An engine / TVC problem would almost certainly prevent a soft, and therefore upright, landing. The only system that comes in to play that late in the sequence is the legs -- maybe one didn't fully deploy or lock a la Jason 3.
It is unusual for Elon to be this quiet about the cause of the failed landing or the status of the stage (Meaning if its being brought back being pulled by a tug) Usually about an hour after a failed landing he posts why it failed.
Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 02/18/2020 06:30 pmQuote from: PaulKerrisdale on 02/18/2020 06:23 pmJust after the entry burn, around T+00:07:28, someone says "Stage 1 LOS expected". What does LOS mean in this context? <snip>It could also mean "Loss Of Signal" referring to the downlink though, or lots of other things.Your final guess is correct. LOS in this context = Loss Of SignalWelcome aboard!Thanks! So the loss of the downlink signal at that point wasn't unexpected, which could be for a number of different reasons
Quote from: PaulKerrisdale on 02/18/2020 06:23 pmJust after the entry burn, around T+00:07:28, someone says "Stage 1 LOS expected". What does LOS mean in this context? <snip>It could also mean "Loss Of Signal" referring to the downlink though, or lots of other things.Your final guess is correct. LOS in this context = Loss Of SignalWelcome aboard!
Just after the entry burn, around T+00:07:28, someone says "Stage 1 LOS expected". What does LOS mean in this context? <snip>It could also mean "Loss Of Signal" referring to the downlink though, or lots of other things.
Quote from: brettreds2k on 02/19/2020 05:49 pmIt is unusual for Elon to be this quiet about the cause of the failed landing or the status of the stage (Meaning if its being brought back being pulled by a tug) Usually about an hour after a failed landing he posts why it failed.It's definitely unusual. It makes me wonder if there's a reason for the silence. My guess is either ITAR, or, they just aren't sure what happened yet.
Quote from: CJ on 02/19/2020 06:44 pmQuote from: brettreds2k on 02/19/2020 05:49 pmIt is unusual for Elon to be this quiet about the cause of the failed landing or the status of the stage (Meaning if its being brought back being pulled by a tug) Usually about an hour after a failed landing he posts why it failed.It's definitely unusual. It makes me wonder if there's a reason for the silence. My guess is either ITAR, or, they just aren't sure what happened yet.I doubt it's ITAR. SpaceX tends to keep quiet during investigations. I suspect they don't have a clear cause and are investigating. It's a good thing to keep quiet until you have some facts.
Quote from: capoman on 02/19/2020 07:50 pmQuote from: CJ on 02/19/2020 06:44 pmQuote from: brettreds2k on 02/19/2020 05:49 pmIt is unusual for Elon to be this quiet about the cause of the failed landing or the status of the stage (Meaning if its being brought back being pulled by a tug) Usually about an hour after a failed landing he posts why it failed.It's definitely unusual. It makes me wonder if there's a reason for the silence. My guess is either ITAR, or, they just aren't sure what happened yet.I doubt it's ITAR. SpaceX tends to keep quiet during investigations. I suspect they don't have a clear cause and are investigating. It's a good thing to keep quiet until you have some facts.I very much concur that it's best to keep quiet until they have facts. SpaceX has been very good, historically, about not saying things until they are pretty sure. That's what makes me think they are investigating, as I suspect (based on the past) that if they knew for certain what happened, they would have probably said so by now. Or, it could be related to something proprietary related to how F9 lands, which for perfectly understandable reasons they'd prefer to not talk about. If I had to bet, (and I'm glad I don't, because I'd probably lose) I'd say a hydraulic leak from the grid fin system. My reasoning is admittedly weak; the arched piece seen coming away during the flight seemed flexible, not like ice. So, I'm guessing hydraulic fluid. The F9 could have ended up losing grid fin control late in the descent, and thus either diverted, or, simply didn't get close enough to be able land.
Good morning! OCISLY is set for an arrival at Port Canaveral later today, possibly in as little as 3 hours from now but they may wait for GO Quest who is some 7 hours away.Ms Tree and Ms. Chief are about 6 hours away.tl;dr... It's going to be a busy day of arrivals!
First look at Tug Hawk and OCISLY slowing making their way towards Port Canaveral. With #B1056 taking a turn into the Atlantic during landing they are coming back empty handed. Go Quest, Ms. Chief and Ms. Tree will be inbound later today. #SpaceXFleet
SpaceX’s Of Course I Still Love You droneship has returned to Port Canaveral following Monday’s Starlink mission, during which the Falcon 9 landed softly on the water nearby the droneship.Per @SpaceXFleet: This is the first time OCISLY has returned empty-handed since June 2019.
GO Ms. Chief leads the charge into Port Canaveral for the #SpaceXFleet with the Coast Guard Confidence coming in ahead of them. Welcome home sisters, welcome home!
Go Ms. Chief and GO Ms. Tree are majestic to watch come into port.I can't even express how beautiful this was to see. #SpaceXFleet
That is a fairing half on GO Ms. Chief and it is kinda broken 😔 But welcome home happy crew! #SpaceXFleet pic.twitter.com/78G1i9OoUs
GO Ms. Tree did not get much better of a catch. Broken fairing half for them as well. Welcome home happy crew! #SpaceXFleet
This appears to have been a rough mission all around. Fairing hauls from GO Ms. Chief and GO Ms. Tree respectively. #SpaceXFleet #Starlink
Go Ms Tree & Ms Chief just pulled back into port about 4:20 pm this afternoon. Both were carrying fairings but both fairings were heavily damaged & broken apart. Unknown if this happened upon impact or damaged while recovery. #SpaceX #NASA #space #SpaceXFleet
Better shots of GO Ms. Tree's fairing half. #SpaceXFleet #SpaceX
Better shots of GO Ms. Chief's fairing half. #SpaceXFleet #SpaceX
I doubt it's ITAR. SpaceX tends to keep quiet during investigations. I suspect they don't have a clear cause and are investigating. It's a good thing to keep quiet until you have some facts.
Quote from: capoman on 02/19/2020 07:50 pmI doubt it's ITAR. SpaceX tends to keep quiet during investigations. I suspect they don't have a clear cause and are investigating. It's a good thing to keep quiet until you have some facts.Maybe it's something really embarrassing, such as leaving a pin out of one of the legs, then having two inspectors still sign off on it. Something like that would put their whole safety culture and QA conscientiousness in question.
Quote from: LouScheffer on 02/21/2020 11:22 pmQuote from: capoman on 02/19/2020 07:50 pmI doubt it's ITAR. SpaceX tends to keep quiet during investigations. I suspect they don't have a clear cause and are investigating. It's a good thing to keep quiet until you have some facts.Maybe it's something really embarrassing, such as leaving a pin out of one of the legs, then having two inspectors still sign off on it. Something like that would put their whole safety culture and QA conscientiousness in question.An oddly specific speculation. Basis? - Ed Kyle