I knew and understand this. What I meant in this context is: Why would one be able to keep a satellite in storage waiting for a mission and not a deep space probe?
Quote from: colbourne on 12/15/2017 05:09 amWith a Falcon Heavy rocket due to be launched and no important mission for it planned (other than car delivery to Mars), would it be possible to grab the opportunity and aim to catch up with , film and gather as much information on the Oumuamua, inter-stellar asteroid that recently passed Earth.It is probably just a lump of rock but as its 1:10 shape and high rotation rate make it appear an interesting object, apart from it origin probably being from another star.There are probably no other rockets planned to be launched soon that could undertake this task.I also feel that we should have probes ready to be launched at short notice , if an event like this occurs again.No way. Somebody did the math: https://www.centauri-dreams.org/?p=38728QuoteOne potential mission architecture is to make use of SpaceX’s Big Falcon Rocket (BFR) and their in-space refueling technique with a launch date in 2025. To achieve the required hyperbolic excess (at least 30 km/s) a Jupiter flyby combined with a close solar flyby (down to 3 solar radii), nicknamed “solar fryby” is envisioned.
With a Falcon Heavy rocket due to be launched and no important mission for it planned (other than car delivery to Mars), would it be possible to grab the opportunity and aim to catch up with , film and gather as much information on the Oumuamua, inter-stellar asteroid that recently passed Earth.It is probably just a lump of rock but as its 1:10 shape and high rotation rate make it appear an interesting object, apart from it origin probably being from another star.There are probably no other rockets planned to be launched soon that could undertake this task.I also feel that we should have probes ready to be launched at short notice , if an event like this occurs again.
One potential mission architecture is to make use of SpaceX’s Big Falcon Rocket (BFR) and their in-space refueling technique with a launch date in 2025. To achieve the required hyperbolic excess (at least 30 km/s) a Jupiter flyby combined with a close solar flyby (down to 3 solar radii), nicknamed “solar fryby” is envisioned.
w in 2025).2) perform "solar fry-by" Oberth boost at distance current thermal technologies can handle: - calculated that "fry by" at 3 solar radii would give sufficient kick to achieve rendezvous by itself. - perhaps "fry by" is possible with current tech at 30 or 300 solar radii (how close can we go safely?).
It’s a cute coincidence, the first interstellar asteroid flying by the first Heavy being assembled. But that’s as close as they get.
Quote from: mikelepage on 12/16/2017 04:14 amw in 2025).2) perform "solar fry-by" Oberth boost at distance current thermal technologies can handle: - calculated that "fry by" at 3 solar radii would give sufficient kick to achieve rendezvous by itself. - perhaps "fry by" is possible with current tech at 30 or 300 solar radii (how close can we go safely?).3) Deploy solar sail technology to make up the difference in delta-V.*In short - no. To get any meaningful benefit for this mission, it needs to be very, very close to the sun.
w in 2025).2) perform "solar fry-by" Oberth boost at distance current thermal technologies can handle: - calculated that "fry by" at 3 solar radii would give sufficient kick to achieve rendezvous by itself. - perhaps "fry by" is possible with current tech at 30 or 300 solar radii (how close can we go safely?).3) Deploy solar sail technology to make up the difference in delta-V.*
But I guess I'm confused by your answer. I've always understood the size of the Oberth effect to be proportional to the velocity of the spacecraft when the burn is made (at perihelion in this instance). In order to get to the "fry-by" transfer orbit in the first place you've given your spacecraft a Jupiter gravity assist, so the semi-major axis of that transfer orbit has to be about 2.6 AU. Given this large semi-major axis, how big a difference does a perihelion distance is 0.014 AU (3 solar radii), versus 0.14 AU (30 solar radii), really make? especially when it can make such a difference to the mass/complexity of your shielding apparatus?
Quote from: mikelepage on 12/18/2017 03:43 amBut I guess I'm confused by your answer. I've always understood the size of the Oberth effect to be proportional to the velocity of the spacecraft when the burn is made (at perihelion in this instance). In order to get to the "fry-by" transfer orbit in the first place you've given your spacecraft a Jupiter gravity assist, so the semi-major axis of that transfer orbit has to be about 2.6 AU. Given this large semi-major axis, how big a difference does a perihelion distance is 0.014 AU (3 solar radii), versus 0.14 AU (30 solar radii), really make? especially when it can make such a difference to the mass/complexity of your shielding apparatus?The difference in velocity at perihelion between those two orbits is very small(*), less than TWO HUNDRED AND FORTY kilometers per second difference.(*) Just in case it is not obvious, at this point the Sarcasm meter is maxed out
Wonder if you could run a solar thermal propulsion rig of sorts during the fryby, using a propellant cooled sunshield as a propellant boiler for a deep solar oberth maneuver?
Okay. Thanks for showing your working.*(*)Still maxed outFor anyone else who actually wants to learn something on this forum without being snarked at...
Quote from: Pete on 12/18/2017 06:51 amQuote from: mikelepage on 12/18/2017 03:43 amBut I guess I'm confused by your answer. I've always understood the size of the Oberth effect to be proportional to the velocity of the spacecraft when the burn is made (at perihelion in this instance). In order to get to the "fry-by" transfer orbit in the first place you've given your spacecraft a Jupiter gravity assist, so the semi-major axis of that transfer orbit has to be about 2.6 AU. Given this large semi-major axis, how big a difference does a perihelion distance is 0.014 AU (3 solar radii), versus 0.14 AU (30 solar radii), really make? especially when it can make such a difference to the mass/complexity of your shielding apparatus?The difference in velocity at perihelion between those two orbits is very small(*), less than TWO HUNDRED AND FORTY kilometers per second difference.(*) Just in case it is not obvious, at this point the Sarcasm meter is maxed outOkay. Thanks for showing your working.*(*)Still maxed outFor anyone else who actually wants to learn something on this forum without being snarked at, the correct formula to use is as follows:V= (2GM/r - GM/a)^0.5where:r is the current altitude of the craft above the sun, anda is the semi major axis.So for a=2.6 (coming from Jupiter gravity assist):where r is 3 solar radii, V=356km/swhere r is 10 solar radii V=194km/swhere r is 30 solar radii, V= 111km/s
And no, I don't think we have the technology to build anything that can survive at 3 solar radii, except as a passive and heavily-shielded package.Having to put an active probe there, including supplying it with a few dozen km/s of delta-v ability, is way beyond us.
A more relevant question is the Delta-V required to intercept Oumuamua? For a launch in 2020.
It can be seen that a minimum 𝐶3 exists, which is about 26.5 km/s (703km˛/s˛). However, this minimum value rapidly increases when the launch date is moved into the future. At the same time, a larger mission duration leads to a decrease of the required 𝐶3 but also implies an encounter with the asteroid at a larger distance from the Sun. A realistic launch date for a probe would be at least 10 years in the future (2027). At that point, the hyperbolic excess velocity is already at 37.4km/s (1400km˛/s˛) with a mission duration of about 15 years, which makes such an orbital insertion extremely challenging with conventional launches in the absence of a planetary fly-by.
Quote from: Zed_Noir on 12/19/2017 07:17 pmA more relevant question is the Delta-V required to intercept Oumuamua? For a launch in 2020.Considering direct launch.From a blog version of the recent paper.Quote It can be seen that a minimum 𝐶3 exists, which is about 26.5 km/s (703km˛/s˛). However, this minimum value rapidly increases when the launch date is moved into the future. At the same time, a larger mission duration leads to a decrease of the required 𝐶3 but also implies an encounter with the asteroid at a larger distance from the Sun. A realistic launch date for a probe would be at least 10 years in the future (2027). At that point, the hyperbolic excess velocity is already at 37.4km/s (1400km˛/s˛) with a mission duration of about 15 years, which makes such an orbital insertion extremely challenging with conventional launches in the absence of a planetary fly-by.So, at the moment, about 30km/s from LEO.Falcon heavy launching one of the centre stages, and then being fully refuelled in LEO,, with a falcon 1 as payload.(there are issues, which I will neglect)This may with a following wind get you to 20km/s, and a ton payload, being generous.That ton payload being three stages of solid rockets might get five kilos to 30km/s - being optimistic.I am sure you can do a probe that will return some data weighing 5kg and flying by the asteroid at ~10km/s - that this is not precluded by the laws of physics.But, you're going to need a tiny RTG of some form, and novel optical comms, and you're not going to get much data on a rapid poorly targetted flyby in badly lit conditions.The above is the sort of thing you can almost justify by handwaving if you avoid looking really hard at any of it.In reality, you're going to need to put very considerably more thought into this, and it's probably going to either end up as being a large RTG/reactor craft with a big ion engine on the biggest launcher you can find, or something actually preplanned and put in place in advance.<snip>