Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5 (Read 1037085 times)

smoliarm · « **Reply #520 on:** 01/23/2019 07:16 pm »

Updated FPIP:
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43418.msg1704237#msg1704237

gongora · « **Reply #521 on:** 02/06/2019 04:18 pm »

https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/2019/02/06/nasa-partners-update-commercial-crew-launch-dates/

Test Flight Planning Dates:
SpaceX Demo-1 (uncrewed): March 2, 2019
SpaceX In-Flight Abort Test: June 2019
SpaceX Demo-2 (crewed): July 2019

Those are all NET dates.

I removed the companion satellites from the SAOCOM 1B listing, it seems those programs have all been canceled or delayed.

Chris Bergin · « **Reply #522 on:** 02/06/2019 05:37 pm »

ARTICLE: As Falcon Heavy celebrates anniversary, SpaceX manifest aligns -

https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2019/02/falcon-heavy-anniversary-spacex-manifest-aligns/

- By Michael Baylor

https://twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1093216459931701248

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #523 on:** 02/06/2019 10:39 pm »

https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1093292525740310528

Quote

Jonathan Hofeller of SpaceX on a #smallsat2019 launch panel: this year we’re going to try and break last year’s record of 21 launches.

Either unannounced customers or some Starlink launches?

Joffan · « **Reply #524 on:** 02/07/2019 08:29 pm »

Quote from: FutureSpaceTourist on 02/06/2019 10:39 pm

Quote
Jonathan Hofeller of SpaceX on a #smallsat2019 launch panel: this year we’re going to try and break last year’s record of 21 launches.

Either unannounced customers or some Starlink launches?

I'd bet on the latter. The underlying shift in mood there though is that they are only "going to try" to break the record. It's a possibility, not a given, in their eyes. And while launch cadence is no doubt important to SpaceX, I would guess that the calendar-year launch record isn't a big deal. Also pretty soon they might want to talk about orbited tonnage (maybe LEO-equivalent tons?) rather than launch count, to account for Spaceship capabilities.

PM3 · « **Reply #525 on:** 02/11/2019 09:27 pm »

Quote from: gongora on 12/23/2018 02:52 pm

TBD (2020-2024) F9 . . Commercial Crew (5 flights) LEO . C-39A .
TBD (2021-2024) F9 . . CRS-2 (4+ flights) LEO . C .

Any ideas why all of the six awarded CRS-2 cargo flights are listed at https://www.spacex.com/missions, but only two of the six crew flights? That manifest is not always complete, but still ... four missing flights is a lot.

gongora · « **Reply #526 on:** 02/11/2019 09:42 pm »

Work towards the third Crew Mission was only officially started recently, even though NASA sorta ordered flights 3-6 earlier. (The GPS flights are probably in a similar situation, the Air Force has options for GPS III-5 and III-6 launches that may not have been officially ordered yet.)

Just a note in case someone hasn't noticed why I have 5 & 4 for those at the end of the manifest instead of 6 & 6. I've already put one of the crew flights and two of the cargo flights as individual line items earlier in the manifest.

PM3 · « **Reply #527 on:** 02/12/2019 01:11 pm »

Ovzon 3 and the two WorldView Legion flights are also missing on the SpaceX website. All the rest is complete, assuming that they listed one SARah mission with Airbus and one with OHB.

gongora · « **Reply #528 on:** 02/19/2019 09:46 pm »

Quote from: gongora on 02/19/2019 09:27 pm

SpaceX:
NROL-85 (LEO 63 Degree, by Dec 2021)
NROL-87 (SSO, by Dec 2021)
AFSPC-44 (Inclined GEO, by Feb 2021)

So that's 2 Falcon 9's from Vandenberg and a Falcon Heavy from KSC?

ULA:
SILENTBARKER (NROL-107) (GEO, March 2022)
SBIRS GEO-5 (GTO, March 2021)

PM3 · « **Reply #529 on:** 02/19/2019 10:30 pm »

Quote from: gongora on 02/19/2019 09:46 pm

So that's 2 Falcon 9's from Vandenberg and a Falcon Heavy from KSC?

https://www.vandenberg.af.mil/News/Article-Display/Article/1429950/final-request-for-proposal-released-for-air-force-launch-services-contract/

Quote

AFSPC-44 are planned to be launched from ~~Cape Canaveral Air Force Station or~~ Kennedy Space Center
NROL-85 can be launched from the Eastern or Western Range
NROL-87 is planned to be launched from Vandenberg

scr00chy · « **Reply #530 on:** 02/19/2019 10:43 pm »

SpaceNews says:

Quote

NROL-85 will launch in fiscal year 2021 from the Eastern Range.

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #531 on:** 02/20/2019 06:32 am »

Gwynne mentions FH in her statement but not entirely clear if that means one of the new launches is FH:

https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1098045020119199744

Quote

Statement from @SpaceX President and COO Gwynne Shotwell on the Air Force's $297 million award:

https://twitter.com/thesheetztweetz/status/1097992353711833088

Quote

Worth noting that the AF says all the awards were "the result of a competitive acquisition and two offers were received."

Comga · « **Reply #532 on:** 02/22/2019 01:36 am »

Quote from: RocketLover0119 on 02/22/2019 01:17 am

From Musk, sparks was the heat shield base burning, next flight of SAME booster set for April, B1048.4 now!

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1098767597858779136

~~Would that flight be CRS-17?~~
Musk is usually careful about “getting out in front of” NASA, announcing their decisions before they do.

edit/gongora:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1098768310844313601

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1098772931050532865

smoliarm · « **Reply #533 on:** 03/01/2019 06:29 am »

Updated FPIP.

Chris Bergin · « **Reply #534 on:** 03/06/2019 09:12 pm »

https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2019/03/falcon-heavy-starlink-headline-spacexs-manifest/ - By Michael Baylor.

https://twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1103417617564479491

Stefan.Christoff.19 · « **Reply #535 on:** 03/07/2019 02:46 pm »

Question/Suggestion for Starlink flight numbers in the manifest.
Since we don't know the total number of flights, should we mark the flights with the number of Satellites on it? So the first flight will be Starlink 1-X, the second will be Starlink X(+1)-Y and so on. We marked Iridium only by the flight numbers, but we knew how many in total they will have. If they are using a similar dispenser for the birds we probably would have a good estimate of what that number will be with every flight.

Alexphysics · « **Reply #536 on:** 03/07/2019 02:52 pm »

What about "Starlink N"? Being N the flight number (1 for the first one, 2 for the second one and so on). Much more simple and doesn't need any info in advance, just that it will happen.

Lar · « **Reply #537 on:** 03/08/2019 04:02 am »

Quote from: Alexphysics on 03/07/2019 02:52 pm

What about "Starlink N"? Being N the flight number (1 for the first one, 2 for the second one and so on). Much more simple and doesn't need any info in advance, just that it will happen.

Much simpler.

vaporcobra · « **Reply #538 on:** 03/08/2019 09:04 am »

Inmarsat 6B remains unassigned, with Falcon Heavy still on record as an option.

Quote

Pearce said Inmarsat could launch Inmarsat-6B on a Falcon Heavy rocket, since the company still has an unused launch option with SpaceX, but hasn’t committed the satellite to that vehicle.

https://spacenews.com/inmarsat-to-place-gx-flex-next-gen-satellite-system-order-this-year/

joek · « **Reply #539 on:** 03/11/2019 09:04 pm »

Quote from: PM3 on 03/11/2019 08:51 pm

...
CRS-19 in 2020
First USCV mission in 2020
+1 year for each further crew mission per provider

Those are consistent with recent projected NASA schedules. Note that DM-2 missions (with crew) are not USCV missions (aka post-certification missions). DM-2 missions could occur earlier (we hope). The "+1 year for each further crew mission per provider" is as expected and currently awarded-projected: ~1/yr each for Boeing and SpaceX to support 6mo crew rotation.