Author Topic: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3  (Read 345268 times)

Offline Stealthsub

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #400 on: 12/29/2020 12:55 pm »
https://twitter.com/spcplcyonline/status/1270445134614794240

Quote
Bowersox: biggest cost of ISS is transportation.  Cmrcl crew and cargo lowered it compared to shuttle, but not as much as ppl hoped.  Wanted factor of 10 reduction, but only 20-40% based on what I've seen.

Rather surprised by those numbers. Is he including commercial crew development costs too? Or basing it on total payload / something else? Individual crew flights are clearly significantly less than a shuttle flight, although not by an order of magnitude.

Money paid, or that will be paid, to SpaceX by NASA for Commercial Crew.

   CCDev 2     (2011)   $   75 million
   CCiCap      (2012)   $  440 million
   CPC phase 1 (2012)   $   10 million
   CCtCap      (2013)   $ 2600 million
   --------------------------------------
   Total       (2025)   $ 3125 million

But it's important to realize that SpaceX has not received $3.125 billion from NASA. 
CCtCap's $2.6 billion includes a commitment by NASA to buy six commercial crew missions
at a fixed price of $220 million per mission.  But this money is only paid out as
the missions occur (see Wikipedia, Commercial Crew Development, 2020-6-9).

Thus as of today SpaceX has received $1.255 billion from NASA for the development
of its Commercial Crew capability.  The remaining $1.320 billion will be paid out
mission by mission with the last mission and payment in 2025.

In addition to the money that NASA has paid or will be paying to SpaceX there is the
money NASA spent internally to support the effort.  There would be, I would guess,
quite a few people on NASA's payroll that have aided, inspected, supervised, and certified
SpaceX's Commercial Crew program.  To do a true comparison of the cost of Commercial
Crew (SpaceX) to the Space Shuttle program we need to know that number.

Since NASA already paid SpaceX for Crew dragon development, how big profit they can make on those fixed price $220 million per mission contracts. And how big part from their CD mission internal cost could by cost to launch CD, cost to build brand new service module and cost to inspect and refurbish flown crew capsule, when SpaceX start to reusing them. Will it be like 1/3, 1/2 & 1/5 for every of them or even less for CC inspection and refurbishment.

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #401 on: 01/14/2021 02:17 pm »
« Last Edit: 02/06/2021 02:58 pm by yg1968 »

Offline Arb

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #402 on: 02/06/2021 05:27 pm »
Phil McAlister discussed CCtCap-2 at yesterday's NAC HEO meeting.

https://twitter.com/genejm29/status/1349419794370617346

See slide 16:
https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/nac_-_csd_update_-_jan_2021_v3.pdf

From the second tweet:
Quote
Also coming up to re post the commercial crew and cargo contracts ... want some abilities that we don't have with current providers.
Be interesting to know what these are.
« Last Edit: 02/06/2021 05:27 pm by Arb »

Offline gongora

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #403 on: 02/06/2021 06:01 pm »
From the second tweet:
Quote
Also coming up to re post the commercial crew and cargo contracts ... want some abilities that we don't have with current providers.
Be interesting to know what these are.

After that comment, McAlister went on to stress that he thought lowering the cost was the most important thing, more important than adding new requirements, and there should be a high bar for adding any new requirements.

Online docmordrid

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #404 on: 02/07/2021 12:02 am »
>
Be interesting to know what these are.

I would think the potential of a  runway landing most anywhere and low-G entry of Dream Chaser would be attractive.
DM

Offline gongora

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #405 on: 02/07/2021 12:58 am »
>
Be interesting to know what these are.

I would think the potential of a  runway landing most anywhere and low-G entry of Dream Chaser would be attractive.

For the purposes of that discussion, Dream Chaser should already be a "current provider".

Offline sdsds

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #406 on: 02/07/2021 01:08 am »
Does anyone else feel there might be flawed thinking behind this bullet point.
There's no need for new systems to fill a gap so long as the old systems continue to offer service.
This isn't equivalent to the STS shutdown and even a veiled reference to that seems boorish and insensitive at best.
— 𝐬𝐝𝐒𝐝𝐬 —

Offline gongora

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #407 on: 02/07/2021 01:15 am »
This isn't equivalent to the STS shutdown and even a veiled reference to that seems boorish and insensitive at best.

It could become equivalent to the STS shutdown if work on replacements isn't prioritized well before ISS is retired.  That's the point he was making.

Offline SMS

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SMS ;-).

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #409 on: 02/09/2021 11:34 pm »
Related synopsis:

Quote from: Joey Roulette
NASA opened a new synopsis for an "International Space Station Seat Exchange," meaning a deal between NASA and Roscosmos is officially in the works to fly a Russian on Crew Dragon or Starliner, in exchange for a backup seat on a Soyuz spacecraft.

https://beta.sam.gov/opp/4da33276ec1543428e3e5e6da9440533/

https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1359297712143937536
« Last Edit: 02/09/2021 11:39 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #410 on: 02/10/2021 12:52 pm »
Good article by Marcia Smith:

Quote from: Marcia Smith
NASA Wants A Soyuz Seat This Spring As Backup Plan

https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/nasa-wants-a-soyuz-seat-this-spring-as-backup-plan/

https://twitter.com/SpcPlcyOnline/status/1359367736565055489
« Last Edit: 02/10/2021 12:56 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #411 on: 02/10/2021 04:07 pm »
NASA seeks seat on April Soyuz mission to ISS:
https://spacenews.com/nasa-seeks-seat-on-april-soyuz-mission-to-iss/

Offline yg1968

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Offline yg1968

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Offline Tomness

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #414 on: 02/11/2021 10:48 pm »
https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1359992886004244488
This is nuts, we have a commercial provider and they have overlapping schedule this spring. There is no need to buy any more seats. Sounds like Russia doesn't want to give up the fat paycheck. They should just seat swap already, if not don't do it. I guess NASA is afraid Russia will sell a seat to China or help China with their new space station.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #415 on: 02/12/2021 02:38 am »
https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1359992886004244488
This is nuts, we have a commercial provider and they have overlapping schedule this spring. There is no need to buy any more seats. Sounds like Russia doesn't want to give up the fat paycheck. They should just seat swap already, if not don't do it. I guess NASA is afraid Russia will sell a seat to China or help China with their new space station.
We do not have two US providers that have received crew certification so this will continue a while and also flying Russians on USCV's and vice versa is part of the founding agreement for the station so that one crew member from respective segments countries is guaranteed. Also China already rejected further help on their space station because Russian did not want to oblige to further Chinese mandates regarding technology transfers for past intercepted or later discovered industrial espionage as space technology is dual pupose and would trigger UN conventions/accords/international and domestic treaties of which Russia is part of and China declines to join because it goes against party doctrine and such. This has been discussed to death before and if that doesnt satisfy your asking itch Anatoly Zak has more China Russia info on his site in his insider content section.

Offline gongora

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #416 on: 02/19/2021 04:23 pm »
https://www.dvidshub.net/news/389362/wide-range-rescue-capabilities-expand-during-exercise-h2o
Quote
Members of the Hawaii Air National Guard's 204th Airlift Squadron wrapped up a month-long search and rescue exercise throughout and around Oahu on Feb. 6, alongside partners from the Alaska ANG.
...
During each manned voyage, such as SpaceX's launches to the ISS in May and November last year, airlift Airmen staged rescue packages in Hawaii and South Carolina. In the event of a hard-to-reach water landing, the closer C-17 will locate the capsule, airdrop watercraft, along with a team of pararescue members, who are prepared to egress and treat the astronauts for up to 72 hours.

"If astronauts splash down within 200 miles of the launch site, a rescue triad is on alert to respond," said Maj. Joseph Leman, 144th AS instructor pilot and exercise director. "If the landing is beyond that radius, a C-17 becomes the aircraft of choice for the mission because we can go further and get there faster."

Offline yg1968

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #417 on: 02/22/2021 04:59 pm »

Offline gongora

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #418 on: 02/22/2021 05:19 pm »
SpaceX’s Crew Dragon performing ‘beautifully’ on ISS as NASA eyes a backup ride:
https://www.theverge.com/2021/2/22/22295119/spacex-crew-dragon-iss-nasa-eyes-backup-soyuz-ride

https://twitter.com/joroulette/status/1363909298305323012

Note that the sentence about having refurbished a Crew vehicle as a Cargo vehicle is completely false.  The article was updated to correct that error.
« Last Edit: 02/22/2021 05:42 pm by gongora »

Offline IntoTheVoid

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Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 3
« Reply #419 on: 03/04/2021 03:18 am »
I put this question here because I didn't see it anywhere, and it involves three Commercial Crew missions.

Crew-1 vehicle, Resilience was to relocate from IDA-2 to IDA-3, to free up IDA-2 for Boeing OFT-2. But with OFT-2 now delayed until after the Crew-1, Crew-2 handover, has that relocation now been cancelled, or discussions of it being cancelled? Cancellation would permit Crew-2 to dock directly with IDA-3, and IDA-2 would then be available for OFT-2 once Crew-1 leaves. If they go through with the relocation as originally planned, then Crew-2, Endeavor, would dock to IDA-2, and would also require require relocation to vacate that port before OFT-2 could fly.

It seems obvious to cancel, but I haven't seen it mentioned.

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