
The ball appears to be ~1.2m in diameter.
The facets are close to triangles 30cm on a side, and appear flat.
Call it .05m^2.
Assuming one facet is wholly illuminated by the sun, and reflecting it to an observer at 45 degrees, that is around 50W of light into a circle varying from at perigee around 3km to at apogee 5km in diameter. (the sun is conveniently 1/100th of a radian in diameter, which makes this easy)
That is between around 7.5 microwatts per square meter, and 2.5uw/m^2.
Conveniently, 1nW/m^2 is magnitude 4 (a clearly visible star with dark adapted eyes), making this 7500-2500 times as bright, or visible magnitude (two orders of magnitude is 5 visible magnitudes) from around -5 to -3 or so.
This would put it peaking from about the brightest Venus gets to the brightest Jupiter gets.
It is noticably dimmer than Iridium flash peaks.
Due to the geometry, it's not going to be able to illuminate the whole ground track at once, and will either flicker or flash, averaging somewhat dimmer.