From the Users Advisory Group meeting that just happened, this slide. NASA's lunar roadmap for the next decade.
{snip}SpaceX - Standard generic Wooster talk. Which means it's a BFR talk. He's clearly there for offline networking.{snip}
Quote from: theinternetftw on 11/16/2018 05:14 amFrom the Users Advisory Group meeting that just happened, this slide. NASA's lunar roadmap for the next decade.So within 15 years NASA aims to have men back on the Moon.(The slide says 10 but these things are always late.)
Quote from: A_M_Swallow on 11/16/2018 06:13 amQuote from: theinternetftw on 11/16/2018 05:14 amFrom the Users Advisory Group meeting that just happened, this slide. NASA's lunar roadmap for the next decade.So within 15 years NASA aims to have men back on the Moon.(The slide says 10 but these things are always late.)Normally I would 100% agree with your final comment. In this case I feel compelled to point out, for a sufficiently narrow definition of "these things," there is exactly one historical example of this being done before. It was proposed in 1961, with a deadline of the end of the decade, and achieved its goal with half a year to spare.Yes, I know the reasons that worked are no longer applicable, but the commercial movement in this direction may make it happen again. (At least I hope so, and that is ignoring that BFR could potentially solve the challenge by pure brute force from a parallel development path.)
Quote from: meberbs on 11/16/2018 07:10 pmQuote from: A_M_Swallow on 11/16/2018 06:13 amQuote from: theinternetftw on 11/16/2018 05:14 amFrom the Users Advisory Group meeting that just happened, this slide. NASA's lunar roadmap for the next decade.So within 15 years NASA aims to have men back on the Moon.(The slide says 10 but these things are always late.)Normally I would 100% agree with your final comment. In this case I feel compelled to point out, for a sufficiently narrow definition of "these things," there is exactly one historical example of this being done before. It was proposed in 1961, with a deadline of the end of the decade, and achieved its goal with half a year to spare.Yes, I know the reasons that worked are no longer applicable, but the commercial movement in this direction may make it happen again. (At least I hope so, and that is ignoring that BFR could potentially solve the challenge by pure brute force from a parallel development path.)To estimate the scaling factor try ratio of development time for Orion to Apollo Command Module.
To estimate the scaling factor try ratio of development time for Orion to Apollo Command Module.
Busy day. From the "providers" session of LEAG:<snip> - Peregrine's User's Guide v3.0 released: https://www.astrobotic.com/payload-user-guide [pdf]
- This quote pull is for Lar: "The MX-1 is sized and constrained to go under the shroud of Electron, that is true, but as we put these lego pieces together into different configurations, they are aligned with other existing and emerging launch companies. The MX-2 system (two MX-1s stacked vertically) is sized to go into the Virgin Orbit LauncherOne. [...] The MX-5 module (five MX-1s stuck into a pentaweb) is designed to go into the back of a Dragon and can become a tug..." It goes up to MX-9 with a payload capability of 500kg in a "return configuration."
SpaceX - Standard generic Wooster talk. Which means it's a BFR talk. He's clearly there for offline networking.
QuoteSpaceX - Standard generic Wooster talk. Which means it's a BFR talk. He's clearly there for offline networking.It must be hard to listen to people talk about their 50kg payload landers when you have a 50,000kg lander in the works....
SpaceX may have to buy small landers to build the landing pad for its heavy lander. A 50,000kg lander will have similar problems to the Apollo LEMs only bigger.
NASA to pay private space companies for moon ridesNext month, almost a half-century since the United States last landed a spacecraft on the moon, NASA is expected to announce plans for a return. But the agency will just be along for the ride. Rather than unveiling plans for its own spacecraft, NASA will name the private companies it will pay to carry science experiments to the moon on small robotic landers.Under a program called Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS), NASA would buy space aboard a couple of launches a year, starting in 2021. The effort is similar to an agency program that paid private space companies such as Elon Musk's SpaceX to deliver cargo to the International Space Station (ISS). "This a new way of doing business," says Sarah Noble, a planetary scientist at NASA headquarters in Washington, D.C., who is leading the science side of NASA's lunar plans.Scientists are lining up for a ride. "It really feels like the future of lunar exploration," says Erica Jawin, a planetary scientist at the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of Natural History in Washington, D.C. She and other attendees at the annual meeting of the Lunar Exploration Analysis Group in Columbia, Maryland, last week were eager to show NASA why their small experiments would be worthy hitchhikers on the landers.
{snip}For CLPS landers to have a place in this future, they need to be very special. An off-the-shelf methalox 50kg payload reusable lander - perhaps.The moon is weird. Your main ship may be able to get close enough to do really quite in depth investigations while still in orbit on the flatter or pointier bits.
>CLPS lunar lander missions expected to start in 2021. That is only 3 years away. The SpaceX BFS is likely to be several years later that that. It could also be more expensive.
Quote from: A_M_Swallow on 11/20/2018 01:41 am>CLPS lunar lander missions expected to start in 2021. That is only 3 years away. The SpaceX BFS is likely to be several years later that that. It could also be more expensive.The roadmap calls for a "human scale descent module" by 2024 soon followed by a "reusable lunar ascent vehicle." Musk, answering a direct question about a Moon base, tweeted "2025."{snip}
Quote from: speedevil on 11/19/2018 02:18 pm{snip}For CLPS landers to have a place in this future, they need to be very special. An off-the-shelf methalox 50kg payload reusable lander - perhaps.The moon is weird. Your main ship may be able to get close enough to do really quite in depth investigations while still in orbit on the flatter or pointier bits.CLPS lunar lander missions expected to start in 2021. That is only 3 years away. The SpaceX BFS is likely to be several years later that that. It could also be more expensive.
Quote from: A_M_Swallow on 11/20/2018 01:41 amQuote from: speedevil on 11/19/2018 02:18 pm{snip}For CLPS landers to have a place in this future, they need to be very special. An off-the-shelf methalox 50kg payload reusable lander - perhaps.The moon is weird. Your main ship may be able to get close enough to do really quite in depth investigations while still in orbit on the flatter or pointier bits.CLPS lunar lander missions expected to start in 2021. That is only 3 years away. The SpaceX BFS is likely to be several years later that that. It could also be more expensive.That does not answer 'may have to buy'.
SpaceX could design its own mini lander and bull dozer but will probably find it cheaper to buy an off the shelf small payload lander.