Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5  (Read 256137 times)

Offline Alexphysics

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #460 on: 09/18/2018 03:15 AM »
Well this is an interesting recent update on Ben Cooper's site. Es'Hail 2 may happen in early 2019 (gongora may like that kind of precision...), DM-1 moved to December as Elon already said on the event and FH-02 (Arabsat 6A) is still on for November and then CRS-16 and GPS III-1 Nov 27 and Dec 15 respectively. Whatever they plan for the rest of the year in Florida it is quite interesting. Remember they applied for a permit from 39A for a F9 GTO flight sometime in November, no public knowledge of what mission it'll be and I don't want to say it but I'll say it, this looks more and more like a Zuma 2.0

http://www.launchphotography.com/Delta_4_Atlas_5_Falcon_9_Launch_Viewing.html

Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket launch from Cape Canaveral is on November TBD at the earliest.
Upcoming launches include the second flight of the Falcon Heavy from pad 39A carrying the Arabsat
6A communication satellite as early as November. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the next Dragon
resupply mission to the ISS, CRS-16, on November 27 at the earliest, in the afternoon EST if that
day. And a Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the first Block III GPS satellite on December 15 at the
earliest, likely in the morning EST. Other upcoming launches include a Falcon 9 with the first Crew
Dragon capsule on an uncrewed demonstration mission, DM-1 to the ISS, from pad 39A on December
at the earliest. And a Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the Es'Hail-2 communication satellite for Qatar
as early as late 2018 or early 2019.

Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #461 on: 09/20/2018 06:48 PM »
New update from Launch Photography:

Quote
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket launch from Cape Canaveral is TBD. Upcoming Falcon 9 launches
include a Falcon 9 with the Es'Hail-2 communication satellite for Qatar. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will
launch the next Dragon resupply mission to the ISS, CRS-16, on November 27 at 4:19pm EST. The
first stage will land back at Cape Canaveral about eight minutes after launch. The launch time gets
22-25 minutes earlier each day. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the first Block III GPS satellite on
December 15, likely at 9:08am EST. And a Falcon 9 will launch from pad 39A with the first Crew
Dragon capsule on an uncrewed demonstration mission, DM-1 to the ISS, on December at the
earliest, in the middle of the night if that time period. The launch time gets 22-25 minutes earlier each
day.

Offline jpo234

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #462 on: 09/26/2018 09:05 AM »
Japanese company ispace selects SpaceX for lunar missions

https://spacenews.com/japanese-company-ispace-selects-spacex-for-lunar-missions/
You want to be inspired by things. You want to wake up in the morning and think the future is going to be great. That's what being a spacefaring civilization is all about. It's about believing in the future and believing the future will be better than the past. And I can't think of anything more exciting than being out there among the stars.

Offline pb2000

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #463 on: 09/27/2018 09:46 PM »
Nothing definitive, but in the TED talk announcing 'Methane Sat', images of F9's launching were pretty prominent. Current target is NET late 2020.

Launches attended: Worldview-4 (Atlas V 401), Iridium NEXT Flight 1 (Falcon 9 FT), PAZ+Starlink (Falcon 9 FT)

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #464 on: 09/27/2018 09:54 PM »
Nothing definitive, but in the TED talk announcing 'Methane Sat', images of F9's launching were pretty prominent. Current target is NET late 2020.

That will not be a primary payload for a medium or heavy class launch vehicle, and doesn't seem to have a launch contract yet, so it could be launching on just about anything.

Offline Comga

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #465 on: 09/28/2018 03:31 AM »
Nothing definitive, but in the TED talk announcing 'Methane Sat', images of F9's launching were pretty prominent. Current target is NET late 2020.

That sensorcraft image is an existing microsat, Skybox IIRC, the past employer of the project lead, with a small annex on the back.  It is not representative of any engineering for the mission. 
Any images of a rocket are probably just handy footage.
Given that this is a donation funded organization, they are probably hoping one of the rocket companies or "retailers" like SpaceFlight Services gives them a big price break, up to donating a launch. 
If not, the Falcon 9 bought by SFS for a future SSO mission is a likely provider, but it's highly unlikely to have been definitized.

As such, this discussion is probably not appropriate for this "Manifest" thread.
« Last Edit: 09/28/2018 03:32 AM by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #466 on: 10/02/2018 05:02 PM »
https://spacenews.com/viasat-ula-insist-viasat-3-launch-was-competitively-procured/
Quote
Viasat is preparing a global broadband systems comprising three geostationary satellites. Arianespace and ULA both have launch contracts, though Viasat has not said which launch provider will go first. Viasat has yet to sign a launch contract for the third satellite.

In Viasat’s statement, the company said it remains in discussion with Arianespace and SpaceX for that mission.

It seems SpaceX does not currently have a Viasat 3 launch.

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #467 on: 10/05/2018 12:03 AM »
New FPIP with new timescale.

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #468 on: 10/09/2018 08:16 PM »
Jeff Foust has published a new article in The Space Review on reusability which includes:

Quote
However, Koenigsmann said after the talk that a Block 5 booster could make its third flight later this year, possibly on the SSO-A mission, a “dedicated rideshare” mission of dozens of smallsats planned for November from Vandenberg.

http://www.thespacereview.com/article/3583/1

Offline speedevil

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #469 on: 10/15/2018 12:15 PM »
I did not find mention above.
A quick skim of the top post indicates ~45 manifested launches.
- 1:16.
Quote from: Hans
We have about a hundred missions on the manifest, and that represents a value of about twelve billion dollars

Both interesting numbers, as is $120M.
I do wonder if any of these are internal - Starlink.

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #470 on: 10/16/2018 03:29 PM »
Cross-posting some of the recent updates that were posted in other threads:

https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/2018/10/04/nasas-commercial-crew-program-target-test-flight-dates-4/
Quote
Test Flight Planning Dates:
Boeing Orbital Flight Test (uncrewed): March 2019
Boeing Crew Flight Test (crewed): August 2019
SpaceX Demo-1 (uncrewed): January 2019
SpaceX Demo-2 (crewed): June 2019
...
Anticipated Readiness Dates for Operational Missions:
First operational mission: August 2019
Second operational mission: December 2019

Those dates sure look like they've decided to make the Boeing CFT an operational mission.

Confirmed by the NASA SWOT website. Launch is delayed to September 2021.

https://swot.jpl.nasa.gov/mission.htm

Just got news that RCM mission has now been officially delayed to February.

There's also a new blog post on the Canadian Space Agency website about the mission status:

http://www.asc-csa.gc.ca/eng/blog/2018/10/16/radarsat-constellation-a-major-milestone-reached.asp?utm_source=website&utm_medium=banner-txt&utm_campaign=rcm&utm_content=major-milestone&utm_term=home-page

edit/gongora: linked blog has "Launch window: Week of February 18, 2019"
« Last Edit: 10/16/2018 03:29 PM by gongora »

Offline Michael Baylor

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #471 on: 10/16/2018 09:14 PM »
Falcon Heavy has won a direct to GEO launch contract from Ovzon. Launch date is NET Q4 2020.

https://www.ovzon.com/en/ovzon-signs-agreement-with-spacex-for-first-satellite-launch/

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #472 on: 10/18/2018 03:15 PM »
I'm not sure I understand what is behind this "giving up slot" discussion.
Is something wrong with this hypothetical launch sequence from VAFB? -
Nov 19, 2018 ... Spaceflight Sherpa "SSO-A"
Nov 29, 2018 ... NROL-71: KH-11 17 (Crystal 17, Block 5 #1)
Mid-late Dec 19, 2018 ... Iridium Next Flight 8 (x10)

And in general - any corrections to big picture?

I would move SARah 1 after RCM, replace STP-2 with Arabsat 6A (move STP-2 to mid-year), probably move CRS-17 to SLC-40, maybe put PSN-6 on there in January from SLC-40.


And cross-posting the Iridium 8 date...
https://twitter.com/IridiumBoss/status/1052934106135359488

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #473 on: 10/18/2018 07:56 PM »
Updated FPIP

Offline Jakusb

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #474 on: 10/18/2018 09:58 PM »
Updated FPIP

Thanks for the update, but some remarks:
- Telstar-18 label is missing
- PSN-6 remark at bottom is redundant now
- SAOCOM-1B maybe worth a block in june instead of remark at top?
- AMOS-17 maybe also a block in june?

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #475 on: 10/19/2018 07:17 AM »

Thanks for the update, but some remarks:
- Telstar-18 label is missing
- PSN-6 remark at bottom is redundant now
- SAOCOM-1B maybe worth a block in june instead of remark at top?
- AMOS-17 maybe also a block in june?
Oops :)
Fixed the labels, left the gun green boxes :)
« Last Edit: 10/19/2018 07:18 AM by smoliarm »

Offline Joffan

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #476 on: 10/19/2018 04:01 PM »
Thanks, this chart is always great. I was wondering if you wanted to indicate the in-flight abort test; although it doesn't get anything to orbit, it's a launch in every other way.
Max Q for humanity becoming spacefaring

Offline smoliarm

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 5
« Reply #477 on: 10/19/2018 04:18 PM »
Thanks, this chart is always great. I was wondering if you wanted to indicate the in-flight abort test; although it doesn't get anything to orbit, it's a launch in every other way.

Yes, in-flight abort must be on this chart for sure.
Although it is not an "orbital launch",  it does take a slot in range schedule.
I just lost track of it  :)
Will get it back with next update.

Tags: updates