Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread  (Read 466934 times)

Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1260 on: 01/24/2024 01:03 am »
Should we expect movement of the launch date for 6-38 given that LC-40 appears to be double booked with that launch and Cygnus just over 24 hours apart?
oh its from 39A, mods forgot to change the title
Got it! Thank you. 😊
« Last Edit: 01/24/2024 01:04 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Brigantine

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1261 on: 01/24/2024 09:54 pm »
Should we expect movement of the launch date for 6-38 given that LC-40 appears to be double booked with that launch and Cygnus just over 24 hours apart?
Apparently, we're expecting 3 F9 launches from 3 launch sites within 19 hours
Starlink 7-12 launching from California in between the two just mentioned

If it actually happens that way, how does that compare with precedent? - Not that they'll actually launch 7-12 five days after 7-11
« Last Edit: 01/24/2024 09:58 pm by Brigantine »

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« Last Edit: 01/25/2024 04:24 am by catdlr »
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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1263 on: 01/25/2024 09:00 pm »
Might we see some not-required-to-use LC-39A launch or launches in March/earliest April between SpX-30 on F9, and GOES-U on FH?
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Offline GewoonLukas_

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1264 on: 01/25/2024 09:19 pm »
Might we see some not-required-to-use LC-39A launch or launches in March/earliest April between SpX-30 on F9, and GOES-U on FH?

Depends on Polaris Dawn. If that's still scheduled for April then it'll have to launch Early-April (after CRS-30).
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Online Alexphysics

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1266 on: 01/27/2024 09:02 am »
They also have B1075 and B1071...

Edit: and, in fact, the next for flight is B1075...
« Last Edit: 01/28/2024 02:23 am by Alexphysics »

Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1267 on: 01/28/2024 01:50 am »
Its been over 4 months since B1060 flew. I doubt they have it in deep inspections again only 2 flights after it was in deep inspections for over 6 months. Retired or saving for a particular mission (possibly expendable)?

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1268 on: 01/28/2024 08:38 pm »
« Last Edit: 01/28/2024 08:39 pm by catdlr »
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Offline Brigantine

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1269 on: 01/29/2024 05:26 am »
Its been over 4 months since B1060 flew. I doubt they have it in deep inspections again only 2 flights after it was in deep inspections for over 6 months. Retired or saving for a particular mission (possibly expendable)?

Or possibly restricted to RTLS missions - due to not having the latest leg upgrades, thus susceptible to B1058.20-style infant mortality if it re-spawns on a barge

(i.e. not leveling after landing, restricting the octograbber from securing it reliably for the voyage back to port)

Thou that only explains the last month, not the previous 3
« Last Edit: 01/29/2024 05:29 am by Brigantine »

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« Last Edit: 01/30/2024 08:04 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1271 on: 02/04/2024 10:05 pm »
Might we see some not-required-to-use LC-39A launch or launches in March/earliest April between SpX-30 on F9, and GOES-U on FH?

Depends on Polaris Dawn. If that's still scheduled for April then it'll have to launch Early-April (after CRS-30).

SpX-30:
NextSpaceflight (Updated February 4th)
Launch NET April 4th, 2024, at ~16:00 UTC
https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/6912

We may see at least one not-required-to-use LC-39A launch in March, after Crew-8 and before SpX-30.

This may also be a clue that the Polaris Dawn launch is delayed beyond April.
« Last Edit: 03/05/2024 10:52 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1272 on: 02/07/2024 10:49 pm »
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ PACE (Feb 8, SLC-40)

✅️ Nova-C IM-1 (Feb 14, LC-39A)

✅️ USSF-124 (Feb 14 NET Mar, SLC-40)

✅️ Merah Putih 2 Telkomsat HTS 113BT (NET Feb 20, SLC-40)

Crew Dragon Crew-8 (Mar 3 likely ~Feb 29 28 Mar 1, LC-39A)

Transporter-10 (Mar 4 1, SLC-4E)

Cargo Dragon SpX-30 (Mar 12 Apr 4 Mar 13, SLC-40 LC-39A)

USSF-62 (NET late Mar, SLC-4E)

WorldView Legion Flight 1 (NET Apr, SLC-4E)

GOES-U (NET May NET Apr 30, LC-39A)

Astranis Block 2 (midyear Q1, SLC-40)

Polaris Dawn (summer NET early? Apr, LC-39A?)

Edited through February
« Last Edit: 02/29/2024 06:03 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1273 on: 02/08/2024 03:12 pm »
I noticed this in Ben Cooper's latest schedule updates:

Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch NASA's Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem (PACE) satellite from pad 40 on February 8 at 1:33 a.m. EST. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 will launch the Intuitive Machines & NASA IM-1 Nova-C commercial lunar lander from pad 39A on February 14 at 12:57 a.m. EST. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 will launch from pad 40. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. Upcoming launches include more Starlink batches from pad 40. A Falcon 9 will launch the Telkomsat communications satellite for Indonesia from pad 40 on mid-late February TBD. A Falcon 9 will launch the next crew of four astronauts to the International Space Station, Crew-8, from pad 39A on February 22 at the earliest, around 3 a.m. EST, or around February 29-March 1 at midnight (the latter date if IM-1 proceeds as planned). The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch.

This was originally a Starlink launch (6-39, see that thread where NOTAMs around the Cape has just been retracted), but I really wonder if something else is launching that goes RTLS as the next SLC-40 launch...sometimes this is a typo and sometimes it isn't.

The obvious candidate is USSF-124 which has been noted to launch in the first quarter for quite some time (delayed from late last year), the missile warning satellites payload seems light enough for RTLS (previous sources indeed list it going RTLS and polar orbit, just like PACE today) too. So...
« Last Edit: 02/08/2024 10:44 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline GewoonLukas_

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1274 on: 02/08/2024 05:04 pm »
I noticed this in Ben Cooper's latest schedule updates:

Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch NASA's Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem (PACE) satellite from pad 40 on February 8 at 1:33 a.m. EST. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 will launch the Intuitive Machines & NASA IM-1 Nova-C commercial lunar lander from pad 39A on February 14 at 12:57 a.m. EST. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 will launch from pad 40. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. Upcoming launches include more Starlink batches from pad 40. A Falcon 9 will launch the Telkomsat communications satellite for Indonesia from pad 40 on mid-late February TBD. A Falcon 9 will launch the next crew of four astronauts to the International Space Station, Crew-8, from pad 39A on February 22 at the earliest, around 3 a.m. EST, or around February 29-March 1 at midnight (the latter date if IM-1 proceeds as planned). The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch.

This was originally a Starlink launch (6-39, see that thread where NOTAMs around the Cape has just been retracted), but I really wonder if something else is launching that goes RTLS as the next SLC-40 launch...sometimes this is a typo and sometimes it isn't.

The obvious candidate is USSF-124 which has been noted to launch in the first quarter for quite some time (delayed from late last year), the missile warning satellites payload seems light enough for RTLS (previous sources indeed list it going RTLS and polar orbit, just like PACE today) too. So...

Latest update confirms this is USSF-124

Quote
A Falcon 9 will launch the USSF-124 mission for the U.S. Space Force from pad 40 on mid-February.
« Last Edit: 02/08/2024 10:45 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online catdlr

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1275 on: 02/10/2024 04:06 am »
Quote
Recent 8th #Starlink launch of this year via #SpaceX's #Falcon9 vehicle

https://twitter.com/_rykllan/status/1756177452185833758



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Offline Comga

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1276 on: 02/14/2024 09:25 pm »
Going for three launches within the next 8 24 hours!
Fingers Crossed

edit: One Down! USSF-124/HBTSS (successful as far as we know....)
edit 2: One scrub, now "within 24 hours"
edit 3: Two Down! IM-1 off to the Moon!
edit 4:  Three launches within 24 hours!
Wow
« Last Edit: 02/15/2024 08:39 pm by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1277 on: 02/15/2024 05:55 pm »
Going for three launches within the next 8 hours!
Fingers Crossed

edit: One Down! USSF-124/HBTSS (successful as far as we know....)

They have had a number of back to back attempts scrubbed for several reasons.  Someday it will happen.
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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1278 on: 02/20/2024 02:20 pm »
Cross-post; see this thread for discussion:
MINISTRY OF TOURISM, INVESTMENTS & AVIATION SECURES HISTORIC AGREEMENT WITH SPACEX TO PROPEL BAHAMAS INTO THE SPACE TECHNOLOGY & TOURISM FRONTIER
[Feb 16]
Quote
SpaceX, a pioneer in space exploration, is currently finalizing mission designs where one of the company’s autonomous drone ships will serve as a Falcon 9 landing location east of The Exumas, offering a spectacle that will be visible only in The Bahamas. This unique opportunity sets the stage for tourists to witness awe-inspiring space events from cruise ships, resorts, and various tourist hotspots, solidifying The Bahamas' position as a key player in the emerging space tourism industry.

SOURCE

In the attached Google Maps the red circle is Exumas, so the landing zone would be the area east of that (in orange).  Currently, Starlink launches from the Cape have to do a right dog leg to avoid a Bahamas flyover.  With this agreement, a flyover would allow a straight ground track (and possibly save fuel by eliminating the Delta-V?)
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Offline crandles57

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1279 on: 02/20/2024 03:28 pm »
possibly save fuel by eliminating the Delta-V?)

Probably fill it up anyway so more a case of providing more margin and/or greater possible mass?

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