Author Topic: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation  (Read 219857 times)

Offline Space Ghost 1962

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2780
  • Whatcha gonna do when the Ghost zaps you?
  • Liked: 2926
  • Likes Given: 2247
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #180 on: 11/04/2017 09:09 pm »
AIUI the assumption has been that heavy modification of the US would invalidate the demo flight as a certification flight.
Doesn't affect the US other than letting the avionics take over the lower thruster ring after mission separation.

You'd have to reconcile the loads through the payload adapter as same.


Offline Ictogan

  • Aerospace engineering student
  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 129
  • Germany
  • Liked: 77
  • Likes Given: 149
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #181 on: 11/04/2017 11:02 pm »
Just out of curiosity, do we know  - or have a reasonable good guesstimate - what Falcon Heavy payload performance would be for GTO 1800 m/s with RTLS (not DRL) of all 3 stages?

(Whether that setup is practicable is another question)

- Cala
My guess would be the 8.0 tonnes listed on http://www.spacex.com/about/capabilities as available for $90m. At least that's the most obvious possible reason I could imagine for them making a pricing tier "up to 8mT to GTO".

Offline Oersted

  • Member
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2953
  • Liked: 4198
  • Likes Given: 2804
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #182 on: 11/05/2017 12:01 am »
Would be the fourth electric car in space (the first three are still on the moon).

There are more than three on the moon, and four on Mars.

"Most definitions of car say they run primarily on roads, seat one to eight people, have four tires, and mainly transport people rather than goods" (Wikipedia)

I think it is fair to say that it would be the fourth electric car in space. The Moon and Mars rovers were robots, never intended for human transportation.

Anyway, this is not important by any standard.

Offline OneSpeed

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1656
  • Liked: 5121
  • Likes Given: 2172
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #183 on: 11/05/2017 06:39 am »
SX will risk if there's the point of gain. The gain can be as little as proving that an option cannot be made to work.

Agreed.

How to do this - integrated Dragon 2 propulsion system with appropriately sized tankage into payload adapter, lower interface/thrust structure accepting / transmitting loads two way to engine up (high CG) F9US on recovery, upper interface to dummy payload that is jettisoned with dummy payload, revealing one-off larger diameter Dragon derived heat shield. Propulsion/flight controls consist of upper (near MerlinVac) ring and lower ring (payload adapter) thrusters in addition to Dragon 2 derived SuperDraco's. Significant thrust structure between upper/lower payload adapter interfaces to handle asymmetric torques. Significant avionics/software challenge to merge/manage flight controls to handle stability from EI down to MaxQ, down to transonic, down to terminal braking (principle risk and benefit of this effort).

This is interesting, but I'm having trouble visualising the positioning of the dummy payload and the Dragon derived heatshield. Could you provide a sketch?

Offline john smith 19

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10446
  • Everyplaceelse
  • Liked: 2492
  • Likes Given: 13762
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #184 on: 11/05/2017 09:30 am »
Back to F9US "hail mary" recovery attempt.

SX will risk if there's the point of gain. The gain can be as little as proving that an option cannot be made to work.
Not insignificant.  Demonstrates CFD modelling is optimistic, which is always better to know before risking more valuable assets. 
Quote from: Space Ghost 1962
Significant avionics/software challenge to merge/manage flight controls to handle stability from EI down to MaxQ, down to transonic, down to terminal braking (principle risk and benefit of this effort).
Very definitely.
Quote from: Space Ghost 1962
Profile - post boost phase standard ascent and orbital injection, high decay rate for mass simulator/upper adapter. Post separation US aligns for retro as if disposal burn, but guidance for terminal offshore target (as with Dragon recovery resources/assets, or other). Post retro burn enter recovery "high gate" to avoid tumble, and work down to maximum drag/loads density altitude. SuperDraco burns then expand drag plume to allow US with minimal SPAM to survive through thermal and transonic transition. Free fall at terminal velocity with cold gas roll/pitch/yaw stabilization to near sea level. Braking burn to hoverslam, engine shutdown / tankage vent / "fireball".
I'm having trouble picturing this.
You do a stage flip and have Merlin(s) do a retro burn at full orbital velocity first?
Then flip again to use a heat shield you brought up under the payload adaptor (which I presume is basically a hollow cone with the payload on top) for most of the reentry?
Dracos are replacing the grid fins for main control authority?
Then somehow you go from engine rear (as opposed to engine forward in the booster flight profile at this point) to engine vertical pointing down in time for the hoverslam when air density has become quite high (high enough for grid fins to work in the booster stage).
Quote from: Space Ghost 1962
Control authority of such an approach concerns me. What doesn't concern me is parasitic payload loss, because that could be worked down if the "hail mary" came close.

Comments?
Control authority does look a definite problem. Also is the stage really going to be face on to the airstream? All the things I've on capsule reentry come in a few degrees below horizontal, while winged vehicles came in maybe 40deg above horizontal in a "belly flop" approach. the capsule entries put a huge heat load on a relatively small part of the "lip" between spherical front face and conical back shell.

I also doubt you'll have much unbalanced mass to shift the lift vector, like Apollo or Gemini had.
Coming in more like Shuttle puts significant side loads on the tanks.

I think the final nail in the dream of US reusability for VTOL rockets was the acceptance of wings on the BFS.  :(

It was implied the problem was the Isp of Kerolox, but the fact that even with Methalox it's impossible without wings suggests the physics is just too tough (something only SX have had the actual persistence to find out, when other companies have assured governments "Oh yes it's doable, if you pay us enough").

 I'm quite sure SX would have tried everything they could imagine before accepting that fact , since it ends the dream of a single vehicle that can land on any body in the solar system without penalty.  A Titan lander will not be just a BFS with a lot of refueling.  :(
« Last Edit: 11/05/2017 09:33 am by john smith 19 »
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline MATTBLAK

  • Elite Veteran & 'J.A.F.A'
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5361
  • 'Space Cadets' Let us; UNITE!! (crickets chirping)
  • New Zealand
  • Liked: 2240
  • Likes Given: 3883
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #185 on: 11/05/2017 10:11 am »
"Those who can't, Blog".   'Space Cadets' of the World - Let us UNITE!! (crickets chirping)

Offline gorgon69

  • Member
  • Posts: 2
  • poland
  • Liked: 0
  • Likes Given: 0
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #186 on: 11/05/2017 10:31 am »


Lol, after 40 sec it looks like a sci-fi movie from the 90s :)
When it comes to rockets, they like them a lot. As a child I dreamed my daddy bought a crate with a rocket set. Now I'm grown up, my dreams are not fulfilled. The only thing I buy is crates for the rocket league, now it's rocket league trade is my favorite job. They've had their childhoods probably never come back - they can buy rocket league items and rocket league crates, comfortably here https://odealo.com/games/rocket-league I recommend
« Last Edit: 11/19/2017 09:51 pm by gorgon69 »

Offline MATTBLAK

  • Elite Veteran & 'J.A.F.A'
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5361
  • 'Space Cadets' Let us; UNITE!! (crickets chirping)
  • New Zealand
  • Liked: 2240
  • Likes Given: 3883
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #187 on: 11/05/2017 10:57 am »
I thought parts of the animation were very well done and I had just discovered it by chance of YouTube; so I thought I'd show it to folks.
« Last Edit: 11/05/2017 10:57 am by MATTBLAK »
"Those who can't, Blog".   'Space Cadets' of the World - Let us UNITE!! (crickets chirping)

Offline nacnud

  • Extreme Veteran
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2691
  • Liked: 981
  • Likes Given: 347
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #188 on: 11/05/2017 11:32 am »
Like how it launches from SLC-41 then is immediately over '39  :o

Offline Bob Shaw

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1435
  • Liked: 734
  • Likes Given: 676
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #189 on: 11/05/2017 11:48 am »
The Lunakhods were part of the Soviet manned Lunar landing effort, and were designed to carry a cosmonaut from his LK to a backup vehicle if required. So, they didn’t carry any humans, but were intended to and thus are cars, two of the five on the Moon.

Offline Kaputnik

  • Extreme Veteran
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 3091
  • Liked: 727
  • Likes Given: 840
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #190 on: 11/05/2017 12:32 pm »
I'll be pleasantly surprised if the US recovery attempt is anything other than just flying the stage engine-first at low throttle during re-entry, using the exhaust plume to create a bow-shock.
"I don't care what anything was DESIGNED to do, I care about what it CAN do"- Gene Kranz

Offline Space Ghost 1962

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2780
  • Whatcha gonna do when the Ghost zaps you?
  • Liked: 2926
  • Likes Given: 2247
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #191 on: 11/05/2017 06:47 pm »
I'll be pleasantly surprised if the US recovery attempt is anything other than just flying the stage engine-first at low throttle during re-entry, using the exhaust plume to create a bow-shock.

Reminds of Wile E. Coyote's little umbrella he'd unfold, just before getting demolished by a boulder.

In theory you might ride down EI this way. But then all the control authority is in the MerlinVac gimbal moving rapidly enough to hold the CP above the CG on axis. Also, the avionics are in the top of the US, first to get cooked if the plume does not encompass the stage. And, since the engine is centered in the plume it will not widen the plume that much (one can continuously "swivel" the plume to create an astable vortex to flatten the plume, assuming that does not destabilize the vehicle  during buffeting). And use the cold gas thrusters to desaturate the gimbal occasionally.

To have enough propellant to do any good, you'd need to have a short ascent burn, which might need to be explained on the mission profile ("see, we can use the core stage to obviate the need for US consumption").

Offline Lar

  • Fan boy at large
  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 13469
  • Saw Gemini live on TV
  • A large LEGO storage facility ... in Michigan
  • Liked: 11869
  • Likes Given: 11116
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #192 on: 11/05/2017 10:00 pm »
P2P transport being wingless is way way way off topic. SOME of us know better.

Update:  What part of this were you guys having trouble with? Chris posted that some offtopic trimming occurred and warned not to continue.  Then. I warned. Then two posts continued even after the warning. Aetherized.

Seriously. What the... ?
« Last Edit: 11/06/2017 09:12 am by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline john smith 19

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10446
  • Everyplaceelse
  • Liked: 2492
  • Likes Given: 13762
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #193 on: 11/07/2017 11:35 am »
In theory you might ride down EI this way. But then all the control authority is in the MerlinVac gimbal moving rapidly enough to hold the CP above the CG on axis. Also, the avionics are in the top of the US, first to get cooked if the plume does not encompass the stage. And, since the engine is centered in the plume it will not widen the plume that much (one can continuously "swivel" the plume to create an astable vortex to flatten the plume, assuming that does not destabilize the vehicle  during buffeting). And use the cold gas thrusters to desaturate the gimbal occasionally.
If they are talking about a slightly engine down direction doesn't that put most of the top end behind most of the engines and tankage? I thought your approach was to have it come in nose first with heat shield? That would still have the control package subjected to most of the heat.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline Mike_1179

  • Member
  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 670
  • New Jersey
  • Liked: 383
  • Likes Given: 87
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #194 on: 11/07/2017 02:40 pm »
In theory you might ride down EI this way. But then all the control authority is in the MerlinVac gimbal moving rapidly enough to hold the CP above the CG on axis. Also, the avionics are in the top of the US, first to get cooked if the plume does not encompass the stage. And, since the engine is centered in the plume it will not widen the plume that much (one can continuously "swivel" the plume to create an astable vortex to flatten the plume, assuming that does not destabilize the vehicle  during buffeting). And use the cold gas thrusters to desaturate the gimbal occasionally.
If they are talking about a slightly engine down direction doesn't that put most of the top end behind most of the engines and tankage? I thought your approach was to have it come in nose first with heat shield? That would still have the control package subjected to most of the heat.

Hypersonic retro-propulsion does wacky things depending on when you fire the engines and what the body entering looks like.

A big flat shape like the bottom end of a capsule makes a wide bow shock that is offset from the surface of the capsule. This means it does a good job of slowing the capsule down and pushes the super hot shockwave away from the surface. A pointed surface (nose first of a streamlined shape) wouldn't create as large a bow shock and that shockwave might impinge on the surface directly.

Firing an engine retrograde can make the bow shock wider (simulating the effect of the wide body entry) or it can make the bow shock more pointed which would actually reduce the deceleration on the vehicle (it would be going faster than if you didn't fire the engine - I know, totally counter-intuitive). If you watch the re-entry burn from stage 1 landings, the stage accelerates right up until the burn starts. Then the burn slows the stage down AND gets it to a lower part of the atmosphere so that after the burn is complete, the stage is not accelerating anymore - the thickening atmosphere slows it down from there but not so much that heat loading on the bottom end is too much.

So...you can't just wave a magic wand and say burn the engines so the second stage can re-enter. You have to consider heat loading on the second stage before re-entry burn, the shape of the plume / bow shock during hypersonic retropropulsion, aero forces and heat loading on the stage after re-entry shutdown. No matter which way you spin it, you are dissipating a massive amount of energy as heat to get the second stage to 0/0.
« Last Edit: 11/07/2017 02:41 pm by Mike_1179 »

Offline john smith 19

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10446
  • Everyplaceelse
  • Liked: 2492
  • Likes Given: 13762
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #195 on: 11/07/2017 09:17 pm »
So...you can't just wave a magic wand and say burn the engines so the second stage can re-enter. You have to consider heat loading on the second stage before re-entry burn, the shape of the plume / bow shock during hypersonic retropropulsion, aero forces and heat loading on the stage after re-entry shutdown. No matter which way you spin it, you are dissipating a massive amount of energy as heat to get the second stage to 0/0.
As you do for every human made object that has conducted a planned, controlled reentry.

All of which have started by a rocket burn to bring the velocity of the vehicle (whatever it is) below full orbital velocity. AFAIK all other others where not actually at full orbital velocity to begin with.
MCT ITS BFR SS. The worlds first Methane fueled FFSC engined CFRP SS structure A380 sized aerospaceplane tail sitter capable of Earth & Mars atmospheric flight.First flight to Mars by end of 2022 2027?. T&C apply. Trust nothing. Run your own #s "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof" R. Simberg."Competitve" means cheaper ¬cheap SCramjet proposed 1956. First +ve thrust 2004. US R&D spend to date > $10Bn. #deployed designs. Zero.

Offline deruch

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2422
  • California
  • Liked: 2006
  • Likes Given: 5634
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #196 on: 11/08/2017 12:54 am »
<snip>
If you watch the re-entry burn from stage 1 landings, the stage accelerates right up until the burn starts. Then the burn slows the stage down AND gets it to a lower part of the atmosphere so that after the burn is complete, the stage is not accelerating anymore - the thickening atmosphere slows it down from there but not so much that heat loading on the bottom end is too much.
<snip>

In actuality, the stage accelerates again after the entry burn as well for about 10-12 seconds.  But it doesn't gain all that much before the aerodynamic effects fully overcome gravity.  On the order of +100 m/s.  This is visible in the analyses of the webcast telemetry data, e.g.: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=40328.msg1673183#msg1673183 

In the above linked post from Welsh Dragon, it is most visible in the middle graph (Speed vs. time) immediately following the re-entry burn (green section).

None of which invalidates the point you were making in your comment.  Just correctly a slight mis-impression.   
Shouldn't reality posts be in "Advanced concepts"?  --Nomadd

Offline ugordan

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 8562
    • My mainly Cassini image gallery
  • Liked: 3632
  • Likes Given: 775
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #197 on: 11/08/2017 08:02 am »
<snip>
If you watch the re-entry burn from stage 1 landings, the stage accelerates right up until the burn starts. Then the burn slows the stage down AND gets it to a lower part of the atmosphere so that after the burn is complete, the stage is not accelerating anymore - the thickening atmosphere slows it down from there but not so much that heat loading on the bottom end is too much.
<snip>

In actuality, the stage accelerates again after the entry burn as well for about 10-12 seconds.  But it doesn't gain all that much before the aerodynamic effects fully overcome gravity.  On the order of +100 m/s.  This is visible in the analyses of the webcast telemetry data, e.g.: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=40328.msg1673183#msg1673183 

Not all flights were like that, though. Check out the Echostar 105 / SES-11 webcast. It gained less than 10 km/h before starting to decelerate again.

Offline mikelepage

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1260
  • ExodusSpaceSystems.com
  • Perth, Australia
  • Liked: 886
  • Likes Given: 1405
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #198 on: 11/08/2017 02:07 pm »
What if you had a FH secondary payload that was essentially an Falcon family interstage adaptor with a Dragon heat shield attached? (underneath the fairing this payload would launch heat shield facing up).

The second stage would:
1) arrive in orbit.
2) deploy primary payload
3) perform deorbit burn
4) deploy interstage adaptor with heat shield
5) stage flips 180 degrees and docks with interstage/heat shield (this would cover the MVac for reentry).
6) Entry interface through transonic, performs guidance with CGS - hopefully enough control authority since stage is smaller.
7) Ejects heat shield after Max-Q (maybe use parachutes to recover interstage/heat shield).
8/ Uses MVac for landing burn.
« Last Edit: 11/08/2017 02:08 pm by mikelepage »

Offline Semmel

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 2178
  • Germany
  • Liked: 2433
  • Likes Given: 11922
Re: Falcon Heavy Demo Mission Payload Speculation
« Reply #199 on: 11/08/2017 04:31 pm »
What if you had a FH secondary payload that was essentially an Falcon family interstage adaptor with a Dragon heat shield attached? (underneath the fairing this payload would launch heat shield facing up).

The second stage would:
1) arrive in orbit.
2) deploy primary payload
3) perform deorbit burn
4) deploy interstage adaptor with heat shield
5) stage flips 180 degrees and docks with interstage/heat shield (this would cover the MVac for reentry).
6) Entry interface through transonic, performs guidance with CGS - hopefully enough control authority since stage is smaller.
7) Ejects heat shield after Max-Q (maybe use parachutes to recover interstage/heat shield).
8/ Uses MVac for landing burn.

Are you serious?

Tags:
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement Northrop Grumman
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
0