Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5  (Read 166401 times)

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #340 on: 03/23/2018 05:08 PM »
So Bangabandhu/Block 5 is moving to the right from April 5th?

What’s the exact new date they’re working toward? I see it’s after TESS...one suggestion to improve the SX “FPIP” would be to put in little date hashmarks on the bottom.

We don't have a date for it.
« Last Edit: 03/23/2018 05:10 PM by gongora »

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #341 on: 03/23/2018 09:16 PM »
So Bangabandhu/Block 5 is moving to the right from April 5th?

What’s the exact new date they’re working toward? I see it’s after TESS...one suggestion to improve the SX “FPIP” would be to put in little date hashmarks on the bottom.

Well, there is no such thing as "exact date" with respect to SpaceX  ;)
But Bangabandhu did move to the right, exactly to "NET late April".

Quote
one suggestion to improve the SX “FPIP” would be to put in little date hashmarks on the bottom.
- sorry, I can't do this because most of the blue marks DO NOT have actual DATE.

You should treat this chart as an illustration to the TABLE in the first post of the topic - an illustration WITH some amount of guessing.

Offline Jakusb

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #342 on: 03/23/2018 09:33 PM »
Here is updated "FPIP-chart" - in slightly modified format:
Pale-green marks show launches which are listed in green dash frames.
For those satellites we know just the fact they are scheduled for second half 2018.
Therefore these marks are not labelled and they are at arbitrary-even spacing.

As more information on particular flight become available - the mark will change color and get label :)

Nice update!! I love the way you implemented the no-date-yet mission! Very nice add-on. 😉😎
It gives a nice impression of the tight schedule that are on this year.
Several possibilities of all three launch sites lauching in close succession.
Keep up the great work!
 

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #343 on: 03/24/2018 07:50 PM »
[Space News] Spacecom less than two months from Amos-8 purchase
Quote
Israeli fleet operator Spacecom is very close to purchasing a new satellite dubbed Amos-8, a company official said March 14.
...
Keret said Amos-17, a replacement for Amos-5, remains on track for a 2019 SpaceX launch. Spacecom is using money paid toward the launch of Amos-6 to launch Amos-17, and intends to launch Amos-8 with SpaceX as well. 

I was starting to wonder if Amos-8 was actually going to happen.
An intent to contract for Amos-8 to allow the ordering of long lead items was in closed doors discussion at the end of April so likelihood is high.

Online AncientU

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #344 on: 03/26/2018 06:56 PM »
Done deal on AMOS-8.
Amos-8 2H 2020 F9
Amos-17 2019
BSAT-4B ?

http://spacenews.com/ssl-bags-amos-8-and-bsat-4b-manufacturing-contracts/
"If we shared everything [we are working on] people would think we are insane!"
-- SpaceX friend of mlindner

Offline Jakusb

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #345 on: 03/28/2018 05:19 AM »
https://twitter.com/iridiumboss/status/978789863452561410?s=21

Via twitter.

Me: “Speaking of questions...
Will your amazing sats fly on a new Block-5 too, maybe being first at RTLS on West coast?”

Matt Desch: “Likely for Launches 7 and/or 8.  RTLS at SpaceX discretion - we just ask them to get us to the right place in space, and anything after that is just sheer entertainment and showing off as far as we're concerned.”

Offline vanoord

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #346 on: 03/28/2018 09:09 AM »
I wonder if we'll see Block 5 "RTLS" at Vandenberg being a recovery to an ASDS 20-30 miles offshore?

Online yokem55

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #347 on: 03/28/2018 02:36 PM »
I wonder if we'll see Block 5 "RTLS" at Vandenberg being a recovery to an ASDS 20-30 miles offshore?
Little point in that. The ASDS recovery process would take just as long to get it back to their port facility in LA. Now if they could dock the ASDS in Vandenberg, it might make sense, but I doubt the infrastructure is there to handle the stage.

Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #348 on: 03/28/2018 03:15 PM »
I wonder if we'll see Block 5 "RTLS" at Vandenberg being a recovery to an ASDS 20-30 miles offshore?
Little point in that. The ASDS recovery process would take just as long to get it back to their port facility in LA. Now if they could dock the ASDS in Vandenberg, it might make sense, but I doubt the infrastructure is there to handle the stage.

Depending on the approvals needed to RTLS.  Have they been granted approval for RTLS at VAFB?

It will be fantastic when it does happen.  There aren't many missions from VAFB (until Starlink perhaps) but the ones that do fly seem to be RTLS appropriate.  So maybe the ASDS won't get used much on the west coast.
SpaceX, just a few things planned for 2018: FH, Starlink Prototypes, Block 5, Dragon 2, Increased launch rate.

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #349 on: 03/30/2018 11:00 PM »
[Space News] Iridium Next enters the homestretch
Quote
We’re saying August now in terms of when the constellation launches will be done and the drifters will be in place.]We’re saying August now in terms of when the constellation launches will be done and the drifters will be in place.

[Spaceflight Now] Iridium messaging network gets another boost from SpaceX
Quote
“It’s meeting our needs,” Desch said. “We really are focused on completing our Iridium Next constellation this year. I’d like it completed in the third quarter if possible. What I’m really pleased with is that SpaceX has stepped up this year so far.
...
Three more Iridium satellite launches are planned by SpaceX, with the next one in May.

So Iridium 8 might slip to August.  Maybe SSO-A can still get a July slot.
« Last Edit: 03/30/2018 11:00 PM by gongora »

Offline Shanuson

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #350 on: 04/04/2018 03:03 PM »
German news article about the current CRS mission mentions at the end the next Dragon flight to the ISS with a date of June the 28th. Link: http://m.faz.net/aktuell/wissen/weltraum/experimente-fuer-astro-alex-auf-dem-weg-ins-all-15524379.html
Cheers
Shanuson

Edit: spelling.
« Last Edit: 04/04/2018 03:24 PM by Shanuson »

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #351 on: 04/04/2018 03:21 PM »
German news article about the current crs mission mentions at the end the next Drogon flight to the ISS with a date of June the 28th. Link: http://m.faz.net/aktuell/wissen/weltraum/experimente-fuer-astro-alex-auf-dem-weg-ins-all-15524379.html
Cheers
Shanuson

I'd like another confirmation of that before changing the manifest (I wouldn't be surprised if it really has moved a couple weeks.)

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #352 on: 04/04/2018 05:05 PM »
http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html
Quote
A Falcon 9 will launch the Telstar 19 communication satellite, likely from pad 40, on early June TBD. And a Falcon 9, likely from pad 40, will launch the next Dragon resupply mission to the ISS on June 28, roughly around 5am EDT. The launch time gets 22-26 minutes earlier per day.

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #353 on: 04/16/2018 10:37 PM »
Updated "FPIP-chart".

Offline tleski

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #354 on: 04/16/2018 10:46 PM »
For the record, cross-posting from the STP-2 thread. It looks like the manifest is already updated to reflect this.

On the Space Show dated April 10th, Casey Dreier (Planetary Society) mentioned that the Lightsail-2 launch slipped from June to September. It would mean STP-2 slipped. Do we have any information confirming this from other sources? He seems to be pretty well informed.

Link to the interview (the Lightsail-2 is discussed ~33minutes into the show):
http://thespaceshow.com/show/10-apr-2018/broadcast-3098-casey-dreier

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #355 on: 04/19/2018 05:29 PM »
Ben Cooper has been posting frequent updates to his Falcon 9 launch schedule, he seems to be our best source of info right now.
http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html
Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral will launch the first satellite for the country of
Bangladesh, Bangabandhu 1, from pad 39A, on May 4 at the earliest, in the afternoon EDT. Then, a
Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the SES-12 communication satellite on mid-May TBD, in the
evening EDT. A Falcon 9 will launch the Telstar 19 communication satellite, likely from pad 40, on
early June TBD. A Falcon 9, likely from pad 40, will launch the next Dragon resupply mission to the
ISS on June 28, roughly around 5am EDT. The launch time gets 22-26 minutes earlier per day. A
Falcon 9 will launch Telstar 18 in early July TBD. And a Falcon 9 will launch the Telkom 4
communication satellite for Indonesia on late July TBD
.

Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #356 on: 04/19/2018 07:47 PM »
Anyone hear or be willing to bet that the next FH flight doesn’t happen until after the Crew Dragon demo flight?

Edit:  it looks like it’s drifting that way.  If it gets close one would think crew gets priority.
« Last Edit: 04/19/2018 07:48 PM by wannamoonbase »
SpaceX, just a few things planned for 2018: FH, Starlink Prototypes, Block 5, Dragon 2, Increased launch rate.

Online abaddon

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #357 on: 04/19/2018 08:10 PM »
Quite possible Crew Dragon demo flight slides right too.  We'll just have to wait and see how things shake out.

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #358 on: Today at 12:26 AM »
A lot of new info on SpaceX schedule in the last days, so here is the updated "FPIP":
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43418.msg1704237#msg1704237

And one more chart - launch cadence comparison.
On this chart launch dates are recalculated in fraction of year, so that slopes of best-fit lines give us number of launches per year.
The best-fit for 2018 was calculated for performed launches.
So far SpaceX keep launch cadence almost 50% higher than in 2017 :)

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