To improve global forecasting capabilities, we are launching a first-of-its-kind, commercial weather satellite constellation equipped with radars and microwave sounders. Our space program will democratize access to global weather forecasting and enable organizations to prepare for and mitigate the business impact of weather. Radars are active remote sensors providing detailed information about precipitation that no other sensor can see during days and nights and across all weather conditions. Microwave sounders are passive remote sensors measuring critical atmospheric temperature and water profiles as well as proxies for precipitation data.
VSFB launch rate2-4 launched 19 Jan 20232-6 OSD 12Jan23 launch planned 29 Jan2-5 OSD 22Jan232-7 OSD 13Feb232-8 OSD 23Feb23SARah 2&3 ?OSD 11Feb23Transport and tracking f1Can they get those 7 launched by end of March? If so that might suggest 28-30 launches this year is possible.Perhaps more likely that at least one of these slips to April or later?Is a few OSDs being close together like 11th 13th and 23rd Feb, all for VSFB, mean they are hoping to have a high launch rate or is it more likely to indicate that they know one of those is likely to slip quite a bit and therefore they need a launch licence for a different launch to be ready for that period or something else?Starlink delay wouldn't need extra licence application so perhaps the best guess would be that Sarah 2&3 is going to slip?
The LC-39A schedule looks like it could possibly not have many Starlink launches until after a plethora of more fun missions!Feb 1 / Starlink 5-3Feb Mid / StarlinkFeb 26 / Crew 6Mar 11 / CRS-27Mar 24 / ViaSat-3 & Aurora 4AApril / Polaris Dawn
Yeah OK a total of 10 launches in Feb is probably a bit too hopeful. Therefore, couple on 28th likely to slip right and even 8 launches would be a new record in a short month so probably unlikely.
Fleet Space plans to launch three 12U and one 41U satellite on a Falcon 9 NET January 2023. Deployment altitude 550-600 km, inclination 45 degrees. This is the second application I found targeting 45 degrees inclination. The first one lists clearly periodic rideshare missions. Looks like Transporters are going to 45 degrees inclination occasionally, right?The filing was made in Aug 2022.
Last night SpaceX completed its 200th orbital launch attempt. The increase in cadence is notable:First 100 launches: 125 monthsSecond 100 launches: 25 months
https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1621253154879819777QuoteLast night SpaceX completed its 200th orbital launch attempt. The increase in cadence is notable:First 100 launches: 125 monthsSecond 100 launches: 25 monthsThird 100 launches in 14 or 13 months?
Not that it needed any confirmation but SpaceX removed the top insert of 39A's strongback (and this can be seen done this morning on SCL) which means it's being converted to Dragon configuration. Next launch from there is Crew-6
Said they're planning April 8, after the two NASA ISS missions. Reach orbital slot a couple weeks after launch. Viasat-3 EMEA on ULA in September.
Sounds like LC-39A will be occupied until mid-April:Crew-6 → CRS-27 → ViaSat-3 Americas
Mission manifest of #SpaceX's #FalconHeavy as of Feb 10, 2023#Space
Quote from: GewoonLukas_ on 02/08/2023 07:58 amSounds like LC-39A will be occupied until mid-April:Crew-6 → CRS-27 → ViaSat-3 Americas26 Feb Crew-610 Mar CRS-27Is there room here for a launch ~20 March?8 April FH ViaSat-3April Polaris Dawn crewedMay AX-2 crewedMay FH Jupiter 35 June CRS-28June FH USSF-52Late June IM-1August Crew-710 October Psyche20 Oct CRS-292023? AX-32023?? AX-4More like schedule is practically full until July, just maybe a chance of an extra one mid/late March. Schedule is fairly full until end of October.Can SLC40 do 4 a month while 39A does 2 a month swapping between FH, crewed, and uncrewed ISS?
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch the Inmarsat 6 F2 satellite from pad 40 on February 17 at 10:58 p.m. EST. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch a Starlink batch on late February TBD. A Falcon 9 from pad 39A will launch four astronauts to the ISS on Crew-6 on February 26 at 2:07 a.m. EST (Saturn V Center tickets on sale here). And a Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the next pair of O3b mPOWER satellites for SES on late February.
I'm seeing a Florida F9 First Stage deficiency in the works. Right now it's looking like this:40 - Feb 17 - Inmarsat 6 - 1077.340 - ~Feb 25 - open - ####.#40 - Mar 6 - SES-18/19 - ####.#39A - Feb 26 - Crew 6 - 1078.139A - Mar 10 - CRS 27 - ####.#39A - ~Mar 24 - open - ####.#39A - Apr 8 - ViaSat - heavyif you assume Starlink 6-1 slots into SLC-40 on ~Feb 25 with it's previously mentioned booster 1076.3. Then what boosters do CRS-27 and SES-18/19 use? Unassigned boosters with assumed turnaround and next ready date as follows:1058.16 - 75d - Mar 21067.10 - 45d - Mar 121060.16 - 75d - Mar 191069.6 - 45d - Mar 191073.7 - 45d - Mar 231062.13 - 45d - Mar 29Of course SpaceX may decide to push the limits on turnaround times but assumptions above seem reasonable. I could imagine them reassigning B1076.3 to CRS-27, and using 1058.16 for Starlink 6-1. Then I guess 1067.10 to SES-18/19... If SpaceX keeps up a 6-7 launch per month pace (say every 4.5d) from Florida, ALL with 45d avg turnarounds, they would need 10 boosters in rotation. Right now they have 8 (assuming 1052 conversion underway), with a 9th (1078) being brought in for Crew 6. Two of those nine have flown 15 times and are averaging ~75d turnarounds over last 4 missions. I could see them needing 2-3 new F9 in the first half of this year, plus a center core for EchoStar.