Author Topic: SpaceX Falcon 9 : CRS-16 (Dragon SpX-16) : December 5, 2018 - DISCUSSION  (Read 255671 times)

Offline Hauerg

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I would wait for a real analysis of the first stage that will hence forth be named "Bob."

I like that name.

Personally, I don't see this stage flying again regardless of what Musk says, at least not as a whole unit. Maybe the tankage and interstage could be reused, but the rest will probably be scrapped and tested to see the effects of salt-water corrosion on flown hardware.
The grid fins will flay again, since they are extremely expensive and it takes forever to make them IIRC.

Offline Ronsmytheiii

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So how long until they ask about the landing at the post launch press conference?

(Drinking game, take a shot everytime they ask about it)

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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So how long until they ask about the landing at the post launch press conference?

(Drinking game, take a shot everytime they ask about it)
First question, guaranteed...
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Online Thorny

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There she blows..

Wow! Can a large enough ship get in that close to shore to recover the booster?

Offline niwax

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I wonder if the control software could be modified so that when a fin freezes the fin on the opposite side can be placed in a position to dampen the action of the first one and then let the two other grids fins do all the work?  There wouldn't be as much control but if it can avoid a roll then there may be enough to get the booster down.

How do you propose to do that if all the fins are powered by the single pump?

Ouch.  I thought originally it was independent pumps but I guess it is one pump driving all four actuators.  Definitely nothing that can be done there without a redundant string.
Except for ejecting/blasting off all the grid fins. Which, of course introduce new failure modes nobody needs.

They'd probably rather save the fins than give the stage the slight chance of returning without them. It's not like they're guaranteed to land the stage without control surfaces and those fins take ages to manufacture and can probably be reused.
Which booster has the most soot? SpaceX booster launch history! (discussion)

Offline ugordan

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The grid fins will flay again, since they are extremely expensive and it takes forever to make them IIRC.

Oh yeah, those as well. Good point.

Offline TorenAltair

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I miss the old landing game  ;)

Offline Oersted

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If a stuck grid fin caused the roll I would say that the slowdown in speed had more to do with stopping the roll than any transfer of momentum from the leg deployment. At slow speed the reaction control thrusters could counteract the aerodynamic forces.

Nope. With the legs extended the "wider momentum" makes it much harder for the RCS fins to affect roll. This is another reason why the legs are deployed at the last second. Sure, lower speed helps in that it makes the stuck grid fins less effective, but note the timing of the leg deploy and the slowdown of the roll. It's all from the legs.

It makes sense what you say, but we probably need to wait for an analysis of the telemetry before we can state so categorically what caused what.

Offline chrisking0997

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So how long until they ask about the landing at the post launch press conference?

(Drinking game, take a shot everytime they ask about it)
First question, guaranteed...

lol....ol Chris G took that away
Tried to tell you, we did.  Listen, you did not.  Now, screwed we all are.

Offline darkenfast

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There she blows..

Wow! Can a large enough ship get in that close to shore to recover the booster?

Back during the abort test (which landed a lot closer to shore), you could see a barge and crane further out, waiting for the capsule to be towed to them.  I expect (purely guessing, here), that a GO vessel will secure the stage before it can run aground or jam that leg underneath into something, and then a commercial barge and crane(s) will do the actual salvage.  The alternative is to tow the thing and then lift it in port.  This could be problematic with the port authorities.  I think it's in deep enough water right now for a smaller tug or GO vessel to get in there.  Tides and winds can be the enemy here.
« Last Edit: 12/05/2018 07:27 pm by darkenfast »
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Offline Ronsmytheiii

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So how long until they ask about the landing at the post launch press conference?

(Drinking game, take a shot everytime they ask about it)
First question, guaranteed...

Ha, Chris G beats the spread.....

Offline mmeijeri

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The grid fins will flay again, since they are extremely expensive and it takes forever to make them IIRC.

The pump on the other hand may be grounded...   ;)
Pro-tip: you don't have to be a jerk if someone doesn't agree with your theories

Offline Ronsmytheiii

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Any chance of a successful landing had the ditch order not been given? Landing looks close to nominal.  Yes, on the the Ocean but still.....

There wasn't a "ditch order" the stage aims for a water impact, then moves over to the pad if conditions are good. aka fail safe.

Offline OxCartMark

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Does Falcon still have independent gas-generator nozzle actuation for the centre Merlin, or was that dumped in the move to the octaweb?

Dumped, on the first stage it was only ever available on the Falcon 1.

I thought also that Grasshopper rolled with vectorable gas generator exhaust .?.
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Offline JSNH

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Go quest just left port from the info on the Port Canaveral ship tracker.

Offline RoboGoofers

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Go quest just left port from the info on the Port Canaveral ship tracker.

It's not something they would plan on using often, but i expect they'd want to get out there quicker in the future, if only to lasso it and throw an anchor or two out. a couple of zodiacs on the beach, maybe, and a bunker for the crew to hide in.

Offline mn

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I would wonder if the engineers might talk Musk out of adding a redundant pump if they can just make the one more robust. I seems like understanding and fixing the issue is better than redundancy for a non-mission critical system.

I wouldn't take any of Elon's tweets about the stage too seriously just yet.

The stage just landed, they didn't even look at it, nobody had time to fully analyze anything yet.

These are off the cuff responses, actual decisions will happen after thorough analysis and time to think.

As a general rule, don't take his tweets too seriously, especially when he's tweeting so close to the event that he obviously did not have the time to fully think it thru.

edit: fix typo
« Last Edit: 12/05/2018 07:57 pm by mn »

Offline Cheapchips

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On reusing the booster Hans had a wry smile and words to the effects of "I know Elon just tweeted about it but we'll see..."  ;D

Offline mn

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I would wonder if the engineers might talk Musk out of adding a redundant pump if they can just make the one more robust. I seems like understanding and fixing the issue is better than redundancy for a non-mission critical system.

I wouldn't take any of Elon's tweets about the stage too seriously just yet.

The stage just landed, they didn't even look at it, nobody had time to fully analyze anything yet.

These are off the cuff responses, actual decisions will happen after thorough analysis and time to think.

As a general rule, don't take his tweets too seriously, especially when he's tweeting so close to the event that he obviously did not have the time to fully think it thru.

edit: fix typo

(And just for fun, I'll argue against myself now)

It's possible that they have been seriously considering adding a 2nd pump, perhaps decided to hold off as everything was working, and now that they had a failure the tweet response can be immediate and well thought thru at the same time.

Offline Hauerg

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At what point when you don't have complete control of your rocket flying back toward land does range safety kick in? While i'm sure they are happy they got their rocket back (albeit a little wet) I expect we will need to be asking some questions about whether the automated flight termination system worked as it was designed - and if it did - who didn't trigger a manual termination and why not? Dangerous as hell.
No.
All worked as planned.
No need to autodestruct when you are physically not able to reach land.

Tags: CRS-16 
 

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