Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5 (Read 1037076 times)

smoliarm · « **Reply #700 on:** 04/26/2020 06:49 pm »

Updated FPIP
(seeking suggestions, corrections)

Hug · « **Reply #701 on:** 04/30/2020 11:48 am »

GAO indicated in the recent Major Project report that Falcon Heavy will launch the Power and Propulsion Element.
https://www.gao.gov/assets/710/706505.pdf

Elthiryel · « **Reply #702 on:** 05/13/2020 02:09 pm »

There's no dedicated thread for Starlink-9 (V1.0 L8) mission yet, so posting here.

https://www.planet.com/pulse/skysats-16-21-to-launch-on-spacex-falcon-9-starlink-missions/

Quote

SkySats 16-18 will launch on SpaceX’s ninth Starlink mission, targeted for launch in the next month, and SkySats 19-21 will launch later this summer. Both missions will launch from Cape Canaveral Air Force Base in Florida.

PM3 · « **Reply #703 on:** 05/18/2020 08:46 am »

Now there are sources that claim a SpaceX rideshare in December 2020

- from VAFB
- from KSC
- from CCAFS

Either one of these is wrong, or there will be a third rideshare mission in December.

gongora · « **Reply #704 on:** 05/18/2020 11:59 am »

Quote from: PM3 on 05/18/2020 08:46 am

Now there are sources that claim a SpaceX rideshare in December 2020

- from VAFB
- from KSC
- from CCAFS

Either one of these is wrong, or there will be a third rideshare mission in December.

I expect one rideshare NET December from Florida based on the latest statements, but we'll see. (I removed the launch location from this manifest and the mission thread for now.)

Edit: If you look at your "VAFB" link it says it could launch from Florida.

gongora · « **Reply #705 on:** 05/18/2020 03:44 pm »

Quote from: ZachS09 on 05/18/2020 01:13 pm

Will this further prove that ALL polar orbits will be launched from Cape Canaveral?

I'm not sure what you mean by "further prove", since I haven't seen any proof of that being the case.

Comga · « **Reply #706 on:** 05/19/2020 12:37 am »

Quote from: gongora on 05/18/2020 03:44 pm

Quote from: ZachS09 on 05/18/2020 01:13 pm
Will this further prove that ALL polar orbits will be launched from Cape Canaveral?

I'm not sure what you mean by "further prove", since I haven't seen any proof of that being the case.

Exactly
It's like the unsupported statement that all future US launches will be in fully reusable, stainless steel, mega-rockets
(but only if Musk makes an even greater advance than developing partly reusable rockets and Starship works out to be as cost efficient as he hopes.)

Let's not get ahead of ourselves.
IF the SAOCOM-1B launch works well, then they MIGHT switch many polar launches to Florida.

Phillipsturtles · « **Reply #707 on:** 06/02/2020 03:34 am »

I just found it interesting that we've made it to June without SpaceX launching something for a commercial customer and something passed LEO. Everything so far has been for NASA or Starlink. Big change compared to previous years!

Jakusb · « **Reply #708 on:** 06/02/2020 08:44 am »

https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/weltall/spacex-chefingenieur-zum-stat-des-crew-dragon-wilde-party-kommt-noch-a-998ff592-1071-44d5-9972-ff2b73ec8fb6

From an article in Spiegel:
SPIEGEL: Die erste Raketenstufe ist kurz nach dem Start auf einem ferngesteuerten Schiff gelandet. Was passiert jetzt mit ihr?

Königsmann: Sie wird inspiziert und startet dann wieder, nach aktueller Planung mit einem internationalen Satelliten.

So 1058-2 will be launching an international satellite...

Not too surprising, but maybe anyone here can figure out which one that will/must be?

gongora · « **Reply #709 on:** 06/02/2020 01:32 pm »

Quote from: Jakusb on 06/02/2020 08:44 am

https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/weltall/spacex-chefingenieur-zum-stat-des-crew-dragon-wilde-party-kommt-noch-a-998ff592-1071-44d5-9972-ff2b73ec8fb6

From an article in Spiegel:
SPIEGEL: Die erste Raketenstufe ist kurz nach dem Start auf einem ferngesteuerten Schiff gelandet. Was passiert jetzt mit ihr?

Königsmann: Sie wird inspiziert und startet dann wieder, nach aktueller Planung mit einem internationalen Satelliten.

So 1058-2 will be launching an international satellite...

Not too surprising, but maybe anyone here can figure out which one that will/must be?

The timing would be good for the Korean satellite, ANASIS II.
edit: suppose it could also be SAOCOM-1B

scr00chy · « **Reply #710 on:** 06/02/2020 01:40 pm »

Quote from: gongora on 06/02/2020 01:32 pm

Quote from: Jakusb on 06/02/2020 08:44 am
https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/weltall/spacex-chefingenieur-zum-stat-des-crew-dragon-wilde-party-kommt-noch-a-998ff592-1071-44d5-9972-ff2b73ec8fb6

From an article in Spiegel:
SPIEGEL: Die erste Raketenstufe ist kurz nach dem Start auf einem ferngesteuerten Schiff gelandet. Was passiert jetzt mit ihr?

Königsmann: Sie wird inspiziert und startet dann wieder, nach aktueller Planung mit einem internationalen Satelliten.

So 1058-2 will be launching an international satellite...

Not too surprising, but maybe anyone here can figure out which one that will/must be?

The timing would be good for the Korean satellite, ANASIS II.

Also Turksat 5A, potentially.

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #711 on:** 06/04/2020 07:52 am »

Ben Cooper is saying two more Starlink launches before GPS-III

Quote

The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral will launch the ninth batch of Starlink internet satellites from pad 40 on mid June TBA, likely around 9-10pm EDT. Then, a Falcon 9 from pad 39A will launch the tenth Starlink batch on June TBA. And a Falcon 9 is slated to launch the next GPS III satellite for the U.S. Air Force from pad 40 on June 30 at 3:55pm EDT. The launch window stretches 15 minutes to 4:10pm EDT.

http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html

ZachF · « **Reply #712 on:** 06/05/2020 01:27 am »

Haven't checked this in a few months... wow 2021 looks busy!

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #713 on:** 06/05/2020 08:28 pm »

https://twitter.com/nextspaceflight/status/1268997874559225856

Quote

SpaceX is targeting June 24 for the tenth Starlink mission, per SpaceNews.

As I noted yesterday, the ninth Starlink mission is scheduled for June 12/13. SpaceX also has a GPS launch scheduled scheduled for June 30.

Orbiter · « **Reply #714 on:** 06/05/2020 08:36 pm »

Sounds like Starlink-10 will be an LC-39A launch then.

Elthiryel · « **Reply #715 on:** 06/05/2020 08:43 pm »

Ben Cooper has it assigned to LC-39A on his website for several days now, but yeah, it seems to be a confirmation.

cppetrie · « **Reply #716 on:** 06/05/2020 08:47 pm »

Assuming no weather or other delays that’ll be 5 launches in a span of 31 days. Wow!

CJ · « **Reply #717 on:** 06/06/2020 01:37 am »

Quote from: cppetrie on 06/05/2020 08:47 pm

Assuming no weather or other delays that’ll be 5 launches in a span of 31 days. Wow!

I'm so old I can remember when people were calling the notion of SpaceX achieving a launch cadence of once a month, preposterous.

Seriously though, I only just noticed today that the next month or so look to be so incredibly busy. Astounding.

I suspect, though, that June will continue to behave like June, weatherwise, which will likely cause a few slips.

smoliarm · « **Reply #718 on:** 06/10/2020 07:18 am »

Updated FPIP
- just to celebrate the situation where we know launch dates for the next 3 (THREE) launches in a row.
- also it is an attempt to squeeze 8 starlink launches into 4 months

Jakusb · « **Reply #719 on:** 06/10/2020 07:33 am »

Quote from: smoliarm on 06/10/2020 07:18 am

Updated FPIP
- just to celebrate the situation where we know launch dates for the next 3 (THREE) launches in a row.
- also it is an attempt to squeeze 8 starlink launches into 4 months

Thanks!
It makes it even more visible what I have been saying for a while in L2, but I can say here as well as it can be derived publicly:
There are no cores available for so many launches in July/August.
The only way I can see this happening is reactivating and conversion of FH side cores 1052 and 1053.
Or a very bold move into super rapid turnaround in the range of weeks instead of months (as it is right now: >68 days)
Interesting times.