Author Topic: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy  (Read 174486 times)

Offline pochimax

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #260 on: 01/03/2020 01:06 pm »
The astronomer royal in the UK Martin Rees has now weighed in on the topic of satellite constellations like Starlink. He does attempt to be even handed in his comments.

https://amp.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/dec/29/be-wary-of-elon-musk-despoiling-the-vault-of-heaven

From the article:

Quote
This entails launching up to 40,000 spacecraft into orbit ... There would be roughly one in every square degree over the sky (the area on the sky covered by a small coin held at arm’s length).

You would think that the Astronomer Royal would know that even though there are 41253 square degrees in the sky, and (potentially) 40000 satellites, that does NOT mean that there would be roughly 1 visible satellite per square degree of visible sky. While you can see about half the sky from any given location, you can only seen a much, much smaller fraction of all the satellites, because the vast majority are near or below the horizon.

This is such a gross and basic error that it's hard to put any weight to the rest of his article.

¿¿¿because the vast majority are near or below the horizon. ???

How could this even be phisically  possible???

Do you know what are you talking about?? And you are questioning Mr. Rees??!!

An observer on the surface of Earth can only see ~3.8% of the total area of a 550 km altitude shell. Any satellite at that altitude more than ~2700 km away is below the horizon. Unless the satellites are not evenly distributed but are congregating over one particular area for some reason, the remaining 96+% of the satellites won't be visible.

Put another way, if 40,000 Starlinks cover 70% of the globe in a 550 km shell, focusing on low and mid latitudes, that's still 10,000 km of shell area per satellite. Satellites will be 100 km from each other, which for an observer 550 km away puts them 10 degrees apart in the sky. You will need a truly massive coin to cover two objects 10 degrees apart in the sky. They will be closer together near the horizon, of course, but counting all the ones above 30 degrees elevation they will still be 50 times more sparse than "one per square degree".

Or to put it another way, at the areal densities Rees is suggesting, some 10,000 satellites would be visible above 30 degrees elevation for any observer!

If you can see a 3.8% shell this is like  1.600 square degrees. So, obviously, you will see an all sky with 1.600 satellites or one satellite per square degree as Mr. Rees said.

It is not necessary to confuse anybody here with wrong calculations that don't take into account that this are not fixed (geostationary) satellites but low orbital, moving ones, crossing the sky.

Edit. It doesn' t matter satellites are moving. Simply, your calculations are nonsense. At any point on the surface you will always see 50% of the sky sphere, not only 3.8%. No matter how low or high satellites are.

This is so wrong, it an be disproven with MS Paint. As I said earlier, unless you take into account orbit height, angle measurements from the center and a viewpoint on the surface are completely incomparable. Looking straight up, 1° spacing between satellites at 400km turns into 19° for an astronomer at 0km. This is highly nonlinear of course, but as a rule of thumb, the solid angle fov of a telescope is less than 1% of the corresponding solid angle measured from the center of the orbit. So a 1°x1° telescope would only be impeded on average by satellites spaced closer than 0.1°x0.1°, or 4 million randomly distributed.

So my excuses to all. It is crystal clear I am wrong in this discusion.

Offline ninjaneer

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #261 on: 01/05/2020 05:28 pm »
Apologies if it's been posted already, but there is a special session at the ongoing 235th AAS Meeting in Honolulu titled Challenges to Astronomy from Satellites.  The session is on January 8th from 10:00AM-11:30AM local time (GMT-10).  Both optical and radio astronomers will be speaking at the session, and Patricia Cooper from SpaceX will also have a slot.

Quote
DESCRIPTION

Over past years, considerable efforts have gone into designing, building, and deploying large networks of satellites in mainly low-Earth orbits. Until now, the number of satellite constellations has been below 100, but is rapidly increasing to hundreds, with independent plans of potentially deploying tens of thousands, outnumbering all previously launched satellites. While the communications enabled by them are beneficial in many respects, satellite constellations pose a significant or debilitating threat to important existing and upcoming astronomical infrastructures. Scientific concerns are three-fold. First, surfaces of these satellites are often made of highly reflective metal, and reflections from the Sun can be detrimental to the sensitive capabilities of large astronomical telescopes, including wide-angle survey telescopes under construction. Second, astronomical observations at radio wavelengths are threatened through radio leaks. Third, the increasing number of satellites creates a potentially critical problem whose impact must be better understood before large constellations are launched. As members of the astronomical community, we need to understand the impact to our field, some possible solutions and how to work collaboratively with designers, deployers, policy-makers and other stakeholders in this new and largely unregulated frontier of space. As such, we propose a special session, which includes a panel of pundits and discussions in these areas, as well as updates to the state of affairs in other areas of light pollution, radio interference and space debris. This proposed special session is a concerted effort of the AAS Committee on Light Pollution, Radio Interference and Space Debris.

410. Special Session - Challenges to Astronomy from Satellites
https://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/8993/session/133

note: I had to reload the page 2-3 times to get it to load

Offline Lar

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #262 on: 01/07/2020 10:06 pm »
SLS is off topic. Some posts removed.

Remember, it's OK to report to moderator when topics veer. We are not omniescent, we need to be told sometimes.  If you comment in thread, sometimes it will work and the thread steers back on course. Well done! thanks for saving us the trouble. ... but if that doesn't work, report.
« Last Edit: 01/08/2020 04:04 am by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline envy887

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #263 on: 01/08/2020 05:30 pm »
This is so wrong, it an be disproven with MS Paint. As I said earlier, unless you take into account orbit height, angle measurements from the center and a viewpoint on the surface are completely incomparable. Looking straight up, 1° spacing between satellites at 400km turns into 19° for an astronomer at 0km. This is highly nonlinear of course, but as a rule of thumb, the solid angle fov of a telescope is less than 1% of the corresponding solid angle measured from the center of the orbit. So a 1°x1° telescope would only be impeded on average by satellites spaced closer than 0.1°x0.1°, or 4 million randomly distributed.

Astronomers are apparently terrible at visualizing this, because here's another making the same erroneous claim:

Quote
When there are 50,000 satellites in the sky, “you’ll see the sky crawling,” says Tony Tyson, a University of California Davis astronomer and physicist. “Every square degree will have something crawling in it.”

Emphasis mine.

https://www.vox.com/science-and-health/2020/1/7/21003272/space-x-starlink-astronomy-light-pollution

Offline Asteroza

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #264 on: 01/08/2020 11:28 pm »
Is anybody making an effort to make comparisons between Starlink 1130 (DARKSAT) and the preceding/following starlink sats in the deployment train easier for folks?

Offline eeergo

Enlightening thread (albeit with mostly qualitative data) on the issue with megaconstellations vs the astronomical dark sky, based on an AAS'235 meeting presentation, summarized and interpreted by an astronomer with "very strong opinions on the importance of Internet access for remote populations":

https://twitter.com/starstryder/status/1215065969199943681

Also by Jeff Foust: https://spacenews.com/spacex-astronomers-working-to-address-brightness-of-starlink-satellites/

Quote
It turns out, we think, that surfaces that scatter light, or reflect light diffusely, are also significant contributors,
[from tweets]
Seitzer: if all we have to contend with was a 1,584-satellite Starlink constellation, astronomers could probably handle it. But it’s not.
Pat Seitzer, U. Mich.: concern about the megaconstellations is not just their numbers but their brightness: potential to be brighter than 99% of existing objects in orbit
-DaviD-

Offline Lar

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #266 on: 01/16/2020 04:32 pm »
SA piece 2020-01-16

The Scientific American runs a piece that might be considered not completely even handed. (this is not the first piece by this author, or the first piece on this topic in SA that I personally would not consider completely even handed)

Posted for reference, try to keep things on an even keel.

« Last Edit: 01/16/2020 04:40 pm by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline RoboGoofers

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #267 on: 01/16/2020 05:15 pm »
SA piece 2020-01-16

The Scientific American runs a piece that might be considered not completely even handed. (this is not the first piece by this author, or the first piece on this topic in SA that I personally would not consider completely even handed)

Posted for reference, try to keep things on an even keel.
The language in this article is much more definitive than is warranted.

Quote
In ignoring a key piece of federal environmental legislation, the FCC could be sued in a court of law—and lose—potentially halting further launches of mega constellations until a proper review is carried out.
(emphasis mine)

Or the FCC could win. that would be for the court to decide. that's what they do.

also, this part:
Quote
“Astronomers are having these issues [and think] there’s nothing they can do legally,” says the paper’s author Ramon Ryan, a second-year law student at Vanderbilt University.

maybe this is not uncommon, but a paper by a student doesn't seem to be a fully credible source for legal advice.

And obviously this wouldn't apply to foreign launched satellites.
« Last Edit: 01/16/2020 05:39 pm by RoboGoofers »

Offline Lar

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #268 on: 01/16/2020 05:56 pm »
maybe this is not uncommon, but a paper by a student doesn't seem to be a fully credible source for legal advice.
It was a college sophomore that (after getting a C on a paper pointing out the 27th amendment was still eligible for ratification) got the 27th amendment ratified, after about 200 years in limbo. Their paper was retroactively regraded to an A+

But yeah. Not the same thing at all.

Also: "might be considered not completely even handed" is consultantese for "wow that's really, Really, REALLY biased!!!"
« Last Edit: 01/16/2020 05:57 pm by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline freddo411

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #269 on: 01/16/2020 06:11 pm »
I haven't read Sci Am in a long while.

What is scientific about this legal speculation?

Offline mandrewa

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #270 on: 01/16/2020 06:52 pm »
I haven't read Sci Am in a long while.

What is scientific about this legal speculation?

I used to love Scientific American back in the day when every article was written, more or less, by an actual scientist. 
And by written I mean that I'm pretty sure each author was assigned an editor and an assistant, and they would
write and rewrite an article until it was accessible to an intelligent reader without training in the field.

Scientific American articles used to be sort of, kind of, review papers covering some topic but in a more readable
format than actual review papers.

Unfortunately those days are long past.  Today Scientific American articles are written by journalists.
« Last Edit: 01/16/2020 06:53 pm by mandrewa »

Offline docmordrid

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #271 on: 01/16/2020 07:24 pm »
I haven't read Sci Am in a long while.

What is scientific about this legal speculation?
>
>
Scientific American articles used to be sort of, kind of, review papers covering some topic but in a more readable  format than actual review papers.

Unfortunately those days are long past.  Today Scientific American articles are written by journalists.

Dropped my subscription about  20 years ago when it began the transition from  old-school SciAm to an upscale PopSci and opinion.
« Last Edit: 01/16/2020 07:25 pm by docmordrid »
DM

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #272 on: 01/17/2020 02:41 am »
"Astronomy Confronts Satellite Constellations" Press Conference from AAS 235, Honolulu, Hawai‘i, 4-8 January 2020:



Note there're two satellite constellations events at AAS 235 meeting, one is the "410. Special Session - Challenges to Astronomy from Satellites" mentioned earlier in this thread, this session has presentation from SpaceX representative, but its video recording is not public yet. The above youtube video is the press conference afterwards, I assume with more abbreviated technical presentation, SpaceX representative was invited but declined to join the 2nd event.

Besides a hysterical outburst from an astronomy blogger during Q&A session, the press conference went very well, astronomers outlined their concerns, but also pointed out SpaceX has been very cooperative and is committed to resolve the concerns.

I think Jeff Foust's SpaceNews article covered most of the important points, but one thing he didn't mention and I find very interesting is how long radio astronomers have already been dealing with satellite interference, and yet we know so little about it since media is not reporting it. Frankly, the only reason this thing has gotten so much media attention right now is because Elon Musk's name is associated with it.

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #273 on: 01/17/2020 03:27 am »
Some slides from the presentation. First one is from Jeff Hall, Lowell Observatory, an overview of the issue.

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #274 on: 01/17/2020 03:28 am »
2nd presentation is from Patrick Seitzer, University of Michigan, talking about impact to optical astronomy.

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #275 on: 01/17/2020 03:29 am »
3rd presentation from Ruskin Hartley, International Dark-Sky Association, talking about culture impact.

Offline su27k

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #276 on: 01/17/2020 03:36 am »
Final presentation from Harvey Liszt; National Radio Astronomy Observatory, talking about impact to radio astronomy.

This one is the real eye opener, GPS and GLONASS has been interfering with radio astronomy for years, didn't stop until 2007; Both Iridium constellations are non-compliant with ITU protection of radio astronomy bands; CouldSat, a weather satellite launched by NASA, can burn out radio receivers if they're not carefully protected when the satellite is overhead; and now we have commercial Synthetic Aperture Radar powerful enough such that its ground back-scattering would be enough to burn out radio astronomy receiver. I bet you don't hear these from the breathless media reporting about how Starlink is damaging astronomy.

Offline Eka

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #277 on: 01/17/2020 08:06 am »
SA piece 2020-01-16

The Scientific American runs a piece that might be considered not completely even handed. (this is not the first piece by this author, or the first piece on this topic in SA that I personally would not consider completely even handed)

Posted for reference, try to keep things on an even keel.
My take on this is "X industry can't use a resource because Y industry is there using it before it."
« Last Edit: 01/17/2020 08:07 am by Eka »
We talk about creating a Star Trek future, but will end up with The Expanse if radical change doesn't happen.

Offline niwax

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #278 on: 01/17/2020 08:15 am »
The slides to the talk a few posts above can be found here: https://planet4589.org/space/misc/Seitzer.pdf

These are the most interesting to me, because their effects are the ones most misrepresented in popular media. Starlink flies so low that a few satellites are over any given point and a tiny fraction is actually visible, the rest hides in the shadow. He also did an estimation at the OneWeb height which allows for so much more illumination that you don't get any satellite-free sky during some nights.
Which booster has the most soot? SpaceX booster launch history! (discussion)

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Impacts of Large Satellite Constellations on Astronomy
« Reply #279 on: 01/17/2020 07:39 pm »
https://twitter.com/astro_jonny/status/1218263925676019714

Quote
Just received this statement from the FCC regarding whether their process for licensing satellites, such as SpaceX's Starlink mega constellation, is in violation of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) and thus unlawful.

(note, the emphasis on "any" is their's)

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