Author Topic: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3  (Read 815068 times)

Online envy887

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1080 on: 01/19/2020 01:16 pm »
EDL is more difficult for larger spacecrafts. ...
This is why I do not understand, why people assume full resuability being easier for larger rockets.

That is true. However, the main reason reuse is easier is because payloads generally don't increase in size as much as launch vehicles can, so a larger vehicle has more margin.

There are a few other reasons:

Large vehicles have lower aerodynamic drag on ascent.

Some components like avionics have a certain minimum size, and so take up more of the dry mass budget on a small vehicle.

If you want to use the same engine on both stages for cost reasons, the upper stage needs to be large enough to require multiple engines, to get the overall throttle range needed for landing.

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1081 on: 01/19/2020 05:52 pm »
https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1218965533476970497

Quote
NASA astronauts Doug Hurley and Bob Behnken stand in front of their Tesla Model X ride to the launchpad during a SpaceX launch dress rehearsal on Friday in Florida.

Photo credit: NASA/Kim Shiflett

Attached photos released by NASA from the dress rehearsal.

Offline dondar

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1082 on: 01/21/2020 02:23 pm »
As I understand it, it is a lot easier (and thus cheaper) to make a larger second stage reusable than a smaller one.
Why is this, exactly?

Surface area and volume increase faster than mass.  A larger stage is "fluffier"

This is wrong:

- Volume is close to linearly proportional to vehicle mass. This is due, primarily  to tanks and engines being proportional to mass.

- Surface area increases slower than volume. Area is proportional to volume to the 2/3rds power for the same shape. If you want to maintain a constant Ballistic Coefficient, BC, then Area will be nearer to being proportional mass as well.

- Bottom line, for a reusable rocket constrained by reentry BC, not much changes with gross weight.

John

John, I understand only the first half of what you wrote. Volume and mass scale together but surface increases slower. It implies that BC (mass/area) increases with increasing gross weigth. That is EDL is more difficult for larger spacecrafts. If I understand correctly, this is why it is non-trivial to scale-up the existing Martian EDL systems. This is why huge deployable heat shildes are often proposed for large Mars landers. And this is why Starship entry is sideways.

This is why I do not understand, why people assume full resuability being easier for larger rockets.
because you look into wrong places :D.

Re-usability whatever choice you make translates in added weight and costs. The thing is: bigger the rocket less the relative losses.
For example it's useful to have throttle-able engine to slow down and control ascending. Making fully controllable engine is difficult, making one of 9 to do the job is much easier (and lighter, because very low throttle rate additions translate in weight as well). Adding air-dynamically meaningful flaps on Falcon is cheaper (in weight and stress control)than on Electron. etc.

Anyway steel is better for bigger rockets. (and I can bet 9m is a threshold). Using steel is the "king way"= relatively easy road to re-usability.

Offline PADave

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1083 on: 01/22/2020 06:28 pm »
So many people like to get all googly-eyed at the latest, biggest, baddest heavy lift LV and spacecraft. In the discussion of Dragon vs. Starship, there is room for both. I like to look at the aircraft industry for a real-world comparison.
...
As SpaceX advances Starship into an operational vehicle, I truly hope they do not abandon the small craft industry to others. That would be a huge mistake imo.

I believe it will be abandoned and that that won't be a mistake.

As I understand it, it is a lot easier (and thus cheaper) to make a larger second stage reusable than a smaller one.
Why is this, exactly?

Surface area and volume increase faster than mass.  A larger stage is "fluffier"

For all missions a Starship (SS) costs less than a Falcon 9 (F9).

For all uses cases a SS has more capacity and capabilities than a F9.

There’s nothing that a F9 can do for less money than SS. So why would you ever pick a F9 over SS?

It always costs more to use a F9 even if you all you need to do is to put a cubesat in LEO. Once SS is fully operational, even for the smallest possible launch it’s a waste of money to use a F9 when you could use the less expensive and more capable SS.

Edit to add the discussion that lead to my comments.
« Last Edit: 01/22/2020 07:48 pm by PADave »

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1084 on: 01/22/2020 06:35 pm »
This thread is about Dragon 2, not Starship.

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1085 on: 01/27/2020 04:24 pm »
https://twitter.com/jon_shaban/status/1221827307486240769

Quote
The #Starlink may have scrubbed today, but #SpaceX has it's crew on the #GoSearcher working with what appears to be a #CrewDragon capsule. #News13Brevard @GPallone13

Offline Norm38

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1086 on: 01/28/2020 04:35 pm »
CRS2 SpX-21 is on the manifest as NET August.  Are there any updates on the Cargo Dragon 2s?

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1087 on: 01/29/2020 10:47 pm »
https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1222640371932549122

Quote
In the commercial human spaceflight panel at the FAA conference, Nick Cummings of SpaceX says the upcoming Demo-2 crewed test flight will be the “most important event in the history of SpaceX.”

https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1222649447248736256

Quote
Cummings: we’ve had numerous discussions about private Dragon missions, but nothing to announce now.

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1088 on: 02/03/2020 07:22 pm »
https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1224422018566754304

Quote
NASA officials say SpaceX will complete construction of the Crew Dragon capsule for its first operational mission "3 months earlier than originally planned," according to the GAO, citing manufacturing efficiencies and SpaceX modifying facilities and bringing in more resources.

Edit to add: GAO CC report now attached (Starliner follow-ups in Starliner thread)
« Last Edit: 02/03/2020 10:20 pm by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1089 on: 02/03/2020 08:37 pm »
https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1224422018566754304

Quote
NASA officials say SpaceX will complete construction of the Crew Dragon capsule for its first operational mission "3 months earlier than originally planned," according to the GAO, citing manufacturing efficiencies and SpaceX modifying facilities and bringing in more resources.

Did we forget to post this report earlier?  It came out five days ago.

edit:  also, much of the information is outdated.  That capsule supposedly being readied for an operational flight in March doesn't need to be ready yet since the first operational flight probably isn't until the third quarter now.
« Last Edit: 02/03/2020 08:41 pm by gongora »

Online Coastal Ron

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1090 on: 02/03/2020 08:51 pm »
Here is the direct link to the GAO report webpage:

U.S. GAO - NASA Commercial Crew Program: Significant Work Remains to Begin Operational Missions to the Space Station

And here is the link to the report:

https://www.gao.gov/assets/710/704121.pdf

From the report:
Quote
What GAO Recommends
We recommended in 2018 that NASA develop a plan to maintain access to the ISS; this recommendation has yet to be implemented. In this report, we add two recommendations to improve communications on waivers between NASA and FAA. Both agencies agreed.

That was interesting. Here is a passage specific to Dragon 2:
Quote
To support an operational mission in March 2020, program officials told us that SpaceX plans to complete construction of flight spacecraft 4—now the first operational mission spacecraft—3 months earlier than originally planned. SpaceX and program officials identified two reasons why this acceleration may be possible. First, they told us there will likely be manufacturing efficiencies that could allow SpaceX to meet the accelerated schedule for its first operational mission. Program officials said the spacecraft design for the first operational mission is the same as the other spacecraft, and that this would be SpaceX’s fourth time building the spacecraft. Second, SpaceX officials said they modified their facilities and brought in additional resources.
If we don't continuously lower the cost to access space, how are we ever going to afford to expand humanity out into space?

Online gaballard

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1091 on: 02/03/2020 09:21 pm »
From the GAO report (emphasis mine):

Quote
In addition to incorporating hardware changes instituted after the anomaly
and accelerating its hardware builds, SpaceX continues to address
technical risks identified by program officials. These include (1) SpaceX’s
plan to conduct launch vehicle propellant loading procedures after the
astronauts are on board and (2) the design of its launch vehicle engine.
The propellant loading procedure risk remains open because, as of
November 2019, SpaceX still needed to demonstrate the loading process
at several upcoming events, including the in-flight abort test. The launch
vehicle engine risk remains open because SpaceX needed to complete
the required follow-on test campaign of its engines as of November 2019
.

Do we have any info on what that risk was? Is that still referring to the issue with turbopump blades cracking?
"I venture the challenging statement that if American democracy ceases to move forward as a living force, seeking day and night by peaceful means to better the lot of our citizens, fascism will grow in strength in our land." — FDR

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1092 on: 02/03/2020 09:51 pm »
From the GAO report (emphasis mine):

Quote
In addition to incorporating hardware changes instituted after the anomaly
and accelerating its hardware builds, SpaceX continues to address
technical risks identified by program officials. These include (1) SpaceX’s
plan to conduct launch vehicle propellant loading procedures after the
astronauts are on board and (2) the design of its launch vehicle engine.
The propellant loading procedure risk remains open because, as of
November 2019, SpaceX still needed to demonstrate the loading process
at several upcoming events, including the in-flight abort test. The launch
vehicle engine risk remains open because SpaceX needed to complete
the required follow-on test campaign of its engines as of November 2019
.

Do we have any info on what that risk was? Is that still referring to the issue with turbopump blades cracking?

They have a current $7.5M study contract (80KSC020F0024) for "Special Studies Services for Rotor-dynamics Merlin Engine Delta Qualification."  due for completion in April.
« Last Edit: 02/03/2020 09:52 pm by gongora »

Offline Bananas_on_Mars

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1093 on: 02/04/2020 09:15 am »
https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1224422018566754304

Quote
NASA officials say SpaceX will complete construction of the Crew Dragon capsule for its first operational mission "3 months earlier than originally planned," according to the GAO, citing manufacturing efficiencies and SpaceX modifying facilities and bringing in more resources.

Did we forget to post this report earlier?  It came out five days ago.

edit:  also, much of the information is outdated.  That capsule supposedly being readied for an operational flight in March doesn't need to be ready yet since the first operational flight probably isn't until the third quarter now.

It’s interesting to see that SpaceX is throwing more ressources into the program than is necessary on the current timeline. I think they might either try to pick up slack from Boeing, positioning themselves as the „provider that could“ or because Elon/Gwynne want to free up those ressources needed for Dragon 2 earlier to transition them to crewed starship. Possibly both. Dragon 2 engineering/manufacturing teams might be the primary subjects for the new San Pedro facility.

Offline 2megs

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1094 on: 02/04/2020 12:26 pm »
It’s interesting to see that SpaceX is throwing more ressources into the program than is necessary [...] because Elon/Gwynne want to free up those ressources needed for Dragon 2 earlier to transition them to crewed starship. Possibly both. Dragon 2 engineering/manufacturing teams might be the primary subjects for the new San Pedro facility.

AFAIK Dragon 2 has no particular need to be made at a port. After adding the Triumph building SpaceX isn't lacking for room at Hawthorne, either. Looking solely at Dragon for Dragon's sake, any move seems unlikely.

The only good reason Dragon 2 engineering/manufacturing might move to San Pedro, would be if there was commonality of people or tooling between Dragon and some non-Dragon thing that actually needed to be done at the port. Further reading of totally-hypothetical tea leaves about things that aren't Dragon is maybe for another thread, though.

Offline Bananas_on_Mars

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1095 on: 02/04/2020 12:37 pm »
It’s interesting to see that SpaceX is throwing more ressources into the program than is necessary [...] because Elon/Gwynne want to free up those ressources needed for Dragon 2 earlier to transition them to crewed starship. Possibly both. Dragon 2 engineering/manufacturing teams might be the primary subjects for the new San Pedro facility.

AFAIK Dragon 2 has no particular need to be made at a port. After adding the Triumph building SpaceX isn't lacking for room at Hawthorne, either. Looking solely at Dragon for Dragon's sake, any move seems unlikely.

The only good reason Dragon 2 engineering/manufacturing might move to San Pedro, would be if there was commonality of people or tooling between Dragon and some non-Dragon thing that actually needed to be done at the port. Further reading of totally-hypothetical tea leaves about things that aren't Dragon is maybe for another thread, though.

Guess i didn’t make my point clear enough.

Finishing Dragon 2 Design and transition into manufacturing of the final design faster might free up part of the engineering/manufacturing team to then become part of a team that focuses on the next crewed SpaceX spacecraft. It‘s about transitioning into manufacturing of Dragon 2 earlier to transfer some of the human ressources over to the next project faster.

Just moving brainpower, not the Dragon 2 manufacturing facilities.

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1096 on: 02/04/2020 07:12 pm »


https://twitter.com/bluemoondance74/status/1224784188773142529

Quote
Dragon rocket fishing in Florida!
🐉🚀🎣✨
« Last Edit: 02/04/2020 07:16 pm by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline Semmel

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1097 on: 02/06/2020 07:35 am »


https://twitter.com/bluemoondance74/status/1224784188773142529

Quote
Dragon rocket fishing in Florida!
🐉🚀🎣✨

I bet they will get a call or two now :) Lucky them, I would love to have such an item in my living room. Would not go well with the misses I suppose but maybe I could argue we need a new kitchen door and would make this piece of beauty part of it.. Anyhow, lovely story!

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1098 on: 02/06/2020 06:29 pm »
https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1225495522460553221

Quote
NASA Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel chair Patricia Sanders, at start of its quarterly meeting: not a question of whether SpaceX will be ready to fly crew in the near term, but when.

Offline ThePonjaX

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Re: SpaceX Dragon 2 Updates and Discussion - Thread 3
« Reply #1099 on: 02/07/2020 03:45 am »
Sadly the bad news about Starliner generates more articles but this is very good. Crew Dragon is very close to fly.

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