I'm not sure if this is the best place for this or not, but I've been wondering: now that Boeing's Crewed Flight Test has slipped behind Crew-1, will it be the crew rotation flight replacing Crew-1 (and presumably becoming Expedition 66/67, with the MS-18 crew as Expedition 65/66), in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) would presumably be delayed six months or so, or will Crew-2 still replace Crew-1, in which case it seems like the Crewed Flight Test would probably go back to a short-duration flight?
I have another question. Nasa is planning several year long flight missions in the coming years. But the commercial crew vehicles are only certified for up to nine month flight duration (~210 days). Thus year long crew members will have to swap from crew vehicle. Now there is a complication with the dissimulator redundancy. The IVA suites (reentry suites) are vehicle specific. If for example crew-2 is a SpaceX crew dragon and Crew-3 is a Boeing Starliner, and NASA plans a year long mission for one or several of the crew-2 astronauts. They will require an IVA suit for both crew Dragon and Starliner. How is NASA planning to deal with this?
Quote from: John_Marshall on 06/11/2020 05:12 pmI'm not sure if this is the best place for this or not, but I've been wondering: now that Boeing's Crewed Flight Test has slipped behind Crew-1, will it be the crew rotation flight replacing Crew-1 (and presumably becoming Expedition 66/67, with the MS-18 crew as Expedition 65/66), in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) would presumably be delayed six months or so, or will Crew-2 still replace Crew-1, in which case it seems like the Crewed Flight Test would probably go back to a short-duration flight?I strongly suspect that NASA will rename and/or re-number the commercial crew flights. Very soon. Otherwise SpaceX will fly Crew-3 before Crew-2 (Boeing). So things will get odd very fast.
I'm not sure if it's true or just another baseless early stage space legend, but a few insiders have claimed that NASA dodged a major problem via SpaceX going considerably beyond contract requirements in having capability available. Even in my neighborhood, I've heard from certain sources that there's been a serious shift from a "lean production" attitude to an "assume nothing goes to plan" attitude. Or, "How to be launching two weeks after you blow up your pad 101".
Quote from: Lars-J on 06/12/2020 11:08 pmQuote from: John_Marshall on 06/11/2020 05:12 pmI'm not sure if this is the best place for this or not, but I've been wondering: now that Boeing's Crewed Flight Test has slipped behind Crew-1, will it be the crew rotation flight replacing Crew-1 (and presumably becoming Expedition 66/67, with the MS-18 crew as Expedition 65/66), in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) would presumably be delayed six months or so, or will Crew-2 still replace Crew-1, in which case it seems like the Crewed Flight Test would probably go back to a short-duration flight?I strongly suspect that NASA will rename and/or re-number the commercial crew flights. Very soon. Otherwise SpaceX will fly Crew-3 before Crew-2 (Boeing). So things will get odd very fast. Not sure about that. If the name is how the missions are referred to in the billion or so related documents, that might not be practical.
[snip]But I do not expect that Boeing crewed demo flight (BOE-CFT) will be extended. One it's a much less proven system (3th launch for both Starliner and Atlas V N22) thanks to cargo Dragon the Falcon9-Dragon system has a 20 mission heritage. More importantly 'if' crew dragon is certified, Nasa doesn't have the requirement for the BOE-CFT crew to stay long on the ISS. Returning faster results in faster Starliner certification.
But I do not expect that Boeing crewed demo flight (BOE-CFT) will be extended. One it's a much less proven system (3th launch for both Starliner and Atlas V N22) thanks to cargo Dragon the Falcon9-Dragon system has a 20 mission heritage.
Quote from: Nomadd on 06/13/2020 03:09 pmQuote from: Lars-J on 06/12/2020 11:08 pmQuote from: John_Marshall on 06/11/2020 05:12 pmI'm not sure if this is the best place for this or not, but I've been wondering: now that Boeing's Crewed Flight Test has slipped behind Crew-1, will it be the crew rotation flight replacing Crew-1 (and presumably becoming Expedition 66/67, with the MS-18 crew as Expedition 65/66), in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) would presumably be delayed six months or so, or will Crew-2 still replace Crew-1, in which case it seems like the Crewed Flight Test would probably go back to a short-duration flight?I strongly suspect that NASA will rename and/or re-number the commercial crew flights. Very soon. Otherwise SpaceX will fly Crew-3 before Crew-2 (Boeing). So things will get odd very fast. Not sure about that. If the name is how the missions are referred to in the billion or so related documents, that might not be practical.Every operational Commercial Crew mission changes names once. USCV-<n> is a NASA placeholder name for a mission that has not yet been assigned a provider. When that happens the mission gets a SpaceX (Crew-<n>) or Boeing (PCM-<n>) specific name.
I think the serious change is the flight duration extension of SpaceX Crew dragon DM2, from 10 days to about 100days.
Quote from: Jorge on 06/13/2020 06:38 pmQuote from: Nomadd on 06/13/2020 03:09 pmQuote from: Lars-J on 06/12/2020 11:08 pmQuote from: John_Marshall on 06/11/2020 05:12 pmI'm not sure if this is the best place for this or not, but I've been wondering: now that Boeing's Crewed Flight Test has slipped behind Crew-1, will it be the crew rotation flight replacing Crew-1 (and presumably becoming Expedition 66/67, with the MS-18 crew as Expedition 65/66), in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) would presumably be delayed six months or so, or will Crew-2 still replace Crew-1, in which case it seems like the Crewed Flight Test would probably go back to a short-duration flight?I strongly suspect that NASA will rename and/or re-number the commercial crew flights. Very soon. Otherwise SpaceX will fly Crew-3 before Crew-2 (Boeing). So things will get odd very fast. Not sure about that. If the name is how the missions are referred to in the billion or so related documents, that might not be practical.Every operational Commercial Crew mission changes names once. USCV-<n> is a NASA placeholder name for a mission that has not yet been assigned a provider. When that happens the mission gets a SpaceX (Crew-<n>) or Boeing (PCM-<n>) specific name. For anybody who wasn't around in the old days, this is the guy who knows more about space ops than any other four people combined around here, and needs to chime in way more often.
But I do not expect that Boeing crewed demo flight (BOE-CFT) will be extended. One it's a much less proven system (3th launch for both Starliner and Atlas V N22) thanks to cargo Dragon the Falcon9-Dragon system has a 20 mission heritage. More importantly 'if' crew dragon is certified, Nasa doesn't have the requirement for the BOE-CFT crew to stay long on the ISS. Returning faster results in faster Starliner certification.
Again from anikhttps://twitter.com/anik1982space/status/1281522732677636096Google translationFrench astronaut Tom Peske can fly to the ISS six months earlier, in February 2021, on the Crew Dragon (USCV-2) instead of USCV-3 due to the fact that Russia is giving up its place on this flight
Space Shuttle flights used to fly out of numerical order all the time, didn't they? Once you define a mission and give it a designation I think that would carry through until the mission flies.
I thought the Boeing naming system is CTS 1, CTS 2, etc. Don't know what CTS stands for though.https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/2409
Quote from: billh on 07/20/2020 11:56 pmSpace Shuttle flights used to fly out of numerical order all the time, didn't they? Once you define a mission and give it a designation I think that would carry through until the mission flies.I have no special knowledge, but the way I understand the commercial crew nomenclature is as follows:1) USCV-N are mission designations for NASA long distance planning. They occur in sequence every 6 months.2) As the USCV missions firm up they are assigned to one of the certified commercial crew providers and at that point they become Crew-M for a SpaceX assignment or Starliner-M for a Boeing assigned flight.3) My impression is that Crew-N will be sequential with SpaceX and Starliner-N will be sequential within Boeing crew flights. Similar to the way Commercial Cargo missions were numbered.4) So my understanding is that USCV-1 will become Crew-1 assuming DM-2 completes its mission successfully and certification of SpaceX occurs so that USCV-1 can fly on a dragon in September 2020.5) Assuming USCV-1 does fly as crew-1 in September 2020 that says crew-1 will return in March 2021 and since there will be an overlapping handover that means that USCV-2 needs to be assigned to a certified provider in time for launch about the beginning of March 2021. I don't know how much notice is required but I suspect this means that the USCV-2 provider will have to be certified probably no later than early January 2021 - or at least NASA was very confident of certification at that time.6) If I had to guess, this probably means that Boeing CFT won't fly in time to get certified before NASA has to assign USCV-2 to a certified provider, i.e USCV-2 may well be assigned to SpaceX to fly Crew-2 and the 1st Boeing certified flight would be Starliner 1 launching around the beginning of September 2021 before Crew-2 returns from the ISS later in September 2021.7) After that they would probably alternate with Boeing launches in September and SpaceX launches in March of each year.Hope that makes senseCarl
SpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.
Quote from: king1999 on 07/21/2020 07:53 amSpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.So, why not dragon 1, dragon 2 ...
... in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) ...
2) As the USCV missions firm up they are assigned to one of the certified commercial crew providers and at that point they become Crew-M for a SpaceX assignment or Starliner-M for a Boeing assigned flight.
I thought the Boeing naming system is CTS 1, CTS 2, etc. Don't know what CTS stands for though.
Quote from: Steven Pietrobon on 07/21/2020 06:11 amI thought the Boeing naming system is CTS 1, CTS 2, etc. Don't know what CTS stands for though.https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/2409It is CST and it stands for Commercial Space Transport
The flight order will be, by my reckoning:Demo-2Crew-1 -SpXCrew-2 -SpxCFTCrew-3 -SpX (because this will be a warm hand-off and Starliner can't be certified until after it lands)Crew-4 -Boe (Williams, Casada, Epps +1)
https://twitter.com/spaceflightnow/status/1298602979105415170QuoteBoeing says it's “making excellent progress” toward launching a second unpiloted test flight of its Starliner capsule to the space station by the end of this year or in early January, paving the way for the first Starliner crew test flight in mid-2021. spaceflightnow.com/2020/08/25/boe…Quote from Boeing:Quote “After a successful OFT-2, Boeing and NASA will fly Starliner’s first crewed mission, the Crew Flight Test, in the summer of 2021, with the first post-certification mission, Starliner-1, tentatively scheduled for the following winter.”
Boeing says it's “making excellent progress” toward launching a second unpiloted test flight of its Starliner capsule to the space station by the end of this year or in early January, paving the way for the first Starliner crew test flight in mid-2021. spaceflightnow.com/2020/08/25/boe…
“After a successful OFT-2, Boeing and NASA will fly Starliner’s first crewed mission, the Crew Flight Test, in the summer of 2021, with the first post-certification mission, Starliner-1, tentatively scheduled for the following winter.”
Quote from: John_Marshall on 06/11/2020 05:12 pm... in which case Crew-2 (Suni Williams' crew) ...Quote from: cwr on 07/21/2020 02:42 am2) As the USCV missions firm up they are assigned to one of the certified commercial crew providers and at that point they become Crew-M for a SpaceX assignment or Starliner-M for a Boeing assigned flight.Quote from: Steven Pietrobon on 07/21/2020 06:11 amI thought the Boeing naming system is CTS 1, CTS 2, etc. Don't know what CTS stands for though.All post-certification Starliner missions are numbered PCM-<n>, and Suni's crew is PCM-1.<meme>Always has been.</meme>
Quote from: king1999 on 07/21/2020 07:53 amSpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.I agree with Elon, I hate acronyms too. I try to avoid them when ever I can.
Quote from: yg1968 on 08/31/2020 04:12 pmQuote from: king1999 on 07/21/2020 07:53 amSpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.I agree with Elon, I hate acronyms too. I try to avoid them when ever I can.Yeah, they are quite unnecessary. Starliner-1, -2... would be just fine. ...
Quote from: soltasto on 08/31/2020 06:26 pmQuote from: yg1968 on 08/31/2020 04:12 pmQuote from: king1999 on 07/21/2020 07:53 amSpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.I agree with Elon, I hate acronyms too. I try to avoid them when ever I can.Yeah, they are quite unnecessary. Starliner-1, -2... would be just fine. ...Now I'm really confused. I thought Crew-1, Crew-2, etc. weren't SpaceX designations, but were provider-agnostic NASA designations of Commercial Crew Post Certification Missions, ordered by flight date. Thus it was appropriate to say, "SpaceX will fly Crew-1 and Crew-2, and with news that the first Starliner PCM is NET December 2021, it appears SpaceX will fly Crew-3 as well, with Boeing flying Crew-4." Is that incorrect?
Quote from: kdhilliard on 08/31/2020 07:05 pmQuote from: soltasto on 08/31/2020 06:26 pmQuote from: yg1968 on 08/31/2020 04:12 pmQuote from: king1999 on 07/21/2020 07:53 amSpaceX chose simple Demo-1, Demo-2, Crew-1, Crew-2... because Elon hates acronyms. CFT, USCV, CTS are all too confusing.I agree with Elon, I hate acronyms too. I try to avoid them when ever I can.Yeah, they are quite unnecessary. Starliner-1, -2... would be just fine. ...Now I'm really confused. I thought Crew-1, Crew-2, etc. weren't SpaceX designations, but were provider-agnostic NASA designations of Commercial Crew Post Certification Missions, ordered by flight date. Thus it was appropriate to say, "SpaceX will fly Crew-1 and Crew-2, and with news that the first Starliner PCM is NET December 2021, it appears SpaceX will fly Crew-3 as well, with Boeing flying Crew-4." Is that incorrect?It's incorrect. The answer is just one page back in this very thread.https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=51199.msg2096094#msg2096094
Future ExpeditionsExpedition 64Launch: Oct. 14, 2020Land: Spring 2021SpaceX Crew-1Launch: NET Oct 23, 2020SpaceX Crew-2Launch: Spring 2021Boeing Orbital Flight Test (OFT) Crewed Flight Test (CFT)Launch: NET June 2021Boeing Starliner-1Launch: NET Dec 2021
NASA should not compressed the review processes which is at least 6 months each for OFT-2 and CFT
Quote from: Zed_Noir on 09/14/2020 09:42 pmNASA should not compressed the review processes which is at least 6 months each for OFT-2 and CFTWhy would the review process be six months? Hasn't Boeing always said they expect a relatively short span between OFT and CFT (now that would be OFT-2 and CFT)?
Minor mental nag that I have with this.Logistically this seems wasteful: You would need to bring your landing vehicle's suit with you on the launching vehicle and the reverse going back down (or consume cargo volume on the launching vehicle with an empty suit).Both suits are mostly single piece which consumes precious monolithic cargo space on both flights.Alternately Boeing and SpaceX could release adapters / converters for their umbilicals
I'm sure they could launch the landing suit in the landing vehicle instead of needing to bring it along.
Quote from: Steven Pietrobon on 07/21/2020 06:11 amI thought the Boeing naming system is CTS 1, CTS 2, etc. Don't know what CTS stands for though.https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/details/2409Crew Transport Service?