Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5  (Read 1037088 times)

Offline scr00chy

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #680 on: 02/23/2020 06:42 pm »
The contract value mysteriously increased by $90M at some point early on, and currently it shows $193M of $387M being obligated.
Interesting. Got any links?

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #681 on: 02/23/2020 06:52 pm »
I was looking in FPDS.gov, you need to create an account to use it.  Search on the contract number with the dashes removed.  There's no explanation of the increase.  The end date for the contract was also later changed from 2020 to 2021.  I don't really understand what's going on there, contract mods for that amount should have appeared in one of the daily DoD contract announcements.

Offline GWR64

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #682 on: 02/23/2020 06:54 pm »
Quote
2020-late (NET)   F9   .   .   USAF GPS III-5   MEO   4400   C
...
2021   F9   .   .   USAF GPS III-6   MEO   4400   C

These two starts are not in the SpaceX launch manifest.
Are these just options?

https://www.spacex.com/missions

Tried to search the forum. The search is annoying.

It's hard to tell what's actually been exercised.  The contract value mysteriously increased by $90M at some point early on, and currently it shows $193M of $387M being obligated.  The GPS III-5 launch is supposed to be late this year and they haven't awarded it to anyone else.  I'm assuming both of those options are being exercised just based on their subsequent behavior.

Perhaps the original contract included the construction of 3 Falcon 9, but only one launch.
(just guessed)

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #683 on: 02/25/2020 03:33 pm »
[Space News, Feb. 22, 2020] U.S. military’s annual list of ‘unfunded priorities’ includes $1 billion for Space Force
Quote
One of the largest single items is $255 million to launch two GPS 3 satellites that already are in production at Lockheed Martin’s assembly line but whose launches have not been funded. The Space Force would use this money to launch the sixth and seventh satellites of the GPS 3 constellation. Two spacecraft are already on orbit and three more are expected to launch in 2020 and early 2021.

They can't exercise the option on III-6 until they get the funding.

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #684 on: 02/27/2020 03:10 pm »
Wow, SpaceX predicting quite an increase in FH launches (in the latest FAA submission).

Ok, I got they’ll go in with a big number to ensure they’re covered, but still implies quite an increase. Also suggest at least one additional FH launch this year?
« Last Edit: 02/27/2020 03:11 pm by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline rockets4life97

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #685 on: 02/27/2020 03:39 pm »
Unless FH is a stand-in for Starship.

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #686 on: 02/27/2020 04:22 pm »
The numbers in the EA have very little to do with the actual manifest.

Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #687 on: 02/27/2020 04:56 pm »
Quote
The numbers in the EA have very little to do with the actual manifest.

Exactly. These numbers are higher than the number of actual launches that will happen. It doesn't mean there will be more FH launches than AFSPC-44 this year.

Offline PM3

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #688 on: 03/02/2020 05:37 pm »
Precise launch time of CRS-20 is 11:49:29 pm EST on 6th / 04:49:29 UTC on 7th.

Starlink 5 slips to March 14, 9:35 am EDT / 13:35 UTC.

http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html
https://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/
« Last Edit: 03/02/2020 05:42 pm by PM3 »
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Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #689 on: 03/05/2020 06:12 pm »
https://twitter.com/axiom_space/status/1235642485545656321

Quote
Building the International Space Station’s successor.

Booking a Crew Dragon mission with @SpaceX for our first flight – the first fully private flight to ISS in history.

This is the commercialization of Low Earth Orbit.

axiomspace.com/post/axiom-spa…

Offline PM3

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #690 on: 03/17/2020 12:02 pm »
Intelsat Selects SpaceX to Launch Intelsat 40e Satellite

"The launch is planned for 2022 on SpaceX’s American-built Falcon 9 launch vehicle."

https://investors.intelsat.com/news-releases/news-release-details/intelsat-selects-spacex-launch-intelsat-40e-satellite
« Last Edit: 03/17/2020 12:02 pm by PM3 »
"Never, never be afraid of the truth." -- Jim Bridenstine

Online Comga

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #691 on: 03/18/2020 09:16 pm »
March 18, 2020
MEDIA ADVISORY M20-041
NASA, SpaceX Invite Media to First Crew Launch to Station from America Since 2011
 
Media accreditation is open for NASA’s SpaceX Demo-2 flight test, which will send two astronauts to the International Space Station as part of the agency’s Commercial Crew Program. This mission will be the return of human spaceflight launch capabilities to the United States and the first launch of American astronauts aboard an American rocket and spacecraft since the final space shuttle mission on July 8, 2011.

NASA and SpaceX are currently targeting no earlier than mid-to-late May or launch.

oops on the previous post  Thanks LZ-1
So no new information.
« Last Edit: 03/18/2020 09:21 pm by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #692 on: 03/22/2020 01:50 am »
Hypothetical:
If the next sixty Starlink satellites will soon be ready for launch;

And given current travel restrictions, including international travel for any CONAE launch campaign members;

Then might it be easier for SpaceX to perform another Starlink launch next, instead of SAOCOM-1B?
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Offline GWR64

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #693 on: 03/27/2020 09:28 pm »
https://twitter.com/JimBridenstine/status/1243604344748101634

https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-artemis-contract-for-gateway-logistics-services

Quote
Illustration of the SpaceX Dragon XL as it is deployed from the Falcon Heavy's second stage in high Earth orbit on its way to the Gateway in lunar orbit.

NASA has selected SpaceX of Hawthorne, California, as the first U.S. commercial provider under the Gateway Logistics Services contract to deliver cargo, experiments and other supplies to the agency’s Gateway in lunar orbit. The award is a significant step forward for NASA’s Artemis program that will land the first woman and next man on the Moon by 2024 and build a sustainable human lunar presence.

« Last Edit: 03/27/2020 09:31 pm by GWR64 »

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #694 on: 04/03/2020 06:46 pm »
DM-2 looking like 2 - 3 months duration with Crew-1 only 1 month after it finishes:

Quote
How NASA and SpaceX plan to launch astronauts in May despite a pandemic
PUBLISHED FRI, APR 3 20202:30 PM EDT
Michael Sheetz
@THESHEETZTWEETZ

KEY POINTS

NASA and SpaceX are moving forward with Demo-2, with the company planning to launch astronauts in late May despite the coronavirus crisis sweeping the nation.

“We need access to the International Space Station from the United States of America ... it’s essential for our country to have that capability,” NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine told CNBC.

Bridenstine said that the agency is “making sure that we’re practicing all of our social distancing measures,” with employees using personal protective equipment and working in rotating shifts.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/03/nasa-spacex-to-launch-astronauts-in-may-despite-coronavirus-pandemic.html

From interview with Jim Bridenstine:

Quote
He said that NASA and SpaceX feel “pretty confident” that it will launch without a major delay, as “we’re working through the coronavirus pandemic.” He admitted that the rapidly evolving crisis means “we don’t know what the outcome is going to be” but said that “but if it gets delayed a little bit, we’re going to be OK with that.”

Edit to add:

Quote
“Depending on when we launch they’re going to be up there for probably two to three months,” Bridenstine said.

Bridenstine explained that the plan is to bring Behnken and Hurley back a month before Crew-1

Offline PM3

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #695 on: 04/22/2020 09:06 pm »
GRC today moved USCV-1 to September and CRS-22 to March.

https://www1.grc.nasa.gov/space/iss-research/microgravity-research-flights/
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Offline abaddon

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #696 on: 04/22/2020 09:48 pm »
NASA has talked about wanting a month between DM-2 splashdown and USCV-1 for final analysis and certification, so that would put DM-2 duration right around two months if it launches on time.

Offline Jakusb

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #697 on: 04/25/2020 03:31 pm »
Valentine's day update.

Time for an update?
#prettyplease

Online smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #698 on: 04/25/2020 10:08 pm »
Valentine's day update.

Time for an update?
#prettyplease
Well, I'd love to - but the schedule is so unclear.
It would be either graph with guessing only or almost empty graph...

Offline Jakusb

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #699 on: 04/26/2020 09:53 am »
Valentine's day update.

Time for an update?
#prettyplease
Well, I'd love to - but the schedule is so unclear.
It would be either graph with guessing only or almost empty graph...

I understand. Maybe just shift everything to right a bit, push SAOCOM1B further to right, or in greenish box in top
There is some newer NET data for some launches, so work with that and guess the rest.
Starlinks seem to continue to launch steadily.
Put CCtCap Crew-1 on there (sept-ish)
GPS III end of june and likely to be marked essential.
DM-2 pretty solid date
and at least the update since feb 14.. ;)

Many thanks in advance! :)

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