Author Topic: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation  (Read 194997 times)

Online meekGee

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #440 on: 10/09/2023 08:55 pm »
I don't understand the point of this current discussion.

If we're talking about the relatively recent decision to launch the demo on Atlas V instead of a Falcon 9; a launch you've already bought is always cheaper than a new launch, even if that new launch was on a Falcon 9. Birds in hands vs birds in bushes, etcetera etcetera.

If we're instead talking about the decision to exclude Falcon 9 from the big block launch orders for Kuiper like a year+ ago... well, that discussion has already been beaten to death, hasn't it? We could argue all day, and no one's opinion would change at this point.
Had they not used it for this, then the already-bought Atlas could have been used for real Kuipers, and so that argument doesn't hold.

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!
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Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #441 on: 10/09/2023 10:12 pm »
I don't understand the point of this current discussion.

If we're talking about the relatively recent decision to launch the demo on Atlas V instead of a Falcon 9; a launch you've already bought is always cheaper than a new launch, even if that new launch was on a Falcon 9. Birds in hands vs birds in bushes, etcetera etcetera.

If we're instead talking about the decision to exclude Falcon 9 from the big block launch orders for Kuiper like a year+ ago... well, that discussion has already been beaten to death, hasn't it? We could argue all day, and no one's opinion would change at this point.
Had they not used it for this, then the already-bought Atlas could have been used for real Kuipers, and so that argument doesn't hold.

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!
maybe they’re being unnecessarily secretive as a kind of legal defense against the shareholder lawsuit.
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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #442 on: 10/09/2023 10:34 pm »
Maybe they’re being unnecessarily secretive as a kind of legal defense against the shareholder lawsuit.
The lawsuit could very well make such "unnecessary" efforts necessary, at least to a bevy of corporate lawyers advising Amazon and Jeff Bezos.

Where were the satellites processed?  I suppose the usual NDA's apply for those employees, too?
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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #443 on: 10/10/2023 05:43 am »
If we're talking about the relatively recent decision to launch the demo on Atlas V instead of a Falcon 9; a launch you've already bought is always cheaper than a new launch, even if that new launch was on a Falcon 9. Birds in hands vs birds in bushes, etcetera etcetera.
Had they not used it for this, then the already-bought Atlas could have been used for real Kuipers, and so that argument doesn't hold.

That counter argument only works if you take a long term perspective. And these Kuiper prototypes had to go up now, so that was not necessarily the perspective Amazon was using here. Besides, it's always easier to spend future-you's money than present-you's money. Or, somewhat more seriously, buying another New Glenn 2 years from now might just fit within their funding levels better than buying another launch now, for example.
« Last Edit: 10/10/2023 05:49 am by JEF_300 »
Wait, ∆V? This site will accept the ∆ symbol? How many times have I written out the word "delta" for no reason?

Online meekGee

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #444 on: 10/10/2023 05:58 am »
I don't understand the point of this current discussion.

If we're talking about the relatively recent decision to launch the demo on Atlas V instead of a Falcon 9; a launch you've already bought is always cheaper than a new launch, even if that new launch was on a Falcon 9. Birds in hands vs birds in bushes, etcetera etcetera.

If we're instead talking about the decision to exclude Falcon 9 from the big block launch orders for Kuiper like a year+ ago... well, that discussion has already been beaten to death, hasn't it? We could argue all day, and no one's opinion would change at this point.
Had they not used it for this, then the already-bought Atlas could have been used for real Kuipers, and so that argument doesn't hold.

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!
maybe they’re being unnecessarily secretive as a kind of legal defense against the shareholder lawsuit.
Tail wagging the dog.
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Offline TrevorMonty

Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #445 on: 10/10/2023 02:19 pm »

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!

ULA was launch company, Amazon customer. Blue Origin has nothing to do with this mission. Do your homework.
« Last Edit: 10/10/2023 02:19 pm by TrevorMonty »

Online mn

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #446 on: 10/10/2023 02:42 pm »

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!

ULA was launch company, Amazon customer. Blue Origin has nothing to do with this mission. Do your homework.

Lots of people view both Amazon and BO as JB, while it is obviously not 100% correct, there is a certain amount of truth to it, can't blame someone for mixing them up.

Online meekGee

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #447 on: 10/10/2023 03:10 pm »

But it's not about economics. BO are paranoid enough to have restricted every shadow of a view of the payload during the webcast, more so than a USG launch. So of course they won't let SpaceX near it!

ULA was launch company, Amazon customer. Blue Origin has nothing to do with this mission. Do your homework.
Yup, mistyped, wrong Bezos-controlled paranoid company.

Funny that the auto corrupt didn't catch that.
« Last Edit: 10/10/2023 08:25 pm by meekGee »
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Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #448 on: 10/11/2023 04:54 am »
Quote
There's been nothing from @SpaceTrackOrg since

Silence runs to two and a half days now - would usually be nearly a dozen updates for each sat by now

Activity around this launch is more like a national security event than something from a retail shop

The power of Amazon!

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1711858341390004237

Quote
The lack of new GP data for 58013 and 58014 is surprising. It was a long weekend in the US so I'd give @18thSDS the benefit of the doubt for another day or so. But I am concerned. In fact one would hope @Amazon Kuiper would follow  SpX and OneWeb in providing public ephem data

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #449 on: 10/12/2023 05:26 am »
https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1712242513229005289

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New TLE out for KuiperSat-1 in 481 x 503 km orbit.
Hoping we get one for KuiperSat-2 soon.

Quote
and now we have the KS-2 orbit update, hopefully the updates will be regular from now on

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #450 on: 10/16/2023 01:46 pm »
https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/innovation-at-amazon/amazon-project-kuiper-latest-updates

Quote
The latest updates from Project Kuiper’s satellite test mission

Last updated:
October 16, 2023 by Amazon Staff

Over the coming months, we’ll share periodic updates as Project Kuiper tests the capabilities of its satellites and ground network.

October 16, 2023

Project Kuiper satellites are healthy

Project Kuiper engineers have confirmed that our KuiperSat-1 and KuiperSat-2 satellites are fully activated, generating power independently, and communicating with our mission operations center. Learn more about this milestone.

Offline seb21051

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #451 on: 10/16/2023 06:58 pm »
Kuiper (and BO) will be led by two interesting Electronics Engineering/management people new to their future responsibilities:

New Hardware Devices and thus Kuiper Chief at Amazon: Panos Panay. Ran Microsoft Surface development. Does not, at first glance, seem to know much about satellites and their mega constellation development, deployment and competitiveness. Known at MS as a passionate and hard-working leader, and seems to be concerned about the well-being of his subordinates.

New BO CEO: Dave limp: Ex Amazon Devices SVP, also responsible for Kuiper. Does not seem to know overly much about Rocket Engines, Launchers, Lunar Landers, LEO/Lunar Habitats, Tugs and Space Commerce in general. Possibly more of a "People Person" than Bob Smith. Singular in the sense that he seems to have no "Old Space" connections. He obviously does know Kuiper quite intimately, likely far more so than Panay at this stage. In some of the many articles read about him, JB says he is committed to managing imposed deadlines very well. There is no doubt that riding the Bucking Bronco that is JB/BO is going to be a tough nut to crack successfully. To do so he will have to figure out how to connect the dots. How much freedom of decision-making is JB going to allow him?

These two will shape how Kuiper develops, deploys and operates. What would an AI crystal Ball predict about Kuiper's future?

Both will have a definite ramp up learning effort to understand and settle into their new roles.

Both have JB riding their efforts on his twice per week afternoon visits to BO and slightly invisible hand steering AZ's Board.

We are seemingly obligated to live in interesting times.
« Last Edit: 10/16/2023 07:45 pm by seb21051 »

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #452 on: 11/04/2023 12:17 pm »
There’s no shortage of demand right now. There’s OneWeb and Kuiper plus an explosion of growth in every other kind of satellite, too. Multiple other constellations as well.

Falcon 9 eats them up because the other rockets just aren’t available.

Except Jeffrey won't let Kuiper fly on a SpaceX rocket...
Yeah. There's no reason why Kuiper & Blue Origin should be any different to Starlink & SpaceX, other than ability to execute. But ability to execute isn't a fundamental barrier to competition. Straying off topic though.
But there is a difference. Starlink is part of SpaceX. SpaceX optimizes the costs and revenue of F9 and the satellites together, and together they form SpaceX' core business. By contrast, Kuiper is an arm of Amazon and is far from its core business, while BO is in effect a struggling new launch company. These corporate structures are very different and the differences prevent any sort of seamless partnership between Kuiper and BO. Meanwhile, F9 pricing is so low, primarily due to reuse but also due to economies of scale, that it is currently the only economically reasonable choice as a launch provider for Kuiper.

Offline RedLineTrain

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #453 on: 11/04/2023 05:01 pm »
By contrast, Kuiper is an arm of Amazon and is far from its core business, while BO is in effect a struggling new launch company.

On the contrary, the Kuiper rollout is protected because it is core to Amazon's AWS business.  In 2022, AWS had operating profit of $23 billion.

Offline Hyperborealis

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #454 on: 11/04/2023 05:28 pm »
Could you please elaborate a bit on how Kuiper is core to AWS? Thanks!

Offline RedLineTrain

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #455 on: 11/04/2023 06:42 pm »
Could you please elaborate a bit on how Kuiper is core to AWS? Thanks!

Kuiper connects AWS edge devices with its data centers without having to hand off to a third-party communications provider.  See, for instance.

https://www.nextgov.com/digital-government/2023/06/aws-unveils-edge-device-defense-customers-most-extreme-environments/387302/

They will put Kuiper ground stations at their data centers, like presumably Starlink is doing with Google's and Microsoft Azure's data centers.  At a minimum, AWS will want feature parity to Google, Azure, and Oracle for its government customers.

AWS has over 100 data centers worldwide and they could use dissimilar redundancy on communications.  I think that this is a lesser benefit, but these benefits can add up.

Overall, I think Amazon could kill Kuiper at any time because of the extreme investment needs of this business and the appearance that Amazon is making a bit of a mess with it so far.  But AWS is writing the checks and the justification to its business may pencil out regardless.
« Last Edit: 11/04/2023 07:01 pm by RedLineTrain »

Online mn

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #456 on: 11/04/2023 10:55 pm »
I don't see the benefit. Data in transport is already secured by encryption.

You are going to send the data over an expensive low bandwidth channel instead of an existing high bandwidth channel just to spite someone?

It could make sense if you are in a location without adequate data transport (or in a foreign location where you don't trust the high bandwidth path), but that scenario is the exception rather than the rule, doesn't seem sufficient to justify its existence. Still don't see the specific benefit of kuiper over any other option.

Competition is good for us but I'm not convinced that there is a technical benefit that kuiper can offer over any other pipe.

Online dglow

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #457 on: 11/04/2023 11:21 pm »
I don't see the benefit. Data in transport is already secured by encryption.

I can see the value for some customers. The very act of communicating, its quantity and timing, says something.
And Quantum is real and growing. If you need maximum security and minimum latency, satellite makes sense.

Online mn

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #458 on: 11/05/2023 12:36 am »
I don't see the benefit. Data in transport is already secured by encryption.

I can see the value for some customers. The very act of communicating, its quantity and timing, says something.
And Quantum is real and growing. If you need maximum security and minimum latency, satellite makes sense.

You need minimum latency, and satellite is the solution? Umm 🤔

Online mn

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Re: Amazon Project Kuiper Broadband Constellation
« Reply #459 on: 11/05/2023 12:48 am »
I don't see the benefit. Data in transport is already secured by encryption.

I can see the value for some customers. The very act of communicating, its quantity and timing, says something.
And Quantum is real and growing. If you need maximum security and minimum latency, satellite makes sense.

And more importantly to the point of the question.

What unique capability does kuiper bring to the table to address this 'need' that is not already offered by the existing alternatives.

I see kuiper as an equal alternative, I struggle to see any unique capabilities that kuiper brings to the table with regards to AWS.

Tags: kuiper 
 

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