Author Topic: SpaceX FH : Falcon Heavy Demo : Feb 6, 2018 : Discussion Thread 2  (Read 598055 times)

Offline Nehkara

Any idea when the center core will make it back to port, assuming it is recovered successfully on OCISLY? I'd like to be there to watch if I can.

I checked a bunch of previous launches.  East coast barge landings take 4-6 days to get back to port.  Assuming the launch date holds (big assumption), I would imagine that the center core would be coming back on the Saturday, Sunday, or Monday (10th, 11th, or 12th).

Edit:  Better answers below.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 07:43 pm by Nehkara »

Offline Kabloona

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Any idea when the center core will make it back to port, assuming it is recovered successfully on OCISLY? I'd like to be there to watch if I can.

I checked a bunch of previous launches.  East coast barge landings take 4-6 days to get back to port.  Assuming the launch date holds (big assumption), I would imagine that the center core would be coming back on the Saturday, Sunday, or Monday (10th, 11th, or 12th).

The most recent OCISLY mission  was KoreaSat, which launched Oct 30 and returned to port Nov 2. That was a 3-day transit.

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43901.0

If I were planning to watch the return to port, I'd plan on being there the 3rd day after launch, keeping in mind that bad weather and/or high seas could delay the return.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 06:40 pm by Kabloona »

Online ChrisC

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It usually takes 3 days or so for the tow back to port.

According to Raul's map, the FH ASDS is going to be about HALF as far out as typical ASDS positions.  I expect that it'll come back to port in 2-3 days, but no more than 3 days.  Unless there are problems, of course.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 06:39 pm by ChrisC »
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Offline Kabloona

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It usually takes 3 days or so for the tow back to port.

According to Raul's map, the FH ASDS is going to be about HALF as far out as typical ASDS positions.  I expect that it'll come back to port in 2-3 days, but no more than 3 days.  Unless there are problems, of course.

Yes, that's a good point. ASDS position for FH will be about 215 miles out. At 5 knots average towing speed, that's only about 37 hours. Add in some loiter time for stage safing and tug hookup, and the transit time could be as little as 48 hours or so.

So, 2 days is possible if all goes well.

Offline mike robel

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(And it remains unclear whether KSC's rocket garden will even get an F9 booster -- it might get erected in front of the spaceX LCC, where it would be *free* for public visits, unlike at KSC where you have to pay to visit.)

I guess on general terms they are likely to know if they are ever going to fly their stock of pre-block-5 in 3-4 years - there could be a lot of museum pieces available as well as the existing 'no way' list like the one that got wet.
I bet one of the sticking points is who pays for safing, transporting, and erecting the stage.  I'm guessing SpaceX would be reluctant to foot the bill for the for-profit KSC to have one of their rockets.  Apparently even negotiations with the Smithsonian faltered over the exhibit costs, with (reportedly) the Smithsonian wanting SpaceX to pony up for a new building to house the stage in addition to the other costs.

I'm not so sure that is an issue.  Visitor Center, I am told, has a flown Dragon.  I just haven't been out there to see for myself.

Offline Chandonn

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(And it remains unclear whether KSC's rocket garden will even get an F9 booster -- it might get erected in front of the spaceX LCC, where it would be *free* for public visits, unlike at KSC where you have to pay to visit.)

I guess on general terms they are likely to know if they are ever going to fly their stock of pre-block-5 in 3-4 years - there could be a lot of museum pieces available as well as the existing 'no way' list like the one that got wet.
I bet one of the sticking points is who pays for safing, transporting, and erecting the stage.  I'm guessing SpaceX would be reluctant to foot the bill for the for-profit KSC to have one of their rockets.  Apparently even negotiations with the Smithsonian faltered over the exhibit costs, with (reportedly) the Smithsonian wanting SpaceX to pony up for a new building to house the stage in addition to the other costs.

I'm not so sure that is an issue.  Visitor Center, I am told, has a flown Dragon.  I just haven't been out there to see for myself.

A quick Google search produced this, along with photos:

http://www.spaceflightinsider.com/space-centers/kennedy-space-center/kennedy-space-center-visitor-complex-highlights-nasa-commercial-crew-cargo-programs/

Offline Johnnyhinbos

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Because there is a non zero chance of the inaugural Falcon Heavy flight could go very badly. Nobody but SpaceX will take the chance that the last image before something catastrophic happens is their promo art on all media platforms.  ::)

  It would make a great insurance company ad.

 *Things don't always go the way you expected?*
I was thinking perhaps something along the lines of Maaco...

But perhaps the two could share the real estate...

And sorry - I don't mean to go off all Party Thread.
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Offline Lar

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1 - and by  that I do not mean "best party style posts"
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 08:03 pm by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline cscott

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I'm not so sure that is an issue.  Visitor Center, I am told, has a flown Dragon.  I just haven't been out there to see for myself.

Yes, it's there.

Hauling the discussion back on topic: what do you think will happen with the recovered cores of the 1st FH?  Presumably a good thorough inspection, with coupons clipped for destructive testing.  Then what?  Any chance the SpaceX LCC could get an *FH* erected out front?  *That* would be something to see.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 09:39 pm by cscott »

Offline TomH

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How much farther downrange is the ASDS positioned for the center core landing in contrast with an F9-S1? How much more prop must be preserved for the higher altitude/higher velocity/higher center core mass reentry?

Offline Lar

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How much farther downrange is the ASDS positioned for the center core landing in contrast with an F9-S1? How much more prop must be preserved for the higher altitude/higher velocity/higher center core mass reentry?
Believed less downrange per FCC apps, due to lofted trajectory for Mars (distance if not destination) transfer orbit insertion than an F9S1 used for a GTO. Someone better at calculations could guess at the propellant required, but clearly it's more as a fraction as the stage goes faster
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"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline Kabloona

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How much farther downrange is the ASDS positioned for the center core landing in contrast with an F9-S1?

It's actually much closer than for F9 GTO missions. Take a look at Raul's map of ASDS positions for various missions.

https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1wvgFIPuOmI8da9EIB88tHo9vamo&hl=en_US&ll=29.47612431010018%2C-78.01585121795557&z=7

The FH ASDS position is one of the two blue markers due East of the Cape, just before the continental shelf dropoff.

Quote
How much more prop must be preserved for the higher altitude/higher velocity/higher center core mass reentry?

Probably not possible to estimate, because we don't know the trajectory details for FH. Probably more lofted than the GTO missions, but that's all we can guess, AFAIK.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2018 11:58 pm by Kabloona »

Offline CyndyC

According to a couple of other posts, a more lofted trajectory will actually require LESS fuel, for a couple of reasons --  more body lift, and a boostback burn that can be shorter than the re-entry burn has to be longer (landing burns about the same):

SpaceX has been working on using more of the atmosphere to slow down Falcon 9 as that saves propellant and will be important for BFR.

F9 1st stage is having quite big angle of attack when it's flying back towards landing location. Quite much of body lift can be gotten even from a cylinder shape, when it's light enough.

And the higher angle of attack saves fuel used to both flying back AND slowing down to landing velocity

And the lofted NROL-76 landing compared to the CRS-11 landing:
 
Overall, the more lofted trajectory of NROL-76 meant less fuel required for landing.  The boostback burn was 17 seconds shorter, while the higher entry speed required an 8 seconds longer burn.  Both are 3 engine burns, so the overall savings are 3 engines x 9 seconds.
« Last Edit: 02/02/2018 12:36 am by CyndyC »
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Offline TomH

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From the above descriptions, it sounds as though the trajectory may involve a single US burn that goes straight to TMI. Is that the case, or will there be a parking orbit followed by a TMI burn, or a brief coast followed by TMI? Second burn from high apogee?
« Last Edit: 02/02/2018 02:05 am by TomH »

Offline Kabloona

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From the above descriptions, it sounds as though the trajectory may involve a single US burn that goes straight to TMI. Is that the case, or will there be a parking orbit followed by a TMI burn, or a brief coast followed by TMI? Second burn from high apogee?

Good analysis beginning here:

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=44778.msg1779029#msg1779029

It seems a brief coast followed by TMI burn is most likely based on the above analysis by OneSpeed.

The logic for this instead of direct injection was summarized by deruch here:

https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=44778.msg1779062#msg1779062
« Last Edit: 02/02/2018 03:42 am by Kabloona »

Offline .Scott

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How fast will the payload be moving when the upper stage is ignited?  And how long is the upper stage burn?  If it's over 12 minutes, then there may be no reason to delay TMI.

Offline Basto

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How fast will the payload be moving when the upper stage is ignited?  And how long is the upper stage burn?  If it's over 12 minutes, then there may be no reason to delay TMI.

The upper stage does not have enough fuel for a 12 minute burn. Spacex website claims 397 second burn time for stage 2.

Offline speedevil

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The upper stage does not have enough fuel for a 12 minute burn. Spacex website claims 397 second burn time for stage 2.

At minimal throttle, it's got to be pretty closely approaching that.

However, at minimal throttle, gravity losses will be very much larger.

Just saw a report that OCISLY is being towed to sea right now. Do we have any eyes in that area?

Offline KaiFarrimond

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Just saw a report that OCISLY is being towed to sea right now. Do we have any eyes in that area?

Going off Marine Traffic, it looks like HAWK pulled out of port and then came back in a few minutes later.
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