Author Topic: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?  (Read 60411 times)

Offline sanman

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There was a tweet from Bigelow Aerospace a couple of months back, which indicated that they've got plans for much bigger habs in the future, once larger rocket sizes become available:

https://twitter.com/bigelowspace/status/938832873225777152




So Bigelow's BA-2100 Olympus (shown in middle) is labeled as a 2nd-generation model, while 3rd-generation hab is shown at 5000m3 and requiring 10m-diameter fairing. What would a 3rd-generation hab's own actual diameter then work out to be?


Falcon Heavy only has a fairing diameter of ~5m, which limits it to carrying the BA-330 modules.
If New Glenn has a fairing diameter of 7m, then that seems to just fall below the BA-2100's requirement.
Meanwhile, BFR is supposed to have a 9m diameter, which could potentially accommodate BA-2100 but not any planned 3rd-generation. So will they have to wait for New Armstrong to field their 3rd-generation?





Given the slight mismatch relative to aforementioned fairing sizes, should Bigelow consider re-engineering their habs for better fairing fit?

Is there any need for sizes bigger than 5000m3? At that point, should they consider some other geometry (eg. toroidal), or is that pill-shape the most useful/efficient?
« Last Edit: 02/10/2018 10:37 pm by sanman »

Offline Nomadd

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #1 on: 02/10/2018 09:04 pm »
 The full width of the existing Falcon fairing is too short for a 330.
 The one near term thing they could really use might be a torus or ring of modules for low gravity research. Maybe multiple levels for lunar, Martian and Earth. It could also be a rehab facility for people returning from two or three years of Mars travel. Add a hub for micro g and docking.
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Offline butters

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #2 on: 02/10/2018 09:05 pm »
Cargo BFS as rendered at 2017 IAC will not fit B2100 because of the way the spacecraft tapers. It can fit a 7m diameter by 7m long payload. Anything longer than 7m in length needs to be skinnier in diameter.

Offline sanman

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #3 on: 02/10/2018 10:36 pm »
And what's this other recent tweet from them refer to?

https://twitter.com/BigelowSpace/status/961666836268904448

Quote
Bigelow Aerospace‏Verified account @BigelowSpace
10:23 AM - 8 Feb 2018
Commercial space is not just about hardware, it’s about doing business differently. Bigelow Aerospace is ready to lead that charge. More details coming soon... http://www.bigelowspaceops.com

The message on http://www.bigelowspaceops.com/   says "It's almost time..."

Time for what? Time to post up a launch schedule maybe - or some kind of calendar of upcoming events?

Does the opening of this new site mark some new phase of operations - perhaps one which has been triggered by the launch of Falcon Heavy?





Offline TrevorMonty

Also have launch mass for these habitats. NG could easily support 8.4m fairing but couldn't deliver 70t of BA2100. If fully expendable with maybe some SRBs eg GEM63XL it could do it. Would be expensive launch but cheaper than SLS.



Offline Patchouli

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #5 on: 02/11/2018 04:10 am »
Also have launch mass for these habitats. NG could easily support 8.4m fairing but couldn't deliver 70t of BA2100. If fully expendable with maybe some SRBs eg GEM63XL it could do it. Would be expensive launch but cheaper than SLS.



Another booster might be the  P120C four to six of them should get the throw over 70t but as stated elsewhere I don't see BO using solids.
Another option design a new high energy second stage if you use the same propellant mass and standard stage dry mass and the equivalent of two J-2Xs you can lift 77t assuming you jettison the fairing at 160 seconds.
One J-2X or three BE-3Us come up just short of 70t.
« Last Edit: 02/11/2018 04:22 am by Patchouli »

Offline sanman

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #6 on: 02/11/2018 12:46 pm »
Would it be possible for Bigelow to work with launch providers like SpaceX to tweak the fairing just enough to allow BA-330 to fit onboard?

Could ascent profile be modified to facilitate a larger fairing, perhaps by trading off velocity to reduce dynamic loads on the vehicle? For an RLV like  Falcon Heavy, maybe it could be tried using older used boosters that they don't mind losing, operating them in expendable mode.

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #7 on: 02/11/2018 01:02 pm »
Personally, and I know this isn’t exactly the right thread for this, I’m surprised Bigelow didn’t develop their  habs with fairing integrated, so that...

Top of structure, covering hatch, is covered by an ejectable nosecone similar to Dragon 1. Beneath that is a multi-segment fairing, perhaps three sections. These are fixed to the upper part of hab just below hatch, and are fixed in place at bottom by a release system like fairings have. Between each of these three fairing segments are foldable membranes, stowed behind fairing segments.

Once air resistance is not a factor the nose is ejected. Once inserted in target orbit the fairing segments articulate out like petals of a flower, the flexible membranes expanding to make the fully deployed structure a disc, which faces in the direction of travel. The hab expands in the void behind it. Think MMOD protection, radiators, power generation, etc.

Then the LV provider doesn’t need to provide a fairing. It will, of course, have to work with Bigelow to ensure the design will fly stably on the LV through all modes of flight, but with the level of sophistication that currently exists with simulation and modeling, I think this is quite doable.

Call it out of the fairing thinking...

(And note I studiously avoided using the word “just”. I hate that word!)
« Last Edit: 02/11/2018 01:06 pm by Johnnyhinbos »
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Online spacenut

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #8 on: 02/11/2018 01:37 pm »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.  When they get larger, develop modules to fit the larger fairings.  Each module will need to expand solar panels to power the unit.  Unless the fairing has solar panels on the inside of them.  I'm surprised with all the F9 launches, that Bigelow hasn't developed a unit to fit the F9/FH fairing.  It may not be a 330, but say something in the 200 size with solar panels.  That way it could fit anything now and in the near future. 

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #9 on: 02/11/2018 07:34 pm »
Cargo BFS as rendered at 2017 IAC will not fit B2100 because of the way the spacecraft tapers. It can fit a 7m diameter by 7m long payload. Anything longer than 7m in length needs to be skinnier in diameter.

BA-2100 is said to require an 8 meter fairing, indicating somewhat less than that internally. Are we 100% sure that in a BFS's 9 meter hull the walls are >1 meter thick?

Also, the BFR stacks length may have changed. At IAC2017 the BFR+BFS stack was stated to be 106m tall.

In the FH post-flight presser he said,

Quote
Dave Mosher, Business Insider: "Hi, Dave Mosher from Business Insider. Thank you so much for doing this, by the way. I want to go back to BFR for a second since you were talking about that. ...."

Elon Musk: ".....The BFR, 9 meter diameter, 30 feet roughly. Diameter. Which is, yeah, you can fit a lot in 30 feet diameter. 110, 120 meters long. Yeah. Big.....

I can see Musk rounding 106m to 110m, but that 120m comment is another matter.
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Offline butters

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #10 on: 02/11/2018 07:46 pm »
Cargo BFS as rendered at 2017 IAC will not fit B2100 because of the way the spacecraft tapers. It can fit a 7m diameter by 7m long payload. Anything longer than 7m in length needs to be skinnier in diameter.
BA-2100 is said to require an 8 meter fairing, indicating somewhat less than that internally. Are we 100% sure that in a BFS's 9 meter hull the walls are >1 meter thick?

Dude, just look at the thing. It's not an cylindrical, axisymmetric volume. It flattens like a wedge and tapers to a rounded nose for reentry aerodynamic reasons.  BA-2100 was designed with an 8m cylindrical volume in mind. BFS is not a cylindrical volume. It can hold 8-9m diameter payloads, but only it they have a short and squat aspect ratio.

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #11 on: 02/11/2018 07:59 pm »
>
>
Dude, just look at the thing. It's not an cylindrical, axisymmetric volume. It flattens like a wedge and tapers to a rounded nose for reentry aerodynamic reasons.  BA-2100 was designed with an 8m cylindrical volume in mind. BFS is not a cylindrical volume. It can hold 8-9m diameter payloads, but only it they have a short and squat aspect ratio.

I am looking at "Chomper" as  CONCEPT art. Musk has already said the Tanker will evolve to a more optimized form factor, so there's no reason for the satellite delivery vehicle to be suboptimal. Quite the opposite; they may have more commonality above the tanks to each other than with BFS.
« Last Edit: 02/11/2018 08:01 pm by docmordrid »
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Offline e of pi

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Can They Go?
« Reply #12 on: 02/12/2018 05:28 pm »
I can see Musk rounding 106m to 110m, but that 120m comment is another matter.
My guess is he meant to say feet. Musk looked exhausted and was trying to answer the question in the engineering units he probably actually knew to colloquial units for the press. If he meant to say "120 ft" having converted the units, but then said the wrong unit while trying to do the math in his head, then that might make more sense: 36m long sounds a lot more like the design we saw most recently. Certainly less strangely shaped than a 9m x 120m cargo bay would be.

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #13 on: 02/12/2018 05:34 pm »
I can see Musk rounding 106m to 110m, but that 120m comment is another matter.

My guess is he meant to say feet. Musk looked exhausted and was trying to answer the question in the engineering units he probably actually knew to colloquial units for the press. If he meant to say "120 ft" having converted the units, but then said the wrong unit while trying to do the math in his head, then that might make more sense: 36m long sounds a lot more like the design we saw most recently. Certainly less strangely shaped than a 9m x 120m cargo bay would be.


The recent Spaceship design (IAC2017) was 48m  (157.48 ft), not 36m, and I'm thinking he's talking the entire BFR/S stack. 106-->120m is a helluva jump.

« Last Edit: 02/12/2018 05:37 pm by docmordrid »
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Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #14 on: 02/12/2018 05:35 pm »
Personally, and I know this isn’t exactly the right thread for this, I’m surprised Bigelow didn’t develop their  habs with fairing integrated, so that...

Then the LV provider doesn’t need to provide a fairing. It will, of course, have to work with Bigelow to ensure the design will fly stably on the LV through all modes of flight, but with the level of sophistication that currently exists with simulation and modeling, I think this is quite doable.

That doesn't sound much cheaper than asking launch providers to build slightly larger fairings.

Of course the most sensible thing to do would be to pick a subset of launch vehicles, get the minimum common envelope and impose that as a hard limitation on the engineering team.

Offline sanman

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #15 on: 02/19/2018 04:00 am »
It's too bad that a large interplanetary-class rocket like BFR (or New Armstrong, etc) can't be equipped with some kind of temporary Bigelow-style expanding hab section. Because then shortly after the rocket leaves the atmosphere, the hab section could expand outward to provide much more habitation space during transit to a far location like Mars. Then as it nears that destination, perhaps the hab could be re-compressed again, before the vehicle undergoes EDL. Then after landing, maybe the hab section could be expanded again, to provide a roomier space on Mars.

Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?

Online docmordrid

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #16 on: 02/19/2018 08:11 am »
>
Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?

The most recent animations & the below article show a B330 with a refuellable ULA ACES stage as a propulsion bus.

http://spacenews.com/bigelow-and-ula-announce-plans-for-lunar-orbiting-facility/
« Last Edit: 02/19/2018 08:12 am by docmordrid »
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Offline sanman

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #17 on: 02/19/2018 04:14 pm »
Where can that ACES propulsion bus take it? Just around cis-Lunar space?


Offline RonM

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #18 on: 02/19/2018 04:38 pm »
It's too bad that a large interplanetary-class rocket like BFR (or New Armstrong, etc) can't be equipped with some kind of temporary Bigelow-style expanding hab section. Because then shortly after the rocket leaves the atmosphere, the hab section could expand outward to provide much more habitation space during transit to a far location like Mars. Then as it nears that destination, perhaps the hab could be re-compressed again, before the vehicle undergoes EDL. Then after landing, maybe the hab section could be expanded again, to provide a roomier space on Mars.

Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?

Expandable modules can't be re-compressed after they are deployed. If you pump out all the air inside, since space is a vacuum, there is no external force to collapse the module. A mechanical system to fold it would add a lot of mass and defeat the purpose of a lightweight expandable module.

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #19 on: 02/19/2018 04:42 pm »
It's too bad that a large interplanetary-class rocket like BFR (or New Armstrong, etc) can't be equipped with some kind of temporary Bigelow-style expanding hab section. Because then shortly after the rocket leaves the atmosphere, the hab section could expand outward to provide much more habitation space during transit to a far location like Mars. Then as it nears that destination, perhaps the hab could be re-compressed again, before the vehicle undergoes EDL. Then after landing, maybe the hab section could be expanded again, to provide a roomier space on Mars.

Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #20 on: 02/19/2018 04:52 pm »
With announcement supposedly tomorrow.. I believe it is about http://www.bigelowspaceops.com/
i just hope it isn't another "here..come fund this..." but a "we are doing this...hop on board" announcement..
but I am skeptical
jb



Offline punder

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #21 on: 02/19/2018 06:11 pm »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.   

Exactly.

Offline JazzFan

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #22 on: 02/19/2018 10:44 pm »
>
Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?

The most recent animations & the below article show a B330 with a refuellable ULA ACES stage as a propulsion bus.

http://spacenews.com/bigelow-and-ula-announce-plans-for-lunar-orbiting-facility/

I know it's just a drawing. However, the ACES doesn't appear to be simply refuelable unless going through the B330.  Wouldn't this require complex piping in the B330?  Also, wouldn't this make for even more complex than with refueling from Progress to ISS which is a direct interface and fuel transfer between vehicles?  It works on ISS, just thinking that the approach slaves design of the refueling vehicle to the design of the B330.

Online docmordrid

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #23 on: 02/19/2018 11:01 pm »
Distributed launch. Not sure if ACES could un-dock in LLO, refuel from an ACES tanker then return to B330.

ULA presser....

Quote
In LEO, all of the cryogenic propellant would be transferred to one of the Advanced Cryogenic Evolved Stage (ACES). The now full ACES would then rendezvous with the B330 and perform multiple maneuvers to deliver the B330 to its final position in Low Lunar Orbit.

« Last Edit: 02/19/2018 11:05 pm by docmordrid »
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Offline ejb749

With announcement supposedly tomorrow.. I believe it is about http://www.bigelowspaceops.com/
i just hope it isn't another "here..come fund this..." but a "we are doing this...hop on board" announcement..
but I am skeptical
jb

Here's a big clue...

"About us
Bigelow Space Operations (BSO) is the sales, space operations and customer service company for commercial space stations in low Earth orbit and beyond. BSO is a sister company to Bigelow Aerospace. "

https://www.linkedin.com/company/bigelowspaceops

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #25 on: 02/20/2018 01:38 am »
Sounds like more of the “here... come fund this” stuff
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Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #26 on: 02/20/2018 02:05 am »
The XBASE prototype B330 module is being developed under a NextSTEP Space Act Agreement (SAA). The SAA are for ground prototypes so they probably do not have launch contracts. COTS launch vehicles were developed using a series of 2 year SAA and NextSTEP appears to be managed in a similar fashion. Bigelow's initial SAA started in March 2015 so testable hardware should be appearing.

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #27 on: 02/20/2018 04:17 am »
This is as close to a "contract" as I've seen: 2022ish to LLO on Vulcan. Sounds more like a hand-wave for the DSG.

ULA.....
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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #28 on: 02/20/2018 09:19 pm »
ok..my 2 cents...
that was a boring announcement...launch the thing already ..tell the companies it is 1st come 1st serve..show up now or miss out...
seems they are looking for that handout again... sigh
jb

Offline Lars-J

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #29 on: 02/21/2018 03:13 am »
ok..my 2 cents...
that was a boring announcement...launch the thing already ..tell the companies it is 1st come 1st serve..show up now or miss out...
seems they are looking for that handout again... sigh
jb

It is not unusual for companies to need customers before launching something. (When Boeing formally launch the 787 they had firm orders for 102 aircraft) And launching a space station is a massive investment.

So this is not unusual, and has nothing to do with "looking for a handout". Doing the "build it and they will come" philosophy requires a lot of resources to back up, resources that Bigelow lacks all by themselves.

If you believe Bigelow will launch a space station without a signed customer (or customers), you are in fantasy land.
« Last Edit: 02/21/2018 03:16 am by Lars-J »

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #30 on: 02/21/2018 03:49 pm »

It is not unusual for companies to need customers before launching something. (When Boeing formally launch the 787 they had firm orders for 102 aircraft) And launching a space station is a massive investment.

So this is not unusual, and has nothing to do with "looking for a handout". Doing the "build it and they will come" philosophy requires a lot of resources to back up, resources that Bigelow lacks all by themselves.

If you believe Bigelow will launch a space station without a signed customer (or customers), you are in fantasy land.
I am, I guess, in a bit fantasy land but if they believe in the tech..which I think they should.. i think they need to push the tech more..which i was (naively?) hoping for this time.  Seems they were just announcing what they have been trying to do for years..to find someone to buy into it..
I hope they can find someone or some entity to be a tenant.  love to see it fly..
jb

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #31 on: 02/21/2018 03:54 pm »
It's too bad that a large interplanetary-class rocket like BFR (or New Armstrong, etc) can't be equipped with some kind of temporary Bigelow-style expanding hab section. Because then shortly after the rocket leaves the atmosphere, the hab section could expand outward to provide much more habitation space during transit to a far location like Mars. Then as it nears that destination, perhaps the hab could be re-compressed again, before the vehicle undergoes EDL. Then after landing, maybe the hab section could be expanded again, to provide a roomier space on Mars.

Because Bigelow habs seemed to be designed with minimal propulsion meant mainly for station-keeping, they're seen primarily as suitable for space stations. Could they be used as manned deep space vessels, perhaps after some modifications? What kind of modifications would be required?
That is only an issue if BFR is volume limited during transit. My personal guess is that it will be mass limited, due to large amount of food and water required for the transit, as well as heavy equipment.

Offline alexterrell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #32 on: 02/22/2018 06:32 am »
Since none of the big Bigelow modules have been built, the question is, how expensive is it to take the technology and build a customised Bigelow for a specific launcher?

The BA-2100 was designed for the SLS. How much work would it be to design AND BUILD a Bigelow module customised for Falcon Heavy or BFR?

The Falcon Heavy payload fairing appears to be about 130m^3 of volume. So in principle it should be volume limited only if the average density of the payload is approximately < 0.45.

SLS "pressurised volume" is given as 825m^3. Certainly more volume / mass than Falcon Heavy. It should be easy to put something like the BA-2100 into that, but it won't (or shouldn't) look exactly like the BA-2100.

In both cases, would you keep the upper stage attached, so it can be used as a booster or perhaps a volatiles store? Or perhaps something similar to the old Space Shuttle ET reuse proposals?

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #33 on: 02/27/2018 12:40 pm »
(edit)BFS "pressurised volume" is given as 825m^3. Certainly more volume / mass than Falcon Heavy. It should be easy to put something like the BA-2100 into that, but it won't (or shouldn't) look exactly like the BA-2100.

In both cases, would you keep the upper stage attached, so it can be used as a booster or perhaps a volatiles store? Or perhaps something similar to the old Space Shuttle ET reuse proposals?

BFS raises the rather awkward issue of pricing.

If BFS costs $200M, that sets an obvious floor on a space station at $250K/m^3, which seems to be moderately close to prices that have been implied for the BA-330. And - well - if you want, you can deorbit it at any time. (in LEO at least).

But, if you don't care about mass, or inflatability, or anything fancy, you can get shielded 300m^3 or so 6m internal diameter modules up for not much more than 3* launch cost of BFS, even without any on-orbit assembly.

Buy 6m aluminium inch thick tank, don't tell them it's for aerospace, pressurise to 150PSI a few times to test it, add 1m of plastic water tanks to the outside (empty), glue on aluminium foil, fill in orbit, and you've got a pressurised shielded volume that you can outfit at your leisure.

This is obviously not suitable for BLEO, as it's quite high mass, but in LEO, you don't actually care about that.

On other loads, you send up 10m*3m tubes, with various 'plumbing' type fittings, made from two inch thick aluminium to be on the safe side, and just attach the tanks using these.

Of course, this rather depends on what BFS actually charges for launch - and what the market is.
If SpaceX gets involved in orbital tourism, their only reason to not consider launches 'at cost' would be anticompetitive reasons.

If they actually manage to convince people to pay $150M per launch, then you very much want bigelow type habs.





Offline Nomadd

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #34 on: 02/27/2018 09:19 pm »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.   

Exactly.
New fairings don't just appear out of nowhere. The payload decides how big they'll be. The 2100 could be a starting point for SpaceX, BO or whoever wants to make a huge cargo fairing or whatever delivers the payload. Talk to other potential customers, of course.
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Offline Lars-J

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #35 on: 02/27/2018 09:52 pm »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.   

Exactly.
New fairings don't just appear out of nowhere. The payload decides how big they'll be. The 2100 could be a starting point for SpaceX, BO or whoever wants to make a huge cargo fairing or whatever delivers the payload. Talk to other potential customers, of course.

The point is, though, that if you are having a hard time finding customers (as Bigelow clearly does), it doesn't hurt your chances by scaling your product to fit existing fairings better.

Being a launch customer (perhaps the *only* customer) for a custom fairing size is not going to be cheap.

Offline e of pi

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #36 on: 02/28/2018 03:50 pm »
New fairings don't just appear out of nowhere. The payload decides how big they'll be. The 2100 could be a starting point for SpaceX, BO or whoever wants to make a huge cargo fairing or whatever delivers the payload. Talk to other potential customers, of course.
The point is, though, that if you are having a hard time finding customers (as Bigelow clearly does), it doesn't hurt your chances by scaling your product to fit existing fairings better.

Being a launch customer (perhaps the *only* customer) for a custom fairing size is not going to be cheap.
And thus, as you say, it would help to design a module that fits within the volumetric envelope of as many existing rockets as possible (that can lift the required mass), rather than designing a module to use as much mas as possible but which requires a custom fairing, then having to pay for the fairing development all by yourself--or demanding that Rocket Brand Y design that fairing on spec if they want your customers (all however many space station buyers Bigelow has beating down his door?) to buy launches on their rocket.

Offline Nomadd

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #37 on: 02/28/2018 04:23 pm »
 The case for the 330 isn't simple. There's no way they'll redesign it for the existing Falcon fairing, and the ULA ride would cost $60 million more. If SpaceX does decide to extend theirs, I'd think Bigelow would want to be in on the conversation. As for the 2100, nothing can launch that yet, so a serious attempt to develop it would definitely be a factor in sizing the payload delivery whatever for the BFR or NG. It's a real COTE problem.
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Offline Lars-J

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #38 on: 02/28/2018 06:49 pm »
The case for the 330 isn't simple. There's no way they'll redesign it for the existing Falcon fairing, and the ULA ride would cost $60 million more. If SpaceX does decide to extend theirs, I'd think Bigelow would want to be in on the conversation. As for the 2100, nothing can launch that yet, so a serious attempt to develop it would definitely be a factor in sizing the payload delivery whatever for the BFR or NG. It's a real COTE problem.

You speak of the 330 as if it exists, or is anywhere close to being at a CDR. It is not. So they could scale it slightly and not throw away all their work. That's all I'm saying.

Offline alexterrell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #39 on: 03/01/2018 11:53 pm »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.   

Exactly.
New fairings don't just appear out of nowhere. The payload decides how big they'll be. The 2100 could be a starting point for SpaceX, BO or whoever wants to make a huge cargo fairing or whatever delivers the payload. Talk to other potential customers, of course.
In the case of Falcon 9, the rocket diameter also imposes some limit on the fairing diameter, which is important for Bigelow modules.

Online docmordrid

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #40 on: 03/02/2018 03:09 am »
Or  Bigelow could develop expandable modules to fit the existing fairing sizes.   

Exactly.

 New fairings don't just appear out of nowhere. The payload decides how big they'll be. The 2100 could be a starting point for SpaceX, BO or whoever wants to make a huge cargo fairing or whatever delivers the payload. Talk to other potential customers, of course.

In the case of Falcon 9, the rocket diameter also imposes some limit on the fairing diameter, which is important for Bigelow modules.

My notes show the B330 compressed diameter as 4.572m/180", which should fit in the now wider Fairing 2.0.  The issue appears to be insufficient  length because of an attached propulsion bus, which requires the EELV long fairing.
DM

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #41 on: 03/02/2018 03:51 am »
My notes show the B330 compressed diameter as 4.572m/180", which should fit in the now wider Fairing 2.0.  The issue appears to be insufficient  length because of an attached propulsion bus, which requires the EELV long fairing.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/963095860060934144 - in response to a question on stretching stage 2.
Quote
Under consideration. We’ve already stretched the upper stage once. Easiest part of the rocket to change. Fairing 2, flying soon, also has a slightly larger diameter. Could make fairing much longer if need be & will if BFR takes longer than expected.

Of course, someone'd need to pay.

A look at the fairing diagram in the manual says that the top would probably be hit at the core diameter of 3.7m or so, at about 8m.
An extra 5m on the 11.5m fairing is what most people would call 'much longer'.

A quick check verifies the F9 users guide is unchanged from Oct 2015, with no further discussion on fairings.
« Last Edit: 03/02/2018 04:02 am by speedevil »

Offline Prettz

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #42 on: 03/02/2018 05:45 am »
You speak of the 330 as if it exists, or is anywhere close to being at a CDR. It is not. So they could scale it slightly and not throw away all their work. That's all I'm saying.
This fact seems to be lost in all of the conversation. And likewise, the 2100 is purely powerpoint. They can rename it any time to whatever volume they'd like. It doesn't actually exist.

Offline alexterrell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #43 on: 03/02/2018 10:10 am »
You speak of the 330 as if it exists, or is anywhere close to being at a CDR. It is not. So they could scale it slightly and not throw away all their work. That's all I'm saying.
This fact seems to be lost in all of the conversation. And likewise, the 2100 is purely powerpoint. They can rename it any time to whatever volume they'd like. It doesn't actually exist.
Not quite. It's probably more AutoCAD. Redoing the BA-2100 to fit whatever they want would probably be a few tens of man months.
I would assume the BA-330 is a bit more developed with pressure simulations, and don't they have a mock up?

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #44 on: 03/02/2018 04:37 pm »
The ground prototype of XBASE, NASA's NextSTEP version of the B330, is due to be delivered this month. Other companies will be providing detailed proposals for a prototype lightweight docking hatch and environmental Control & Life Support Systems (ECLSS). I do not know what the current state of the equipment is.

Offline Archibald

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #45 on: 03/07/2018 05:50 am »
The Moon Marius Hills features some underground lava tube that would be perfect for a lunar base. I wonder how hard it would be to inflate a BA-2100 inside... what would be the risks involved ?
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Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #46 on: 03/07/2018 11:17 am »
The Moon Marius Hills features some underground lava tube that would be perfect for a lunar base. I wonder how hard it would be to inflate a BA-2100 inside... what would be the risks involved ?

An obvious risk would be mission design.
You're going to need to on-site survey before you can do much mission design, meaning a lot of funding and effort before you land the module and even consider expanding it.

Obviously, inside a tube, there is no sun, so you've got to have a long cable to solar panels (or reactor of course) and access to the surface may not quite be easy.
Even before considering sharp debris in the tube wanting to puncture your module and possible structural instability. (yes, the moon is 'dead' - but can you neglect the possibility that it's on the edge without a survey)
« Last Edit: 03/07/2018 11:19 am by speedevil »

Offline aceshigh

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #47 on: 03/14/2018 01:25 am »
did this a while ago... trying to show a big how spacious a 2100 hab would be from inside


Offline Cinder

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #48 on: 03/16/2018 05:58 pm »
Nice video.  I would have had a segment (e.g. before and/or after) from a global POV with familiar things next to the module for scale.  E.G. have it sat in between a supermarket and an average home (all three elements in cutaway for visibility's sake).  You lose a bit of the scale of something when you are mazing through it with relatively narrow field of view.
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Offline ThereIWas3

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #49 on: 03/16/2018 08:31 pm »
The Moon Marius Hills features some underground lava tube that would be perfect for a lunar base. I wonder how hard it would be to inflate a BA-2100 inside... what would be the risks involved ?

Bigelow has said in the past that assembling habs on the lunar surface (and inside a lava tube would be even worse) is fraught with problems, due to the abrasive dust getting into everything.  That is why their early plan for a lunar facility was to be assmbled in lunar orbit, then brought down to the surface intact.  I don't know if they still hold with this idea.

Offline Kansan52

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #50 on: 03/16/2018 08:54 pm »
This abstract seems to cover the hurdles:

http://www.isruinfo.com/docs/the_lunar_dust_problem_-_from_liability_to_asset.pdf

My take, electromagnetic fields could mitigate dust problems in living spaces. Microwaves could be used for using dust for in situ construction.

Offline aceshigh

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #51 on: 03/19/2018 11:16 pm »
Nice video.  I would have had a segment (e.g. before and/or after) from a global POV with familiar things next to the module for scale.  E.G. have it sat in between a supermarket and an average home (all three elements in cutaway for visibility's sake).  You lose a bit of the scale of something when you are mazing through it with relatively narrow field of view.

initial objective was to populate it all... have sections for habitat, an hydroponics food production facility, a lab, a socializing area, etc.

That would give more sense of scale...

Offline johnfwhitesell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #52 on: 05/17/2018 03:36 am »
If BFS costs $200M, that sets an obvious floor on a space station at $250K/m^3, which seems to be moderately close to prices that have been implied for the BA-330. And - well - if you want, you can deorbit it at any time. (in LEO at least).

Wouldn't the expanded habitat have better protection against micrometeorites?

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #53 on: 05/17/2018 10:20 am »
If BFS costs $200M, that sets an obvious floor on a space station at $250K/m^3, which seems to be moderately close to prices that have been implied for the BA-330. And - well - if you want, you can deorbit it at any time. (in LEO at least).

Wouldn't the expanded habitat have better protection against micrometeorites?
Marginally, if you do not cover the BFS with anything.

Offline johnfwhitesell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #54 on: 05/17/2018 07:02 pm »
Marginally, if you do not cover the BFS with anything.

I would assume you would need to deploy the shield after it's in orbit.  And in that case, aren't you just talking about half an expandable habitat covering the heat shield?

Offline intrepidpursuit

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #55 on: 06/17/2018 07:52 pm »
(edit)BFS "pressurised volume" is given as 825m^3. Certainly more volume / mass than Falcon Heavy. It should be easy to put something like the BA-2100 into that, but it won't (or shouldn't) look exactly like the BA-2100.

In both cases, would you keep the upper stage attached, so it can be used as a booster or perhaps a volatiles store? Or perhaps something similar to the old Space Shuttle ET reuse proposals?

BFS raises the rather awkward issue of pricing.

If BFS costs $200M, that sets an obvious floor on a space station at $250K/m^3, which seems to be moderately close to prices that have been implied for the BA-330. And - well - if you want, you can deorbit it at any time. (in LEO at least).

But, if you don't care about mass, or inflatability, or anything fancy, you can get shielded 300m^3 or so 6m internal diameter modules up for not much more than 3* launch cost of BFS, even without any on-orbit assembly.

Buy 6m aluminium inch thick tank, don't tell them it's for aerospace, pressurise to 150PSI a few times to test it, add 1m of plastic water tanks to the outside (empty), glue on aluminium foil, fill in orbit, and you've got a pressurised shielded volume that you can outfit at your leisure.

This is obviously not suitable for BLEO, as it's quite high mass, but in LEO, you don't actually care about that.

On other loads, you send up 10m*3m tubes, with various 'plumbing' type fittings, made from two inch thick aluminium to be on the safe side, and just attach the tanks using these.

Of course, this rather depends on what BFS actually charges for launch - and what the market is.
If SpaceX gets involved in orbital tourism, their only reason to not consider launches 'at cost' would be anticompetitive reasons.

If they actually manage to convince people to pay $150M per launch, then you very much want bigelow type habs.

I don't think BFS will be considered an option for a permanent in orbit hab for quite a while. It is a limited commodity and gets the best return on investment by launching and returning many times. SpaceX won't be anxious to sell a custom space hab version for a long time if ever. Making a Bigelow module sized to be deployed and serviced by BFS is a much better idea.

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #56 on: 06/17/2018 08:10 pm »
Marginally, if you do not cover the BFS with anything.

I would assume you would need to deploy the shield after it's in orbit.  And in that case, aren't you just talking about half an expandable habitat covering the heat shield?
No.
It doesn't need to hold pressure, or do any of the normal things that make an expandable habitat hard.


Offline johnfwhitesell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #57 on: 06/18/2018 12:18 pm »
No.
It doesn't need to hold pressure, or do any of the normal things that make an expandable habitat hard.

I was under the impression that stopping micrometeorites was the hard part of holding pressure.

Offline envy887

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #58 on: 06/18/2018 01:24 pm »
If BFS costs $200M, that sets an obvious floor on a space station at $250K/m^3, which seems to be moderately close to prices that have been implied for the BA-330. And - well - if you want, you can deorbit it at any time. (in LEO at least).

But, if you don't care about mass, or inflatability, or anything fancy, you can get shielded 300m^3 or so 6m internal diameter modules up for not much more than 3* launch cost of BFS, even without any on-orbit assembly.

Buy 6m aluminium inch thick tank, don't tell them it's for aerospace, pressurise to 150PSI a few times to test it, add 1m of plastic water tanks to the outside (empty), glue on aluminium foil, fill in orbit, and you've got a pressurised shielded volume that you can outfit at your leisure.

Inflatables still allow much larger volumes, though. And BFR only makes them cheaper.

For example, a single BFR launch could lift a 140 tonne, 100 meter deflated Kevlar sphere with 3 mm thick walls (5x safety factor) and a 10 tonne docking port/service/propulsion module. It would take 5 BFR flights of liquid air tanks to pressurize it to 1 atmosphere, but then you have a volume equal to 635 BFSes or 1600 BA-330s. Figuring out how to manufacture that sounds like a Bigelow specialty.

It would take some outfitting to make that volume useful though, unless all you wanted was an orbital bouncy castle :)
« Last Edit: 06/18/2018 01:26 pm by envy887 »

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #59 on: 06/18/2018 02:02 pm »
Inflatables still allow much larger volumes, though. And BFR only makes them cheaper.

For example, a single BFR launch could lift a 140 tonne, 100 meter deflated Kevlar sphere with 3 mm thick walls (5x safety factor) and a 10 tonne docking port/service/propulsion module. It would take 5 BFR flights of liquid air tanks to pressurize it to 1 atmosphere, but then you have a volume equal to 635 BFSes or 1600 BA-330s. Figuring out how to manufacture that sounds like a Bigelow specialty.

It would take some outfitting to make that volume useful though, unless all you wanted was an orbital bouncy castle :)
I wholeheartedly agree that inflatables are in principle cheaper than many other options.
I also note that 'outfitting' may get weird.
For example, it is not wholly unreasonable to consider a bare skin, with vacuum on one side and air on the other, and you rely on the skin and a couple of meters of air for debris  protection. Being able to just wander over next week and slap some duct tape on a hole  makes a whole lot of things easier.

But, if your inflatable pricing is not in fact cheaper than just using a BFS (and bigelow hasn't shown any enthusiasm for massive cheap stations), you have a significant illogicality.
Even without inflatables, or on-orbit assembly, 8m diameter * 12m aluminium cylinders tested for several cycles of 140PSI is another obvious backstop to pricing, and it's reasonable to ask if bigelow modules will go anywhere.

« Last Edit: 06/18/2018 02:12 pm by speedevil »

Offline envy887

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #60 on: 06/18/2018 02:13 pm »
Inflatables still allow much larger volumes, though. And BFR only makes them cheaper.

For example, a single BFR launch could lift a 140 tonne, 100 meter deflated Kevlar sphere with 3 mm thick walls (5x safety factor) and a 10 tonne docking port/service/propulsion module. It would take 5 BFR flights of liquid air tanks to pressurize it to 1 atmosphere, but then you have a volume equal to 635 BFSes or 1600 BA-330s. Figuring out how to manufacture that sounds like a Bigelow specialty.

It would take some outfitting to make that volume useful though, unless all you wanted was an orbital bouncy castle :)
I wholeheartedly agree that inflatables are in principle cheaper.
But, if your inflatable pricing is not in fact cheaper than just using a BFS (and bigelow hasn't shown any enthusiasm for massive cheap stations), you have a significant illogicality.
Even without inflatables, or on-orbit assembly, 8m diameter * 12m aluminium cylinders tested for several cycles of 140PSI is another obvious backstop to pricing, and it's reasonable to ask if bigelow modules will go anywhere.

Bigelow pricing assumes launch on Atlas V at $10,000/kg to LEO. They have not adjusted their pricing for BFR level launch costs, as far as I can tell. It probably doesn't make much sense for them to do that yet.

I think most of the cost and complexity comes from almost everything other than the inflatable part. Once they re-optimize mass, complexity, and cost against $100/kg to LEO, their prices should be very different.

Offline johnfwhitesell

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #61 on: 06/18/2018 03:08 pm »
With so many things in space it's hard to judge what the proper price is and what is an issue of scaling.

Offline Roy_H

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #62 on: 03/22/2019 01:26 am »
Not heard anything from Bigelow for a long time now. I know they stopped development on BA330 because they were waiting for crew capsules to become commercially available. Now that this is imminent, I would have expected increased activity and announcements of launch of BA330 and/or XBase. Anyone know what is going on?
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Offline Tywin

Not heard anything from Bigelow for a long time now. I know they stopped development on BA330 because they were waiting for crew capsules to become commercially available. Now that this is imminent, I would have expected increased activity and announcements of launch of BA330 and/or XBase. Anyone know what is going on?

I maked the same question the other day...I wait for more info...I wish Bigelow win something with the station Gateway too...
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Online docmordrid

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #64 on: 03/22/2019 04:25 am »
Dunno if that's likely with the much larger & well funded Sierra Nevada also offering inflatable habitats.
DM

Offline JonathanD

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #65 on: 04/18/2019 02:28 pm »
Not heard anything from Bigelow for a long time now. I know they stopped development on BA330 because they were waiting for crew capsules to become commercially available. Now that this is imminent, I would have expected increased activity and announcements of launch of BA330 and/or XBase. Anyone know what is going on?

Based upon some of the stories about that company, I would be surprised if we ever see a self-sustaining inflatable from them.  BEAM was NASA tech basically gifted to them, and has none of the power or life support systems that Bigelow aspirationally proposes for larger habs.  It was an important accomplishment, but I just don't have confidence they can scale that up and add substantial complexity.

Offline cferreir

The problem is how do you fill up that empty space. The inflatable concept is great for habitable volume but how do you furnish that space? It would take a lot of launches to send all the necessary hardware up there. Have not done the math. The volume efficiency of sending stuff up to be assembled onto a blow up station might work but, my intuition says that it will be close.

BTW, BIG fan of Bigelow and strongly believe their technology will make space travel better and cheaper.

Offline A_M_Swallow

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #67 on: 05/09/2019 10:39 am »
Additional launches and say 2 years to equip the inflatable in space is a large additional cost. Caravans come with built in kitchens. The expandable trailers in the video below also have kitchens and some even have showers. Such amenities would be expected to fold out from the centre column. Internal walls and walkways could also fold out.


Offline whitelancer64

Not heard anything from Bigelow for a long time now. I know they stopped development on BA330 because they were waiting for crew capsules to become commercially available. Now that this is imminent, I would have expected increased activity and announcements of launch of BA330 and/or XBase. Anyone know what is going on?

Bigelow has a launch agreement with ULA to launch a B330 on a Vulcan - and per Bigelow's website, the B330 is now listed at 50,000 lb, which is too heavy for an Atlas V to throw into LEO. So they are waiting on Vulcan to become operational, which is ~2021.

XBASE is a mission-specific B330 for the habitat module for the Gateway. Bigelow has not been selected as the contractor for the Gateway habitat, and several other companies are competing for it, so it may never fly.
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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #69 on: 05/10/2019 07:40 pm »
Sierra Nevada's LIFE  module can fit in a 5m fairing and they quote a "minimal mass."  27x27 feet inflated.

https://www.sncorp.com/media/2393/ssg_nextstep-2-bifold_for-web_4-4-18.pdf
« Last Edit: 05/10/2019 07:41 pm by docmordrid »
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Online Comga

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #70 on: 05/29/2019 12:44 am »
[snip]
.. per Bigelow's website, the B330 is now listed at 50,000 lb, which is too heavy for an Atlas V to throw into LEO. So they are waiting on Vulcan to become operational, which is ~2021.
[snip]

Yeah
"they are waiting"
The business case doesn't close until a new larger rocket is built by someone else.
Sure
Cue the
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Online spacenut

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #71 on: 05/29/2019 12:57 am »
Wouldn't conversion of expended upper stages be just as easy or cheaper to use than a Bigelow hab?  Both would have to have interior spaces that would require building rooms or work stations inside.  Both would require a docking port to bring things inside.  A large 5m upper stage or even a 3.7m upper stage would work. 

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #72 on: 05/30/2019 09:24 pm »
Bogelows time may have come and gone, and requiring a Class 3 fairing doesn't help.

Sierra Nevada's 300 m3 LIFE expandable, proposed for the Gateway hab,

https://www.sncorp.com/what-we-do/space-exploration/

Quote
Flexible launch options; compatible with Space Launch Systems (SLS) or five-meter fairing commercial launch vehicles.
>
Minimal mass and volume for efficient packaging in five-meter fairing on commercial launch vehicle.
« Last Edit: 05/30/2019 09:27 pm by docmordrid »
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Offline Lar

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #73 on: 05/31/2019 03:46 pm »
What's the FH fairing size? I thought it was JUST short of 5M?
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Offline DigitalMan

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #74 on: 05/31/2019 06:52 pm »
What's the FH fairing size? I thought it was JUST short of 5M?

I think it is 4.6 meters x 11 meters inside

Offline intelati

What's the FH fairing size? I thought it was JUST short of 5M?

I think it is 4.6 meters x 11 meters inside

4.6x6.4 narrowing linearly to 1.45m at the last 4.6m
Starships are meant to fly

Offline speedevil

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #76 on: 06/01/2019 11:34 am »
4.6x6.4 narrowing linearly to 1.45m at the last 4.6m

The Starlink launch was without accoustic matting, and that (if your payload can take the noise) may take it to 4.8 rather than the nominal 4.6.
The actual structure interior diameter is unspecified in the manual beyond that it's less than 5.2m-2" (there will be considerable intrusions from various hardware  beyond this)

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #77 on: 09/13/2019 08:35 pm »
Bogelows time may have come and gone, and requiring a Class 3 fairing doesn't help.

Sierra Nevada's 300 m3 LIFE expandable, proposed for the Gateway hab,

https://www.sncorp.com/what-we-do/space-exploration/

Quote
Flexible launch options; compatible with Space Launch Systems (SLS) or five-meter fairing commercial launch vehicles.
>
Minimal mass and volume for efficient packaging in five-meter fairing on commercial launch vehicle.

I don't see how SNC is further along than BA (especially in ECLSS since neither has anything built). Although you are right to point out the fairing size issue, however, if anything, the case can be made that the BA team has more experience than the SNC team. maybe I am being a bit naive, but I really want to see RB succeed.
« Last Edit: 09/13/2019 08:37 pm by happyflower »

Online Comga

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #78 on: 09/16/2019 05:52 am »
Bogelows time may have come and gone, and requiring a Class 3 fairing doesn't help.

Sierra Nevada's 300 m3 LIFE expandable, proposed for the Gateway hab,

https://www.sncorp.com/what-we-do/space-exploration/

Quote
Flexible launch options; compatible with Space Launch Systems (SLS) or five-meter fairing commercial launch vehicles.
>
Minimal mass and volume for efficient packaging in five-meter fairing on commercial launch vehicle.

I don't see how SNC is further along than BA (especially in ECLSS since neither has anything built). Although you are right to point out the fairing size issue, however, if anything, the case can be made that the BA team has more experience than the SNC team. maybe I am being a bit naive, but I really want to see RB succeed.

The case cannot be made that those with experience gained at BA are still with the firm.
There has been a LOT of turnover.
Saying SNC is a lot more professionally managed understates the issue.

I, too, was glad Bigelow brought back inflatables or expandables, and was pleased to see their early progress.
It just wasn't sustainable in the environment he created.
It was important for Bigelow to succeed when he was the only one doing it.
He proved that it could be done, but there are now alternative suppliers. 
« Last Edit: 09/26/2019 12:55 am by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline sanman

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #79 on: 09/26/2019 12:49 am »
SNC's hab seems to be framed in the context of the Lunar Orbital Gateway. Are there any plans to use it for anything else?

Also, I thought Bigelow had licensed the fundamental technology from NASA, which developed it as TransHab. So has SNC developed their tech from scratch, or did they also license TransHab technology?

At least Bigelow's BEAM module has been tested aboard the ISS. Will there be any similar attempts for SNC's module?

Offline Kansan52

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #80 on: 11/18/2019 04:47 pm »
Couple of things come to mind, Genesis I and Genesis II.

Also, the original concept had the equipment preinstalled in a central column that was surrounded by the expandable structure.

Offline DecoLV

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #81 on: 02/14/2020 12:26 am »
So...there is a conversation nobody seems to be having much, which is the commercial financial support for passengers. We sort of assume that initial Bigelow habitats would be used for science, for crews riding Dragon or SS or Starliner, for example. But especially when you get into space hotel fantasies you wonder who will pay for it. Thing is, you actually might be able to, IF passengers rode on the same vehicle as a payload. If the flight for a comsat or other payload would happen anyway, then the passengers are effectively subsidized, at least for the trip. So how come we haven't seen rocket architectures for dual purpose cargo-and-humans? Starship could probably do it, and actually would have to for a Mars journey. So why not LEO as well?

Offline meberbs

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #82 on: 02/14/2020 12:41 am »
So...there is a conversation nobody seems to be having much, which is the commercial financial support for passengers. We sort of assume that initial Bigelow habitats would be used for science, for crews riding Dragon or SS or Starliner, for example. But especially when you get into space hotel fantasies you wonder who will pay for it. Thing is, you actually might be able to, IF passengers rode on the same vehicle as a payload. If the flight for a comsat or other payload would happen anyway, then the passengers are effectively subsidized, at least for the trip. So how come we haven't seen rocket architectures for dual purpose cargo-and-humans? Starship could probably do it, and actually would have to for a Mars journey. So why not LEO as well?
You would need a reasonable number of satellites going to the same orbit as the space station. There just isn't a use case where that makes a lot of sense. (Some cube sats and demo missions that don't really care about orbit have launched from the ISS, but that is for the reasonable rideshare price for them on a fully paid for ISS flight, the inverse of what you are talking about) Any extra capacity on the launch is generally better used for supplies for the station.

Starship is an entirely separate can of worms, it is so big you start asking questions like "why bother having a separate space station, just outfit the Starship for a 6 or 12 month mission." There actually has been plans for cargo plus crew for Artemis stuff, but that is just a way to showhorn in the SLS capacity, and isn't actually a good architecture, especially given the SLS cost.

Offline DecoLV

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #83 on: 02/14/2020 05:10 pm »
Good point, but one commonality is GTO, and that raises the potential for human eyes in a specific place (YOUR place) as a use case. (Sort of like the old MOL, ha ha). Just thinking out loud....something like fire spotting or atmospherics that you would normally use NOAA or similar  sats, but don't want or can't use those assets?

Now, getting a B330 into GTO is a whole other matter...

Offline meberbs

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #84 on: 02/14/2020 07:08 pm »
Good point, but one commonality is GTO, and that raises the potential for human eyes in a specific place (YOUR place) as a use case. (Sort of like the old MOL, ha ha). Just thinking out loud....something like fire spotting or atmospherics that you would normally use NOAA or similar  sats, but don't want or can't use those assets?

Now, getting a B330 into GTO is a whole other matter...
Do you mean GTO or GEO? (GTO=geosynchronous transfer orbit, GEO=geosynchronous orbit) Many satellites initially deploy to GTO to get to GEO, but you would not put a manned station there because constantly passing through the van Allen belts is not a good idea. There really isn't a good reason to ever stay in GTO for an extended time period.

If you meant GEO, the problem is not just getting the station there, but also the regular flights. GEO comsats only go to GTO for initial injection because the rockets generally can't direct inject them to GEO, while some satellites do get directly injected into GEO, there certainly wouldn't be spare capacity for a crew to ride along.

Offline DecoLV

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #85 on: 02/14/2020 11:33 pm »
Do you mean GTO or GEO? (GTO=geosynchronous transfer orbit, GEO=geosynchronous orbit)

I did actually mean to say GEO. I know the difference, but I get distracted by the thought of comsats looking fine with three deuces and a 4-speed.
« Last Edit: 02/15/2020 01:47 am by DecoLV »

Offline groundbound

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #86 on: 02/15/2020 03:14 am »
Do you mean GTO or GEO? (GTO=geosynchronous transfer orbit, GEO=geosynchronous orbit)

I did actually mean to say GEO. I know the difference, but I get distracted by the thought of comsats looking fine with three deuces and a 4-speed.

FWIW, in early 2020 I don't think there exists any possible combination of launch vehicle and crew vehicle that can even get to GEO, let alone carry enough propellant to return. Certainly there are paper rockets and paper capsules that can do it, but that has always been true since the 1960s. :)

Offline JonathanD

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #87 on: 02/15/2020 03:16 pm »
FWIW, in early 2020 I don't think there exists any possible combination of launch vehicle and crew vehicle that can even get to GEO, let alone carry enough propellant to return. Certainly there are paper rockets and paper capsules that can do it, but that has always been true since the 1960s. :)

F9 second stage has demonstrated the coast capability to get there.  I'm sure if you threw it and Dragon on top of a Falcon Heavy it could get there, but getting home might be more of a challenge, especially now that the Super Dracos are an "all or nothing" proposition.

Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #88 on: 02/17/2020 06:56 pm »
FWIW, in early 2020 I don't think there exists any possible combination of launch vehicle and crew vehicle that can even get to GEO, let alone carry enough propellant to return. Certainly there are paper rockets and paper capsules that can do it, but that has always been true since the 1960s. :)

F9 second stage has demonstrated the coast capability to get there.  I'm sure if you threw it and Dragon on top of a Falcon Heavy it could get there, but getting home might be more of a challenge, especially now that the Super Dracos are an "all or nothing" proposition.

If tossing up a Dragon to GEO with a Falcon Heavy. You don't need the Super Dracos to get back. Just need a propulsion module with enough Hypergolics and a ring of the regular Dracos added to the Dragon stack.

Of course there is no reason developed the propulsion module with the development of the Starship.

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #89 on: 02/17/2020 07:04 pm »
Isn't Bigelow rather obsolete, now that NASA has replaced them by Axiom - for both, ISS tourism and the commercial space station? How should Bigelow compete with that?
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Offline Kansan52

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #90 on: 02/17/2020 07:18 pm »
Isn't Bigelow rather obsolete, now that NASA has replaced them by Axiom - for both, ISS tourism and the commercial space station? How should Bigelow compete with that?

Depends on the size of the market. If there is room for only one (Axiom) the no room for Genesis. If the market needs more, than a Genesis freeflyer could be the solution.

Offline Tomness

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #91 on: 02/17/2020 07:27 pm »
Isn't Bigelow rather obsolete, now that NASA has replaced them by Axiom - for both, ISS tourism and the commercial space station? How should Bigelow compete with that?

Bigelow needs to stop fireing people. Listen to the engineers. Build a better business model. Finish BA-330 & BA-3000? Launch then both & marvel team up with Axiom build a bad a** space station. I don't see why BA-330 can't be added on to Axiom station on ISS before it's retired.

Offline meberbs

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #92 on: 02/17/2020 07:29 pm »
Isn't Bigelow rather obsolete, now that NASA has replaced them by Axiom - for both, ISS tourism and the commercial space station? How should Bigelow compete with that?
They explicitly chose not to compete for those. They intend to compete for the free-flyling station contract. As far as I know, nanoracks is the other plausible contender for that contract. Apparently they decided not to compete for the attached to ISS contract because they misinterpreted the amount of money NASA projected as available for the total of both contracts as a hard cap. That logic doesn't make sense to me though, since even without them competing for it, Axiom still is getting money for the attached to ISS portion, so the available budget for the free flyer is still reduced by whatever Axiom is getting.

https://spacenews.com/bigelow-aerospace-sets-sights-on-free-flying-station-after-passing-on-iss-commercial-module/

Offline Roy_H

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #93 on: 05/04/2020 07:10 am »
My proposal on what Bigelow should be aiming for attached.
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Online Comga

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #94 on: 05/06/2020 08:02 pm »
My proposal on what Bigelow should be aiming for attached.
OK, but what's the point?



edit: SO because Bigelow could not launch a single BA-330, their goal should be to launch a construct with 56 of them?
« Last Edit: 05/06/2020 08:06 pm by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline ChefPat

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #95 on: 09/28/2021 07:05 am »
Now that Inspiration 4 has been a success Space X says that they're getting more requests for flights than they can accommodate for the next 3 years. Will this level of interest be enough for Bigelow to launch a BA-330 as a destination for commercial missions?
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Offline su27k

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Re: Bigelow Habs - How Big Will They Go? Where Will They Go?
« Reply #96 on: 09/28/2021 11:59 am »
Will this level of interest be enough for Bigelow to launch a BA-330 as a destination for commercial missions?

Unfortunately Bigelow Aerospace is pretty much dead now (see Bigelow Aerospace thread for details), so I wouldn't count on them for anything, a commercial destination should emerge from NASA's new Commercial LEO Destination program

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