Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5 (Read 1104368 times)

gongora · « **Reply #80 on:** 10/04/2017 04:17 pm »

Quote from: First Mate Rummey on 10/04/2017 04:09 pm

You may want to add 2 cargo BFR in 2022 and 2 cargo + 2 crewed BFR in 2024... just to adhere to recent plan.

No. I'll add more BFR flights in a few years if they appear to be sticking with that schedule.

vaporcobra · « **Reply #81 on:** 10/05/2017 05:05 am »

Seems unlikely, but a cubesat copassenger on CRS-14 (Overview 1A and 1B) suggested a launch date of 1/26/18.
https://www.instagram.com/p/BZHVuAYnKHu/

Olaf · « **Reply #82 on:** 10/05/2017 05:55 am »

Quote from: vaporcobra on 10/05/2017 05:05 am

Seems unlikely, but a cubesat copassenger on CRS-14 (Overview 1A and 1B) suggested a launch date of 1/26/18.
https://www.instagram.com/p/BZHVuAYnKHu/

That seems to be an old date, the newest one is 2/9/18.

Welsh Dragon · « **Reply #83 on:** 10/05/2017 07:46 am »

I'm assuming you mean February, not September? People need to make their dates unambiguous.

SmallKing · « **Reply #84 on:** 10/05/2017 08:30 am »

Quote from: Welsh Dragon on 10/05/2017 07:46 am

I'm assuming you mean February, not September? People need to make their dates unambiguous.

February

SmallKing · « **Reply #85 on:** 10/05/2017 08:33 am »

Small update from SFN schedule, Bangabandhu 1 delayed to Feb 2018

gongora · « **Reply #86 on:** 10/05/2017 03:22 pm »

DM-1 April 2018, DM-2 Aug 2018 (Boeing-1 Aug 2018, Boeing-2 Nov 2018)

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #87 on:** 10/09/2017 06:26 pm »

Quote from: FutureSpaceTourist on 10/09/2017 06:24 pm

Quote
Owner #hisdesat Spain: @SpaceX sets Jan 30 VAFB launch of 1400-kg @AirbusDefence-built Paz high-res SAR Earth obs sat to 514-km polar orbit.

https://twitter.com/pbdes/status/917451649177739264

rockets4life97 · « **Reply #88 on:** 10/12/2017 01:17 pm »

Quote from: SpaceFlightNow

SES is considering launching its next satellite — SES 16 developed in partnership with the government of Luxembourg — with a reused Falcon 9 booster in January.

Article Link

SES 16 slips to January and on a re-used booster (as I think can be expected for most SES flights from here on out).

abaddon · « **Reply #89 on:** 10/12/2017 01:29 pm »

Starting to feel like SpaceX is clearing the calendar for December launch prep (and hopefully, launch) of Falcon Heavy.

Cinder · « **Reply #90 on:** 10/12/2017 10:52 pm »

Quote from: vaporcobra on 10/12/2017 07:38 am

-confirmed that Boca is explicitly for BFR

wannamoonbase · « **Reply #91 on:** 10/12/2017 10:57 pm »

Quote from: abaddon on 10/12/2017 01:29 pm

Starting to feel like SpaceX is clearing the calendar for December launch prep (and hopefully, launch) of Falcon Heavy.

If you're referring to the SES launch moving to January and on a reused booster, that may also be dealing with booster production limitations.

Maybe someone is trying to slip in a launch of Starlink test sats or Google X Prize rovers.

Comga · « **Reply #92 on:** 10/12/2017 11:51 pm »

Quote from: wannamoonbase on 10/12/2017 10:57 pm

Quote from: abaddon on 10/12/2017 01:29 pm
Starting to feel like SpaceX is clearing the calendar for December launch prep (and hopefully, launch) of Falcon Heavy.

If you're referring to the SES launch moving to January and on a reused booster, that may also be dealing with booster production limitations.

Maybe someone is trying to slip in a launch of Starlink test sats or Google X Prize rovers.

This is Off Topic for this thread, people.
We are discussing what is going to be launched when, not "why". There are plenty of threads in which to discuss that.
As for the manifest, we have no info suggesting launches not on our list being inserted.

saliva_sweet · « **Reply #93 on:** 10/14/2017 11:40 am »

Quote from: Comga on 10/12/2017 11:51 pm

As for the manifest, we have no info suggesting launches not on our list being inserted.

There are approved FCC licences for an RTLS launch 1390 from 39A on November 10th.

1446-EX-ST-2017:
https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?mode=current&application_seq=80568&RequestTimeout=1000

1318-EX-ST-2017:
https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?mode=current&application_seq=80217&RequestTimeout=1000

M.E.T. · « **Reply #94 on:** 10/14/2017 11:53 am »

Quote from: Comga on 10/12/2017 11:51 pm

Quote from: wannamoonbase on 10/12/2017 10:57 pm
Quote from: abaddon on 10/12/2017 01:29 pm
Starting to feel like SpaceX is clearing the calendar for December launch prep (and hopefully, launch) of Falcon Heavy.

If you're referring to the SES launch moving to January and on a reused booster, that may also be dealing with booster production limitations.

Maybe someone is trying to slip in a launch of Starlink test sats or Google X Prize rovers.

This is Off Topic for this thread, people.
We are discussing what is going to be launched when, not "why". There are plenty of threads in which to discuss that.
As for the manifest, we have no info suggesting launches not on our list being inserted.

I might have misread, but the report on Tom Ochinero's comments quoted him as stating there are 5 more launches planned for this year in addition to the Falcon Heavy Demo launch. If so, that would suggest a missing launch on our current predicted manifest for 2017.

saliva_sweet · « **Reply #95 on:** 10/14/2017 11:58 am »

Quote from: M.E.T. on 10/14/2017 11:53 am

I might have misread, but the report on Tom Ochinero's comments quoted him as stating there are 5 more launches planned for this year in addition to the Falcon Heavy Demo launch. If so, that would suggest a missing launch on our current predicted manifest for 2017.

IIRC he said that a couple of hours before SES-11 launch, so it's unclear whether he counted that one.

M.E.T. · « **Reply #96 on:** 10/14/2017 12:00 pm »

Quote from: saliva_sweet on 10/14/2017 11:58 am

Quote from: M.E.T. on 10/14/2017 11:53 am
I might have misread, but the report on Tom Ochinero's comments quoted him as stating there are 5 more launches planned for this year in addition to the Falcon Heavy Demo launch. If so, that would suggest a missing launch on our current predicted manifest for 2017.

IIRC he said that a couple of hours before SES-11 launch, so it's unclear whether he counted that one.

Ah. That would explain it.

ChrisGebhardt · « **Reply #97 on:** 10/14/2017 12:58 pm »

Quote from: saliva_sweet on 10/14/2017 11:40 am

Quote from: Comga on 10/12/2017 11:51 pm
As for the manifest, we have no info suggesting launches not on our list being inserted.

There are approved FCC licences for an RTLS launch 1390 from 39A on November 10th.

1446-EX-ST-2017:
https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?mode=current&application_seq=80568&RequestTimeout=1000

1318-EX-ST-2017:
https://apps.fcc.gov/oetcf/els/reports/STA_Print.cfm?mode=current&application_seq=80217&RequestTimeout=1000

So this would be which known satellite? Hispasat is way too heavy and GTO, so that can't be RTLS. So it seems there is indeed an unknown payload out there.

Also...

Coming 12 days after Koreasat, this pushes 39A back again for Falcon Heavy.

Whatever is indeed ahead of CRS-13, that will make 30 Oct - 28 Nov a busy time period with 3 Falcon 9s from Kennedy/Cape in 30 days.

(EDITED: Hit post too quick before completing my thought that Hispasat is too heavy for RTLS.)

rockets4life97 · « **Reply #98 on:** 10/14/2017 01:02 pm »

Hispasat is too heavy to RTLS. It will probably be an expendable flight. So, this FCC application points to another payload.

gongora · « **Reply #99 on:** 10/14/2017 01:44 pm »

FCC APPLICATIONS ARE NET DATES, NOT LAUNCH DATES.

edit: The start date on the application we think is for Hispasat 30W-6 is June 30.