SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread

[wannamoonbase]

Cross-post:

With JRTI drydocked in Freeport, I deduce ASOG will serve [Starlink 6-59].

For the duration of the drydocking, ASOG turnaround will gate the Florida launch cadence.

I also wonder if LC-39A is now occupied in preparation for the GOES-U launch (NET June 25), and that all Florida Falcon 9 launches from now into July will be from SLC-40.

I don't think they need 40 days to switch over to the FH and do the tests.  If they move the launches between now and then to SLC-40 its because 40 can carry the full load.  I don't think SpaceX is going to miss out on any launch opportunities because of the FH on LC39A.

[zubenelgenubi]

Cross-post:

With JRTI drydocked in Freeport, I deduce ASOG will serve [Starlink 6-59].

For the duration of the drydocking, ASOG turnaround will gate the Florida launch cadence.

I also wonder if LC-39A is now occupied in preparation for the GOES-U launch (NET June 25), and that all Florida Falcon 9 launches from now into July will be from SLC-40.

I don't think they need 40 days to switch over to the FH and do the tests.  If they move the launches between now and then to SLC-40 its because 40 can carry the full load.  I don't think SpaceX is going to miss out on any launch opportunities because of the FH on LC39A.

One more Starlink launch confirmed from LC-39A: Starlink 6-63.


So far, Starlink 6-60 and 6-61 are skipped over.  Something out of the ordinary planned for one or both?  Like Starshield rideshare?

Edited

[zubenelgenubi]

So far, Starlink 6-60 and 6-61 are skipped over.  Something out of the ordinary planned for one or both?  Like Starshield rideshare?

JRTI left Freeport drydock on May 19 and it caught the Starlink 6-63 first stage on May 24 UTC.

We learned of Starlink 6-60 on May 21.  We learned of Starlink 6-64 on May 24.

We're still "missing" Starlink 6-61.

[zubenelgenubi]

How many more Group 6 launches does SpaceX need to fill the shell?

Will the Vandenberg Falcon 9 launch following EarthCARE be from Starlink Group 7 or 8?

[meekGee]

Is pad 39A undergoing maintenance?  Seems kind of dormant.  Last flight was on the 23rd, and nothing in the near future.

[spacenuance]

Is pad 39A undergoing maintenance?  Seems kind of dormant.  Last flight was on the 23rd, and nothing in the near future.

Need the next month to prepare for GOES

[crandles57]

2 days after last VSFB launch and no planned dates?

31st 5th and 10th planned dates for pad 40
seems quite a difference.

[Galactic Penguin SST]

2 days after last VSFB launch and no planned dates?

31st 5th and 10th planned dates for pad 40
seems quite a difference.

Actually one launch has apparently just been filed and I'm starting a post now.
Starlink Group 8-8 on late June 4/early June 5 local, about half a day before Starship.

[zubenelgenubi]

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ Astra 1P / SES-24 (Jun 20 NET 10 15 17 18 19, SLC-40)

✅️ GOES-U (Jun 25, LC-39A)

<LC-39A will be open for Falcon 9 launch campaigns until ~10 September, when preparations there for Europa Clipper should begin.>

Turksat 6A (Jul 8 UTC, presumably? SLC-40)

Transporter-11 (Jul 10 NET 1 8, SLC-4E)

Arctic Satellite Broadband Mission (NET Jul 10 late Jul/early Aug, SLC-4E)

WorldView Legion Flight 2 (NET Jul 15 H2, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Polaris Dawn (late Jul 12 summer, SLC-40)

Crew Dragon Crew-9 (mid Aug, LC-39A)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (mid Aug Jun? H2, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Galileo Flight 13 (Sep 13, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (NET Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (Q3 midyear, SLC-40?)

AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Q3, presumably? SLC-40)

NROL-69 (NET H2 Jun?, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (end of year midyear, presumably? SLC-40)

Edited through June

[zubenelgenubi]

LC-39A is open for Falcon 9 launch campaigns until ~10 September, when preparations there for Europa Clipper should begin.

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ Turksat 6A (Jul 8 UTC, SLC-40)

Arctic Satellite Broadband Mission (Jul 16 H2 Jul NET 10 14, SLC-4E)

Transporter-11 (late Jul 10 NET 18, SLC-4E)

Polaris Dawn (NET Jul 31 late, LC-39A SLC-40)

Cygnus NG-21 (Aug 3 early, SLC-40)

Crew Dragon Crew-9 (mid Aug, LC-39A)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (mid Aug, LC-39A or SLC-40)

WorldView Legion Flight 2 (NET Aug NET Jul 15,SLC-40 or LC-39A)

Galileo Flight 13 (Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (NET Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (Q3, SLC-40?)

AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Q3, SLC-40?)

Hera (Oct 7, SLC-40)

Europa Clipper (Oct 10, LC-39A)

NROL-69 (NET H2, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Edit July 12: Following the Starlink 9-3 second stage failure, the above schedule will be subject to substantial change.

Edited

[Comga]

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ Turksat 6A (Jul 8 UTC, SLC-40)

<LC-39A will be open for Falcon 9 launch campaigns until ~10 September, when preparations there for Europa Clipper should begin.>

Arctic Satellite Broadband Mission (Jul 16 H2 Jul NET 10 14, SLC-4E)
Transporter-11 (late Jul 10 NET 18, SLC-4E)
Polaris Dawn (NET Jul 31 late, LC-39A SLC-40)
Cygnus NG-21 (Aug 3 early, SLC-40)
Crew Dragon Crew-9 (mid Aug, LC-39A)
GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (mid Aug, LC-39A or SLC-40)
WorldView Legion Flight 2 (NET Aug NET Jul 15,SLC-40 or LC-39A)
Galileo Flight 13 (Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)
Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (NET Sep, LC-39A or SLC-40)
Astranis Block 2 (Q3, SLC-40?)
AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Q3, SLC-40?)
Hera (Oct 7, SLC-40)
Europa Clipper (Oct 10, LC-39A)
NROL-69 (NET H2, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Well, that's all toast.
Of these, Crew-9, Hera and Europa Clipper would seem to be the most time critical.
I can see NASA, which is not subject to FAA oversight, granting an exemption for the launch of Crew-9 in a month or so, after maybe a few weeks of delay, if they still need it.
That would give SpaceX a few less than 85 days to avoid loosing the interplanetary launch windows for Hera and Europa Clipper.
Sounds doable.
Then they get to reorder all of the delayed flights.

[gongora]

I can see NASA, which is not subject to FAA oversight, granting an exemption for the launch of Crew-9 in a month or so, after maybe a few weeks of delay, if they still need it.

Those launches are still FAA licensed

[StraumliBlight]

PHARAO atomic clock experiment will launch on CRS-32 [June 24]

A launch date with a SpaceX Falcon 9 is under consolidation and foreseen for the end of January 2025.

All subsystems successfully passed integrated system tests at the beginning of 2024 and environmental tests are in preparation and scheduled for summer 2024.

PHARAO Overview

[zubenelgenubi]

Falcon 9/Heavy return to flight

LC-39A is open for Falcon 9 launch campaigns until ~10 September, when preparations there for Europa Clipper should begin.

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

Starlink 10-9 (Jul 27 18 NET late Jul 21 23 25, LC-39A)

Starlink 10-6 (Aug 2, LC-39A)

Cygnus NG-21 (Aug 3, SLC-40)

Arctic Satellite Broadband Mission (NET early Aug late Jul, SLC-4E)

Transporter-11 (NET Aug 15 early?, SLC-4E)

Crew Dragon Crew-9 (Aug 18 mid, LC-39A)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (mid Aug, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

Polaris Dawn (NET late Aug/early Sep Jul 31? early? Aug, LC-39A)

WorldView Legion Flight 2 (NET Aug, SLC-40)

Galileo Flight 13 (Sep, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (NET Sep, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

Astranis Block 2 (Q3, SLC-40?)

AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Q3, SLC-40?)

Hera (Oct 7, SLC-40)

Europa Clipper (Oct 10?, LC-39A)

[zubenelgenubi]

Also, re: return to flight
At this posting, there are Starlink launches scheduled for NET July 20, 21, 22, and 23 UTC, from all three launch pads!

We shall see. 👀