impossible. Even at 320, you still can go to 5.5-6% (of course, lower is better).
Quite true. But while average Isp of 330secs seems quite reasonable I'd say it's actually pretty hard. IIRC Merlin runs SL Isp of 311 and Vac Isp of 326.
Quote from: ncb1397
edit: average isp isn't really the best way to describe the above. Two systems that have the same average isp might perform somewhat differently from a change in velocity perspective. But starting at the RD-180 sea level isp of 311 and linearly moving to 338 over the burn, a vehicle that is 6% dry weight and 94% propellant gets about 9100 m/s. Which, adding 300 mph or 135 m/s for the rocket sled, could probably get you to orbit (dependent on gravity/drag loses and latitude).
Ascent losses can make a huge difference to the viability and capability of a launch vehicle.
Note the range of total delta V's to achieve orbit. It's over the SL speed of sound.

 While it can be argued that like-for-like comparison is difficult this does show that single numbers are a very broad brush approach and detailed ascent loss modelling is essential. HTO means you're already moving in the right direction from the moment of take off.

One quite subtle change that has been happening since the 70's is the way the ability to track detailed information about every single part of a design has improved. The recognition that a lot of the data that's used in mfg will have to be retained (in aerospace) throughout the whole life cycle of the vehicle and the ease with which that can be done.

In contrast the Shuttle programme failed to do this and a Boeing study found there were more than a 100 separate databases (some paper based) being maintained by different parts of the various organizations responsible.  :(

In particular the ability to have parts property changes cascade down through other parts (or even to just raise an alarm when a key property like a parts mass or moment of inertia has changed). Likewise when a part needs replacing on the operational vehicle that should trigger the whole supply chain from checking a new one out of stores to triggering re-supply or a new mfg order.

While it sounds very dull  :) I've come to realize that effective data management on complex projects of all data (not just the stuff on computers) is a critical enabling factor in the success or failure of complex (not necessarily big) projects.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2020 06:25 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #52 on: 12/09/2020 03:10 pm »
Thanks you all for these numbers. No dogma for me, really - 6% , 7%, no problem.
Still a daunting mass fraction. Although JS19 contenair and soda can examples are interestings.


What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o

With the rocket equation, even 200 m/s can make a difference... and there, we have 400 m/s variations, 8800 to 9200 m/s...

Gravity losses - such a tricky thing.

Offline lrk

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #53 on: 12/09/2020 03:33 pm »
What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o

Super high TWR early in flight, with lots of SRBs (including air-lit ones in some configurations.)

Having wings (even with a mediocre TWR) should actually help gravity losses significantly as the lift offsets gravity early in flight when losses would otherwise be the highest.  Recall that the wings on the Pegasus rocket actually increased the payload capacity, despite the added mass. 

Offline Craftyatom

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #54 on: 12/09/2020 05:18 pm »
What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o

Super high TWR early in flight, with lots of SRBs (including air-lit ones in some configurations.)

Having wings (even with a mediocre TWR) should actually help gravity losses significantly as the lift offsets gravity early in flight when losses would otherwise be the highest.  Recall that the wings on the Pegasus rocket actually increased the payload capacity, despite the added mass.
Interesting - I always tend to think of wings in terms of drag, but of course there's an L/D ratio for a reason.  Not sure how much Pegasus' math changed due to being launched in thinner atmosphere (and the extra pitch-up it provided prior to ignition), but it does at least suggest that trades are needed before we can tell anything with certainty.
All aboard the HSF hype train!  Choo Choo!

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #55 on: 12/09/2020 08:46 pm »
Thanks you all for these numbers. No dogma for me, really - 6% , 7%, no problem.
Still a daunting mass fraction. Although JS19 contenair and soda can examples are interestings.


What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o

With the rocket equation, even 200 m/s can make a difference... and there, we have 400 m/s variations, 8800 to 9200 m/s...

Gravity losses - such a tricky thing.
You'll note that it has the 2nd highest drag losses of the vehicles, suggesting it spends an extended amount of time in the atmosphere, but its steering losses are very low.

IOW it prioritizes moving toward the horizontal direction over getting out of the majority of the atmosphere as quickly as possible. The "9" in its type number indicates it had 9 SRB's. This type fired in 2 groups, 6 at launch, increasing takeoff acceleration, and 3 (with altitude optimized nozzles) after the first 6 burnt out but before 1st stage MECO. So the design could be viewed as a 2 1/2 stage rather than a 2 stage vehicle. That 2nd burst of thrust happens when the stage is quite light so while the absolute thrust is lower the acceleration it contributes is likely higher.

The combination of higher acceleration and early start (giving low steering losses as the nozzle is only slightly off the axis of the line of the vehicle) to going horizontal are probably the main reasons for the low overall losses.

Fortunately what used to take hours of computer time can now be run in seconds. At this level every  belief, rule of thumb and old wives tale (of which this industry is somewhat prone) needs to be examined
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #56 on: 12/09/2020 08:54 pm »
Super high TWR early in flight, with lots of SRBs (including air-lit ones in some configurations.)

Having wings (even with a mediocre TWR) should actually help gravity losses significantly as the lift offsets gravity early in flight when losses would otherwise be the highest.  Recall that the wings on the Pegasus rocket actually increased the payload capacity, despite the added mass.
The lead developer for Pegasus answered questions on the development process on the Pegasus thread some
years back. I recall coming across an old Pop Sci article written around the time the original version first launched
which also talked about their approach

Orbital was strapped for cash at the time. They'd gone in big developing the Inertial Upper Stage for the Shuttle then Challenger happened so were looking for a new project to use their rocket knowledge and get some cash in. 

IOW they wouldn't have added wings to the design unless it gave substantial benefits to justify having them made. Keep in mind the wing has no propellant storage or control surfaces (fins on the rear of the first stage provide those).
« Last Edit: 12/09/2020 08:55 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #57 on: 12/09/2020 09:37 pm »
The questions I am curious to ask anyone who downloaded my game is

Did you get a configuration that got to the orbit you chose?

If you did what assumptions did you have to make or change to do so?

AFAIK the Merlin Isps are 311/326secs. When I used those for the engine parameters I found I had to cut overall losses by about 300m/s and lower the landing gear mass to the 2.8% of dry mass which Boeing thought possible in the advanced version of the RASV design.
The landing gear of both the XB70 and the B58 were lower than this so I expected it to be viable.
Water cooling, with the unused water dumped overboard just after launch, is another viable option to lower landing gear mass further (SOP in the 18 wheel truck cab racing fraternity).

I don't have a good enough feel for the mass drivers for body and wing masses to know how conservative (or not) the structures were.  I do know 2 things.
1) From roughly the 50's to the 70's a lot of work was done on alternative designs (and materials) for wing and body stiffeners, their placement and sizing. The goals were to lower mfg cost and/or mass per unit area to give higher performance or higher profits. A fair sized chunk of that has been around "space planes" (Boeing was prime for the  X-20) or M5+ designs, so high temperature issues were part of those architectures, along with TPS considerations. Nothing ever flew, but some of it got tested in high speed, high temperature wind tunnels. Lots of possible approaches.

2) Boeing approached the USAF to offer RASV as a fixed price contract. This AFAIK was unique from a major aerospace prime for a FOAK vehicle without an extensive established market and suggests
a) The Boeing Board wanted the business so much they'd swallow any cost overruns
b) They were so confident of their design teams ability to deliver what they said they could at the cost they predicted that they weren't worried about cost overruns to begin with.

Given the Board were that serious about wanting the contract my instinct is the structures were in the tough-but-viable range rather than the cat-in-hells-chance of being achievable. Avoiding the extreme cryogenic engineering of LH2 should improve the viability. Time will tell if this design can take the performance hit on using kerosene.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2020 09:39 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #58 on: 12/09/2020 09:40 pm »
Thanks you all for these numbers. No dogma for me, really - 6% , 7%, no problem.
Still a daunting mass fraction. Although JS19 contenair and soda can examples are interestings.


What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o

With the rocket equation, even 200 m/s can make a difference... and there, we have 400 m/s variations, 8800 to 9200 m/s...

Gravity losses - such a tricky thing.
You'll note that it has the 2nd highest drag losses of the vehicles, suggesting it spends an extended amount of time in the atmosphere, but its steering losses are very low.


given the displacement formula

s= ut + (1/2)a*t*t

u or initial velocity is zero for a VTO rocket and a * t is velocity. So, we can simplify to s= (1/2) *v * t or v = 2s/t with s being displacement (in this case the altitude of the rocket). So, we know that for a certain altitude, the velocity for a linearly accelerating vehicle is inverse to the time it takes to get there (half the time, double the velocity). We also know that drag scales to the square of the velocity, so if you half the time, you are actually increasing the instantaneous drag at a certain altitude by 4x. Total drag would be average drag * time over the course of flight, so halving time as a result of increasing thrust isn't going to be enough to overcome 4x the instantaneous drag as a result of halving the amount of time. So, there is a trade off somewhat between aerodynamic losses and gravity losses. Your aerodynamic losses will increase if you increase your thrust as gravity losses decrease. This explains why the low gravity loses are correlated with higher aerodynamic losses. But the higher aerodynamic losses isn't associated with more time in the atmosphere, the higher thrust rocket spends less time in the atmosphere.

At least, that is what I could come up with. Feel free to point out any logical/math/physics errors.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2020 09:46 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #59 on: 12/10/2020 06:31 am »

given the displacement formula

s= ut + (1/2)a*t*t

u or initial velocity is zero for a VTO rocket and a * t is velocity. So, we can simplify to s= (1/2) *v * t or v = 2s/t with s being displacement (in this case the altitude of the rocket). So, we know that for a certain altitude, the velocity for a linearly accelerating vehicle is inverse to the time it takes to get there (half the time, double the velocity). We also know that drag scales to the square of the velocity, so if you half the time, you are actually increasing the instantaneous drag at a certain altitude by 4x. Total drag would be average drag * time over the course of flight, so halving time as a result of increasing thrust isn't going to be enough to overcome 4x the instantaneous drag as a result of halving the amount of time. So, there is a trade off somewhat between aerodynamic losses and gravity losses. Your aerodynamic losses will increase if you increase your thrust as gravity losses decrease. This explains why the low gravity loses are correlated with higher aerodynamic losses. But the higher aerodynamic losses isn't associated with more time in the atmosphere, the higher thrust rocket spends less time in the atmosphere.

At least, that is what I could come up with. Feel free to point out any logical/math/physics errors.
It's not quite that simple.  Gravity losses are the resolved vertical component of thrust.If you measure the angle of the rocket from vertical then they are the Cos X component, if you measure from horizontal the Sin X component of thrust.  It is proportional to time of thrust.

Drag is proportional to the square of the cross sectional area of the vehicle and the velocity.

The key thing to note is the relative magnitudes of losses. Gravity losses are in the 1000m/s+ range, Drag losses in the 10s of m/s. Something that halves gravity losses and doubles drag losses is a huge win in terms of the total delta V the vehicle has to provide.

At this point  you need to start factoring in all sorts of things. How atmospheric density varies with altitude. How mixture ratio changes relative tank sizes and hence total volume that needs to be encloses. Aspect ratio of tanks. Volume reduction if you do sub cooling. And so on.

Now you're off simple calculations and into modelling instead.

All of which I presume Radian have been doing, although the choice of kerosene still baffles me.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Steven Pietrobon

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #60 on: 12/10/2020 06:39 am »
Using the delta-V of multi-stage vehicles for SSTO is misleading, since the acceleration profiles are quite different compared to a SSTO. In general, the lower the Isp, the lower the delta-V required to get into orbit. This comes from a number of factors. One is that air drag deceleration is lower due to the higher vehicle mass for the same cross sectional area. Second is that maximum acceleration is reached faster due to the higher propellant mass to inert mass ratio.

For hydrolox, vacuum delta-V going into a 80x185 km orbit is about 9340 m/s, compared to 9090 m/s for kerolox, a 250 m/s saving. For RS-25, vacuum Isp is 4444 m/s, which gives a propellant mass fraction of 87.8%, however for every kg of final mass you need about 20 L of propellant, or 20 L/kg. For RD-180 with a vacuum Isp of 3325 m/s, the propellant mass fraction is 93.5%, however you only need 14 L/kg, 30% less than hydrolox! However, you do need higher thrust, and thus heavier engines due to the higher lift-off mass.

This means that for the same tank volume, hydrolox in general performs much worse than kerolox, since the final mass will be 30% less compared to kerolox!
« Last Edit: 12/10/2020 06:41 am by Steven Pietrobon »
Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design #1:  Engineering is done with numbers.  Analysis without numbers is only an opinion.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #61 on: 12/11/2020 12:03 am »

All of which I presume Radian have been doing, although the choice of kerosene still baffles me.  :(

Makes sense when you consider the fuel tanks are the wings (the oxygen tank is in the main body). Integrating RP-1/kerosene/Jet-A type fuels into wings is a solved problem even for composite wings. On the other hand, programs like the X-33 had problems with the combination of complex shapes, composite materials and cryogenic fuels. Using a denser fuel also potentially gives you some more flexibility in defining the wing's shape and size. It also makes more sense from a structural stand point, kerolox has a lower fuel to oxidizer ratio, meaning more weight is in the wings where the lift is generated and less weight is in the body that has to be supported from the lift generated at the wings.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #62 on: 12/11/2020 05:53 am »
Using the delta-V of multi-stage vehicles for SSTO is misleading, since the acceleration profiles are quite different compared to a SSTO. In general, the lower the Isp, the lower the delta-V required to get into orbit. This comes from a number of factors. One is that air drag deceleration is lower due to the higher vehicle mass for the same cross sectional area. Second is that maximum acceleration is reached faster due to the higher propellant mass to inert mass ratio.

For hydrolox, vacuum delta-V going into a 80x185 km orbit is about 9340 m/s, compared to 9090 m/s for kerolox, a 250 m/s saving. For RS-25, vacuum Isp is 4444 m/s, which gives a propellant mass fraction of 87.8%, however for every kg of final mass you need about 20 L of propellant, or 20 L/kg. For RD-180 with a vacuum Isp of 3325 m/s, the propellant mass fraction is 93.5%, however you only need 14 L/kg, 30% less than hydrolox! However, you do need higher thrust, and thus heavier engines due to the higher lift-off mass.

This means that for the same tank volume, hydrolox in general performs much worse than kerolox, since the final mass will be 30% less compared to kerolox!
Interesting and I think quite counter intuitive. I'd also note that kerolox engines have achieved T/W ratio of 150:1 IIRC the best sea level hydrolox performance is roughly 59:1, so while the structural fraction is harder the the TWR is 159% better. However I am very wary of drag figures as they are very dependent on frontal area.

I don't think designing to a common volume is a common comparison method but it does raise the point that unless you go with drop tanks at some point you're going to have to wrap all that tankage in TPS and have it reenter.

I do think that due to the fundamental differences between LH2 and every other propellant in terms of density and temperature that setting the design goal as "Achieve this delta V" is basically dishonest. Set a desired orbit and let the design teams work out their own losses based on their actual vehicle. If they look abnormally low dig deeper and find out how they will achieve this low a loss figure.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #63 on: 12/13/2020 09:35 am »
To give an idea of the breadth of issues that designers have to cope with here is an old paper on some things that surfaced during shuttle testing.

A structural vibration was filtered out by the Digital Auto Pilot. But one of it's harmonics was able to get aliased back into the filters pass band. which was able to continue to excite that into a limit cycle.

The paper provides a fascinating insight into ways to test this sort of stuff and the sort of subtle ways apparently unrelated things can interact. BTW excessive vibration was a significant issue with the 2 APU's on the X-15 and caused significant programme delays.
[EDIT This suggests a useful little utility that takes a filter cutoff frequency and sampling rate maximum works out what ones above the pass band above half the sampling rate can alias back into the pass band. The key point about this story is that the cutoff filter stopped the rest of the software seeing that vibration. But IRL it didn't stop the vibration happening (which is a physical property of the structure and would be much harder to remedy if it had to be)  :(  ]


Top tip. Watch out for resonance. Watch out for percussive vibration (more or less a square wave, so 3,5,7etc harmonics). Watch out for aliasing. Always.
« Last Edit: 12/14/2020 05:46 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #64 on: 12/22/2020 08:34 am »
One item from the RASV report was the realization from Boeing engineers that the APU's were grossly oversized for most phases of the flight.

The APU's main job was to drive the hydraulic pumps to keep the triple redundant hydraulic circuits pressurized.

However the main job of those system was TVC of the SSME's during the 10mins of ascent.  Each axis of which was estimated to use about 57hp (42Kw) of power to move. That's about 19hp per APU (full power 135hp). The power to move the aerosurfaces and lower the landing gear was considerably lower. There was also a 1hp electric pump on orbit to keep the fluid circulating and not freezing.

The Boeing engineers worked out that by fitting a power take off to the upgraded SSME (sprocket gear on the LOX turbopump?) the engines could power their own hydraulics during operation (either entirely separately or through a shared loop just between the engines in case of failure). This implies a smaller APU running at a high power level (say 80-90% of full level) and hence high efficiency, but with a smaller fuel tank (MMH IIRC)

Those design ideas are still quite viable today. They would work just as well in an electric system, with the pumps being replaced by generators or alternators driving electromechanical actuators. If the actuators allow regenerative braking (probably need to be DC) a super capacitor pack can act as the equivalent of a hydraulic accumulator, lowering the peak generating capacity needed. For mechanical simplicity the alternator/generator would be directly coupled to the APU drive turbine and the lubricant and fuel pumps electrically driven to eliminate gearing, as APU maintenance was something of a PITA.
[EDIT One last thought. You could have an option for the generator/alternator to be driven by both turbopumps, although this really would work best if they had the same operating RPM. The win would be that it could also function as a starter motor to spin up both turbines before propellant flow started. Easy enough to do  if planned into the design early enough. ]
« Last Edit: 12/22/2020 07:07 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #65 on: 12/22/2020 07:19 pm »
Thanks you all for these numbers. No dogma for me, really - 6% , 7%, no problem.
Still a daunting mass fraction. Although JS19 contenair and soda can examples are interestings.
The container more than the soda can at this size. But not easy.
Quote from: libra
What was the Delta II "recipe" to get that low - "only" 1150 m/s of gravity losses ?  :o
This may have been better answered upthread.
Quote from: libra
With the rocket equation, even 200 m/s can make a difference... and there, we have 400 m/s variations, 8800 to 9200 m/s...

Gravity losses - such a tricky thing.
Exactly. You need to factor in the whole ascent loss budget.

I have long thought that if you want to succeed at this business you must perfect both your business model and your ascent loss model. Improving the latter can make the difference between delivering your ideal mass to your ideal orbit with an affordable LV, or having to sacrifice one or the other with the design you have, so reducing your target market.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #66 on: 12/24/2020 09:27 pm »
Makes sense when you consider the fuel tanks are the wings (the oxygen tank is in the main body). Integrating RP-1/kerosene/Jet-A type fuels into wings is a solved problem even for composite wings. On the other hand, programs like the X-33 had problems with the combination of complex shapes, composite materials and cryogenic fuels. Using a denser fuel also potentially gives you some more flexibility in defining the wing's shape and size. It also makes more sense from a structural stand point, kerolox has a lower fuel to oxidizer ratio, meaning more weight is in the wings where the lift is generated and less weight is in the body that has to be supported from the lift generated at the wings.
I think it's fair to say that where fuels are concerned there is LH2 and everything else.

so Jet A buys you a standard propellant, but you could get that with LPG or LNG. But without a room temperature liquid you now need some sort of pressurization system. Those 3-5000psi tanks are rated in terms of lbs of TNT equivalent for a reason.  :(

Possible options here would be an autogenous system like the titan II. One interesting idea (which AFAIK has never been tried) is to use a low pressure tank of ammonia and burn that to nitrogen and water. For bonus points devise some sort of vortex combustor to separate out the water vapor  and just leave the N2 to pressurize the tank.

BTW the tanks on the D2 drone were designed with an internal pressurization of about 1psi above the outside atmospheric pressure (at 70 000ft). 
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Online yg1968

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #67 on: 01/19/2022 02:20 pm »
Radian announces plans to build one of the holy grails of spaceflight:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/01/radian-announces-plans-to-build-one-of-the-holy-grails-of-spaceflight/

Quote from: Eric Berger
A Washington-state based aerospace company has exited stealth mode by announcing plans to develop one of the holy grails of spaceflight—a single-stage-to-orbit space plane. [...]

The current design of Radian One calls for taking up to five people and 5,000 pounds of cargo into orbit. The vehicle would have a down-mass capability of about 10,000 pounds and be powered by three liquid-fueled engines.

https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1483803673687953413
« Last Edit: 01/19/2022 02:37 pm by yg1968 »

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« Last Edit: 01/19/2022 02:44 pm by yg1968 »

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #69 on: 01/19/2022 02:49 pm »
Very light on details. Apparently building their own engine but no mention of fuel? Considering X-33 background hydrogen seems likely.

Quote
taking up to five people and 5,000 pounds of cargo
Hopefully not both at once. Cargo vehicles with crew cabins are a terrible idea.

Offline Jim

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #70 on: 01/19/2022 03:16 pm »

Quote
taking up to five people and 5,000 pounds of cargo
Hopefully not both at once. Cargo vehicles with crew cabins are a terrible idea.

No, that is not "rule".  It is cargo as in satellites and such.  Cargo for the crew is ok.

Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #71 on: 01/19/2022 03:39 pm »
TSTO LV with reuseable booster is big ask for startup but SSTO is whole new level of difficulty.

Wish them the best but am very skeptical.

Sent from my SM-G570Y using Tapatalk


Offline lrk

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #72 on: 01/19/2022 04:28 pm »
There is already a thread about them, but hasn't had any updates for over a year: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=52422.0

Planning to use kerolox and a seemingly-complicated rocket-assisted launch sled, unless their plans have changed. 

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #73 on: 01/19/2022 05:06 pm »
Bump because Radian came out of stealth.

Radian announces plans to build one of the holy grails of spaceflight:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/01/radian-announces-plans-to-build-one-of-the-holy-grails-of-spaceflight/

Quote from: Eric Berger
A Washington-state based aerospace company has exited stealth mode by announcing plans to develop one of the holy grails of spaceflight—a single-stage-to-orbit space plane. [...]

The current design of Radian One calls for taking up to five people and 5,000 pounds of cargo into orbit. The vehicle would have a down-mass capability of about 10,000 pounds and be powered by three liquid-fueled engines.

https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1483803673687953413
« Last Edit: 01/19/2022 05:07 pm by Robotbeat »
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Offline edzieba

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #74 on: 01/19/2022 05:17 pm »
While nothing closed to hard numbers, the article drops some hints that rules out some options:
Quote
Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway.
No rocket-sled launch
Quote
powered by three liquid-fueled engines [...] At full power, this cryogenic-fueled engine will have a thrust of about 200,000 pounds.
Not Kerolox, somewhere in the range of 0.9MN per engine or ~2.7MN for the vehicle.
Quote
Space launch companies also now regularly "super chill" their liquid propellants to gain more performance during flight, which Radian plans to do.
Sub-chilled propellants.

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #75 on: 01/19/2022 05:53 pm »
While nothing closed to hard numbers, the article drops some hints that rules out some options:
Quote
Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway.
No rocket-sled launch
Their website says "sled-assist takeoff"

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #76 on: 01/19/2022 06:49 pm »
So they're sticking to the bottom of their previous payload estimate - it still seems a little far-fetched. As has been a common theme in this thread, I guess we'll wait and see.
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Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #77 on: 01/20/2022 12:22 am »
While nothing closed to hard numbers, the article drops some hints that rules out some options:
Quote
Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway.
No rocket-sled launch
Their website says "sled-assist takeoff"

Jet sled then?

Offline Gliderflyer

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #78 on: 01/20/2022 12:40 am »
While nothing closed to hard numbers, the article drops some hints that rules out some options:
Quote
Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway.
No rocket-sled launch
Their website says "sled-assist takeoff"

Jet sled then?
It used a rocket sled back when they were first announced in 2020:

https://twitter.com/meharris/status/1333452578663776265
I tried it at home

Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #79 on: 01/20/2022 05:44 am »
While nothing closed to hard numbers, the article drops some hints that rules out some options:
Quote
Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway.
No rocket-sled launch
Quote
powered by three liquid-fueled engines [...] At full power, this cryogenic-fueled engine will have a thrust of about 200,000 pounds.
Not Kerolox, somewhere in the range of 0.9MN per engine or ~2.7MN for the vehicle.
Quote
Space launch companies also now regularly "super chill" their liquid propellants to gain more performance during flight, which Radian plans to do.
Sub-chilled propellants.
Seems to me that Radian might has licensed the Merlin 1D from SpaceX. A mature cryogenic engine using densified sub-chilled propellants with a 192000 lbf thrust rating at sea level.


Also some sort sled/jettisonable undercarriage will be used for the take off IMO. Since it will likely to have equipment for starting the engines and lowers the landing gears weight in spaceplane. They done something like this for Messerschmitt Me-163 Komet during WWII.

Offline daedalus1

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #80 on: 01/20/2022 06:33 am »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

Online vaporcobra

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #81 on: 01/20/2022 08:08 am »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Really one of the weakest arguments out there to say that good or possible ideas "would have been done by now" in the context of spaceflight - especially post-Apollo American spaceflight, where most rockets fielded since the 70s have been shaped by shareholders, politicians, and bureaucrats as much as engineers and sound logic.

The odds are absolutely stacked against Radian but let's not try to argue that any rocket concept that hasn't been made real by 2022 is inherently a bad idea.

Offline daedalus1

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #82 on: 01/20/2022 08:22 am »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Really one of the weakest arguments out there to say that good or possible ideas "would have been done by now" in the context of spaceflight - especially post-Apollo American spaceflight, where most rockets fielded since the 70s have been shaped by shareholders, politicians, and bureaucrats as much as engineers and sound logic.

The odds are absolutely stacked against Radian but let's not try to argue that any rocket concept that hasn't been made real by 2022 is inherently a bad idea.

Well let's stick to the post subject.
X33 wasn't SSTO it was a technology demonstrator for Venture Star and had multiple failures and problems including cracking in the tanks. My comment is based on physics. 1 G is right on the edge of getting to orbital speed with the whole body and a significant payload unless you can scoop some oxygen from the air (Skylon).
I wish them the best of luck in this project as it would be a significant game changer.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 08:32 am by daedalus1 »

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #83 on: 01/20/2022 09:01 am »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

Lockheed, Boeing and McDonnell Douglas, even Chrysler, had two-stage to orbit rocket designs that would do what Starship would do. Some of these designs go back to the 1960s. It took till now for someone to put the ideas behind those designs on a pad and try and launch it. The status quo seems to be a more powerful force than gravity for the space launch business!
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 09:02 am by tea monster »

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #84 on: 01/20/2022 01:10 pm »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Really one of the weakest arguments out there to say that good or possible ideas "would have been done by now" in the context of spaceflight - especially post-Apollo American spaceflight, where most rockets fielded since the 70s have been shaped by shareholders, politicians, and bureaucrats as much as engineers and sound logic.

The odds are absolutely stacked against Radian but let's not try to argue that any rocket concept that hasn't been made real by 2022 is inherently a bad idea.

Well let's stick to the post subject.
X33 wasn't SSTO it was a technology demonstrator for Venture Star and had multiple failures and problems including cracking in the tanks. My comment is based on physics. 1 G is right on the edge of getting to orbital speed with the whole body and a significant payload unless you can scoop some oxygen from the air (Skylon).
I wish them the best of luck in this project as it would be a significant game changer.
Airbreathing doesn’t buy you that much. Dry mass is actually most strongly related to propellant VOLUME (and less so to propellant mass). Skylon has to carry an enormous volume of liquid hydrogen and has a high dry mass because of it.


In fact, I seem to recall HMXHMX saying that given the mass ratios skylon was proposing, it may actually be easier to make a SSTO using denser fuels without airbreathing than a SSTO using hydrogen airbreathing plus hydrolox….

…and here we are!

Dunn’s table of densified propellants for SSTO performance shows densified propylene/oxygen to be among the highest performance combinations for SSTO, beating hydrolox by a lot and even densified kerolox and methalox. Only more exotic propellants like cyclopropane improve on it, and then only slightly.

So I wonder if they’ll use something like densified propylene and oxygen. Or perhaps something like syntin (which is chemically related to cyclopropane) which the Russians/Soviets sometimes use(d).

The launch sled is a good idea, especially as it helps enable aborting the takeoff. Big brakes to stop after coming up to speed would be not viable for a SSTO vehicle without a sled. And getting it up to transonic speeds or so would be a very nice little assist as well, considering rockets burn up a lot of their propellant just to get off the pad. Rockets are least efficient at low speeds, so that small assist goes a long way.

And with the sled, they can also do captive tests of the vehicle without actually taking flight. That is easier from a regulatory standpoint (I don’t think it needs regulatory approval from the FAA), and they can even do tests before the wings are ready. They could do non-destructive qualifying tests on the airframe and propulsion systems. It’s actually a pretty good idea, to be honest. To enable the same thing without wings would mean you’d have to build a vertical launch assist tower, which would be a lot harder and more expensive.

It’s not as silly as it might seem. The launch sled buys you a lot. Using densified propellants buys you a LOT. (Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I do hope they consider a small payload assist motor. Would make it way easier to close the design early on. Could be just a STAR motor from ATK/NG or something. Even 1-2km/s for the kick stage would help improve margins by a HUGE amount. (Although recovering the vehicle may be tough, but wings make fly back easier)

At the limit they could go with super conservative margins and just do like a big Lynx Mark III approach, launching smallsats with a sizable payload assist upper stage after getting above the Karman Line. That would be super easy to make close. They could use massive margins everywhere as it’d be basically a three stage to orbit vehicle.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 05:38 pm by Robotbeat »
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #85 on: 01/20/2022 06:36 pm »
Quote
powered by three liquid-fueled engines [...] At full power, this cryogenic-fueled engine will have a thrust of about 200,000 pounds.
Not Kerolox, somewhere in the range of 0.9MN per engine or ~2.7MN for the vehicle.

Last I checked, Propane was one of the dream fuels of those who were studying SSTOs. It's cryogenic, but has a density much closer to RP1 than even Methane. It's what I'd put my money on.

200,000 lbs of thrust is ~890 kN. So it's a relatively moderately sized engine, and probably manageable. And apparently, they are already test firing one! That's a pretty good sign, if it's true.

From back in 2020 (so things may have changed):
A few notable details I gleaned from a quick skim through the patent:
The Launch Sled
-Acts as a TEL, with propellant feed lines and physical supports attached to the vehicle
-Has its own engines, which fire in addition to the vehicle's engines
-May feed propellant into the vehicle to replace that burned by the vehicle's engines during the takeoff run (quick disconnect before takeoff)
-May rotate the vehicle from an initial low-drag configuration to a nose-up takeoff configuration
-Has a braking system that can bring the whole vehicle to a halt in case of emergency (the takeoff run is one long engine checkout)
-Provides some initial velocity, but more importantly, reduces the demands on (and thus mass of) the landing gear, since the vehicle is only on its gear when its tanks are empty for landing
The Vehicle
-Designed for crew and low-mass cargo, "about 5-10000 pounds to LEO" (2.3-4.5 mT), claims the F9 is overpowered for these applications
-Fuel is JET-A, oxidizer is LOX
-Main engines have a "Tripped Area Ratio"/"Tripped Flow", which changes from about 33:1 to about 60:1 in-flight, allowing good sea-level and vacuum performance (no details on how exactly this would be implemented)
-Separate set of OMS engines above the main engines, potentially pressure-fed LOX/CNG gas-gas thrusters (I know who might be developing one of those)
-In addition to the shuttle's abort modes (ATO, AOA, Downrange, and RTLS), the entire cabin can detach and perform a powered abort (picture attached), using "bipropellant thrusters" and fuel tanks in the nose, plus chutes for recovery.  Intact abort modes would require venting fuel before landing due to the low-rated gear.
-Material selection hasn't been made yet, but short-lists composites, Aluminum, Titanium, and Stainless Steel.  Heat shield material also not selected yet, but TUFROC given as example.

Too me, this is the important part.
-Main engines have a "Tripped Area Ratio"/"Tripped Flow", which changes from about 33:1 to about 60:1 in-flight, allowing good sea-level and vacuum performance (no details on how exactly this would be implemented)

It was suggested back then that this may refer to a dual bell nozzle, which seems plausible to me.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 06:47 pm by JEF_300 »
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #86 on: 01/20/2022 06:46 pm »
Quote
powered by three liquid-fueled engines [...] At full power, this cryogenic-fueled engine will have a thrust of about 200,000 pounds.
Not Kerolox, somewhere in the range of 0.9MN per engine or ~2.7MN for the vehicle.
Last I checked, Propane was one of the dream fuels of those who were studying SSTOs. It's cryogenic, but has a density much closer to RP1 than even Methane. It's what I'd put my money on.
[/quote]
Not strictly speaking cryogenic. It is a liquid at room temperature under a modest amount of pressure. You can buy LPG (essentialy liquid propane)  in any small town in the US and you can find a "propane tank" under the grill in the back yard of a lot of suburban homes. I assume you can chill to to increase the density, but I don't know that and I don't know how much it would help.

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #87 on: 01/20/2022 06:52 pm »
Quote
powered by three liquid-fueled engines [...] At full power, this cryogenic-fueled engine will have a thrust of about 200,000 pounds.
Not Kerolox, somewhere in the range of 0.9MN per engine or ~2.7MN for the vehicle.
Last I checked, Propane was one of the dream fuels of those who were studying SSTOs. It's cryogenic, but has a density much closer to RP1 than even Methane. It's what I'd put my money on.
Not strictly speaking cryogenic. It is a liquid at room temperature under a modest amount of pressure. You can buy LPG (essentialy liquid propane)  in any small town in the US and you can find a "propane tank" under the grill in the back yard of a lot of suburban homes. I assume you can chill to to increase the density, but I don't know that and I don't know how much it would help.

The interesting gimmick of propane as a propellant is that the range of temperatures at which it's a liquid overlaps with oxygen's, by a few degrees; in other words, at temperatures where oxygen is just barely a liquid, propane is sub-chilled to just above it's freezing point. Supposedly, you can get room-temperature RP1 densities or better out of propane by chilling it that much, and your isp will still be a little better too. Usually people are interested in the weird tank shapes that are possible when both propellants are kept at the same temperature, but for SSTOs, the interest is in that density.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 06:58 pm by JEF_300 »
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Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #88 on: 01/20/2022 06:55 pm »
Quote
X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Nonsense all the way.

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #89 on: 01/20/2022 07:03 pm »

Material selection hasn't been made yet, but short-lists composites, Aluminum, Titanium, and Stainless Steel.

Lol, basically any possible aerospace structural material.
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #90 on: 01/20/2022 07:04 pm »
Quote
X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.
Nonsense all the way.

It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 07:05 pm by JEF_300 »
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Offline groundbound

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #91 on: 01/20/2022 07:40 pm »
It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.

I'm not completely disagreeing with you, but development budget and technical difficulty are not independent of each other.

Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #92 on: 01/20/2022 07:44 pm »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Really one of the weakest arguments out there to say that good or possible ideas "would have been done by now" in the context of spaceflight - especially post-Apollo American spaceflight, where most rockets fielded since the 70s have been shaped by shareholders, politicians, and bureaucrats as much as engineers and sound logic.

The odds are absolutely stacked against Radian but let's not try to argue that any rocket concept that hasn't been made real by 2022 is inherently a bad idea.

Well let's stick to the post subject.
X33 wasn't SSTO it was a technology demonstrator for Venture Star and had multiple failures and problems including cracking in the tanks. My comment is based on physics. 1 G is right on the edge of getting to orbital speed with the whole body and a significant payload unless you can scoop some oxygen from the air (Skylon).
I wish them the best of luck in this project as it would be a significant game changer.
Airbreathing doesn’t buy you that much. Dry mass is actually most strongly related to propellant VOLUME (and less so to propellant mass). Skylon has to carry an enormous volume of liquid hydrogen and has a high dry mass because of it.


In fact, I seem to recall HMXHMX saying that given the mass ratios skylon was proposing, it may actually be easier to make a SSTO using denser fuels without airbreathing than a SSTO using hydrogen airbreathing plus hydrolox….

…and here we are!

Dunn’s table of densified propellants for SSTO performance shows densified propylene/oxygen to be among the highest performance combinations for SSTO, beating hydrolox by a lot and even densified kerolox and methalox. Only more exotic propellants like cyclopropane improve on it, and then only slightly.

So I wonder if they’ll use something like densified propylene and oxygen. Or perhaps something like syntin (which is chemically related to cyclopropane) which the Russians/Soviets sometimes use(d).

The launch sled is a good idea, especially as it helps enable aborting the takeoff. Big brakes to stop after coming up to speed would be not viable for a SSTO vehicle without a sled. And getting it up to transonic speeds or so would be a very nice little assist as well, considering rockets burn up a lot of their propellant just to get off the pad. Rockets are least efficient at low speeds, so that small assist goes a long way.

And with the sled, they can also do captive tests of the vehicle without actually taking flight. That is easier from a regulatory standpoint (I don’t think it needs regulatory approval from the FAA), and they can even do tests before the wings are ready. They could do non-destructive qualifying tests on the airframe and propulsion systems. It’s actually a pretty good idea, to be honest. To enable the same thing without wings would mean you’d have to build a vertical launch assist tower, which would be a lot harder and more expensive.

It’s not as silly as it might seem. The launch sled buys you a lot. Using densified propellants buys you a LOT. (Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I do hope they consider a small payload assist motor. Would make it way easier to close the design early on. Could be just a STAR motor from ATK/NG or something. Even 1-2km/s for the kick stage would help improve margins by a HUGE amount. (Although recovering the vehicle may be tough, but wings make fly back easier)

At the limit they could go with super conservative margins and just do like a big Lynx Mark III approach, launching smallsats with a sizable payload assist upper stage after getting above the Karman Line. That would be super easy to make close. They could use massive margins everywhere as it’d be basically a three stage to orbit vehicle.

I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.

Really one of the weakest arguments out there to say that good or possible ideas "would have been done by now" in the context of spaceflight - especially post-Apollo American spaceflight, where most rockets fielded since the 70s have been shaped by shareholders, politicians, and bureaucrats as much as engineers and sound logic.

The odds are absolutely stacked against Radian but let's not try to argue that any rocket concept that hasn't been made real by 2022 is inherently a bad idea.

Well let's stick to the post subject.
X33 wasn't SSTO it was a technology demonstrator for Venture Star and had multiple failures and problems including cracking in the tanks. My comment is based on physics. 1 G is right on the edge of getting to orbital speed with the whole body and a significant payload unless you can scoop some oxygen from the air (Skylon).
I wish them the best of luck in this project as it would be a significant game changer.
Airbreathing doesn’t buy you that much. Dry mass is actually most strongly related to propellant VOLUME (and less so to propellant mass). Skylon has to carry an enormous volume of liquid hydrogen and has a high dry mass because of it.


In fact, I seem to recall HMXHMX saying that given the mass ratios skylon was proposing, it may actually be easier to make a SSTO using denser fuels without airbreathing than a SSTO using hydrogen airbreathing plus hydrolox….

…and here we are!

Dunn’s table of densified propellants for SSTO performance shows densified propylene/oxygen to be among the highest performance combinations for SSTO, beating hydrolox by a lot and even densified kerolox and methalox. Only more exotic propellants like cyclopropane improve on it, and then only slightly.

So I wonder if they’ll use something like densified propylene and oxygen. Or perhaps something like syntin (which is chemically related to cyclopropane) which the Russians/Soviets sometimes use(d).

The launch sled is a good idea, especially as it helps enable aborting the takeoff. Big brakes to stop after coming up to speed would be not viable for a SSTO vehicle without a sled. And getting it up to transonic speeds or so would be a very nice little assist as well, considering rockets burn up a lot of their propellant just to get off the pad. Rockets are least efficient at low speeds, so that small assist goes a long way.

And with the sled, they can also do captive tests of the vehicle without actually taking flight. That is easier from a regulatory standpoint (I don’t think it needs regulatory approval from the FAA), and they can even do tests before the wings are ready. They could do non-destructive qualifying tests on the airframe and propulsion systems. It’s actually a pretty good idea, to be honest. To enable the same thing without wings would mean you’d have to build a vertical launch assist tower, which would be a lot harder and more expensive.

It’s not as silly as it might seem. The launch sled buys you a lot. Using densified propellants buys you a LOT. (Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I do hope they consider a small payload assist motor. Would make it way easier to close the design early on. Could be just a STAR motor from ATK/NG or something. Even 1-2km/s for the kick stage would help improve margins by a HUGE amount. (Although recovering the vehicle may be tough, but wings make fly back easier)

At the limit they could go with super conservative margins and just do like a big Lynx Mark III approach, launching smallsats with a sizable payload assist upper stage after getting above the Karman Line. That would be super easy to make close. They could use massive margins everywhere as it’d be basically a three stage to orbit vehicle.

Good point about 1km/s kick stage. Something like Photon which would make all difference on rideshare missions.








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Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #93 on: 01/20/2022 07:55 pm »
Quote
X-33, which would have delivered meaningful payload to orbit with one stage, was arbitrarily canceled by political/bureaucratic nonsense when it was practically 95% complete with every immediate problem solved. N1, a potentially great rocket, was canceled because of politics, funding, and the death of its creator. Energia and Buran, both potentially extraordinary and better than anything operating at the time, died because of funding and the collapse of the USSR. There are a thousand other paper or incomplete rockets that were never realized.
Nonsense all the way.

It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.
I honestly disagree here. X-33 had massive. MASSIVE technical problems that were unresolved. If they hadn’t had such issues, it’s very likely it wouldn’t have faced those financial issues.

In a way, saying that they all failed due to financial issues is kinda like saying a car crash victim died because their heart stopped. Like, kinda true, but that’s only the proximate cause, not the root cause. Could’ve still shocked that dead guy’s heart and kept it limping along, but as we know from Blue Origin, sometimes no amount of money is enough to solve technical problems any faster.
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #94 on: 01/20/2022 08:03 pm »
It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.
I honestly disagree here. X-33 had massive. MASSIVE technical problems that were unresolved. If they hadn’t had such issues, it’s very likely it wouldn’t have faced those financial issues.

In a way, saying that they all failed due to financial issues is kinda like saying a car crash victim died because their heart stopped. Like, kinda true, but that’s only the proximate cause, not the root cause. Could’ve still shocked that dead guy’s heart and kept it limping along, but as we know from Blue Origin, sometimes no amount of money is enough to solve technical problems any faster.
It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.

I'm not completely disagreeing with you, but development budget and technical difficulty are not independent of each other.

I'd like to point us back to the post that started this for a moment.

If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage.

This suggests that's it is impossible - literally, technically, physically, scientifically, mathematically, etc. - impossible to build an SSTO (with meaningful payload).

We don't know that that is true, because none has ever finished.

And sure, I agree that it's extremely hard technically. And I absolutely agree that the budget issues are related to it being so technically difficult. In fact, I think it's fair to say that it may be that building an SSTO is so hard technically that it is therefore financially impossible.

But that's not the same thing as being "actually" impossible, at least in the way that term is generally used. And that is what I'm taking exception to.

I mean, if we consider things that are financially impossible to be "actually" impossible, then wouldn't it be fair to say that a crewed Mars mission is impossible. Surely, if it was at all possible to justify spending that much on such a mission, it would've happened by now? Perhaps even a return to the Moon is impossible, by this measure. Over the years, there have probably been just as many attempts to return to the Moon as SSTOs, and yet it's never panned out, for much the same reasons.


EDIT: I hate that we've dragged the thread off topic like this, but it was always gonna happen on an SSTO thread, so perhaps better to do it early.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 08:55 pm by JEF_300 »
Wait, ∆V? This site will accept the ∆ symbol? How many times have I written out the word "delta" for no reason?

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #95 on: 01/20/2022 08:48 pm »
On the actual topic of Radian's SSTO, I think it is a much more plausible proposal than most have given it credit for.

 - It uses engines of a manageable size to develop.
 - It's using a denser propellant than Hydrogen, as the SSTO experts seem to have decided is best.
 - This seems to avoid the classic SSTO trap of assuming that some wonder technology is going to magically make it all work.
 - Aerospace technology in general, and materials science in particular, has advanced dramatically since the last major attempts in the late 90s. Hopefully that means that the margins are more manageable than razor thin. Or, at least the very least are back-of-the-razorblade thin rather than edge-of-the-razorblade thin.

I'd suggest that it's a good deal more plausible a vehicle than past SSTOs, at the very least.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2022 08:53 pm by JEF_300 »
Wait, ∆V? This site will accept the ∆ symbol? How many times have I written out the word "delta" for no reason?

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #96 on: 01/20/2022 09:37 pm »
It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.
I honestly disagree here. X-33 had massive. MASSIVE technical problems that were unresolved. If they hadn’t had such issues, it’s very likely it wouldn’t have faced those financial issues.

In a way, saying that they all failed due to financial issues is kinda like saying a car crash victim died because their heart stopped. Like, kinda true, but that’s only the proximate cause, not the root cause. Could’ve still shocked that dead guy’s heart and kept it limping along, but as we know from Blue Origin, sometimes no amount of money is enough to solve technical problems any faster.
It's really not. I mean, I'm not gonna say that X-33 would've worked or anything; because really, who could know. But the fact remains that every attempt at an SSTO I am aware of was cancelled because of budget reasons rather than technical ones.

I'm not completely disagreeing with you, but development budget and technical difficulty are not independent of each other.

I'd like to point us back to the post that started this for a moment.

If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage.

This suggests that's it is impossible - literally, technically, physically, scientifically, mathematically, etc. - impossible to build an SSTO (with meaningful payload).

We don't know that that is true, because none has ever finished.

And sure, I agree that it's extremely hard technically. And I absolutely agree that the budget issues are related to it being so technically difficult. In fact, I think it's fair to say that it may be that building an SSTO is so hard technically that it is therefore financially impossible.

But that's not the same thing as being "actually" impossible, at least in the way that term is generally used. And that is what I'm taking exception to.

I mean, if we consider things that are financially impossible to be "actually" impossible, then wouldn't it be fair to say that a crewed Mars mission is impossible. Surely, if it was at all possible to justify spending that much on such a mission, it would've happened by now? Perhaps even a return to the Moon is impossible, by this measure. Over the years, there have probably been just as many attempts to return to the Moon as SSTOs, and yet it's never panned out, for much the same reasons.


EDIT: I hate that we've dragged the thread off topic like this, but it was always gonna happen on an SSTO thread, so perhaps better to do it early.
A literal reusable SSTO, HTHL or VTVL or VTHL or whathaveyou, is physically possible. I don't doubt that.
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #97 on: 01/20/2022 09:44 pm »
On the actual topic of Radian's SSTO, I think it is a much more plausible proposal than most have given it credit for.

 - It uses engines of a manageable size to develop.
 - It's using a denser propellant than Hydrogen, as the SSTO experts seem to have decided is best.
 - This seems to avoid the classic SSTO trap of assuming that some wonder technology is going to magically make it all work.
 - Aerospace technology in general, and materials science in particular, has advanced dramatically since the last major attempts in the late 90s. Hopefully that means that the margins are more manageable than razor thin. Or, at least the very least are back-of-the-razorblade thin rather than edge-of-the-razorblade thin.
I'd suggest that it's a good deal more plausible a vehicle than past SSTOs, at the very least.

Any SSTO vehicle will need to have empty weight under 5% of the all up launch weight. That is still hugely difficult.
I'm not sure about the 'dramatic advances' in the relevant technologies. I don't know of any recent ultra light structure high performance aircraft or space vehicles, suggesting the difficult engineering challenges involved have not been addressed as yet. That said, Musk made reusable launchers happen on a shoe string budget, so perhaps there is a way.

Offline jongoff

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #98 on: 01/20/2022 09:57 pm »
I've said this elsewhere. If this is possible it would have been done by now. You can't have any meaningful payload to orbit using one stage. Unless you resort to the very difficult method of using atmospheric oxygen in the lower atmosphere.

No, it's pretty clear to me that there are ways to make SSTOs, and even reusable SSTOs with meaningful payload.

<pedantic rant>
The physical possibility of something and its existence are two very different things. Something may be physically possible, but not worth doing. Something may also be physically possible, and worth doing, just not yet demonstrated.

For example, a powered landing VTVL first stage is something that has been theoretically possible for decades, and which many of us recognized as worth doing for decades. There were some proof-of-concept demos in the form of DC-X, Armadillo, and my old company, Masten, but it took the right combination of team, resources, and circumstances for SpaceX to finally demonstrate it in the form of a commercially operational and useful VTVL first stage. Before SpaceX had proven it, was it somehow not physically possible? Or not worthwhile? No, it just wasn't proven. There's a difference.
<end of pedantic rant>

All of that aside, while I think that SSTOs with meaningful payload are not theoretically impossible, and while I think they may be beneficial in some subset of applications, the question in Radian's case, IMO is if it's plausible that their vehicle could actually realistically work as a reusable SSTO... I'm somewhat skeptical based on the details I've heard in the past.

Though I think that a) there are things they could change to their design that could get them to a full SSTO capability, and b) even if they don't get all the way to a full "SSTO" capability, they might be able to get close enough to make something commercially useful (ie close enough that drop tanks, strapons, or a circularization motor, or in-air refueling could get them there).

~Jon

Offline jongoff

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #99 on: 01/20/2022 10:07 pm »
(Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I'd caveat that statement re: low density of hydrolox with "when used at normal mixture ratios in normal rocket engines". With LOX-rich TAN, you could theoretically make a stage O/F ratio of 12-18:1 work (instead of the traditional 4-6:1), which would help bulk density a ton, at the cost of lower Isp during the boost phase (which does help lower gravity losses though).

I do agree though that pure LOX/LH2 at traditional mixture ratios has crappier bulk density than you'd want for an SSTO.

When Aerojet did their TAN papers, they also looked at tri-propellant TAN -- where the main chamber was LOX/LH2, and the TAN injection was LOX/Kero. IIRC, they showed that that tripropellant approach actually closed way better than either pure LOX/Kero or pure LOX/LH2 for an SSTO designs -- high thrust and high bulk density for the start, high Isp for the end, and overall a great T/W ratio on the engines in booster mode (especially compared to typical LOX/LH2 engines).

Given that Radian hasn't publicly stated what their engines are using, it's possible they could be doing something clever/unusual like this. Though I kind of think they would've said so if they were, because that would make the whole concept seem more plausible.

~Jon

Offline trimeta

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #100 on: 01/20/2022 10:49 pm »
While it may be physically possible to build a reusable SSTO, what I find extremely unlikely is for a reusable SSTO to have any advantages whatsoever over a fully-reusable TSTO with similar payload capabilities. For example, imagine if Rocket Lab's Neutron used an inflatable heat shield and mid-air recovery to reuse the second stage. That would drop its payload into a similar range as Radian One. What hypothetical advantages would Radian One have in this scenario? Faster turnaround time? I imagine the Neutron booster could be refurbished much more easily, and you could have a few second stages in rotation. Cheaper reuse? Again, the booster would be significantly cheaper to refurbish, and while I'm not sure if the inflatable heat shield could be reused, I'd be more concerned about the condition of Radian One's heat shield after it's protected the entire SSTO from reentry. Less GSE? Neutron is designed for minimal(ish) GSE (stacking/vertical integration will be done inside the factory), while Radian one requires a rocket sled that's basically as complex as a first stage, plus a heat-resistant runway. In addition to being able to support subchilled propellent.

This is just one example of a fully-reusable TSTO which could trivially outperform Radian One in every way, and it wasn't even designed with second-stage reuse in mind. Something like Terran R or even STOKE Space Technologies' rocket would compare even more favorably.

Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #101 on: 01/20/2022 10:53 pm »
The biggest issue is heat shield, how reuseable will be. Lighter it is shorter its life before needing refurbishing.

Rest of dry mass design is well understood.

Shuttle and X37 are the only reuseable winged vehicles with any orbital reuse history. How is X37 heat shield holding up?

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Offline trimeta

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #102 on: 01/20/2022 11:00 pm »
The biggest issue is heat shield, how reuseable will be. Lighter it is shorter its life before needing refurbishing.

Rest of dry mass design is well understood.

Shuttle and X37 are the only reuseable winged vehicles with any orbital reuse history. How is X37 heat shield holding up?

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I'd imagine the X-37B's heat shield is doing much better than Radian One's would, since X-37B is a much smaller vehicle (on account of not needing to get itself into space).

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #103 on: 01/21/2022 03:00 am »
The biggest issue is heat shield, how reuseable will be. Lighter it is shorter its life before needing refurbishing.

Rest of dry mass design is well understood.

Shuttle and X37 are the only reuseable winged vehicles with any orbital reuse history. How is X37 heat shield holding up?

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I'd imagine the X-37B's heat shield is doing much better than Radian One's would, since X-37B is a much smaller vehicle (on account of not needing to get itself into space).

OTOH it will likely have a much lower ballistic coefficient than the X-37B.

But hauling giant wings all the way to orbit in order to get a low ballistic coefficient might not be the most optimum choice... or maybe it is: IANARS  :)

Offline gmbnz

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #104 on: 01/21/2022 04:24 am »

Material selection hasn't been made yet, but short-lists composites, Aluminum, Titanium, and Stainless Steel.

Lol, basically any possible aerospace structural material.

Almost... except for composites, which I would have thought would be the prime candidate! Especially considering that RL, VO and Firefly have all successfully launched linerless cryo composite tanks, and 'big aero' is getting onboard with composites too.

The launch sled is a good idea, especially as it helps enable aborting the takeoff. Big brakes to stop after coming up to speed would be not viable for a SSTO vehicle without a sled. And getting it up to transonic speeds or so would be a very nice little assist as well, considering rockets burn up a lot of their propellant just to get off the pad. Rockets are least efficient at low speeds, so that small assist goes a long way.

And with the sled, they can also do captive tests of the vehicle without actually taking flight. That is easier from a regulatory standpoint (I don’t think it needs regulatory approval from the FAA), and they can even do tests before the wings are ready. They could do non-destructive qualifying tests on the airframe and propulsion systems. It’s actually a pretty good idea, to be honest. To enable the same thing without wings would mean you’d have to build a vertical launch assist tower, which would be a lot harder and more expensive.

The other benefit is that you also only need the structure/load paths for the landing gear to handle an empty vehicle, which considering it will only be around 5% of the liftoff mass should allow for much more spindly gear. Of course, that has the large caveat that if you want to be able to abort and recover the vehicle (which for crew seems rather desirable) then you can't get that benefit.

Online meekGee

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #105 on: 01/21/2022 04:29 am »
What I don't understand is what does SSTO buy you over a streamlined TSTO system that's compromised of two independent rapidly reusable vehicles.

I mean by definition you'll be lugging your first stage to orbit and then re-entering it.

Not only will it be more complex and expensive, but you also won't have it back in 20 minutes to launch again..

I see the allure when compared with a traditional "pieces fall off" type rocket, but I just don't see the motivation at the present time.
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Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #106 on: 01/21/2022 04:59 am »
On the actual topic of Radian's SSTO, I think it is a much more plausible proposal than most have given it credit for.

 - It uses engines of a manageable size to develop.
 - It's using a denser propellant than Hydrogen, as the SSTO experts seem to have decided is best.
 - This seems to avoid the classic SSTO trap of assuming that some wonder technology is going to magically make it all work.
 - Aerospace technology in general, and materials science in particular, has advanced dramatically since the last major attempts in the late 90s. Hopefully that means that the margins are more manageable than razor thin. Or, at least the very least are back-of-the-razorblade thin rather than edge-of-the-razorblade thin.
I'd suggest that it's a good deal more plausible a vehicle than past SSTOs, at the very least.

Any SSTO vehicle will need to have empty weight under 5% of the all up launch weight. That is still hugely difficult.


Bingo. Best specific impulse of any kerolox engine (in vaccuum) is the Soyuz rocket (the irony is delightful !) RD-0124 with 362 seconds.
Even with such awesome engine, the rocket equation (being the rocket equation, you exponential silly thing) mandates 5% of rocketplane, tanks and payload around 95% of kerosene and LOX propellants.

Put otherwise: if we suppose the Radian rocketplane weights 200 tons ready for takeoff, then 190 tons must be kerosene and LOX inside the tanks.
The "physical" rocketplane with the payload inside must be 10 metric tons. If it bust that limit, then goodbye orbit: welcome suborbital.
Remember, Earth orbit for kerolox is (roughly) 9400 m/s - or bust. Not 9250 m/s, not 9000 m/s: 9400. Any small "gap" and its over.

https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/expeditions/expedition30/tryanny.html


Offline su27k

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #107 on: 01/21/2022 05:01 am »
Looks like Dylan Taylor of Voyager Space Holdings invested in this:

https://twitter.com/dylan/status/1484154398465011717

Quote
Hah. Not sure about that but the team does have 1-2 things up their sleeve technically that haven’t been considered before. When those features are known by the wider community, I think the viability of their approach will be better understood. Still a very hard problem though.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #108 on: 01/21/2022 05:09 am »
Quote
the team does have 1-2 things up their sleeve technically

We shall see - I like when engineers get very smart to try and tackle the SSTO issue. Airbreathing, aerospike, launch assist systems... it's fascinating.

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #109 on: 01/21/2022 05:23 am »
Put otherwise: if we suppose the Radian rocketplane weights 200 tons ready for takeoff, then 190 tons must be kerosene and LOX inside the tanks.
The "physical" rocketplane with the payload inside must be 10 metric tons.

That 190 t of propellant would require a volume of only 184 mł.

Quote
Remember, Earth orbit for kerolox is (roughly) 9400 m/s - or bust. Not 9250 m/s, not 9000 m/s: 9400. Any small "gap" and its over.

For an 80x185 km orbit, my simulations gave a vacuum equivalent delta-V of 9088 m/s for kerolox. In this case, the dry mass ratio increases to 7.5% (assuming Isp = 362.4 s). Deploy the payload at apogee and re-enter one orbit later. A small kick stage then puts the payload into orbit.

http://www.sworld.com.au/steven/pub/nsto.pdf

« Last Edit: 01/21/2022 05:27 am by Steven Pietrobon »
Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design #1:  Engineering is done with numbers.  Analysis without numbers is only an opinion.

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #110 on: 01/21/2022 07:01 am »
I like your paper, it is one of my references - along with a few others: Clapp, Sorensen & Bonometti and Sarigul-Klijn (the latter, for air launch tradeoff and gains).

Wikipedia has some further numbers (with the usual caveats) here.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocket_sled_launch

Offline ThatOldJanxSpirit

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #111 on: 01/21/2022 07:42 am »
Stephen Fleming’s comment says it all for me: “…I like wings, and I like (the idea of) SSTO…”.
I’ve often worried about this emotional attachment to winged space vehicles that sometimes leads us astray.

This is a commercial product, not an X plane. It doesn’t just have to work to be successful, it has to be competitive with TSTO offerings.  Unfortunately TSTO is an inherently easier architecture to get to work by a huge margin.

They may (just) be able to build this.
There is no way this is built to the budget.
There is no way this is built to the timescale.
There is no way a business case closes.

Online tbellman

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #112 on: 01/21/2022 12:22 pm »
What I don't understand is what does SSTO buy you over a streamlined TSTO system that's compromised of two independent rapidly reusable vehicles.
[ . . . ]
I see the allure when compared with a traditional "pieces fall off" type rocket, but I just don't see the motivation at the present time.

When reading about previous single-stage-to-orbit efforts, I have gotten the impression that the operation of stacking of multiple stages were at least seen as something slow and laborious.  It seemed to me that the assumption was that stacking would take several days, perhaps even weeks, and thus be detrimental to rapid reflight.  Possibly informed by e.g. the space shuttle, which needed to be moved to the separate Vehicle Assembly Building, mated to its very large and heavy SRBs, and then slowly transported on the crawler-transporter to the launch pad.

What they wanted was "airliner-like operations", where the just-landed vehicle could just be hooked up to a tow truck, dragged to the launch pad, be raised to vertical, fuelled, and launched again within a few hours.

(Admittedly, my impression of how stacking was seen, has been formed mostly by reading between the lines of third-party descriptions of those SSTO efforts.)

But I think we can agree that at assumptions that stacking has to be slow, are incorrect.  Properly designed, with both the first stage and the upper stage/spacecraft landing next to the launch pad, and things actually designed for easy and rapid mating, it should be possible to get them stacked and ready for reflight in a couple of hours.

Online meekGee

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #113 on: 01/21/2022 01:29 pm »
What I don't understand is what does SSTO buy you over a streamlined TSTO system that's compromised of two independent rapidly reusable vehicles.
[ . . . ]
I see the allure when compared with a traditional "pieces fall off" type rocket, but I just don't see the motivation at the present time.

When reading about previous single-stage-to-orbit efforts, I have gotten the impression that the operation of stacking of multiple stages were at least seen as something slow and laborious.  It seemed to me that the assumption was that stacking would take several days, perhaps even weeks, and thus be detrimental to rapid reflight.  Possibly informed by e.g. the space shuttle, which needed to be moved to the separate Vehicle Assembly Building, mated to its very large and heavy SRBs, and then slowly transported on the crawler-transporter to the launch pad.

What they wanted was "airliner-like operations", where the just-landed vehicle could just be hooked up to a tow truck, dragged to the launch pad, be raised to vertical, fuelled, and launched again within a few hours.

(Admittedly, my impression of how stacking was seen, has been formed mostly by reading between the lines of third-party descriptions of those SSTO efforts.)

But I think we can agree that at assumptions that stacking has to be slow, are incorrect.  Properly designed, with both the first stage and the upper stage/spacecraft landing next to the launch pad, and things actually designed for easy and rapid mating, it should be possible to get them stacked and ready for reflight in a couple of hours.
Exactly.

All those drawbacks (and others) of staged systems were a function of how they were designed and operated.

Turns out you can have airline like operations with a staged system, and from a physics perspective staging is hugely advantageous, whether SSTO is just possible or not.
ABCD - Always Be Counting Down

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #114 on: 01/21/2022 08:23 pm »
What I don't understand is what does SSTO buy you over a streamlined TSTO system that's compromised of two independent rapidly reusable vehicles.

I mean by definition you'll be lugging your first stage to orbit and then re-entering it.

Not only will it be more complex and expensive, but you also won't have it back in 20 minutes to launch again..

I see the allure when compared with a traditional "pieces fall off" type rocket, but I just don't see the motivation at the present time.

1. The ability to operate from a runway, even if you have to drag a launch sled along with you to do it, dramatically simplifies your ground handling and infrastructure. It also gives you more flexibility when deciding where to launch from.

2. Being an SSTO, no time or money (money is the far more important part) has to be spent between flights on vehicle integration, only payload integration. Yes, stage integration has historically been far less efficient than it could be. That doesn't change the fact that no integration is still faster and cheaper, particularly since that means you don't need to build and/or maintain and/or travel-to the facilities needed for stage integration. (Unless you decided to use a launch sled, in which case I guess reintegration with the sled is basically stage integration. I really don't like the sled.)

3. Even SpaceX isn't seriously consider launching the same vehicle more than once a day, so having to wait at least 90 minutes to get the vehicle back is hardly an issue.

4. This is in some ways more of an idle thought than a point. I would also think that a reusable TSTO should be inherently simpler than an SSTO. That said, the main example we have of a RTSTO design is Starship, which is using the most complicated rocket engine ever developed. Only time will tell, but it may be the most teams designing RTSTOs willingly give up their simplicity advantage in favor of further boosting their performance advantage.
« Last Edit: 01/21/2022 08:36 pm by JEF_300 »
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #115 on: 01/21/2022 08:45 pm »
As for the wings, I'd like to point out that wings don't have to be dead weight on launch. In fact, it was discussed up-thread that Pegasus' wings actually increased performance.

Having wings (even with a mediocre TWR) should actually help gravity losses significantly as the lift offsets gravity early in flight when losses would otherwise be the highest.  Recall that the wings on the Pegasus rocket actually increased the payload capacity, despite the added mass.
The lead developer for Pegasus answered questions on the development process on the Pegasus thread some
years back. I recall coming across an old Pop Sci article written around the time the original version first launched
which also talked about their approach

Orbital was strapped for cash at the time. They'd gone in big developing the Inertial Upper Stage for the Shuttle then Challenger happened so were looking for a new project to use their rocket knowledge and get some cash in. 

IOW they wouldn't have added wings to the design unless it gave substantial benefits to justify having them made. Keep in mind the wing has no propellant storage or control surfaces (fins on the rear of the first stage provide those).

This is the Q&A in question, and specifically the posts about the wings:
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=3911.msg58446#msg58446
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=3911.msg58448#msg58448
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Offline trimeta

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #116 on: 01/21/2022 08:58 pm »
1. The ability to operate from a runway, even if you have to drag a launch sled along with you to do it, dramatically simplifies your ground handling and infrastructure. It also gives you more flexibility when deciding where to launch from.

How is a rocket sled cheaper than a launch tower? The tower is a single static piece of infrastructure, it doesn't need to move at supersonic speeds, so I would imagine it's much cheaper to build and maintain. And you'd need the same fueling infrastructure in either case. Also, between the sled probably needing to be on rails, and the runway needing to support extreme heat loads, you're not taking this rocket sled to an arbitrary runway: it's fixed to a single launch site, same as the launch tower.

Quote from: JEF_300
2. Being an SSTO, no time or money (money is the far more important part) has to be spent between flights on vehicle integration, only payload integration. Yes, stage integration has historically been far less efficient than it could be. That doesn't change the fact that no integration is still faster and cheaper, particularly since that means you don't need to build and/or maintain and/or travel-to the facilities needed for stage integration. (Unless you decided to use a launch sled, in which case I guess reintegration with the sled is basically stage integration. I really don't like the sled.)

The question is whether the extra refurbishment necessary because the entire vehicle went to space and not just the much-smaller upper stage is more time-consuming and expensive than using a crane to stack a TSTO back together. My expectation would be "yes."

Plus, as you mention, the launch sled, which does seem to be part of Radian's plans.

Quote from: JEF_300
3. Even SpaceX isn't seriously consider launching the same vehicle more than once a day, so having to wait at least 90 minutes to get the vehicle back is hardly an issue.

True, but the real limiting factor will be refurbishment, and as mentioned earlier refurbishing the upper stage will likely be cheaper and faster than refurbishing the entire SSTO. Plus, because the upper stage will likely be cheaper to build, you could have more than one and cycle them out, reducing the time between launches even further.

Quote from: JEF_300
4. This is in some ways more of an idle thought than a point. I would also think that a reusable TSTO should be inherently simpler than an SSTO. That said, the main example we have of a RTSTO design is Starship, which is using the most complicated rocket engine ever developed. Only time will tell, but it may be the most teams designing RTSTOs willingly give up their simplicity advantage in favor of further boosting their performance advantage.

Sure, but prior to Radian the best-known examples of reusable SSTOs were VentureStar and Skylon, both of which use engines arguably more complex than Raptor. Plus, I earlier outlined a relatively straightforward way to turn Neutron into a fully-reusable TSTO, and Archimedes is a simple gas generator.

Offline Rocket Science

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #117 on: 01/21/2022 09:49 pm »
Looks interesting, wish Gary and all the other team members good luck!
"The laws of physics are unforgiving"
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #118 on: 01/21/2022 10:40 pm »
First of all:
Also, between the sled probably needing to be on rails, and the runway needing to support extreme heat loads, you're not taking this rocket sled to an arbitrary runway: it's fixed to a single launch site, same as the launch tower.

The recent interviews and articles all say it can take off from a runway. Maybe they abandoned the launch sled. Maybe the sled is free moving on wheels rather than on rails. Maybe at this point, the "sled" is more like the take-off wheels of the Me-163. I don't know, all I can tell you is what we're told, and that is "Radian Aerospace said it is deep into the design of an airplane-like vehicle that could take off from a runway, ignite its rocket engines, spend time in orbit, and then return to Earth and land on a runway." (Eric Berger's article)

1. The ability to operate from a runway, even if you have to drag a launch sled along with you to do it, dramatically simplifies your ground handling and infrastructure. It also gives you more flexibility when deciding where to launch from.

How is a rocket sled cheaper than a launch tower? The tower is a single static piece of infrastructure, it doesn't need to move at supersonic speeds, so I would imagine it's much cheaper to build and maintain. And you'd need the same fueling infrastructure in either case.

Refueling infrastructure is the thing I'm least worried about; Virgin Orbit is providing a good small scale example of how that could all work, for apparently not that much expense.

Assuming there is a launch sled still being used; even two years ago, the general consensus seemed to be that it would be a sub-sonic sled, that really only exists so that the landing gear don't need to be rated to support the vehicle's fully fueled weight (gear that support more also weigh more themselves, and this is an SSTO). So it probably won't need to be rated for supersonic travel.

I had a big long thing written out here, but the summary is that buildings actually are expensive, they're just not nearly as expensive as rockets, which skews our perspective.

Anyway, could a sled actually be cheaper than a pad? I don't know. I really don't like the sled, so I'm not gonna defend it. To me, the sled seems like a lot of extra work, expense, and complication, for minimal benefit. I say that if rating the gear for the wet mass is an issue, that Me-163 system I talked about earlier is the way to go.
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #119 on: 01/21/2022 10:41 pm »
Quote from: JEF_300
2. Being an SSTO, no time or money (money is the far more important part) has to be spent between flights on vehicle integration, only payload integration. Yes, stage integration has historically been far less efficient than it could be. That doesn't change the fact that no integration is still faster and cheaper, particularly since that means you don't need to build and/or maintain and/or travel-to the facilities needed for stage integration. (Unless you decided to use a launch sled, in which case I guess reintegration with the sled is basically stage integration. I really don't like the sled.)

The question is whether the extra refurbishment necessary because the entire vehicle went to space and not just the much-smaller upper stage is more time-consuming and expensive than using a crane to stack a TSTO back together. My expectation would be "yes."

Fair point, the refurbishment would be worse.

As for whether or not SSTO refurbishment would be cheaper than TSTO integration & refurbishment, my answer would be: who knows?

Making that determination requires taking two completely separate processes, for separate vehicles, that don't yet exist, and comparing the costs. Thats the sort of job an entire team of engineers could spend 6+ months studying before they came to an answer. And even then, I'd bet anything that no two engineering teams would come up with the same answer. To even begin to work on that problem you need to make at least a dozen different assumptions about the design of your two vehicles.
« Last Edit: 01/21/2022 10:42 pm by JEF_300 »
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Offline HMXHMX

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #120 on: 01/22/2022 03:44 am »
Looks interesting, wish Gary and all the other team members good luck!

Thanks, but I'm not currently involved – working other projects.  I and my colleague Bevin McKinney did some concept trade studies and built some engine hardware for Radian over the years but aren't currently part of the effort.  But best of luck to them.

Offline Rocket Science

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #121 on: 01/25/2022 01:19 am »
What I don't understand is what does SSTO buy you over a streamlined TSTO system that's compromised of two independent rapidly reusable vehicles.

I mean by definition you'll be lugging your first stage to orbit and then re-entering it.

Not only will it be more complex and expensive, but you also won't have it back in 20 minutes to launch again..

I see the allure when compared with a traditional "pieces fall off" type rocket, but I just don't see the motivation at the present time.

1. The ability to operate from a runway, even if you have to drag a launch sled along with you to do it, dramatically simplifies your ground handling and infrastructure. It also gives you more flexibility when deciding where to launch from.

2. Being an SSTO, no time or money (money is the far more important part) has to be spent between flights on vehicle integration, only payload integration. Yes, stage integration has historically been far less efficient than it could be. That doesn't change the fact that no integration is still faster and cheaper, particularly since that means you don't need to build and/or maintain and/or travel-to the facilities needed for stage integration. (Unless you decided to use a launch sled, in which case I guess reintegration with the sled is basically stage integration. I really don't like the sled.)

3. Even SpaceX isn't seriously consider launching the same vehicle more than once a day, so having to wait at least 90 minutes to get the vehicle back is hardly an issue.

4. This is in some ways more of an idle thought than a point. I would also think that a reusable TSTO should be inherently simpler than an SSTO. That said, the main example we have of a RTSTO design is Starship, which is using the most complicated rocket engine ever developed. Only time will tell, but it may be the most teams designing RTSTOs willingly give up their simplicity advantage in favor of further boosting their performance advantage.
TAV concept had a jet sled launch...
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Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #122 on: 01/25/2022 11:03 am »
And nowadays with drones it would be a bit easier to built. Incidentally, Aevum is trying just that except the other way around: supersonic drone air launching small rockets.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #123 on: 01/26/2022 02:13 am »
(Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I'd caveat that statement re: low density of hydrolox with "when used at normal mixture ratios in normal rocket engines". With LOX-rich TAN, you could theoretically make a stage O/F ratio of 12-18:1 work (instead of the traditional 4-6:1), which would help bulk density a ton, at the cost of lower Isp during the boost phase (which does help lower gravity losses though).

I do agree though that pure LOX/LH2 at traditional mixture ratios has crappier bulk density than you'd want for an SSTO.

When Aerojet did their TAN papers, they also looked at tri-propellant TAN -- where the main chamber was LOX/LH2, and the TAN injection was LOX/Kero. IIRC, they showed that that tripropellant approach actually closed way better than either pure LOX/Kero or pure LOX/LH2 for an SSTO designs -- high thrust and high bulk density for the start, high Isp for the end, and overall a great T/W ratio on the engines in booster mode (especially compared to typical LOX/LH2 engines).

Given that Radian hasn't publicly stated what their engines are using, it's possible they could be doing something clever/unusual like this. Though I kind of think they would've said so if they were, because that would make the whole concept seem more plausible.

~Jon

Maybe they were being guarded while TAN was going off-patent? The basic TAN patent is now open, but were the tripropellant modes free and clear then?

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #124 on: 01/26/2022 02:15 am »
TAV concept had a jet sled launch...

Interesting point is that the flying sled depicted is also a PARWIG when moving from a standing start as well...

Offline HMXHMX

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #125 on: 01/26/2022 03:01 am »
(Although we don’t know what they’re using… if it’s hydrolox like X-33, then they will struggle. It’s one of the worst SSTO propellants to use because of its low density.)

I'd caveat that statement re: low density of hydrolox with "when used at normal mixture ratios in normal rocket engines". With LOX-rich TAN, you could theoretically make a stage O/F ratio of 12-18:1 work (instead of the traditional 4-6:1), which would help bulk density a ton, at the cost of lower Isp during the boost phase (which does help lower gravity losses though).

I do agree though that pure LOX/LH2 at traditional mixture ratios has crappier bulk density than you'd want for an SSTO.

When Aerojet did their TAN papers, they also looked at tri-propellant TAN -- where the main chamber was LOX/LH2, and the TAN injection was LOX/Kero. IIRC, they showed that that tripropellant approach actually closed way better than either pure LOX/Kero or pure LOX/LH2 for an SSTO designs -- high thrust and high bulk density for the start, high Isp for the end, and overall a great T/W ratio on the engines in booster mode (especially compared to typical LOX/LH2 engines).

Given that Radian hasn't publicly stated what their engines are using, it's possible they could be doing something clever/unusual like this. Though I kind of think they would've said so if they were, because that would make the whole concept seem more plausible.

~Jon

Maybe they were being guarded while TAN was going off-patent? The basic TAN patent is now open, but were the tripropellant modes free and clear then?


Offline su27k

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #126 on: 01/26/2022 03:01 am »
As john smith 19 pointed out before, this is quite similar to Boeing RASV, which also uses a sled for takeoff.

Source: https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/citations/ADB216503

Offline HMXHMX

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #127 on: 01/26/2022 03:03 am »
As john smith 19 pointed out before, this is quite similar to Boeing RASV, which also uses a sled for takeoff.

Source: https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/citations/ADB216503

Offline libra

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #128 on: 01/26/2022 06:09 am »
Ah sure, if they got the TAN way then it makes their SSTO endeavour a bit more convincing. A decade ago Melvin Bulman at Aerojet had an extremely promising concept he called "Variable Element Launcher". It was a paradigm change for SSTOs.

The smart trick was to add kerosene fuel (or hydrogen fuel) into the exhaust, rather that in the combustion chamber (as done by Salkeld and Beichel and also MAKS RD-701).
Put otherwise: a rocket AFTERBURNER, rather than tweaking the injectors inside the combustion chambers.

Going tripropellant, yes - but at the nozzle, somewhat. Well that's very clever, as it avoids the need for different injectors and different combustion chambers; as kerosene and hydrogen densities and temperatures are so different (room temperature versus -269°C, 0.8 vs 0.25 density).
« Last Edit: 01/27/2022 07:16 am by libra »

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #129 on: 02/02/2022 02:59 pm »
Would they win something if they combined it with a ramjet/scramjet engine - also on the way back?

Also, why not make two variants, one unmanned cargo version and one manned. Starting with a manned version makes it more complicated and shaves off the margins.
« Last Edit: 02/02/2022 08:40 pm by Halken »

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #130 on: 02/10/2022 03:42 pm »
Would they win something if they combined it with a ramjet/scramjet engine - also on the way back?

Also, why not make two variants, one unmanned cargo version and one manned. Starting with a manned version makes it more complicated and shaves off the margins.
Well maybe. The argument by XCOR and others is that it’s easier to get flight approval for a crewed experimental aircraft than a drone, which is true in some senses (but perhaps not in others).
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Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #131 on: 02/10/2022 03:56 pm »
Also, uncrewed launch is kind of a saturated market right now.

Uncrewed launch with vehicles flying* or with hardware and within a couple years of launch:
SpaceX (Falcon 9, Heavy, Starship)*
Antares (NG)*
ULA (Atlas, Delta, Vulcan)*
Blue Origin (new Glenn)*ish
Rocketlab (electron, Neutron)*
VirginOrbit*
Astra*
Firefly*ish
ABL
Relativity
and others (SLS? launcher?)

That’s just in the US.

Crewed orbital launch, currently flying:
SpaceX. That’s it.

In the future:
Orion and Boeing are not far, but they’ll likely be too expensive for real commercial uses.
Maybe Dream Chaser.

So the list of orbital crewed launch is much smaller. And the revenue for crewed launch might be more than the whole smallsat launcher industry, so I don’t think it’s something to ignore.

Enables satellite servicing and space tourism markets while also giving a possibility of those lucrative NASA crew contracts, which could be over a billion dollars per year (that’s like hundreds of micro/smallsat launches’ worth).
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Offline Halken

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #132 on: 02/14/2022 05:46 pm »
Also, uncrewed launch is kind of a saturated market right now.

Uncrewed launch with vehicles flying* or with hardware and within a couple years of launch:
SpaceX (Falcon 9, Heavy, Starship)*
Antares (NG)*
ULA (Atlas, Delta, Vulcan)*
Blue Origin (new Glenn)*ish
Rocketlab (electron, Neutron)*
VirginOrbit*
Astra*
Firefly*ish
ABL
Relativity
and others (SLS? launcher?)

That’s just in the US.

Crewed orbital launch, currently flying:
SpaceX. That’s it.

In the future:
Orion and Boeing are not far, but they’ll likely be too expensive for real commercial uses.
Maybe Dream Chaser.

So the list of orbital crewed launch is much smaller. And the revenue for crewed launch might be more than the whole smallsat launcher industry, so I don’t think it’s something to ignore.

Enables satellite servicing and space tourism markets while also giving a possibility of those lucrative NASA crew contracts, which could be over a billion dollars per year (that’s like hundreds of micro/smallsat launches’ worth).

Sounds a bit weird with the license, as something that carries humans need a lot more safety. That is also why I suggest the design for carrying humans, but that they should get it working first without humans, as it would make it cheaper to develop. A human-rated launch system is more complicated, expensive and requires more documentation, so it would aim to reduce the risk and investment needed. As they learn and reach the milestones, they can add complexity. SpaceX did not start with a reusable rocket, but a very basic and simple one and then improved from there. Walk before you can run and make it so simple as you can, while still proving the concept.

How using them SCRAM jet engines for such a thing? I kind of like the idea that they give more freedom on the way down as a maybe a push on the way up?

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #133 on: 08/07/2022 09:45 am »
I've been offline for some time but I did crunch some numbers for this.

Aircraft don't really seem to have a "mass fraction" but they do have a "Fuel fraction" AFAIK the best of these ws for the Virgin Atlantic Global Flyer which Steve Fossett used to circumnavigate the world. It was built  by Scaled Composites who also beat the previous 2 person aircraft to do this flight, Voyager.
The GF had very low stress margins, a very low thrust to weight ratio and a cruise speed of about M0.5 (roughly 1/46 of orbital velocity at 200Km), so no transonic buffeting or drag rise to deal with. Not having to cope with re-entry heating helped the mass as well, as did no major concessions for repair/maintain/oper-ability. Basically a 1 flight and done aircraft.

Voyager had a fuel fraction of 72%. With more than a decade more experience SC got the GF up to 86%.

So arguably the best design/build team in the industry for one-off aircraft, lead by a designer who'd spent his lifetime acquiring (and using) the best techniques for composite construction available gets you a design that packs everything into 14% of GTOW

Let's suppose however that between the sled launch and the wings aerodynamic lift all launch losses are cancelled. So all you need to work out the mission is to dial in the altitude, subtract sled speed at seperation, and that's the target delta V.

So at 200Km that's 7785m/s. Assume the sled removes 200m/s that leaves 7585m/s. Using Dunns figure for Methalox of 368.3sec using a 20MPa (2900Psi) chamber pressure and 100:1 expansion ratio and run the rocket equation.
This gives a structural fraction (for everything, vehicle, landing gear, all payload) of 12.25%

That's 1.75% below the best ever achieved structural fraction for a winged vehicle.

Rerunning the calculation with Dunns value for LH2 gives you 18.34%.

And we haven't discussed the mass of the escape pod or the TPS yet.  :(

There really is Hydrogen and everything else. :( Boeing really did know what they were talking about when they designed RASV. The implication of this (which a freshman aeronautical engineering student should have been competent to do) are.

a)That Radian have acquired (or developed) in total secrecy a structural architecture that makes much more efficient use of existing materials, or they have developed structural materials that are radically better than CFRP, or any other known materials*. Such a development would be a major breakthrough and would be valuable IP, and would truly be "disruptive."
The patent makes no reference to any such material or technique.
Of course they may be choosing to show off that aspect of the design with investors without making any public references to it, although I've never seen any other startups I'm aware of do this.

or

b) The design is total BS.

 I had always thought the X33 failed due to LM's over-promising undercooked technology and staffing the programme with b-team engineering talent to ensure failure. I had never considered the possibility that they also selected a project leader who belief in themself could have vastly outstripped their ability to execute.  :(

I'll need to update my ways-to-guarantee-project-failure list.  :(

Time will tell which one of these PoV's is accurate.

*My Buzzword Bingo Generator (Materials Science Edition TM) came up with "Boron reinforced Magnesium Beryllium alloy"**
**Mg5Be was looked at in the Soviet Union in the 60's as a higher temperature cladding for Uranium metal fuel in CO2 cooled reactors. An upgrade from Magnox alloys.
« Last Edit: 08/08/2022 04:33 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Halken

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #134 on: 09/26/2022 01:59 pm »
@JS

They may have other IP that is not mentioned in the patent, as when a patent is filed, they have 16 years to exercise it. So keeping it as a trade secret may be a better strategy depending on how long time they estimate it will take to develop. They have raised some money, so external parties have likely done some due diligence on the concept.

Did the shuttle have an escape pod?

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #135 on: 09/26/2022 02:22 pm »
@JS

They may have other IP that is not mentioned in the patent, as when a patent is filed, they have 16 years to exercise it. So keeping it as a trade secret may be a better strategy depending on how long time they estimate it will take to develop. They have raised some money, so external parties have likely done some due diligence on the concept.
Quite possibly. Time will tell what they have, or don't have.
Quote from: Halken
Did the shuttle have an escape pod?


No. Shuttle did not have an escape pod. It's design was supposed to be good enough that the failure rate would be below the total num ber of  flights during the life of the programme, at least that's what senior management wanted.  :(

As I noted the best fuel fractional aircraft I could find managed 84%. If you play around with my design game XLS you'll see that's still not good enough, hence my extreme scepticism that this is going to go anywhere.

Escape pods add lots of mass. Unfortunately the only examples date from the days of mechanical, or semi-mechanical controls IE the B1. A modern system would use fly-by-wire, which would radically lower mass, for example separtion becomes disconnecting a plug and socket, versus  pyrotechnic powered guillotine.
OTOH it's likely to need to operate to a much higher altitude than previous systems, so bigger parachutes, possible TPS etc.

Anyone thinking about this needs to recall Ed Heinman's advice to "Simplicate, and add lightness."
Such a pod is likely to need a)Parachutes b)seperation rocket motors c)Floation aids.
The lighter the pod a,b&c have to deal with the easier the design task. That means strip anything not absolutely essential out of the pod and put it in the vehicle itself. This is a civilian vehicle, not military. All that should be in the pod is (effectivley) the UI for the various systems. The systems themselves (ECLSS,propellant, propulsion, landing et) are outside the pod walls, except for any fluid connections, like airflow.

Also note that 5 of the 6 people are passengers. They have no equipment/weapons to monitor. They need even less equipment than the pilot.  :(
« Last Edit: 09/26/2022 02:22 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Halken

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #136 on: 10/03/2022 07:38 am »
@JS

Yes, we have to wait and see if they have more to show.

If it's a plane, can they then forego the escape capsule as they can glide back to earth unpowered, unlike a rocket?

You assumed they got to 200 km/h with the sled? Would it not be possible to move that to 400 km/h and would that make any difference?

They are working on the marginals I believe and since they have raised that kind of money and attracted astronauts they must have found a way where the marginals are enough in their favor. If it was easy everyone would do it.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #137 on: 10/03/2022 09:03 am »
If it's a plane, can they then forego the escape capsule as they can glide back to earth unpowered, unlike a rocket?
Historically most danger in rocket launch is actually at launch. They could scrap the escape module plan if they felt their vehicle is safer than expendables.
Quote from: Halken
You assumed they got to 200 km/h with the sled? Would it not be possible to move that to 400 km/h and would that make any difference?
No I assumed they got 200 metres per second from the sled. The speed of sound at ground level is 340m/s
You can use the design game earlier in the thread to see what happens if you increase the takeoff speed right up to the speed of sound at ground level. That would produce a very loud sonic bang at ground level that would likely be heard for 10s of miles.
Quote from: Halken
They are working on the marginals I believe and since they have raised that kind of money and attracted astronauts they must have found a way where the marginals are enough in their favor. If it was easy everyone would do it.
It's not that much money for the task and I think it's mostly from investors who really want to do something without doing much in the way of due dilligence. 
If they had they'd have realized that the switch from LH2 (like RASV) to kero has major implications on implementability.

If they really have something then they will raise enough funds to execute something or license it to someone. Either will trigger product announcements or PR.

If they have nothing then the company will just disappear like so many before it.  :(

I have no special insight into them and I'm just going by their public statements. If they have been more forthcoming to their investors then they may have more reason to be optimistic. Based on their public statements this thing won't fly.  I could not find an aircraft that had the fuel fraction necessary to make this design possible.

That's not to say it's impossible, but it was beyond what IMHO is one of the most skilled CFRP design and build teams in the aircraft industry can manage. On a side note what the SABRE engine gives Reaction Engines is to build a winged vehicle at a structural fraction that is possible.  In effect SABRE allows you to afford to fit wings to a vehicle.

Do you have some special investment in Radian? You seem quite invested in their success.
« Last Edit: 10/05/2022 07:40 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Beratnyi

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #138 on: 12/21/2022 09:46 am »
I had an idea how to get rid of the launch sled and reduce takeoff noise:
1. Need to attach to Radian One long high pressure hose with water. You can probably even use existing fire equipment
2. Make water injectors in rocket engine nozzles and inject water at launch to reduce noise and increase specific impulse
3. Make a chassis with hydraulic cylinders to help support the weight of a fully refueled vehicle and with water brakes, like Skylon, after takeoff, water can be redirected to the engines or simply dumped out
4. After takeoff, the hose is detachable and can be reused
5. Pumping water through a hose will be much safer than pumping fuel or oxidizer.
« Last Edit: 12/21/2022 09:51 am by Beratnyi »

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #139 on: 12/27/2022 10:56 am »
Moderator:
I split/merged many recent discussion posts to "SSTO HTHL Kerolox Spaceplane" https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=57938.0
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #141 on: 03/05/2023 02:54 pm »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Lampyridae

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #142 on: 03/16/2023 01:17 pm »
I've been offline for some time but I did crunch some numbers for this.

Aircraft don't really seem to have a "mass fraction" but they do have a "Fuel fraction" AFAIK the best of these ws for the Virgin Atlantic Global Flyer which Steve Fossett used to circumnavigate the world. It was built  by Scaled Composites who also beat the previous 2 person aircraft to do this flight, Voyager.
The GF had very low stress margins, a very low thrust to weight ratio and a cruise speed of about M0.5 (roughly 1/46 of orbital velocity at 200Km), so no transonic buffeting or drag rise to deal with. Not having to cope with re-entry heating helped the mass as well, as did no major concessions for repair/maintain/oper-ability. Basically a 1 flight and done aircraft.

Voyager had a fuel fraction of 72%. With more than a decade more experience SC got the GF up to 86%.

So arguably the best design/build team in the industry for one-off aircraft, lead by a designer who'd spent his lifetime acquiring (and using) the best techniques for composite construction available gets you a design that packs everything into 14% of GTOW

Let's suppose however that between the sled launch and the wings aerodynamic lift all launch losses are cancelled. So all you need to work out the mission is to dial in the altitude, subtract sled speed at seperation, and that's the target delta V.

So at 200Km that's 7785m/s. Assume the sled removes 200m/s that leaves 7585m/s. Using Dunns figure for Methalox of 368.3sec using a 20MPa (2900Psi) chamber pressure and 100:1 expansion ratio and run the rocket equation.
This gives a structural fraction (for everything, vehicle, landing gear, all payload) of 12.25%

That's 1.75% below the best ever achieved structural fraction for a winged vehicle.

Rerunning the calculation with Dunns value for LH2 gives you 18.34%.

And we haven't discussed the mass of the escape pod or the TPS yet.  :(

There really is Hydrogen and everything else. :( Boeing really did know what they were talking about when they designed RASV. The implication of this (which a freshman aeronautical engineering student should have been competent to do) are.

a)That Radian have acquired (or developed) in total secrecy a structural architecture that makes much more efficient use of existing materials, or they have developed structural materials that are radically better than CFRP, or any other known materials*. Such a development would be a major breakthrough and would be valuable IP, and would truly be "disruptive."
The patent makes no reference to any such material or technique.
Of course they may be choosing to show off that aspect of the design with investors without making any public references to it, although I've never seen any other startups I'm aware of do this.

or

b) The design is total BS.

 I had always thought the X33 failed due to LM's over-promising undercooked technology and staffing the programme with b-team engineering talent to ensure failure. I had never considered the possibility that they also selected a project leader who belief in themself could have vastly outstripped their ability to execute.  :(

I'll need to update my ways-to-guarantee-project-failure list.  :(

Time will tell which one of these PoV's is accurate.

*My Buzzword Bingo Generator (Materials Science Edition TM) came up with "Boron reinforced Magnesium Beryllium alloy"**
**Mg5Be was looked at in the Soviet Union in the 60's as a higher temperature cladding for Uranium metal fuel in CO2 cooled reactors. An upgrade from Magnox alloys.

1. Voyager mass ratio was 14%, but a lot of it is simply empty volume, as the pic below shows.

2. LOX is quite a bit denser than kerosene, especially supercooled. 1.25kgL is quite the difference from 1.14kg/L. Likewise, kerosene can be cooled to near-freezing (becomes a gel apparently). Depending on your kerosene mix, you could get 0.8kg/L at STP and maybe 2-4% density reduction?

3. Voyager took off under its own power, whereas this is a completely different beast. Most aircraft are limited by takeoff weight, and have volume to spare. See attached image of a KC-135 – the 110t of fuel simply goes where the luggage would on a normal airliner. The rest of the aircraft is just a big empty space.

Granted, pressure restraint, TPS, etc will add mass. But IMUEO <14% is achievable for a keralox lifting body. With a takeoff sled it can get to its maximum wing loading and take off. Whether it'll survive the usual weight gains is another story.

EDIT: Wow my Engrish bad today

EDIT EDIT: So according to Wiki-not-a-real-source-pedia, cargo volume on the Beluga XL is 1500m^3, the airframe is 86.5t, so if you fill it with water (and it doesn't simply collapse) you get about a mass ratio of about 5.4%. Not that the wing loading, landing gear or internal structure can handle that. But the advantage of a flying wing with tanks is that the fuel in the tanks is directly at the point where the lift happens - no need for extra structure to carry the load.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_Beluga
« Last Edit: 03/16/2023 01:42 pm by Lampyridae »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #143 on: 03/17/2023 08:15 am »
1. Voyager mass ratio was 14%, but a lot of it is simply empty volume, as the pic below shows.
100-86=14
Fuel ratio is the term to look for when dealing with aircraft.

2. LOX is quite a bit denser than kerosene, especially supercooled. 1.25kgL is quite the difference from 1.14kg/L. Likewise, kerosene can be cooled to near-freezing (becomes a gel apparently). Depending on your kerosene mix, you could get 0.8kg/L at STP and maybe 2-4% density reduction?
True. The LOX tank on the Saturn stg2 and stg3 loooked tiny compared to the LH2 tanks, but where a very large fraction of the mass.
3. Voyager took off under its own power, whereas this is a completely different beast. Most aircraft are limited by takeoff weight, and have volume to spare. See attached image of a KC-135 – the 110t of fuel simply goes where the luggage would on a normal airliner. The rest of the aircraft is just a big empty space.
Challenger was the Steve Fossett aircraft. Voyager was the previous generation. Both reached roughly 1/46 the peak speed that Radian needs to achieve.
Granted, pressure restraint, TPS, etc will add mass. But IMUEO <14% is achievable for a keralox lifting body. With a takeoff sled it can get to its maximum wing loading and take off. Whether it'll survive the usual weight gains is another story.

EDIT: Wow my Engrish bad today

EDIT EDIT: So according to Wiki-not-a-real-source-pedia, cargo volume on the Beluga XL is 1500m^3, the airframe is 86.5t, so if you fill it with water (and it doesn't simply collapse) you get about a mass ratio of about 5.4%. Not that the wing loading, landing gear or internal structure can handle that. But the advantage of a flying wing with tanks is that the fuel in the tanks is directly at the point where the lift happens - no need for extra structure to carry the load.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Airbus_Beluga
Mass ratio is all hardware (payload + structures)/GTOW
IMUEU?
Your right about the benefits of an LB, but AFAIK they are going wing+body. Their PM tried those with the X33. It didn't work out so well.  :(
A first generation spaceplane carrying a crew with 5 days on orbit?
That's a non-trival mass for ECLSS right there. Normal aircraft can process the atmosphere for cabin air, that's not an option for Radian.
The idea of a crew escape pod is also very mass heavy.
 I think the last that's tried it was the B1A, and that got dropped in development for ejector seats. The lightest you can get pushes everything except systems interfaces outside the pressure vessel. B1A was probably the last generation military aircraft with at least semi-mechanical controls, so quite a lot of machinery still inside the vessel
But time will tell. I've not aware of any updates on their website. It's pretty static. This is highly unusual for a US website for a launch vehicle company.
Len Cormier was the last great advocate of rocket based HTOL and he never thought SSTO was possible in this approach.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Lampyridae

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #144 on: 03/18/2023 09:43 am »
Yeah, the more I look at it, the more it looks like nonsense. You could skip the launch sled and drop from a Stratolaunch plane though you'd need to switch fuels and thus redesign the whole thing. But that's easy with vapourware.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #145 on: 03/22/2023 08:08 pm »
Yeah, the more I look at it, the more it looks like nonsense. You could skip the launch sled and drop from a Stratolaunch plane though you'd need to switch fuels and thus redesign the whole thing. But that's easy with vapourware.
Agreed.

As I did note it is possible that they have either developed (or acquired) a radically better material (or way of building a structure) that they have not publicised but are revealing to investors.

This is a highly unusual strategy (I've never heard of anyone using it) for raising support for a launch company.

But I wouldn't put money on it.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Halken

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #146 on: 07/22/2023 08:21 am »

As I did note it is possible that they have either developed (or acquired) a radically better material (or way of building a structure) that they have not publicised but are revealing to investors.


If they had either of those things, you would assume that there are better business models to reap the benefits of such an innovation, than making a launch company that is at best marginally w their initial offering and not even trying to dominate commercial launches Space X style or sell it to all the launch companies. The two latter would make more sense if their discovery is structural geometry or material.

But they could have some clever idea up their sleeve that they have not revealed - either because a patent is in the process or they want to keep it as a trade secret for as long as possible.

As they have hired some former astronauts that are also engineers, they should be able to discern if it's a viable idea, and there is also the due diligence from investors, who normally get 3rd party tech eval from some experts in the field. But the funds so far have been low, and it also depends on the professionalism of the investor.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #147 on: 08/20/2023 06:40 pm »
If they had either of those things, you would assume that there are better business models to reap the benefits of such an innovation, than making a launch company that is at best marginally w their initial offering and not even trying to dominate commercial launches Space X style or sell it to all the launch companies. The two latter would make more sense if their discovery is structural geometry or material.
I did note this.
Quote from: Halken
But they could have some clever idea up their sleeve that they have not revealed - either because a patent is in the process or they want to keep it as a trade secret for as long as possible.
Correct.
Quote from: Halken
As they have hired some former astronauts that are also engineers, they should be able to discern if it's a viable idea, and there is also the due diligence from investors, who normally get 3rd party tech eval from some experts in the field. But the funds so far have been low, and it also depends on the professionalism of the investor.
Well if you'd read the OP you'll notice the original investors really wanted to do a space lauch vehicle.

which basically means that actual due-dilligence went out the window.  :(

You need to develop better evaluation skills.

You see astronauts, engineers and investors

I see the guy who ran the X33 programme that cost the US taxpayer about $1.5Bn and delivered nothing (except the ability to claim SSTO is impossible and LM it's continued dominance of the USG launch market).

The limits of kerolox Isp are readily calculable and they bound the performance needed of any LV using them.

People have an inate desire to believe something is possible, and if it doesn't work now then "Something will turn up" as Mr Mcawber puts it.

 And this thing is possible with hydrolox. But not with kerolox. 

The problem is that the difference is huge  :(

The aerodynamics of such vehicles are also very complex. The accuracy of the models gets poorer as the speed rises, just where you don't need it.  :( One (of the many) issues that doomed the NASP project as well.
« Last Edit: 10/30/2023 09:41 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Online jdon759

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #148 on: 03/18/2024 12:17 pm »
Apparently, testing of their aerogel TPS is progressing smoothly.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_tps-hypersonic-activity-7171539686203543552-XXow

Apparently it's flexible?  Or at least conformal.  I'm slightly surprised they aren't utilising some of the metallic heat-shielding work that was done for x33 et. al.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_aerogel-tps-activity-7155968228538687488-yc6Y


Quote

The aerodynamics of such vehicles are also very complex. The accuracy of the models gets poorer as the speed rises, just where you don't need it.   One (of the many) issues that doomed the NASP project as well.

They have heard your concerns, John Smith, and have been doing work on that too:

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_the-radian-engineering-team-recently-collaborated-activity-7151254130429165568-VrZH
« Last Edit: 03/18/2024 12:20 pm by jdon759 »
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #149 on: 03/20/2024 12:07 am »
I mean, even if it is mostly vaporware, good and functional aerogel TPS would probably make it all worth it anyway.
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #150 on: 03/25/2024 03:09 pm »
I mean, even if it is mostly vaporware, good and functional aerogel TPS would probably make it all worth it anyway.
True.

It's always nice to have another option for a reusable TPS, and the materials for the very highest performing ablative TPS's are difficult to get hold of.

BTW it turns out that both PICA and SIRCA ablative TPS's have a flexible option.  :o
SX have said this has greatly simplified accommodating hatches, windows and sensors, since you can just cut it, rather than machining a panel.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #151 on: 03/25/2024 03:23 pm »
Apparently, testing of their aerogel TPS is progressing smoothly.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_tps-hypersonic-activity-7171539686203543552-XXow

Apparently it's flexible?  Or at least conformal.  I'm slightly surprised they aren't utilising some of the metallic heat-shielding work that was done for x33 et. al.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_aerogel-tps-activity-7155968228538687488-yc6Y
IIRC Rohr were the contractor for the metallic TPS. TPS is a key part of any RLV concept and if you can it's better to keep it in-house, or at least to have at least 2 contractors you can go to for it.  :(
Quote from: jdon759
Quote

The aerodynamics of such vehicles are also very complex. The accuracy of the models gets poorer as the speed rises, just where you don't need it.   One (of the many) issues that doomed the NASP project as well.

They have heard your concerns, John Smith, and have been doing work on that too:

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/radianaerospace_the-radian-engineering-team-recently-collaborated-activity-7151254130429165568-VrZH
LOL.  :) 

Any vehicle that has to operate over roughly 23 Mach numbers is going to need very careful attention to its aerodynamics.
The if-it-looks-right-it-is-right school of aircraft design for this application is going to seriously wrong foot people.  :(

The joker in the pack is the Cp/Cg mismatch and how those numbers shift as the tanks empty and the speed moves over roughly 23 mach numbers Hint. If you're not going with VTO you don't need to put the engines at the back. You'd be better off putting them anywhere but the back.

I'm amazed they are still apparently in business but given the numbers for the Isp of a Kerolox engine I still can't see how they are going to make it
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Online lightleviathan

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #152 on: 04/02/2024 03:09 pm »
They posted some new renders to their website and a video

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #153 on: 04/04/2024 12:32 pm »
They posted some new renders to their website and a video
With CGI anything is possible.  :(

IRL, with the lightest known aircraft structure at 16% of GTOW and the flat out Isp of Kerolox no.

IIRC the entire dry mass (inc crew, ECLSS, structure and payload) has to fit in <12% to make kerolox work.

Obviously they would make me look very stupid if they sent a sled down a runway tomorrow with a vehicle that made orbit on it, that actually made orbit.  ;)

But I think I'm pretty safe.

Now if they were to switch to hydrolox....
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Steven Pietrobon

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #154 on: 04/05/2024 05:03 am »
IIRC the entire dry mass (inc crew, ECLSS, structure and payload) has to fit in <12% to make kerolox work.

I get 12% with hydrolox, 8% with methalox and 7.6% with kerolox. This is final mass divided by total initial mass. However, when you look at final mass divided by propellant volume, I get 49 g/L with hydrolox, 73 g/L with methalox and 84 g/L with kerolox, which gives a substantial advantage to kerolox. Interestingly, keroxide (HTP/Kero) gets 81 g/L! A proper analysis needs to be performed for each propellant combination. A very good combination is O2/C7H8 (quadricyclene) that gets 8% and 95 g/L!
« Last Edit: 04/05/2024 05:16 am by Steven Pietrobon »
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #155 on: 04/05/2024 05:14 pm »
I get 12% with hydrolox, 8% with methalox and 7.6% with kerolox. This is final mass divided by total initial mass. However, when you look at final mass divided by propellant volume, I get 49 g/L with hydrolox, 73 g/L with methalox and 84 g/L with kerolox, which gives a substantial advantage to kerolox. Interestingly, keroxide (HTP/Kero) gets 81 g/L! A proper analysis needs to be performed for each propellant combination. A very good combination is O2/C7H8 (quadricyclene) that gets 8% and 95 g/L!
Exactly. I can't see how they can pack that in the structures that can be built. Quadricyclene is impressive (it's cruise missile fuel IIRC) but it's not exactly cheap.  ;) I think it was 10$/Kg? Has volume production pushed the price down?

Jess Sponable was right, you need to consider both tank and area masses. No one has built an aircraft ever with that low a dry weight.  :(

MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #156 on: 05/10/2024 12:51 am »
https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/01/radian-announces-plans-to-build-one-of-the-holy-grails-of-spaceflight/

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radian_Aerospace



Not lot to be gained from Payload interview, better of reading Wiki or Eric Berger article.
Eric said 200klbs engine and they will be partnering with another company on development. Usra has 200klb methalox engine in development so maybe them.

As others have said SSTO is big ask especially when starting from scratch. Something like Dawn's 2stage spaceplane would be better place to start from. The knowledge gained from operating such 2 stage vehicle would be invaluable if making leap to SSTO.


Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #157 on: 05/12/2024 10:52 am »
Not lot to be gained from Payload interview, better of reading Wiki or Eric Berger article.
Eric said 200klbs engine and they will be partnering with another company on development. Usra has 200klb methalox engine in development so maybe them.
True. Said their TPS is called "Durotherm," but not sure that get's us anywhere.
As others have said SSTO is big ask especially when starting from scratch. Something like Dawn's 2stage spaceplane would be better place to start from. The knowledge gained from operating such 2 stage vehicle would be invaluable if making leap to SSTO.
Only if you're first stage has the stretch to go to full orbital. I've heard this line floated before but I've never seen a TSTO evolve to an SSTO, and neither has anyone else.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #158 on: 05/12/2024 04:33 pm »
As others have said SSTO is big ask especially when starting from scratch. Something like Dawn's 2stage spaceplane would be better place to start from. The knowledge gained from operating such 2 stage vehicle would be invaluable if making leap to SSTO.
Only if you're first stage has the stretch to go to full orbital. I've heard this line floated before but I've never seen a TSTO evolve to an SSTO, and neither has anyone else.  :(
Pointing to history only works if someone has actually made an attempt to do that thing before. Which, and please correct me if I am wrong, but in this case I'm 100% positive no one has.

Put another way, I read what you just said as, "In all of human history, of the 0 attempts to evolve a TSTO into a SSTO, 0 have succeeded." Which is true, but doesn't mean much.
« Last Edit: 05/12/2024 04:35 pm by JEF_300 »
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #159 on: 05/14/2024 10:35 am »
Pointing to history only works if someone has actually made an attempt to do that thing before. Which, and please correct me if I am wrong, but in this case I'm 100% positive no one has.

Put another way, I read what you just said as, "In all of human history, of the 0 attempts to evolve a TSTO into a SSTO, 0 have succeeded." Which is true, but doesn't mean much.
However there have been at least 2 attempts to develop transatlantic 2 stage mail planes. The British Mercury/Maia AKA Short Mayo Composite, being one.

The "Evolution" required is so radical (unless you have very high Isp engine, like SABRE) that's no one will build that much capacity into the baseline design.

What did happen was once Lindbergh proved non-stop transatlantic flight was possible (a decade before the Short Mayo) smart people moved on to growing the size of a vehicle that could make that crossing.

Once you dig into structural mass fractions of aircraft Vs rockets, and the order of magnitude difference between the best Isp (IE the 450s of the SSME) and the Isp of a poor air breather (about 3000s) your realise what a very long hill a pure rocket design would have to climb.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #160 on: 07/11/2024 07:04 am »
Radian was presenting on the FISO telecon

https://fiso.spiritastro.net/telecon/Holder_7-10-24/


Seems like a lot of work on thermal related stuff which might be of interest to others.


Apparently there is a crossfeed from the sled to the spaceplane, and looks like a wet LOX wing tank setup as well.

Nothing obvious about how the altitude compensation for the engines is achieved...

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #161 on: 07/11/2024 08:04 am »
Radian was presenting on the FISO telecon

https://fiso.spiritastro.net/telecon/Holder_7-10-24/


Seems like a lot of work on thermal related stuff which might be of interest to others.


Apparently there is a crossfeed from the sled to the spaceplane, and looks like a wet LOX wing tank setup as well.

Nothing obvious about how the altitude compensation for the engines is achieved...
Thanks for this.

Not found any discussion of dry mass fraction so far. All the hardware (inc the payload) can't be more than roughly 12%. Otherwise it don't work.  :(
[EDIT Around 44min he starts talking about Cg issues. No mention that CH4 is lighter than LOX so why isn't the LOX tank ahead  of the CH4?. I know they are both densified but it's possible the CH4 densifies harder, so it's density is actually greater than the LOX. AFAIK they are both basically linear, but I could be wrong. ]
« Last Edit: 07/11/2024 12:35 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Tywin

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #162 on: 07/11/2024 07:50 pm »
The question is... how much can cost this Radian One to development?
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Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #163 on: 07/11/2024 08:19 pm »
The question is... how much can cost this Radian One to development?
??
« Last Edit: 07/11/2024 08:19 pm by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #164 on: 07/12/2024 02:59 pm »
Not lot to be gained from Payload interview, better of reading Wiki or Eric Berger article.
Eric said 200klbs engine and they will be partnering with another company on development. Usra has 200klb methalox engine in development so maybe them.
True. Said their TPS is called "Durotherm," but not sure that get's us anywhere.
As others have said SSTO is big ask especially when starting from scratch. Something like Dawn's 2stage spaceplane would be better place to start from. The knowledge gained from operating such 2 stage vehicle would be invaluable if making leap to SSTO.
Only if you're first stage has the stretch to go to full orbital. I've heard this line floated before but I've never seen a TSTO evolve to an SSTO, and neither has anyone else.  :(
Easier to develop TSTO (suborbital spaceplace and expendable US) and they would have operational RLV that could make money while SSTO is being developed. The biggest difference between suborbital(TSTO) and orbital (SSTO) spaceplanes is thermal protection. Construction of vehicle, flight control SW, RCS, changing COG handling issues and engines would all be same. 

Don't forget most difficult item with longest timeline, paperwork. Clearance to operate a large very fast autonomous drone from public airport. This is something thing Dawn has just been give permission after chipping away at it with authorities over years. Deploying something into orbit and reentry (satellite, US or SSTO RLV) is yet more paperwork.


Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #165 on: 07/13/2024 06:27 am »
Easier to develop TSTO (suborbital spaceplace and expendable US) and they would have operational RLV that could make money while SSTO is being developed. The biggest difference between suborbital(TSTO) and orbital (SSTO) spaceplanes is thermal protection. Construction of vehicle, flight control SW, RCS, changing COG handling issues and engines would all be same. 
We will have to agree to differ on this one. It's one of those nice little stories people tell engineers "Of course we will develop it into an SSTO, when we've proved it."

IMHO this line of reasoning is simply delusional. If you have an engine designed to go from 0 to M23 and back (and a vehicle designed to deliver the equal payload fraction of a TSTO, the actual Achilles heel of all VTOL SSTO vehicles) anything less than doing SSTO is a complete waste of time.  :(

Of course if you've only got rockets then that approach makes perfect sense.

Don't forget most difficult item with longest timeline, paperwork. Clearance to operate a large very fast autonomous drone from public airport. This is something thing Dawn has just been give permission after chipping away at it with authorities over years. Deploying something into orbit and reentry (satellite, US or SSTO RLV) is yet more paperwork.
As Reaction have been working with the CAA.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Lampyridae

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #166 on: 07/20/2024 11:56 am »
Nothing obvious about how the altitude compensation for the engines is achieved...

Some kind of slotted or otherwise permeable rocket nozzle would be my bet. This idea has been around a while.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/380829841_Numerical_study_on_altitude-compensating_mechanism_of_a_permeable_nozzle

Edit: 9:30 or so they talk about a nozzle extension that kicks in.
« Last Edit: 07/20/2024 12:10 pm by Lampyridae »

Offline Steven Pietrobon

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #167 on: 07/23/2024 07:25 am »
I know they are both densified but it's possible the CH4 densifies harder, so it's density is actually greater than the LOX. AFAIK they are both basically linear, but I could be wrong.

The density of LOX varies from 2.7 (boiling points) to 2.88 (10 K above  freezing point) times that of CH4. This could be due to the smaller range between the boiling and melting points of CH4 (21 K) and LOX (36 K).

Density of LOX at 10 K above melting point of 54 K is 1.262 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at 10 K above melting point of 91 K is 0.438 kg/L.

Density of LOX at boiling point of 90 K is 1.14 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at boiling point of 112 K is 0.423 kg/L.
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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #168 on: 07/23/2024 03:59 pm »
The density of LOX varies from 2.7 (boiling points) to 2.88 (10 K above  freezing point) times that of CH4. This could be due to the smaller range between the boiling and melting points of CH4 (21 K) and LOX (36 K).

Density of LOX at 10 K above melting point of 54 K is 1.262 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at 10 K above melting point of 91 K is 0.438 kg/L.

Density of LOX at boiling point of 90 K is 1.14 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at boiling point of 112 K is 0.423 kg/L.
Thanks for this Steven. That was the only thing I could think of that would put the LOX just in front of the engine and behind the fuel tank.

The Cp/Cg mismatch has been known about for decades. It's part of the reason SS has a LOX tank in the nose. It's why Reaction moved their engines into nacelles at the wing tips.

I don't  see how Radian are going to make this work over roughly 23 mach numbers.  :(
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Spiceman

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #169 on: 07/23/2024 04:16 pm »
The density of LOX varies from 2.7 (boiling points) to 2.88 (10 K above  freezing point) times that of CH4. This could be due to the smaller range between the boiling and melting points of CH4 (21 K) and LOX (36 K).

Density of LOX at 10 K above melting point of 54 K is 1.262 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at 10 K above melting point of 91 K is 0.438 kg/L.

Density of LOX at boiling point of 90 K is 1.14 kg/L.
Density of CH4 at boiling point of 112 K is 0.423 kg/L.
Thanks for this Steven. That was the only thing I could think of that would put the LOX just in front of the engine and behind the fuel tank.

The Cp/Cg mismatch has been known about for decades. It's part of the reason SS has a LOX tank in the nose. It's why Reaction moved their engines into nacelles at the wing tips.

I don't  see how Radian are going to make this work over roughly 23 mach numbers.  :(

You nailed it.

-It was already a giant PITA for Concorde, 60 years ago. And this was only fuel, and only Mach 2.

-It also plagued HOTOL four decades ago: it had the wing and the engine and the air intake all in the back, and thus severe CoG issues. They were so desperate they put not only canards in the front, but also the fin. Did not worked, they iterated again and again with no solution found: only the payload to orbit shrinking again and again, as if 7 metric tons was enough in the first place.

-As you noted, by 1989-1990 this led to the Skylon design (alas, Skylon traded that issue for another one: the engine noise impact on the rear fuselage - there was a NASA tech paper about it).

-Note that REL's USAF TSTO has a different shape from Skylon, perhaps to try and solve the CoG issue: here we go again, iterating like HOTOL: damn.

-Heck even the Space Shuttle (with no hydrolox prop tanks whatsoever in the orbiter) had a lot of weight in the rear: the delta and the OMS pods and 3*SSMEs...

-Sometimes I wonder whether the X-37 shape is not the best - to balance all that weight in the rear. If only because it has the wings in the middle. Then again it has a V-tail so...

https://www.theengineer.co.uk/media/wv3guqi3/rel-tsto.jpg

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« Last Edit: 07/23/2024 06:38 pm by zubenelgenubi »

Offline john smith 19

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Re: Radian Crewed SSO Spaceplane
« Reply #170 on: 07/24/2024 09:50 am »
You nailed it.

-It was already a giant PITA for Concorde, 60 years ago. And this was only fuel, and only Mach 2.
Actually it's a problem for all large vehicles going M1+. The B58 Hustler, B70 Valkyrie both (AFAIK) did a lot of fuel shuffling, and I'm pretty sure the SR71 was not immune from it either.
-It also plagued HOTOL four decades ago: it had the wing and the engine and the air intake all in the back, and thus severe CoG issues. They were so desperate they put not only canards in the front, but also the fin. Did not worked, they iterated again and again with no solution found: only the payload to orbit shrinking again and again, as if 7 metric tons was enough in the first place.
Alan Bond mentioned the massive loads on the canards, and the huge hydraulics needed to move them.  :(
-As you noted, by 1989-1990 this led to the Skylon design (alas, Skylon traded that issue for another one: the engine noise impact on the rear fuselage - there was a NASA tech paper about it).

-Note that REL's USAF TSTO has a different shape from Skylon, perhaps to try and solve the CoG issue: here we go again, iterating like HOTOL: damn.
I'm aware of a NASA paper on plume impingement and Reaction never denied the fact that the engines would be very loud at full thrust, hence going to orbit was going to need a special runway to take a payload to orbit (not that special. Any runway that could handle a fully loaded B36 of the late 40's would be a candidate aside from the noise )

Both NASA and CNES (who Reaction have partnered with) looked at "Pen nib" rear fuselages, due to plume impingement.

It is much better to identify and solve these issues in design before building, than find them in construction (or test).  :(

-Heck even the Space Shuttle (with no hydrolox prop tanks whatsoever in the orbiter) had a lot of weight in the rear: the delta and the OMS pods and 3*SSMEs...
Which necessitated a fly-by-wire control system as the vehicle is completely un-flyable without computer assistance and hydraulics. Lose either and you get to a low enough altitude, set up the pole and drop down it. Anything else is literally suicide.  :(
-Sometimes I wonder whether the X-37 shape is not the best - to balance all that weight in the rear. If only because it has the wings in the middle. Then again it has a V-tail so...
X37b is a payload during ascent. It's wrapped in a payload fairing and it's engines are for orbit changes only.

IIRC there were proposals for V-tail Shuttles, either in the original design competitions or for later replacements. IIRC one of the studies concluded with less shadowing by the fuselage they would have more control authority at high AoA, reducing use of RCS thrusters.

I think they found some SW upgrades that gave the same benefit.

Personally I would have used that as an opportunity to flush the OMS/RCS high in the atmosphere, making a much easier to approach and safer system. I guess NASA chose to save the cost of the fuel at $60/lb
« Last Edit: 07/24/2024 09:51 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

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