Author Topic: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2  (Read 57797 times)

Offline su27k

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6414
  • Liked: 9104
  • Likes Given: 885
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #20 on: 08/07/2019 03:45 am »
With Gerstenmaier gone, decision to fly NASA astronauts may be more contentious

Quote
There will almost certainly be some sort of controversy with the first commercial crew flights, given the overall stakes with humans on board and the more purely commercial nature of the contracts. Moreover, both SpaceX and Boeing have had accidents just before, during, or after hot-fire tests of the thrusters to be used during a launch abort emergency.

"Somebody is going to be unhappy," Hale said of the Flight Readiness Reviews for the first crewed flights of the new vehicles. "I guarantee it. If it’s not one thing it will be another. There will be a contentious meeting and somebody is going to have to say, 'Well, I heard the story and I think we ought to go ahead.'"

"It’s potentially going to be ugly, and they wouldn’t have done that with Bill," Hale said. "If Bill were there and said 'I heard you, and I think the risk is acceptable,' the NASA workforce would have gone along. Now, they’ve lost that."

Offline ddspaceman

Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #21 on: 08/09/2019 12:14 pm »
Posted by Stephanie Martin, Aug 8,2019

SpaceX recently held a training event at its facility in Hawthorne, California for prelaunch operations with NASA astronauts Bob Behnken and Doug Hurley and ground operators for the company’s Demo-2 mission to the International Space Station as part of NASA’s Commercial Crew Program. The training provided an opportunity for the integrated team to dry run all of the activities, procedures and communication that will be exercised on launch day when a Crew Dragon spacecraft launches on a Falcon 9 rocket from Launch Complex 39A in Florida.

The astronauts performed suit-up procedures alongside the SpaceX ground closeout team and suit engineers using the same ground support equipment, such as the seats and suit leak check boxes, that will be used on launch day. Following crew suit-up, the teams performed a simulated launch countdown with the astronauts inside a Crew Dragon simulator and performed several emergency egress, or exit, scenarios.

The training exercise is one of several that NASA astronauts have participated in with our commercial crew partners, Boeing and SpaceX, in preparation for crew flight tests. NASA’s Commercial Crew Program continues to place astronaut safety at the forefront of preparations for human spaceflight.
 




https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/


Offline Tomness

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 673
  • Into the abyss will I run
  • Liked: 298
  • Likes Given: 744
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #23 on: 08/30/2019 01:36 pm »
From flight crew assignment thread

https://www.militarynews.ru/story.asp?rid=1&nid=516097&lang=RU
Google translation
Quote
The first Soyuz with a fully Russian crew will arrive on the ISS next fall, Pavel Vlasov, head of the Cosmonaut Training Center, told Interfax.
"The crew of the spacecraft launching to the ISS in the fall of 2020 may consist entirely of Russian cosmonauts. This is due to the fact that at present there is no agreement between Roscosmos and NASA on whether there will be an American astronaut in this crew," Vlasov said on the sidelines aerospace salon MAKS.
According to Vlasov, at the moment there is a possibility that an agreement on the formation of an international crew will nevertheless be reached.
"American colleagues, due to delays in their ships, can prepare an appeal to Roscosmos with proposals for the formation of an international crew. Then plans to send only Russian cosmonauts can be replayed," said the head of the CPC.

Well Comercial Crew is on the horizon. Money running dry(opinion). They don't want to mix the crews in a barter system. Two can fit 4-7 crew, the other 3 crew.

Offline gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10438
  • US
  • Liked: 14356
  • Likes Given: 6148
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #24 on: 09/06/2019 06:10 pm »
Not much new discussed at the ASAP meeting today.  A few notes:

Parachute testing remains a challenge.  The mathematical models don't seem to be predicting the correct amount of margin, especially with asymmetric loading.  More testing needed.

One of the suppliers had a problem where a component they procured made it through component qual testing but was found to be out of spec when it went to integrated testing.

SpaceX almost finished going through the fault tree for the Dragon anomaly.

Extensive analysis and testing of the COPV's has continued.

Load and Go fueling making progress, still some work to be done.  Will use dry runs and static fires of the In-Flight Abort and DM-2 missions (and the IFA launch) for further analysis.

Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #25 on: 09/07/2019 01:19 pm »
I didn't get to listen in yesterday. Was the parachute issue with both contractors or just SpaceX? I thought Boeing had declared success with their Parachute testing.

Offline gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10438
  • US
  • Liked: 14356
  • Likes Given: 6148
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #26 on: 09/07/2019 01:55 pm »
They seemed to be saying the modeling problems affected everyone.  That doesn't necessarily mean they'll stop flying until the entire industry gets better at parachute modeling.  We'll see if they say anything about it at the next NAC meeting.

Offline Robotbeat

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 39359
  • Minnesota
  • Liked: 25388
  • Likes Given: 12164
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #27 on: 09/07/2019 01:58 pm »
They seemed to be saying the modeling problems affected everyone.  That doesn't necessarily mean they'll stop flying until the entire industry gets better at parachute modeling.  We'll see if they say anything about it at the next NAC meeting.
yeah, it effects Orion, too.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline Lars-J

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6809
  • California
  • Liked: 8487
  • Likes Given: 5385
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #28 on: 09/08/2019 04:46 am »
They seemed to be saying the modeling problems affected everyone.  That doesn't necessarily mean they'll stop flying until the entire industry gets better at parachute modeling.  We'll see if they say anything about it at the next NAC meeting.
yeah, it effects Orion, too.

Maybe... just maybe, the standard practice of ASAP to "just add more parachutes!" is actually reducing safety instead of increasing it.

One example of this being that the 4th parachute that was added was getting tangled/moving in unpredictable ways, if I recall... just like a three-legged stool always being stable, the behavior of three parachutes is easier to model. Four is another ballgame.

Offline DigitalMan

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1701
  • Liked: 1201
  • Likes Given: 76
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #29 on: 09/08/2019 05:24 am »
Just so I'm clear, is it that the models are not predicting behavior as expected?  As in there are unknown effects that NASA wants to understand?

It makes me wonder, perhaps in hindsight it would have been easier to ensure full-redundant propulsive landing and perhaps it would have been more understood and controllable.  Parachutes have been used for many decades, who would have thought?
« Last Edit: 09/08/2019 05:25 am by DigitalMan »

Offline Robotbeat

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 39359
  • Minnesota
  • Liked: 25388
  • Likes Given: 12164
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #30 on: 09/08/2019 03:58 pm »
From what I understand of the research, current/now-obsolete models said that (or just kind of assumed that) loads were fairly equally distributed among the parachutes' lines. The new research shows that's really not the case.

So yeah, it impacts Orion, too.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline speedevil

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 4406
  • Fife
  • Liked: 2762
  • Likes Given: 3369
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #31 on: 09/08/2019 07:32 pm »
They seemed to be saying the modeling problems affected everyone.  That doesn't necessarily mean they'll stop flying until the entire industry gets better at parachute modeling.  We'll see if they say anything about it at the next NAC meeting.
yeah, it effects Orion, too.

Maybe... just maybe, the standard practice of ASAP to "just add more parachutes!" is actually reducing safety instead of increasing it.

One example of this being that the 4th parachute that was added was getting tangled/moving in unpredictable ways, if I recall... just like a three-legged stool always being stable, the behavior of three parachutes is easier to model. Four is another ballgame.
Five will clearly fix it.

Offline gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10438
  • US
  • Liked: 14356
  • Likes Given: 6148
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #32 on: 09/08/2019 07:52 pm »
ASAP doesn't set the number of parachutes.  The spacecraft manufacturer and the Commercial Crew office set the number of parachutes.

Offline meekGee

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 14672
  • N. California
  • Liked: 14683
  • Likes Given: 1421
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #33 on: 09/08/2019 11:33 pm »
They seemed to be saying the modeling problems affected everyone.  That doesn't necessarily mean they'll stop flying until the entire industry gets better at parachute modeling.  We'll see if they say anything about it at the next NAC meeting.
yeah, it effects Orion, too.

Maybe... just maybe, the standard practice of ASAP to "just add more parachutes!" is actually reducing safety instead of increasing it.

One example of this being that the 4th parachute that was added was getting tangled/moving in unpredictable ways, if I recall... just like a three-legged stool always being stable, the behavior of three parachutes is easier to model. Four is another ballgame.
That one was sad to watch.

Put three pennies on a flat surface and you can see that behavior.  There's no reasons why the N-S state would be more or less preferable to the E-W state.

3 pennies. By Grabthar's hammer, what a saving.
ABCD - Always Be Counting Down

Offline Ken the Bin

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3105
  • US Pacific Time Zone
    • @kenthebin@spacey.space
  • Liked: 5679
  • Likes Given: 6306
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #34 on: 09/16/2019 07:57 pm »
NASA, Boeing Perform Landing and Recovery Rehearsals in New Mexico

First paragraph:
Quote from: NASA
Boeing, NASA and the U.S. Army conducted exercises, known as mission dress rehearsals, for Boeing’s upcoming CST-100 Starliner missions to the International Space Station. This series of rehearsals at the White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico focused on the landing and recovery aspect of Starliner’s mission, and was one of three of Boeing’s formal dress rehearsals that took place over the last couple of weeks as part of NASA’s Commercial Crew Program.

Offline Roy_H

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1209
    • Political Solutions
  • Liked: 450
  • Likes Given: 3163
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #35 on: 09/16/2019 09:35 pm »
ASAP doesn't set the number of parachutes.  The spacecraft manufacturer and the Commercial Crew office set the number of parachutes.

It is my understanding that increases the number of parachutes increases the safety rating. NASA does not require 4 parachutes, but they did design the criteria for safety rating vs LOM. Boeing and SpaceX are struggling to get every point they can to get to 140. If they go to 3 parachutes they will have to find some other item to improve to gain back the lost point. So yes, the 4 parachute system is driven by NASA.
"If we don't achieve re-usability, I will consider SpaceX to be a failure." - Elon Musk
Spacestation proposal: https://politicalsolutions.ca/forum/index.php?topic=3.0

Offline whitelancer64

Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #36 on: 09/16/2019 09:59 pm »
ASAP doesn't set the number of parachutes.  The spacecraft manufacturer and the Commercial Crew office set the number of parachutes.

It is my understanding that increases the number of parachutes increases the safety rating. NASA does not require 4 parachutes, but they did design the criteria for safety rating vs LOM. Boeing and SpaceX are struggling to get every point they can to get to 140. If they go to 3 parachutes they will have to find some other item to improve to gain back the lost point. So yes, the 4 parachute system is driven by NASA.

Where does this 140 number come from?
"One bit of advice: it is important to view knowledge as sort of a semantic tree -- make sure you understand the fundamental principles, ie the trunk and big branches, before you get into the leaves/details or there is nothing for them to hang on to." - Elon Musk
"There are lies, damned lies, and launch schedules." - Larry J

Offline Ken the Bin

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3105
  • US Pacific Time Zone
    • @kenthebin@spacey.space
  • Liked: 5679
  • Likes Given: 6306
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #37 on: 09/27/2019 07:23 pm »
Posted today by NASA:

NASA, SpaceX Test Pad Emergency Egress System

Quote from: NASA
NASA and SpaceX conducted a formal verification of the company’s emergency escape, or egress, system at Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A in Florida on Sept. 18, 2019. NASA astronauts Bob Behnken and Shannon Walker participated in the exercise to verify the crew can safely and swiftly evacuate from the launch pad in the unlikely event of an emergency before liftoff of SpaceX’s first crewed flight test, called Demo-2.

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 50808
  • UK
    • Plan 28
  • Liked: 85324
  • Likes Given: 38210
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #38 on: 09/27/2019 11:23 pm »
https://twitter.com/jimbridenstine/status/1177711106300747777

Quote
My statement on @SpaceX's announcement tomorrow:
“I am looking forward to the SpaceX announcement tomorrow. In the meantime, Commercial Crew is years behind schedule. NASA expects to see the same level of enthusiasm focused on the investments of the American taxpayer. It’s time to deliver.”

Offline cppetrie

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 792
  • Liked: 552
  • Likes Given: 3
Re: Commercial Crew - Discussion Thread 2
« Reply #39 on: 09/27/2019 11:31 pm »
https://twitter.com/jimbridenstine/status/1177711106300747777

Quote
My statement on @SpaceX's announcement tomorrow:
“I am looking forward to the SpaceX announcement tomorrow. In the meantime, Commercial Crew is years behind schedule. NASA expects to see the same level of enthusiasm focused on the investments of the American taxpayer. It’s time to deliver.”
Wow. Just wow. Pot meet kettle. How is SLS doing on that schedule thing? Oh yeah. And at least half the reason for delays in commercial crew are due NASA itself. Again, just wow.

Tags: SpaceX Parachute 
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement Northrop Grumman
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
1