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Thought experiment: SpaceX and reusable rocketry are Chinese assets

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AncientU:
Thought Experiment:

Assume that SpaceX and the development of reusable rocketry (progress to date and plans for future as now exist) were Chinese efforts, conducted in China, and fully funded/supported by the Chinese government.  Additionally, assume that a Chinese-style publicity/propaganda campaign and technical data release (i.e., minimal) controlled the flow of information concerning the technology. 

Assume that all other US/European/Russian/Indian space assets/capabilities are as existing, except that SpaceX is moved over to China.  Note: Don't go down the path of denying that this technology could have developed in China for whatever reason; please go with the thought experiment as proposed.

Assume that Chinese plans for space 'domination' were as stated.


How would the West/World respond politically, technically, etc.?

What would be the National Space Council's agenda and action plan?

What would be NASA's role in this response?


Mods: This is primarily a political question IMO, but if a different thread is more appropriate, feel free to move.

Mark K:

--- Quote from: AncientU on 09/05/2017 01:05 PM ---Thought Experiment:

Assume that SpaceX and the development of reusable rocketry (progress to date and plans for future as now exist) were Chinese efforts, conducted in China, and fully funded/supported by the Chinese government.  Additionally, assume that a Chinese-style publicity/propaganda campaign and technical data release (i.e., minimal) controlled the flow of information concerning the technology. 

Assume that all other US/European/Russian/Indian space assets/capabilities are as existing, except that SpaceX is moved over to China.  Note: Don't go down the path of denying that this technology could have developed in China for whatever reason; please go with the thought experiment as proposed.

Assume that Chinese plans for space 'domination' were as stated.


How would the West/World respond politically, technically, etc.?

What would be the National Space Council's agenda and action plan?

What would be NASA's role in this response?


Mods: This is primarily a political question IMO, but if a different thread is more appropriate, feel free to move.

--- End quote ---

The title is misleading. you seem to be  asking what the US policy would be if SpaceX was the Chinese Space Agency.

So much else would have had to change in China to have an organization like SpaceX be there that I don't think you can really say - You can't say all else would be the same since there would be no way the issue would happen if all else was the same.

But lets assume some favored child of some military leader came up with the idea and the tech was pushed.
I think there would still be a bigger window for others to duplicate the technology.  If the tech was not used as a stepping stone to new space ventures then even if the US did nothing but invest in new expendables, what is the big deal? We are talking a $10 Billion/year industry. Even if the US over payed, it would still be peanuts.

The key for SpaceX and Blue Origin to really change the landscape is if they are enablers for new things. So re-usable cheaper rockets are nice, but it is the same old question for the Chinese as it is here. Will it lead to big changes in how people use space? It isn't the rockets in the end it is the Satellite Constellations, bases, resource use and products that would be enabled by the rockets. Would that happen with the Chinese government having a reusable rocket?

AncientU:

--- Quote from: Mark K on 09/05/2017 02:52 PM ---...
The title is misleading. you seem to be  asking what the US policy would be if SpaceX was the Chinese Space Agency.

...

--- End quote ---

Yes, I'm asking what would be the US and other national policies if China had been the one to develop SpaceX-like reusable technology and development plans (e.g., FH coming together for a fall/spring launch, Raptor on the test stand, ITSy being announced in Adelaide this month, etc.) -- via a SpaceX-like company being a Chinese private or public entity -- instead of having the technology developed here in the US.  All other National space assets are as currently exist, less SpaceX not existing in USA but established in China.

Since this is a thought experiment, it is fair game to discuss what already accomplished policies/activities would have been stimulated by early promises/progress by the Chinese-SpaceX.

Kansan52:
No change.

Proponent:
This is not exactly the scenario envisioned in the OP, but a Chinese company is talking about a SpaceX-like approach.

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