SpaceX F9 : Starlink v1.0 L9 (Rideshare) : August 7, 2020

[zubenelgenubi]

5 day turn around on SLC40 would be a very impressive achievement.

Precisely. We now think that we know that Static Fire for the SAOCOM 1B launch will occur 5 days before launch.
Ben Cooper currently has the same launch listed for late July or early August.

My hypothesis: If either the Starlink et al. payloads or the SAOCOM 1B et al. payloads are ready, then SpaceX would proceed with the launch campaign for that one launch before the Atlas V mission on July 30.  The other Falcon 9 launch would wait until afterwards.

We now have a launch date and time for the Starlink launch.

I think there's not enough time to have SAOCOM 1B launch before the 29th, as its Static Fire should precede launch by 5 days, and that hasn't happened as of this posting.

My updated hypothesized mini-schedule:

Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2020
NET Late  July 29  - Starlink flight 10 (x57) [v1.0 L9], SXRS-1: BlackSky Global 5, BlackSky Global 6 - Falcon 9-090 (B1051.5 S) - Kennedy LC-39A - 08:26
July 30 - Mars Perseverance rover (MSL-2), Ingenuity (MHS), MMO, CubeSats - Atlas V 541 (AV-088) - Canaveral SLC-41 - 11:50-13:50
NET Late July 25   August - SAOCOM-1B, Capella 2 (Sequoia), GNOMES-1 - Falcon 9-091 (L) - Canaveral SLC-40 - 23:19

Changes on July 21st
Changes on July 23rd
zubenelgenubi

[FutureSpaceTourist]

https://twitter.com/nasa_nerd/status/1286677489931223043

A NOTAM has now been issued for the SpaceX Falcon 9 launch with Starlink on the 29th.

[Elthiryel]

This mission is now NET July 31 according to Ben Cooper. Maybe due to the reasons discussed above?

The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral will launch the tenth batch of Starlink internet
satellites on July 31 at the earliest, at 3:45am EDT.

http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html

[ahecht]

The previous NOTAM has been replaced with the following:

F2097/20 NOTAMR F2077/20
Q) YMMM/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/5056S10832E999
A) YMMM
B) 2007311011 C) 2008011025
D) 2007311011 TO 2007311049
   2008010947 TO 2008011025
PRI RE-ENTRY 31 1011-1049
BACKUP RE-ENTRY 01 0947-1025
E) ROCKET LAUNCH
FLW RECEIVED FROM GOVERNMENT OF UNITED STATES OF AMERICA:
HAZARDOUS OPS WILL BE CONDUCTED FOR ATMOSPHERIC RE-ENTRY AND
SPLASHDOWN OF OP X0108 LAUNCH VEHICLE FALCON 9
WI THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
2846S 06255E
2716S 06305E
2743S 06502E
3856S 08255E
4342S 09236E
4619S 10020E
4912S 11102E
5041S 12231E
5103S 14326E
5014S 15650E
5040S 15702E
5509S 13852E
5523S 11812E   
5332S 10401E
5033S 09329E
4610S 08303E
4041S 07402E
3527S 06743E
3113S 06420E TO BEGINNING
F) SFC G) UNL

[zubenelgenubi]

(Very end of July and) August Space Coast launch mini-schedule, as of this posting:

Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2020
(Static Fire for SAOCOM-1B?)
July 30 - Mars Perseverance rover (MSL-2), Ingenuity (MHS), MMO, CubeSats - Atlas V 541 (AV-088) - Canaveral SLC-41 - 11:50-13:50
July 29 31  - Starlink flight 10 (x57) [v1.0 L9], SXRS-1: BlackSky Global 5, BlackSky Global 6 - Falcon 9-090 (B1051.5 S) - Kennedy LC-39A - 08:26 07:45
August (5 days after Static Fire?) - SAOCOM-1B, Capella 2 (Sequoia), GNOMES-1 - Falcon 9-091 (L) - Canaveral SLC-40 - 23:19  (or NET Late July)
August  - SiriusXM SXM-7 - Falcon 9 - Canaveral SLC-40 - 04:27:00
August - Starlink flight 11 (x58) [v1.0 L10], SkySat 19, SkySat 20, SkySat 21 - Falcon 9-092 (S) - Kennedy LC-39A
NET August - Starlink flight 12 (x60) [v1.0 L11] - Falcon 9 (S) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A
NET August - Starlink flight 13 (x60) [v1.0 L12] - Falcon 9 (S) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A
August 26 - NROL-44: Orion 10 (Mentor 8 ) (TBD) - Delta IV-H [D-385] - Canaveral SLC-37B

Changes on July 24th
zubenelgenubi

[jacquesL]

Will they have enough boosters for 4 launches in August ?

[Aphelios]

SAOCOM 1B is Pushed to late August for two reasons LV isn't yet ready and the range conflict, they're maybe Clearing it for NROL-44 & Possible perseverance delays, i expect the August Starlink Launch to be pushed also

[gongora]

Will they have enough boosters for 4 launches in August ?

They should have four boosters in August.  Whether they can actually launch that many depends on payload and range availability.  Haven't heard anything about SXM-7, don't know if it's been delivered or incurred COVID delays like most other payloads.

[gongora]

SAOCOM 1B is Pushed to late August for two reasons LV isn't yet ready and the range conflict, they're maybe Clearing it for NROL-44 & Possible perseverance delays, i expect the August Starlink Launch to be pushed also

Perseverance and NROL-44 wouldn't prevent other launches for the entire month of August.

[zubenelgenubi]

Update of my hypothesized mini-schedule:

Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

2020
July 30 - Mars Perseverance rover (MSL-2), Ingenuity (MHS), MMO, CubeSats - Atlas V 541 (AV-088) - Canaveral SLC-41 - 11:50-13:50
July 29 31 August 1 - Starlink flight 10 (x57) [v1.0 L9], SXRS-1: BlackSky Global 5, BlackSky Global 6 - Falcon 9-090 (B1051.5 S) - Kennedy LC-39A - 08:26 07:45 07:21
August 26 - NROL-44: Orion 10 (Mentor 8 ) (TBD) - Delta IV-H [D-385] - Canaveral SLC-37B
Late August (5 days after Static Fire?) - SAOCOM-1B, Capella 2 (Sequoia), GNOMES-1 - Falcon 9-091 (L) - Canaveral SLC-40 - 23:19  (or NET Late July)
August - Starlink flight 11 (x58) [v1.0 L10], SkySat 19, SkySat 20, SkySat 21 - Falcon 9-092 (S) - Kennedy LC-39A
NET August - Starlink flight 12 (x60) [v1.0 L11] - Falcon 9 (S) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A
NET August - Starlink flight 13 (x60) [v1.0 L12] - Falcon 9 (S) - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A
August ?  - SiriusXM SXM-7 - Falcon 9 - Canaveral SLC-40 - ~04:27:00

Changes on July 24th
zubenelgenubi July 25
zubenelgenubi July 27

***

EDIT July 27:

Starlink Flight 10 delayed one day to August 1; back-up launch date August 2.

August 1 launch time: 3:21 am EDT = 0721 UTC.

See the launch thread.

And Ben Cooper's Launch Photography

[Ken the Bin]

This is postponed from a primary date July 31 with an alternate date of August 1 to a primary date of August 1 with an alternate date of August 2.

271353Z JUL 20
NAVAREA IV 661/20(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   010711Z TO 010819Z AUG ALTERNATE
   020654Z TO 020757Z AUG
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-39-41N 080-38-10W, 28-48-00N 080-30-00W,
      29-20-00N 079-52-00W, 29-17-00N 079-50-00W,
      28-37-00N 080-27-00W, 28-34-20N 080-34-15W,
      28-38-26N 080-37-17W.
   B. 31-39-00N 077-20-00W, 33-15-00N 075-57-00W,
      33-40-00N 074-59-00W, 33-21-00N 074-25-00W,
      32-45-00N 074-32-00W, 31-25-00N 077-06-00W.
2. CANCEL NAVAREA IV 655/20.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 020857Z AUG 20.

The referenced canceled notice:

260242Z JUL 20
NAVAREA IV 655/20(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   310735Z TO 310843Z JUL ALTERNATE
   010711Z TO 010819Z AUG
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-39-41N 080-38-10W, 28-48-00N 080-30-00W,
      29-20-00N 079-52-00W, 29-17-00N 079-50-00W,
      28-37-00N 080-27-00W, 28-34-20N 080-34-15W,
      28-38-26N 080-37-17W.
   B. 31-39-00N 077-20-00W, 33-15-00N 075-57-00W,
      33-40-00N 074-59-00W, 33-21-00N 074-25-00W,
      32-45-00N 074-32-00W, 31-25-00N 077-06-00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 010919Z AUG 20.

[Orbiter]

Could DM-2 landing operations possibly interfere with the launch if they need to use August 2nd?

[Ken the Bin]

Could DM-2 landing operations possibly interfere with the launch if they need to use August 2nd?

The launch would be over 11 hours before splashdown, so I don't think it would be a problem.

[FutureSpaceTourist]

https://twitter.com/spacetfrs/status/1287770990299058178

Cape Canaveral/Kennedy Space Center (FL) temporary restriction: From August 01, 2020 at 1155 UTC To August 01, 2020 at 1440 UTC
Altitude: From the surface  up to and including FL(180)
https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5093.html

[gongora]

https://twitter.com/spacetfrs/status/1287770990299058178

Cape Canaveral/Kennedy Space Center (FL) temporary restriction: From August 01, 2020 at 1155 UTC To August 01, 2020 at 1440 UTC
Altitude: From the surface  up to and including FL(180)
https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5093.html

That doesn't really look like it's Starlink related

[ahecht]

https://twitter.com/spacetfrs/status/1287770990299058178

Cape Canaveral/Kennedy Space Center (FL) temporary restriction: From August 01, 2020 at 1155 UTC To August 01, 2020 at 1440 UTC
Altitude: From the surface  up to and including FL(180)
https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5093.html

That's for a backup date for Mars 2020, based on the time of day.

[Ken the Bin]

https://twitter.com/spacetfrs/status/1287770990299058178

Cape Canaveral/Kennedy Space Center (FL) temporary restriction: From August 01, 2020 at 1155 UTC To August 01, 2020 at 1440 UTC
Altitude: From the surface  up to and including FL(180)
https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5093.html

That's for a backup date for Mars 2020, based on the time of day.

You are the correct.  Here's the entire NGA notice for Mars 2020, with emphasis added for the part matching the above TFR.

250554Z JUL 20
NAVAREA IV 652/20(GEN).
NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   301150Z TO 301435Z JUL, ALTERNATE 311155Z TO
   311440Z JUL AND 011155Z TO 011440Z AUG
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38-00N 080-36-58W, 28-38-00N 080-21-00W,
      28-14-00N 077-57-00W, 28-06-00N 078-00-00W,
      28-28-27N 080-32-02W.
   B. 28-07-00N 078-34-00W, 28-27-00N 078-30-00W,
      28-13-00N 076-58-00W, 27-51-00N 077-01-00W.
   C. 26-25-00N 070-21-00W, 27-20-00N 070-01-00W,
      26-27-00N 066-04-00W, 25-32-00N 066-19-00W.
   D. 20-56-00N 053-37-00W, 23-16-00N 052-40-00W,
      20-47-00N 046-06-00W, 18-29-00N 047-03-00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 011540Z AUG 20.

[TorenAltair]

Please delete if too speculative.
A potential tropical storm #9 might arrive in Florida on August 2

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/210839.shtml?cone#contents

[FutureSpaceTourist]

https://twitter.com/julia_bergeron/status/1288314924461182976

Port Canaveral update:
Tug Finn Falgout, most likely with OCISLY in tow, has left port and is heading towards the Starlink landing zone. In other news, Pegasus is nearing port and local river tugs Termite and American are awaiting arrival. #SpaceXFleet #Pegasus

[ahecht]

TFRs posted for August 1st and 2nd:

https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5553.html

https://tfr.faa.gov/save_pages/detail_0_5554.html