Author Topic: When will we reach 100 launches per year again, and when will the record fall?  (Read 4467 times)

Offline speedevil

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The real deal about large number of launches is by using solid fuel launcher just like missiles. ISRO's SSLV is the only one that holds promise for that. No matter what reusable rockets spacex use, the cost of reusing and assembling itself will be very high.
They are aiming at the cost of reusing and assembling at being under $300K per flight.
For 100 ton + payloads.
Eventually, admittedly.
(30% of passenger transit variant total launch price)

Even F9S1 is now reportedly lasting much better and on target for very large cycle counts without major refurbishment.

Solid rockets are not especially cheap.

Online Lar

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No matter what reusable rockets spacex use, the cost of reusing and assembling itself will be very high.
{{citation needed}}

I love when people make this unfounded claim... as if they know what SpaceX cost numbers actually are. It makes them look uninformed, or worse.

When George Sower did it, we gave him some slack, since he was, in fact, a rocket scientist. But that was years ago and his model has been thoroughly shredded. Some random person? Not so much slack, sorry. Specific numbers to back your claim please.
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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No matter what reusable rockets spacex use, the cost of reusing and assembling itself will be very high.
{{citation needed}}

I love when people make this unfounded claim... as if they know what SpaceX cost numbers actually are. It makes them look uninformed, or worse.

When George Sower did it, we gave him some slack, since he was, in fact, a rocket scientist. But that was years ago and his model has been thoroughly shredded. Some random person? Not so much slack, sorry. Specific numbers to back your claim please.
We are wandering OT.

SpaceX for this year 2018 will use 14 or 15 used boosters out of a total of used and new 24 boosters. That is a ratio of used to total of 58% or 62%. Meaning that SpaceX is using mainly used liquid boosters.

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Per Gunter Space Page we are at 97 for the yeAr 2018 and there are 17 more with a specific date scheduled for remaining weeks of 2018. We will cross the 100 mark, but it is still unknown though just how far. Just for the remainder of November there is 2 almost for sure with another Chinese possible.  Meaning it is possible that the 100 mark could be reached before December.

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_chr/lau2018.htm
« Last Edit: 11/22/2018 03:39 PM by oldAtlas_Eguy »

Offline high road

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Only 94 completely successfull launches, however. Do failed launches like Soyuz count?

Offline ZachS09


Only 94 completely successful launches. However, do failed launches like Soyuz count?

No. They do not count. However, they count towards the ATTEMPTED launches throughout 2018.
Because the Falcon Heavy Test Flight was successful, it has inspired thousands of people to consider changing the future of space travel.

Offline Tywin

Well the first achievement is already marked 8) 101 launched at this moment...and the year is not over ;)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_in_spaceflight

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Per Gumter Space Page:

102 Attempts
100 Successes

This does not count today's F9 CRS launch.

Today launch plus the others with actual dates listed count of 13 more for December.

https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_chr/lau2018.htm

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