Total Members Voted: 119
Voting closed: 01/19/2018 12:21 pm
IMO:26x Falcon 92x Falcon Heavy100% 1st stage landing success
Quote from: Rebel44 on 12/13/2017 09:55 amIMO:26x Falcon 92x Falcon Heavy100% 1st stage landing successSo you're thinking we're done with expendables completely? Inteesting!
Given their 100% success rate this year (assuming I don't jinx Iridium-4), I'd say 100% landing success in 2018 is well within the realm of possibility. That leaves it up to us to guess at how many launches will occur (as per the other poll) and how many will be expendable or heavies.I guessed 32 launches, 2 being heavy, for a total of 36 cores going up. My guess is that only Hispasat and the two Telstars go expendable, since everything else to GTO is under F9's demonstrated capability with Titanium fins, and F9 is just so good at lower orbits (due to its kerolox upper stage gimping it a bit to higher ones) that I can't imagine they'd expend one going any lower than GTO.So 36-3 is 33. Sorry for copying your answers, AncientU.