Quote from: edkyle99 on 12/20/2019 02:32 pmThis one is hard to categorize. The boost phase of this launch (the Atlas 5 part) was successful, but CST-100 failed to do its insertion burn at the expected time. The burn was subsequently commanded manually from the ground after a delay, but it was really a burn to a contingency orbit, not the originally planned orbit. So, is this a "launch failure" for the Atlas 5/CST-100 combo? Or, is this a successful launch with subsequent on-orbit spacecraft issues? - Ed KyleUnless some new information arises I'd say the latter. Atlas V delivered the payload where it was supposed to go.
This one is hard to categorize. The boost phase of this launch (the Atlas 5 part) was successful, but CST-100 failed to do its insertion burn at the expected time. The burn was subsequently commanded manually from the ground after a delay, but it was really a burn to a contingency orbit, not the originally planned orbit. So, is this a "launch failure" for the Atlas 5/CST-100 combo? Or, is this a successful launch with subsequent on-orbit spacecraft issues? - Ed Kyle
Quote from: LouScheffer on 12/20/2019 02:46 pmI don't think we know for certain yet. The problem is being blamed on an incorrect mission elapsed timer. If Atlas forgot to say "We've lifted off", or sent it at the wrong time, then it could be an Atlas fault, despite the correct orbit. If instead the error is on the Starliner end, then the Atlas is in the clear.Given that most missions of any type would need some indication of elapsed time, and this problem does not seem to be reported before, I'd suspect Atlas was not the problem. But until the root cause is established, we can't say that for sure.Atlas doesn't provide a MET. The spacecraft should have a break wire its T-0 umbilical for liftoff.
I don't think we know for certain yet. The problem is being blamed on an incorrect mission elapsed timer. If Atlas forgot to say "We've lifted off", or sent it at the wrong time, then it could be an Atlas fault, despite the correct orbit. If instead the error is on the Starliner end, then the Atlas is in the clear.Given that most missions of any type would need some indication of elapsed time, and this problem does not seem to be reported before, I'd suspect Atlas was not the problem. But until the root cause is established, we can't say that for sure.
Quote from: OM72 on 12/20/2019 04:42 pmQuote from: mlindner on 12/20/2019 04:37 pmQuote from: Michael Baylor on 12/20/2019 02:03 pmStich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.I can't believe I just read that. Are they seriously thinking they're going to send the thing to dock without having ever tested it? Boeing favoritism shows no bounds.Stich would have said the exact same thing if this was Dragon, because it is true. And, again, it has been tested. Please do not go making things up just to stir the proverbial pot. The point is there was a malfunction that led the docking to be cancelled. A decision will have to be made if the reason for the malfunction is understandable and fixable to allowed a crewed flight on the next Starliner mission.
Quote from: mlindner on 12/20/2019 04:37 pmQuote from: Michael Baylor on 12/20/2019 02:03 pmStich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.I can't believe I just read that. Are they seriously thinking they're going to send the thing to dock without having ever tested it? Boeing favoritism shows no bounds.Stich would have said the exact same thing if this was Dragon, because it is true. And, again, it has been tested. Please do not go making things up just to stir the proverbial pot.
Quote from: Michael Baylor on 12/20/2019 02:03 pmStich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.I can't believe I just read that. Are they seriously thinking they're going to send the thing to dock without having ever tested it? Boeing favoritism shows no bounds.
Stich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.
It's difficult to fathom all the hysteria about Starliner not docking with ISS. To be clear there is literally no reason for it to dock with anything because (1) the mission objective was to shakedown the spacecraft (2) the only reason ISS was identified as a destination is because it is available. It was someplace to go other than empty space. There was literally no need for a shakedown flight to go to the ISS for this mission at all. None whatsoever. It accomplishes nothing. It could just as easily been accomplished with absolutely no ISS visit on the schedule at all. The purpose of this mission was not to dock with the ISS. It was to check out the spacecraft in space and validate its onboard systems for autonomous operation in space. It shouldn't be necessary to remind everyone that with the sole exception of Crew Dragon's first flight last March no human spacecraft (Vostok, Mercury, Gemini, Voskhod, Soyuz, Apollo, Shuttle and Bruan) have EVER docked with anything on their maiden shakedown flight. None of them. A shakedown flight is just that; a flight. You go up, fly around and put the spacecraft thru its paces and come home. End of mission. ISS just affords the opportunity for the astronauts to get out of their seats and move around a little more comfortably for a while. But there were no astronauts on this flight to think about. There is no reason for a first shakedown flight of any spacecraft to go anywhere other than empty space in LEO. Provided that spacecraft systems check out on this shakedown flight, EDL occurs nominally and the root cause of the out of sync mission clock is identified and addressed, there is absolutely no reason whatsoever why crew cannot fly on the next Atlas/Starliner mission.
Quote from: OM72 on 12/20/2019 04:42 pmQuote from: mlindner on 12/20/2019 04:37 pmQuote from: Michael Baylor on 12/20/2019 02:03 pmStich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.I can't believe I just read that. Are they seriously thinking they're going to send the thing to dock without having ever tested it? Boeing favoritism shows no bounds.Stich would have said the exact same thing if this was Dragon, because it is true. And, again, it has been tested. Please do not go making things up just to stir the proverbial pot. No he wouldn't have. Dragon would not have been allowed to dock with crew on board without ever having tested it's docking and rendezvous software. I think people on this forum know this well.Please don't try to dismiss my post as "stirring the pot" when there's legitimate safety issues here.
(Non-aerospace) IT guy here, trying to improve my understanding of the issue. Explanations I have read basically say "vehicle thought it was in OI burn, was not, so consumed excess attitude control fuel trying to maintain attitude consistent with OI". This is all attributed to MET problem.BUT if the MET was the sole failure, why did one part of the system (attitude control) behave as if in OI burn, but another part of the system behave as if not - in other words, why did the orbital maneuvering engines not fire?Not trying to prove some great insight here, just feel like there is something I don't understand. If the MET controls the timing of everything systemwide, it would seem the OI burn AND attitude system behavior should have BOTH occurred, if just at the wrong time.
If the next flight is crewed, it will have to prove the ISS proximity maneuvers (hold, retreat, dock, ...) with people inside the spacecraft. NASA will have to decide if the risk to the crew is acceptable.
Quote from: mlindner on 12/20/2019 04:37 pmQuote from: Michael Baylor on 12/20/2019 02:03 pmStich: No hard requirement on an ISS docking before crewed flight. More of a good to have.I can't believe I just read that. Are they seriously thinking they're going to send the thing to dock without having ever tested it? Boeing favoritism shows no bounds.Not really. ISS docking was not a hard requirement for SpaceX's DM-1 either.
Quote from: ZachF on 12/20/2019 04:52 pmQuote from: edkyle99 on 12/20/2019 02:32 pmThis one is hard to categorize. The boost phase of this launch (the Atlas 5 part) was successful, but CST-100 failed to do its insertion burn at the expected time. The burn was subsequently commanded manually from the ground after a delay, but it was really a burn to a contingency orbit, not the originally planned orbit. So, is this a "launch failure" for the Atlas 5/CST-100 combo? Or, is this a successful launch with subsequent on-orbit spacecraft issues? - Ed KyleUnless some new information arises I'd say the latter. Atlas V delivered the payload where it was supposed to go.Atlas 5 was on the mark. How close was the achieved Starliner post-OIB orbit to the plan? It seems close on apogee/perigee, but by then ground control was aiming for a different mission plan regardless. Isn't the real issue that prevented ISS docking excessive RCS propellant burn (not OMAC burn) due to the MET mis-clock? Should I even count this as an orbital launch for Atlas 5, since Atlas 5 was suborbital? Isn't it really a 3.5 stage Atlas 5/Starliner launch system? Am I asking a lot of questions? - Ed Kyle
Maybe I'm naive, but shouldn't they be required to do an uncrewed docking test since the OFT will not be able to accomplish this? That way the would be able to reduce the risk to the astronauts docking with an untried docking procedure. It seems, to this lay person, Go Fever at its worse. We failed to do the docking test but everything will go OK next time. That seems dangerous to me looking in from the outside. None of the knowledge gained from the orbital test will make up for an actual docking.
... It shouldn't be necessary to remind everyone that with the sole exception of Crew Dragon's first flight last March no human spacecraft (Vostok, Mercury, Gemini, Voskhod, Soyuz, Apollo, Shuttle and Buran) have EVER docked with anything on their maiden shakedown flight. None of them. ...
BUT if the MET was the sole failure, why did one part of the system (attitude control) behave as if in OI burn, but another part of the system behave as if not
Quote from: clongton on 12/20/2019 05:28 pm... It shouldn't be necessary to remind everyone that with the sole exception of Crew Dragon's first flight last March no human spacecraft (Vostok, Mercury, Gemini, Voskhod, Soyuz, Apollo, Shuttle and Buran) have EVER docked with anything on their maiden shakedown flight. None of them. ...ATV did it