Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread  (Read 466966 times)

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1240 on: 01/09/2024 06:46 pm »
Has anyone seen what orbit the 425 Project SAR satellites are going to?

Wikipedia seems to think Eirsat-1 was launched to Sun-synchronous orbit though I can't find ref for this.

That was the flight on Dec. 1.

Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1241 on: 01/09/2024 08:13 pm »
Will there be Starlink Group 6 launches beyond 6-39?

Particularly, what about Starlink 6-40 and 6-41?

Will Starlink 6-42 move to Florida?
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<snip>
1303-EX-ST-2023  Mission 1884 Starlink Group 6-42
All are NET July
ASDS    North  29  41  52   West  116  41  19
« Last Edit: 01/10/2024 08:33 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1242 on: 01/10/2024 06:24 pm »
Will there be any differences in the north-of-Bahamas NOTAMed drop zone for RTLS Starlink Group 6 launches, when only the payload fairings will be recovered at sea?
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1243 on: 01/11/2024 03:35 am »
Will there be Starlink Group 6 launches beyond 6-39?

Particularly, what about Starlink 6-40 and 6-41?

Will Starlink 6-42 move to Florida?
Four more Starlinks from Vandy
<snip>
1303-EX-ST-2023  Mission 1884 Starlink Group 6-42
All are NET July
ASDS    North  29  41  52   West  116  41  19

Yes, Yes, and Yes
more Starlinks from Cape

0037-EX-ST-2024  Mission 1912 Starlink Group 6-40
0038-EX-ST-2024  Mission 1913 Starlink Group 6-41
0039-EX-ST-2024  Mission 1884 Starlink Group 6-42

ASDS    North  25  41  37   West  75  5  42
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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1244 on: 01/12/2024 07:45 am »
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ Axiom-3 (Jan 18 17, LC-39A)

✅️ Cygnus NG-20 (Jan 30 29, SLC-40)

PACE (Feb 8 6 7, SLC-40)

Nova-C IM-1 (Feb 14 10, LC-39A)

Telkomsat HTS 113BT (NET Feb 20 mid, SLC-40)

Crew Dragon Crew-8 (~Feb 29 mid late, LC-39A)

Transporter-10 (Mar 1, SLC-4E)

USSF-62 (NET late Mar, SLC-4E)

USSF-124 (NET Mar Q1, SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (Q1, SLC-40)

Cargo Dragon SpX-30 (Apr 4 Mar 4 NET mid Mar, LC-39A?)

Polaris Dawn (NET early? Apr, LC-39A?)

GOES-U (NET Apr 30, LC-39A)

Edited through January and early February
« Last Edit: 02/07/2024 10:45 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online M.E.T.

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1245 on: 01/15/2024 02:47 am »
Just checked the manifest updates thread.

Have a few January jitters slipped into the completed flights list or am I misreading it?

When trying to count the 2024 flights as of 15 Jan, I noted a couple that showed as recently completed, but had Jan 2023 dates listed next to them. Were they meant to be Jan 2024?
« Last Edit: 01/15/2024 02:49 am by M.E.T. »

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1246 on: 01/15/2024 02:56 am »
Just checked the manifest updates thread.

Have a few January jitters slipped into the completed flights list or am I misreading it?

When trying to count the 2024 flights as of 15 Jan, I noted a couple that showed as recently completed, but had Jan 2023 dates listed next to them. Were they meant to be Jan 2024?

It looks like 2 of the launches were mis-typed as happened in 2023. I have fixed that along with adding new updates to the table.
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Online catdlr

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1247 on: 01/16/2024 02:47 am »
« Last Edit: 01/16/2024 02:51 am by catdlr »
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Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1248 on: 01/17/2024 02:41 pm »
It's very odd to not see a bunch of Starlink flights stacked up for the rest of January.
Starship, Vulcan and Ariane 6 have all reached orbit.  New Glenn, well we are waiting!

Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1249 on: 01/18/2024 12:52 pm »
It's very odd to not see a bunch of Starlink flights stacked up for the rest of January.
Starlink flight listings are not that up to date in the SpaceX manifest update thread. Check the US launch schedule thread for the most up to date listing.

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1250 on: 01/18/2024 06:39 pm »
Quote
As we move to a higher launch rate, we are adopting more of a factory model where the equipment is always running except for planned and unplanned maintenance. In this case,  JRTI is going through a planned dry dock while pad 40 also undergoes a planned maintenance period. The bonus is sneaking in some work on Bob/Doug given the gap in east coast launches!

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Offline DistantTemple

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1251 on: 01/19/2024 01:29 am »
Good to do it in the winter when weather would already be a disruption, both for launch and recovery - as well as safe return to port!
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Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1252 on: 01/19/2024 01:34 am »
Good to do it in the winter when weather would already be a disruption, both for launch and recovery - as well as safe return to port!

Which weather?

The atmosphere in Florida is much more stable in winter.  The Atlantic, perhaps less so. 

I lived in Florida for 6 years, the winds, rain, etc is much less of an issue in winter. 
Starship, Vulcan and Ariane 6 have all reached orbit.  New Glenn, well we are waiting!

Offline DistantTemple

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1253 on: 01/19/2024 02:09 am »
Good to do it in the winter when weather would already be a disruption, both for launch and recovery - as well as safe return to port!

Which weather?

The atmosphere in Florida is much more stable in winter.  The Atlantic, perhaps less so. 

I lived in Florida for 6 years, the winds, rain, etc is much less of an issue in winter.
TBF I assumed it was worse. There have been some Starbase vids with obvious strong winds. The other day it was mentioned the temp was near freezing... The booster fell over.... And its ... winter.
I'm stunned if its as you say better weather for launch, recovery, and return to port - overall in the winter. If so I stand corrected!
Edit: Obviously Florida is not Starbase... they are just a vaguely similar latitude.
« Last Edit: 01/19/2024 02:10 am by DistantTemple »
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Offline scr00chy

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1254 on: 01/19/2024 08:12 pm »
It will be interesting to see how the IM-1 and Crew-8 launch dates shake out.

NASA keeps saying Crew-8 is planned for mid-February, which is impossible if IM-1 is still planned for Feb 10. Could it be that IM-1 might get bumped until after Crew-8?

On the other hand, Ben Cooper has Crew-8 listed for late February which would fit with the current IM-1 date. However, there has never been a gap shorter than 20 days between a Crew Dragon launch and the previous mission from LC-39A. So if we add to that the fairly likely possibility of some IM-1 delays, Crew-8 could easily slip into March.

Offline DanClemmensen

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1255 on: 01/19/2024 10:47 pm »
It will be interesting to see how the IM-1 and Crew-8 launch dates shake out.

NASA keeps saying Crew-8 is planned for mid-February, which is impossible if IM-1 is still planned for Feb 10. Could it be that IM-1 might get bumped until after Crew-8?

On the other hand, Ben Cooper has Crew-8 listed for late February which would fit with the current IM-1 date. However, there has never been a gap shorter than 20 days between a Crew Dragon launch and the previous mission from LC-39A. So if we add to that the fairly likely possibility of some IM-1 delays, Crew-8 could easily slip into March.
I thought launch windows to the Moon were usually constrained to a few consecutive days each month. If this is true for IM-1, then it cannot slip a lot.

On the other hand, 26 Feb is six months after Crew-7 launch. CCP missions have averaged about 5.5 months so far. I don't think NASA will be very happy deferring Crew-8 launch much.

Maybe they have worked out a shorter pad turnaround?
« Last Edit: 01/20/2024 05:13 am by DanClemmensen »

Offline crandles57

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1256 on: 01/20/2024 04:35 pm »
It will be interesting to see how the IM-1 and Crew-8 launch dates shake out.

NASA keeps saying Crew-8 is planned for mid-February, which is impossible if IM-1 is still planned for Feb 10. Could it be that IM-1 might get bumped until after Crew-8?

On the other hand, Ben Cooper has Crew-8 listed for late February which would fit with the current IM-1 date. However, there has never been a gap shorter than 20 days between a Crew Dragon launch and the previous mission from LC-39A. So if we add to that the fairly likely possibility of some IM-1 delays, Crew-8 could easily slip into March.
I thought launch windows to the Moon were usually constrained to a few consecutive days each month. If this is true for IM-1, then it cannot slip a lot.

On the other hand, 26 Feb is six months after Crew-7 launch. CCP missions have averaged about 5.5 months so far. I don't think NASA will be very happy deferring Crew-8 launch much.

Maybe they have worked out a shorter pad turnaround?

Going other way from Ax3 (18 Jan) to Starlink 6-38 was initially planned for 8 days then quickly slipped to 10 days. So maybe they have the pad changeover time down to 10 days? 10 Feb +10 days = 20 Feb which is still on border between mid and late Feb ?
« Last Edit: 01/20/2024 04:37 pm by crandles57 »

Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1257 on: 01/23/2024 09:28 pm »
It will be interesting to see how the IM-1 and Crew-8 launch dates shake out.

NASA keeps saying Crew-8 is planned for mid-February, which is impossible if IM-1 is still planned for Feb 10. Could it be that IM-1 might get bumped until after Crew-8?

On the other hand, Ben Cooper has Crew-8 listed for late February which would fit with the current IM-1 date. However, there has never been a gap shorter than 20 days between a Crew Dragon launch and the previous mission from LC-39A. So if we add to that the fairly likely possibility of some IM-1 delays, Crew-8 could easily slip into March.

Latest from NASA seems to confirm that yes, the agency will be ok with targeting a >6 month duration for Crew 7 with Crew 8 launching in late February. However Im sure that if it looks like IM-1 will even slip a day or two SpaceX will immediately prioritize Crew 8 and IM-1 will be pushed to March. If the current schedule holds it is also likely CRS-30 (NET March 4) is poised to launch immediately after Crew 7 undock.

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1258 on: 01/24/2024 12:08 am »
Should we expect movement of the launch date for 6-38 given that LC-40 appears to be double booked with that launch and Cygnus just over 24 hours apart?

Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1259 on: 01/24/2024 12:15 am »
Should we expect movement of the launch date for 6-38 given that LC-40 appears to be double booked with that launch and Cygnus just over 24 hours apart?
oh its from 39A, mods forgot to change the title

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