Author Topic: Rokot/Briz-KM - Kosmos 2540 (Geo-IK-2 #3) - August 30, 2019 (14:00 UTC) (Read 12743 times)

zubenelgenubi · « **on:** 06/19/2018 07:11 pm »

The launch of the third Geo-IK-2 satellite, also known as Musson-2 satellites, is still listed as possibly occurring this month.

Quote from: Satori on 06/06/2018 07:10 pm

Planned Russian space launches
(suborbital launches are not included!)

2018
Date Time (UTC) – Satellite(s) – Rocket/Upper stage – Cosmodrome

June – Geo-IK-2 n.º 13L – Rokot/Briz-KM – Plesetsk, 133/3

If so, this would be the next Russian orbital launch.
It would also be the next launch from Plesetsk.
It would be first of three remaining Rokot launches.
It would launch the next satellite to receive a "Kosmos" designation.

Therefore, if it's OK with all concerned, I have started a launch thread.

EDIT 6/29: No news here at NSF of an impending launch, and we're running out of June...also edited thread title.

EDIT 9/5: Edited thread title.

Also, noting this: (If there are any more Rokot launches at all. Thread: Rokot future.)

russianhalo117 · « **Reply #1 on:** 06/29/2018 07:35 pm »

Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 06/19/2018 07:11 pm

The launch of the third Geo-IK-2 satellite, also known as Musson-2 satellites, is still listed as possibly occurring this month.

Quote from: Satori on 06/06/2018 07:10 pm
Planned Russian space launches
(suborbital launches are not included!)

2018
Date Time (UTC) – Satellite(s) – Rocket/Upper stage – Cosmodrome

June – Geo-IK-2 n.º 13L – Rokot/Briz-KM – Plesetsk, 133/3

If so, this would be the next Russian orbital launch.
It would also be the next launch from Plesetsk.
It would be first of three remaining Rokot launches.
It would launch the next satellite to receive a "Kosmos" designation.

Therefore, if it's OK with all concerned, I have started a launch thread.

EDIT 6/29: No news here at NSF of an impending launch, and we're running out of June...also edited thread title.

it is slated to launch in the second half of this year.

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #2 on:** 09/05/2018 03:18 pm »

Cross-post re: launch timing:

Quote from: Salo on 09/02/2018 05:27 pm

Geo-IK-2 n.º 13L -2019
http://www.interfax.ru/russia/626327

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #3 on:** 12/30/2018 05:08 am »

Cross-post re: launch timing:

Quote from: Salo on 12/18/2018 05:03 am

NET H1 - Kosmos (Geo-IK-2 №13L) – Rokot/Briz-KM – Plesetsk, 133/3

https://ria.ru/20181218/1548158399.html

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #4 on:** 06/27/2019 03:39 pm »

Cross-post re: launch month:

Quote from: Salo on 06/27/2019 04:21 am

https://ria.ru/20190627/1555953523.html
Google translate:
Quote
“Now the launch of the three Gonуеts-M satellites is scheduled for the fall,” the agency’s source said.
According to him, in August it is planned to send the Geo-IK-2 geodetic satellite with the Rockot rocket and only after that it will be possible to use a backup control system device to launch the Gonets-M.

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #5 on:** 08/05/2019 12:02 am »

Noted: The previous two GEO-IK-2 launches used the same LV, from the same launch site in Plesetsk, at the same UTC time on launch day: 1400 UTC.

The first SV never reached the operational orbit: 1000 km circ x 99.4 deg.
https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_sdat/geo-ik-2.htm

It looks like it's close to a sun-synchronous orbit?

If the third satellite replaces the second satellite launched three years ago, then would not the expected launch time be 1400 UTC?

Or, is it to complement the second satellite? If so, is it possible to predict an approximate launch time?

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #6 on:** 08/06/2019 03:19 pm »

Cross-posts; this could be the first stage drop zone for this launch.

Quote from: PM3 on 08/05/2019 02:04 pm

Quote from: russianhalo117 on 07/12/2019 04:54 pm
August - Kosmos (Geo-IK-2 №13L) – Rokot/Briz-KM – Plesetsk, 133/3

Here is a NOTAM for 7 to 10 August. Could this be for the Rockot?

https://twitter.com/LaunchStuff/status/1158355021249073152

Quote from: smoliarm on 08/06/2019 06:56 am

Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 08/06/2019 01:57 am
Re: NOTMAR

If it's not for Rokot / GEO-IK-2 #3, and if it's not for Soyuz / Neitron #1, then perhaps it is for a SLBM headed for Kamchatka or Shary Sagan?

IIRC, the NOTMAR zone in the northern Baffin Bay (just to the West of Thule AF Base) - it is a typical reentry area for Briz-KM for some high-inclination launches. Specifically, for *heavy* payloads, where Briz can get only sub-orbital, and the payload continue to orbit with its own propulsion. GEO-IK is this kind of heavy PL. And I do not recall Baffin Bay drop-zones for Soyuz launches (although I did not make a thorough search).

So I would guess that these NOTAMs/NOTMARs are for Rokot/Briz-KM with GEO-IK-2 #3.

Galactic Penguin SST · « **Reply #7 on:** 08/07/2019 12:22 am »

So.....are there any hints of a launch today GMT other than the marine space closure notice above? I can't find any related air space closure notices and other sources doesn't indicate any imminent launch. 🤔

Steven Pietrobon · « **Reply #8 on:** 08/07/2019 05:00 am »

The window for the launch hazard area is now open (05:00 UTC). Not sure if this means there is going to be a launch anytime soon! I'll be keeping an eye on Tass to see if they give any updates.

Alter Sachse · « **Reply #9 on:** 08/07/2019 07:40 am »

The time window is very large (05:00-17:00).
It can be for a test of military missiles.

tehwkd · « **Reply #10 on:** 08/07/2019 11:52 am »

Quote from: Alter Sachse on 08/07/2019 07:40 am

The time window is very large (05:00-17:00).
It can be for a test of military missiles.

Same shaped navigational warning was back in november 2018 when soyuz-2.1b/Fregat-M carried Glonass-M (Kosmos-2529) to orbit. It also had a long window both time and day wise. the launch itself occurred on the 3rd, mid window so still a day or so if pattern repeats.

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #11 on:** 08/07/2019 12:51 pm »

A puzzler...grist for the NSF mill!

tehwkd · « **Reply #12 on:** 08/07/2019 01:07 pm »

https://twitter.com/LaunchStuff/status/1159083308833284096

tehwkd · « **Reply #13 on:** 08/10/2019 11:17 am »

based on updated navigational warnings, the old warning was definitely for a missile test

tehwkd · « **Reply #14 on:** 08/26/2019 08:01 am »

Quote

ULMM MURMANSK

Q4762/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT: 713300N0320500E-715800N0320500E-714855N0321827E- 713242N0320630E-713300N0320500E. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:23 2019

BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR/FIC

A0442/19 - DUE TO DEBRIS FROM RUSSIAN MISSILE LAUNCH, TEMPORARY DANGER AREA IS ESTABLISHED IN BGGL FIR WITHIN THE FOLLOWING LATERAL LIMITS: 773523N0751400W 773520N0741200W 770730N0730715W 764645N0742915W 764651N0753750W 773523N0751400W. SFC - FL195, DAILY 1345-1515, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 15:15 2019. CREATED: 24 AUG 10:17 2019

ENOB BODO FIC/FIR

A2973/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN 713300N 0320500E - 713940N 0311630E - 720055N 0304305E - 721815N 0305430E - 721015N 0314610E - 715800N 0320500E - (713300N 0320500E) RUS MISSILE AREA 1. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 11:39 2019

A2972/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN - 742555N 0255310E - 742915N 0274810E - 740345N 0285315E - 733545N 0280535E - 733235N 0261635E - 735715N 0250930E - (742555N 0255310E) RUS MISSILE AREA 2. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 10:23 2019

ULAA TALAGI

Q4763/19 - ATS RTE W57 SEGMENT: ABELU - BAROD CLSD. FL170 - FL410, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:41 2019

CZEG EDMONTON CENTRE (ACC)

^{Z4613/19 - DAH IS AMMENDED AS FLW: CYD797 EDMONTON FIR IS ESTABLISHED: MISSLE HAZARD AREA BOUNDED BY 773523N 751400W-764651N 753750W-764645N 760300W-770020N 770200W- 772025N 771130W-773500N 760315W-773523N 751400W. SFC TO UNL ACFT SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR OF AREA DUE TO DANGER FM FALLING DEBRIS. SFC - UNL, 1345-1445 DLY, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 20 AUG 20:10 2019}

Z4812/19 - DESIGNATED AIRSPACE HANDBOOK (DAH) IS AMENDED AS FLW: CYD797 EDMONTON FIR IS ESTABLISHED: MISSILE HAZARD AREA BOUNDED BY 773500N 760315W-773520N 741200W-770730N 730715W-764645N 742915W- 764645N 760300W-770020N 770200W-772025N 771130W-773500N 760315W SFC TO UNL. ACFT SHOULD REMAIN CLR OF AREA DUE TO DANGER FM FALLING DEBRIS. SFC - UNL, 1345-1445 DLY, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 28 AUG 15:27 2019

HYDROARC

185/2019 (15,38)

BAFFIN BAY.
CANADA.
DNC 28.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
1345Z TO 1515Z DAILY 30 AUG THRU 04 SEP
IN AREA BOUND BY
77-35.00N 076-03.25W, 77-35.33N 074-12.00W,
77-07.50N 073-07.25W, 76-46.75N 074-29.25W,
76-46.75N 076-03.00W, 77-00.33N 077-02.00W,
77-20.42N 076-03.25W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 041615Z SEP 19.
( 251530Z AUG 2019 )

^{187 / 2019 (43)
NORWEGIAN SEA.
BARENTS SEA.
NORWAY.
DNC 22.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS 1345Z TO 1445Z DAILY
30 AUG THRU 04 SEP IN AREA BOUND BY
72-18-15N 030-54-30E, 72-10-15N 031-46-10E,
71-40-55N 032-18-27E, 71-31-42N 032-06-30E,
71-39-40N 031-16-30E, 72-00-55N 030-43-05E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 041545Z SEP 19.
( 260619Z AUG 2019 )}

188/2019 (43)
BARENTS SEA.
NORWAY.
DNC 22.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
1345Z TO 1445Z DAILY 30 AUG THRU 04 SEP
IN AREA BOUND BY
72-18-15N 030-54-30E, 72-10-15N 031-46-10E,
71-48-55N 032-18-27E, 71-31-42N 032-06-30E,
71-39-40N 031-16-30E, 72-00-55N 030-43-05E.
2. CANCEL HYDROARC 187/19.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 041545Z SEP 19.
( 261559Z AUG 2019 )

190/2019 (43)
BARENTS SEA.
DNC 22.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
1345Z TO 1445Z DAILY 30 AUG THRU 04 SEP
IN AREA BOUND BY
74-25.55N 025-53.10E, 74-29.15N 027-48.10E,
74-03.45N 028-53.15E, 73-35.45N 028-05.35E,
73-32.35N 026-16.35E, 73-57.15N 025-09.30E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 041545Z SEP 19.
( 270706Z AUG 2019 )

Match to old: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39948.msg1541198#msg1541198

Galactic Penguin SST · « **Reply #15 on:** 08/26/2019 08:37 am »

Quote from: tehwkd on 08/26/2019 08:01 am

Quote
ULMM MURMANSK

Q4762/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT: 713300N0320500E-715800N0320500E-714855N0321827E- 713242N0320630E-713300N0320500E. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:23 2019

BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR/FIC

A0442/19 - DUE TO DEBRIS FROM RUSSIAN MISSILE LAUNCH, TEMPORARY DANGER AREA IS ESTABLISHED IN BGGL FIR WITHIN THE FOLLOWING LATERAL LIMITS: 773523N0751400W 773520N0741200W 770730N0730715W 764645N0742915W 764651N0753750W 773523N0751400W. SFC - FL195, DAILY 1345-1515, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 15:15 2019. CREATED: 24 AUG 10:17 2019

ENOB BODO FIC/FIR

A2973/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN 713300N 0320500E - 713940N 0311630E - 720055N 0304305E - 721815N 0305430E - 721015N 0314610E - 715800N 0320500E - (713300N 0320500E) RUS MISSILE AREA 1. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 11:39 2019

A2972/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN - 742555N 0255310E - 742915N 0274810E - 740345N 0285315E - 733545N 0280535E - 733235N 0261635E - 735715N 0250930E - (742555N 0255310E) RUS MISSILE AREA 2. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 10:23 2019

ULAA TALAGI

Q4763/19 - ATS RTE W57 SEGMENT: ABELU - BAROD CLSD. FL170 - FL410, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:41 2019

Match to old: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39948.msg1541198#msg1541198

Do the areas match any Soyuz-2 launches though? There is one slated for launch before August is out as of a few weeks ago.

tehwkd · « **Reply #16 on:** 08/26/2019 08:40 am »

Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 08/26/2019 08:37 am

Quote from: tehwkd on 08/26/2019 08:01 am
Quote
ULMM MURMANSK

Q4762/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACT: 713300N0320500E-715800N0320500E-714855N0321827E- 713242N0320630E-713300N0320500E. SFC - UNL, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:23 2019

BGGL SONDRESTROM FIR/FIC

A0442/19 - DUE TO DEBRIS FROM RUSSIAN MISSILE LAUNCH, TEMPORARY DANGER AREA IS ESTABLISHED IN BGGL FIR WITHIN THE FOLLOWING LATERAL LIMITS: 773523N0751400W 773520N0741200W 770730N0730715W 764645N0742915W 764651N0753750W 773523N0751400W. SFC - FL195, DAILY 1345-1515, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 15:15 2019. CREATED: 24 AUG 10:17 2019

ENOB BODO FIC/FIR

A2973/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN 713300N 0320500E - 713940N 0311630E - 720055N 0304305E - 721815N 0305430E - 721015N 0314610E - 715800N 0320500E - (713300N 0320500E) RUS MISSILE AREA 1. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 11:39 2019

A2972/19 - TEMPO DANGER AREA ACTIVATED AT PSN - 742555N 0255310E - 742915N 0274810E - 740345N 0285315E - 733545N 0280535E - 733235N 0261635E - 735715N 0250930E - (742555N 0255310E) RUS MISSILE AREA 2. SFC - FL660, AUG 30-31 1345-1445, SEP 01-04 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 23 AUG 10:23 2019

ULAA TALAGI

Q4763/19 - ATS RTE W57 SEGMENT: ABELU - BAROD CLSD. FL170 - FL410, DAILY 1345-1445, 30 AUG 13:45 2019 UNTIL 04 SEP 14:45 2019. CREATED: 26 AUG 06:41 2019

Match to old: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39948.msg1541198#msg1541198

Do the areas match any Soyuz-2 launches though? There is one slated for launch before August is out as of a few weeks ago.

Nope. All are identical with the previous Rokot launch. Even the 1345-1445 time window is the same.

zubenelgenubi · « **Reply #17 on:** 08/28/2019 03:19 am »

If launch is successful, the satellite should receive the designation Kosmos 2540.

Salo · « **Reply #18 on:** 08/29/2019 04:23 am »

Launch time 14:00:14 UTC.

Alter Sachse · « **Reply #19 on:** 08/29/2019 05:53 pm »

Quote from: Salo on 08/29/2019 04:23 am

Launch time 14:00:14 UTC.

Kosmos 2470 GEO-IK-2 #1 14:00:14
Kosmos 2517 GEO-IK-2 #2 14:00:14