Author Topic: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy  (Read 174477 times)

Offline dondar

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #280 on: 01/18/2020 09:00 pm »
ultimately even if the court found against the FCC it would only mean that the blanket waiver that the FCC uses could just be codified into law. I'd guess that there's enough influence from aerospace companies that they could get something passed that says that NEPA doesn't apply to space.
NEPA doesn't do space. They are busy with environment="biosphere". And the current status quo will continue unless scientists will make a reasonable argument that the light dots patterns in the skies can anyhow influence life on earth. Which is unlikely.

Online meekGee

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #281 on: 01/19/2020 01:13 am »
ultimately even if the court found against the FCC it would only mean that the blanket waiver that the FCC uses could just be codified into law. I'd guess that there's enough influence from aerospace companies that they could get something passed that says that NEPA doesn't apply to space.
NEPA doesn't do space. They are busy with environment="biosphere". And the current status quo will continue unless scientists will make a reasonable argument that the light dots patterns in the skies can anyhow influence life on earth. Which is unlikely.
They have yet to make a compelling argument for why Starlink would create a real problem for observations..
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Offline ulm_atms

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #282 on: 01/19/2020 01:36 am »
You know, with all this back and forth in the astronomical community about how Starlink is going to ruing everything...they should be happy that the company currently working on it seems to be taking their concerns and trying to actually do something about it.  Has anything come out from any of the other companies, like OneWeb for example, about their plans to mitigate observations?

They should actually be thankful to a degree...if another country like China was the one building out a 10k+ sat network...do you think China would respond to the astronomical community like SpaceX has?

What has always erk'd me about all of this complaining is that is that SpaceX said they were going to do this for many years...now that SpaceX is actually working on it...it's like the community said "Oh...they really are going through with it....We didn't plan for that!!!  AHHHHHH!!!!"

Offline watermod

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #283 on: 01/19/2020 09:04 pm »
Every time major issues are raised about a technology - esp. after the massive FUD attack against Linux with the legal attempt to take it in the early 2000s, - I say "Follow the money!".

Yes, there might be new problems for astronomers to account for, however, I don't see anybody saying "Follow the Money!".   

It needs to be said.

Offline envy887

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #284 on: 01/20/2020 02:30 pm »
The slides to the talk a few posts above can be found here: https://planet4589.org/space/misc/Seitzer.pdf

These are the most interesting to me, because their effects are the ones most misrepresented in popular media. Starlink flies so low that a few satellites are over any given point and a tiny fraction is actually visible, the rest hides in the shadow. He also did an estimation at the OneWeb height which allows for so much more illumination that you don't get any satellite-free sky during some nights.

That's an interesting slide deck. And it shows on slide 23 that, from CTIO at least, the low-altitude "trains" of deploying Starlinks aren't illuminated at all past an hour after astronomical twilight. Even in the middle of summer, which is the worst-case illumination.

Offline thirtyone

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #285 on: 01/20/2020 11:43 pm »
"Astronomy Confronts Satellite Constellations" Press Conference from AAS 235, Honolulu, Hawai‘i, 4-8 January 2020:



Totally worth watching if you're interested in the topic. Lots of points given by a few top astronomers who have a broad view of the field and also one whose work focuses on orbital debris. Quite a few things weren't in the slide deck posted. As with any other field, not every person in the field is necessarily familiar enough to make meaningful comments on the broader situation, so I felt it was a pretty meaningful selection.

Points worth reiterating, some of which I don't think have been brought up:
- Radio astronomy "darkness" cannot be verified until the satellites are fully operational and continually broadcasting
- DarkSat can't be checked until it's in operational orbit
- Large sky survey telescopes already ran into issues in the early 90s because of issues with optical interference from satellites
- Issues from Starlink were in fact a surprise to astronomers (and SpaceX) who had been keeping a close eye on satellites. Expected 9th or 10th mag, not 3rd-5th given experience with many similarly sized objects in orbit.
- AAS working on targets and tradeoffs for various projects, which are not obvious
- False transits (for, say, planet searches) are probably less likely for lower orbit sats (high angular velocity), but full analysis need to be done
- Tradeoff between altitude and optical astronomy interference is not as obvious. Higher orbits (1150km) might mean darker satellites, but they can be visible for the entire night in the summer (depending on latitude), and lower angular velocity at those orbits means more time for the satellite to dwell on each pixel (so different saturation limit).
- There are actual laws that require commercial users to respect radio astronomy - even then, some companies have simply given up on some of the requirements. The new Iridium constellation evidently wouldn't meet some of the specs radio astronomers wanted, and it launched anyway
- Oneweb (guess they started playing along again a few months ago?) and SpaceX have already given up on the bottom 1/8 of their total allocated bandwidth to protect the radio astronomy band
- The limit of saturation for some more sensitive telescopes is quite a bit beyond naked eye visibility, so even if you can't see it, it may still interfere with astronomical measurements.

Anyway, after listening to that talk, I personally strongly feel megaconstellations really should be required to operate in much lower orbits (closer to 550km if not lower), considering astronomical and orbital debris concerns. Obviously brightness still needs to be limited. I'm pretty concerned about the OneWeb constellation that's starting to launch as well in a few weeks, and really hoping Starlink doesn't actually need the higher orbital shells, as satellites in those orbits are likely to interfere with measurements the entire night.
« Last Edit: 01/20/2020 11:44 pm by thirtyone »

Online DigitalMan

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #286 on: 01/21/2020 01:24 am »
The slides to the talk a few posts above can be found here: https://planet4589.org/space/misc/Seitzer.pdf

These are the most interesting to me, because their effects are the ones most misrepresented in popular media. Starlink flies so low that a few satellites are over any given point and a tiny fraction is actually visible, the rest hides in the shadow. He also did an estimation at the OneWeb height which allows for so much more illumination that you don't get any satellite-free sky during some nights.

That's an interesting slide deck. And it shows on slide 23 that, from CTIO at least, the low-altitude "trains" of deploying Starlinks aren't illuminated at all past an hour after astronomical twilight. Even in the middle of summer, which is the worst-case illumination.

Interesting.  Perhaps it explains why I haven't seen them.  I built my own telescope (68", f/8 8" reflector) quite some years ago.  It has an open design, which makes it less useful in daylight/twilight.

Offline niwax

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #287 on: 01/21/2020 10:32 am »
Anyway, after listening to that talk, I personally strongly feel megaconstellations really should be required to operate in much lower orbits (closer to 550km if not lower), considering astronomical and orbital debris concerns. Obviously brightness still needs to be limited. I'm pretty concerned about the OneWeb constellation that's starting to launch as well in a few weeks, and really hoping Starlink doesn't actually need the higher orbital shells, as satellites in those orbits are likely to interfere with measurements the entire night.

This is my preferred outcome too, along with some form of international regulation and cooperation for an insurance anyone with satellites > 500-550km has to pay into. Oneweb now defends its higher orbits by saying they've got holes for recovery robots to grab onto - well if only 5% of satellites fail, and a recovery mission is just $50m, then they should save up $2.5m for every satellite currently in orbit. Tumbling and breaking up not even counted. I fully expect them to transition to some kind of graveyard orbit, that 250m/s in extra service life is just too sweet when you're under pressure from investors.
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Offline Oli

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #288 on: 01/21/2020 11:02 am »
Why not make the sats bigger? I don't see the point of having 10ks of sats.

Offline edzieba

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #289 on: 01/21/2020 12:28 pm »
Why not make the sats bigger? I don't see the point of having 10ks of sats.
The number of sats required is determined by the required coverage from that orbital altitude. Making them bigger serves no purpose whatsoever.
« Last Edit: 01/21/2020 12:28 pm by edzieba »

Offline Eerie

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #290 on: 01/21/2020 03:23 pm »
Why not make the sats bigger? I don't see the point of having 10ks of sats.
The number of sats required is determined by the required coverage from that orbital altitude. Making them bigger serves no purpose whatsoever.

Well, if we make the sats 1000 km across, we may get by with less...

Online meberbs

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #291 on: 01/21/2020 05:05 pm »
Why not make the sats bigger? I don't see the point of having 10ks of sats.
The number of sats required is determined by the required coverage from that orbital altitude. Making them bigger serves no purpose whatsoever.
The full constellation for Starlink has more than required for geographic coverage. Part of the extra is redundancy. Probably the main reason though is better spectrum usage. You and your next door neighbor can use the same frequency if you are talking to satellites with sufficient angular separation. Doubling the throughput capacity of a single satellite would not be as effective as 2 separated satellites for increasing system useable throughput.

Offline envy887

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #292 on: 01/23/2020 01:44 pm »
Paper by Celestrak's TS Kelso and other on the impacts to SSA and optical instruments: https://celestrak.com/publications/ICSSA/2020/IAA-ICSSA-20-00-20.pdf

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We explore the potential impacts to, and degradations of, Space Situational Awareness (SSA) and related operations that may be caused by New Space large constellations. In this paper, the initial Starlink constellation layer (anticipated completion in 2025) is adopted as a sample case study to explore these potential SSA impacts and degradations. Results indicate that for normal SSA observations and tracking purposes, SSA degradations may be minimal at least for systems with relatively short integration times. Impacts may be further mitigated if accurate large constellation positional information incorporating planned maneuvers are utilized in the optical tracking operations procedures to effectively mask out the large constellation spacecraft. However, there are potential operational risks to imaging by optical systems with very wide fields of view, lower spatial resolution, long integration times (especially systems with large apertures), and when imaging very faint objects. SSA system throughput, efficiency and accuracy may be degraded as well.

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #293 on: 01/24/2020 01:47 am »
https://mobile.twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1220445552414023685

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At today’s Astronomy and Astrophysics Advisory Committee meeting, Pat McCarthy of the NSF’s OIR Astronomy Lab said Elon Musk participated in a call in December saying he was “personally committed” to minimizing the impact of Starlink on astronomy.

Offline pochimax

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #294 on: 01/30/2020 02:05 pm »
https://twitter.com/SuperASASSN/status/1222699528559775744

https://twitter.com/SuperASASSN/status/1222704295998578688

https://twitter.com/gmrpetricca/status/1222484449096544256

https://twitter.com/SuperASASSN/status/1221995830745407488

Concerns about ground based astronomical observations: a step to safeguard the astronomical sky
https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.10952

Quote
This article aims to highlight the impact for ground based astronomical observations in different windows of the electromagnetic spectrum coming from the deployment of fleets of telecommunications satellites. A particular attention is given to the problem of crowding of circumterrestrial space by medium/small size orbiting objects. Depending on their altitude and surface reflectivity, their contribution to the sky brightness is not negligible for professional ground based observations. With the huge amount of about 50,000 new artificial satellites for telecommunications planned to be launched in Medium and Low Earth Orbit, the mean density of artificial objects will be of >1 satellite for square sky degree; this will inevitably harm professional astronomical images. Only one of these project, Starlink@SpaceX's, was authorized by US Federal Communication Commission, F.C.C. and plans to deploy about 42,000 not geostationary satellites, which will shine from the 3rd to the 7th magnitude in sky after sunset and before sun dawn. All satellites will leave several dangerous trails in astronomic images and will be particularly negative for scientific large area images used to search for Near Earth Objects, predicting and, eventually, avoiding possible impact events. Serious concerns are common also to other wavelengths eligible for ground based investigation, in particular for radio-astronomy, whose detectors are already saturated by the ubiquitous irradiation of satellites communication from Space stations as well as from the ground.Understanding the risk for astronomical community, a set of actions are proposed in this paper to mitigate and contain the most dangerous effects arising from such changes in the population of small satellites. A dedicate strategy for urgent intervention to safeguard and protect each astronomical band observable from the ground is outlined.


Astronomers Appeal
https://astronomersappeal.wordpress.com/

FOR ALL THESE REASONS

We, astronomers subscribing to this appeal state THERE IS NO MORE TIME TO DISCUSS, IT IS TIME TO ACT!

ASK GOVERNMENTS, INSTITUTIONS AND AGENCIES ALL AROUND THE WORLD

to be committed to provide legal protection to ground astronomical facilities in all of the available observation electromagnetic windows.
to put on hold further Starlink launches (and other projects) and carry out an accurate moratorium on all technologies that can negatively impact astronomical observations from space and from the ground, or impact on the scientific, technological and economic investments that each State engages in astrophysical projects.
to put in place a clear evaluation of risks and predictive impacts on astronomical observatories (i.e. loss of scientific and economic value), giving stringent guidelines to private individuals, societies and industries to plan satellite investments without clearly understanding all of the negative effects on outstanding astronomical facilities.
that the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) and any other national agency be wary of granting permission to ship non-geostationary low-orbit  satellites into orbit or alternatively to limit the authorization of only satellites  being above the airspace of the “home country”.
to demand a worldwide orchestration, where national and international astronomical agencies can impose the right of veto on all those projects that negatively interfere with astronomical outstanding facilities.
to limit and regulate the number of telecommunication satellite fleets to the “strictly necessary number” and to put them in orbit only when old-outdated technology satellites are deorbited, according to the Outer Space Treaty (1967) – the Art IX [5], and the United Nations Guidelines for the Long-term Sustainability of Outer Space Activities (2018) – guideline 2.2(c) [6], requiring the use of outer space be conducted “so as to avoid [its] harmful contamination and also adverse changes in the environment of the Earth” and […omissis…] risks to people, property, public health and the environment associated with the launch, in-orbit operation and re-entry of space objects”.
FINALLY

All of these requests come from the heartfelt concern of scientists arising from threatens to be barred from accessing the full knowledge of the Cosmos and the loss of an intangible asset of immeasurable value for humanity. In this context, all co-signers of this appeal consider ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY to put in place all possible measures to protect the night sky right also on the legal side. It would be desirable to adopt contingent and limiting resolutions to be ratified with shared international rules, which must be adopted by all space agencies to ensure protection for astronomical bands observable from the ground. All of this to continue to admire and study our Universe, for as long as possible.
« Last Edit: 01/30/2020 02:07 pm by pochimax »

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #295 on: 01/30/2020 02:50 pm »
Astronomers Appeal
https://astronomersappeal.wordpress.com/

Who wrote this crap, same error as was pointed above, how could astronomers make fundamental errors like this:

Quote
Thus with 50k satellites the “normality” will be a sky crowded with artificial objects (every one square degree of the sky will have a satellite crawling in it along the whole observing night).

I think this has officially went into the luddite territory, the whole thing is filled with lies and errors.

Offline eric_astro

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #296 on: 01/30/2020 02:51 pm »
I'm an amateur astronomer. I also like to look for satellites. At the altitudes in question: twilight at sunset and dawn and the brief adjacent times, are when you can see satellites. If you think you can see a refrigerator-sized object in the earth's shadow at 500 miles, I have some land or stock for you!

In the key astronomical observation window, how are you going to see any Starlinks? .

I wonder who is trying to take advantage of this minor issue.

I'd worry about 42k LIGHTED satellites!

Offline eric_astro

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #297 on: 01/30/2020 03:01 pm »
Quote Trimmed


Even in the infrared spectrum, they wouldn't interfere. Anything extraneous in the field of view would be digital processed out.
« Last Edit: 01/30/2020 03:57 pm by gongora »

Online DigitalMan

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #298 on: 01/30/2020 04:16 pm »
Astronomers Appeal
https://astronomersappeal.wordpress.com/

Who wrote this crap, same error as was pointed above, how could astronomers make fundamental errors like this:

Quote
Thus with 50k satellites the “normality” will be a sky crowded with artificial objects (every one square degree of the sky will have a satellite crawling in it along the whole observing night).

I think this has officially went into the luddite territory, the whole thing is filled with lies and errors.

Astronomy is something I love.  I build my own telescopes.  But these kind of things are putting me off. 

edit: This is really the nicest thing I can say about this.
« Last Edit: 01/30/2020 04:18 pm by DigitalMan »

Offline ChrisWilson68

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #299 on: 01/30/2020 05:17 pm »
Astronomers Appeal
https://astronomersappeal.wordpress.com/

FOR ALL THESE REASONS

We, astronomers subscribing to this appeal state THERE IS NO MORE TIME TO DISCUSS, IT IS TIME TO ACT!

This petition web site seems to be based in Italy.  All the early signatures on the petition are from an Italian organization.

Among the many clearly wrong claims is this: "This appeal has been signed by 1425+ astronomers."  But in the section where it's trying to get people to sign it says:

Quote
Who can sign?
1) professional Astronomers,
2) Technologists/ENGINEERS,
3) PHD Students,
4) Collaborators and/or AssociateS AT International Scientific Institutes

So they're encouraging a lot of people who aren't astronomers to sign, then claiming all the signatures are of astronomers.

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