We may see national space programs shifting from launchers to actual in space tech development. Maybe. Not that likely but maybe.
Is there any law, contract, or whatever else that would prevent a space agency other than NASA from buying a crewed launch on BFR? Let's say JAXA or ESA decided that they wanted to do they're own HSF mission and it just made too much sense to call up SpaceX and pay for a BFR launch/mission. Any reason that isn't possible?I realize such a mission would likely need to be launched from a SpaceX/US pad and that the whole notion of this would likely be politically impossible due to domestic aerospace contractors (domestic to the space agency considering a BFR ride) throwing a fit. But in theory, is it possible under currently existing laws/bylaws/treaties/whatever?Seems like a cost effective way to get into HSF without development risks, costs, and time.
Quote from: Bob Shaw on 04/08/2018 09:04 pmCould SpaceX fly from Kourou? Even more upmass, but new pads required...Near and medium term, I don't think they would fly from Kourou to avoid export requirements. Longer term, if they want to fly 1000s of BFS to Mars, they are going to have to launch from a lot of places.Especially for tanker flights, they will want to get all the up mass they can to LEO, and if they are launching from different parts of the world it's going to be good weather somewhere, no waiting for weather.As far as the OP, if BFR flights are as cheap as envisioned, a lot of countries would probably want to do it.
Could SpaceX fly from Kourou? Even more upmass, but new pads required...
If* SpaceX does trash the existing launcher market, there might be some second hand launch sites coming up on the market....Kourou perhaps.* It's a big if.
Arianespace also launches Soyuz, so there are definitely some options there.
ITAR prevents selling technology stuff like ICBMs to whatever nationality.
And Arianespace is not a space agency but a launch service provider. The space agency is ESA. ESA will not purchase from foreign corporations.There have also been rumors about ESA buying DreamChaser to stick it on Ariane. The only way that would happen is if the entire tech and manufacturing is transferred to Europe as part of some barter arrangement where a European company gets the money and the jobs. ESA is not in the business of simply purchasing off-the-shelf vehicles from foreign suppliers because that goes against the whole purpose of ESA.I'm pretty sure other national space agencies have pretty much the same policy. There is nothing to gain from flags and footprints if all you did is buy a ticket and pack a suitcase.
If ESA were somehow able to use (human rated) Dream Chaser, that could facilitate MAINTAINING jobs on Ariane. ESA is no where near launching astronauts in their own spaceship, so this scenario would enable both continued jobs in Arriane, as well as participation of European astronauts. This would save face, maintain the ESA space programme, and show demonstrable progress.
Assuming DC is reusable many times, the "old fashioned" idea that "it needs to be our spacecraft" could loose significance. Sierra Nevada Corp. will have to overcome ITAR to succeed in using DC widely around the world. Would some kind of lease arrangement, with only SNC personnell servicing DC from local bases work? Technically there is no tec. transfer.
Its not just flags and footprints if it facilitates Europeans participating in the coming developments in space... manufacturing, habitats...
ESA exists to promote European science and exploration. They can do that without requiring a European launch vehicle. It's no different in theory than hiring a Boeing or Antonov to fly a satellite to Kourou.
Possibly more likely than you think if you include countries that have not made serious attempts to get into the launch business. Gulf states, ASEAN, and a couple of African and Latin American countries come to mind.
What would those countries prove, other than they can afford to buy a ticket ?
Quote from: envy887 on 04/10/2018 06:47 pm ESA exists to promote European science and exploration. They can do that without requiring a European launch vehicle. It's no different in theory than hiring a Boeing or Antonov to fly a satellite to Kourou.That is not how ESA is set up. ESA is basically common fund. Each member state puts a certain amount of money into ESA with the expectation that a proportional amount flows back into their countries' economy. For example, France contributes 24% of ESA's budget, so ESA is expected to spend 24% of its budget in French industry or research organizations.ESA doesn't pay NASA to send astronauts to the ISS. NASA trains and flies ESA astronauts in exchange for ATV flights and participations through Colombus and ESA experiments. That way, ESA only spends money in member states, and uses the technology to barter favors from other agencies. It's a win-win for ESA (less so for NASA, who actually ends up paying Russia to fly ESA astronauts on Soyuz, but that's why you should be careful what you agree to). The same principle applies to ESA experiments that are on Curiosity, ESA probes that fly on Russian launchers, or the Ariane launch of JWST. No ESA money was ever spent outside of an ESA member state.Stuff like renting an Antonov to ferry a satellite, is low profile, and below the radar of the member state ministers council (and ESA does sometimes use an Airbus Beluga instead). Starting a human space flight program from scratch by purchasing rides on foreign vehicles is something else altogether, and something that the French or German governments would veto.
Quote from: Archibald on 04/08/2018 06:53 pmnobody in his right mind would stand across Boeing selling airliners to foreign countries.Is there any indication SpaceX wants to sell vehicles as opposed to rides? There is a significant difference, and will likely be significant resistance and barriers, to selling vehicles as opposed to rides.
nobody in his right mind would stand across Boeing selling airliners to foreign countries.
Barter is just another form of payment, one that SpaceX would undoubtedly accept if ESA had technology they wanted - e.g. long term ECLSS, or perhaps eventually nuclear powerplants for a Mars colony (some things are a lot easier if you're a nation-state).
Why would any nation-state ever fund a science mission of any sort at all? Oh that's right, it happens all the time.