Author Topic: SpaceX Falcon Heavy Demo - Discussion and Speculation  (Read 243617 times)

Offline llanitedave

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #80 on: 02/08/2017 11:48 pm »
We have another meeting with them in March. This is still a 2018 shot. The Mars windows are the foundation of the timing. The priority they placed on this mission when we first met with them was huge. I saw one of the big suit NASA managers in L2 stressing that when he first posted about it months before anyone even thought NASA and SpaceX would go for this cooperation on a 2018 Mars mission.

Of course if they can make the schedule is another matter and it's a safe bet they can't, so I'm sure that's where the comment came from, a safe bet to cash in next year via natural delays. But they are trying. SpaceX has not wiped it off the table. They are also working the 2020 Dragon, but that's not going to be a repeat, that's a whole new mission and one home run statement of intent.


I don't see how they can possibly pull it off after their Sept 1 explosion and the subsequent delay.  If they can, I'll be overjoyed.
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Online Lee Jay

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #81 on: 02/09/2017 12:05 am »
And, is the rear bogie steerable?

I can't imagine it wouldn't be.

Online Chris Bergin

I think there's some crossed wires going on.

Is it officially off the books in 2018? From what I know, no it is not - SpaceX has not said that (not that they've ever provided running commentary on flows).
Is it likely 2018 is going to be too tight to achieve this mission - well yeah.

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Offline woods170

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #83 on: 02/09/2017 07:10 am »
I wonder whether SpaceX might worry that a circumlunar Dragon flight, cool though it would be, if it's possible, would embarrass NASA.  Not a good idea to embarrass your largest customer.

SpaceX is planning to send the same spacecraft all the way to Mars three years from now next year, with help from NASA. Why would there be any embarrassment about a lunar flyby?

Matthew


There, fixed that for ya. I've been informed that 2018 is off the table. Remember, 2018 was only a NET.

Is your source reliable or close to the program? We have heard nothing about this until just now.
Sources close to the program. It's off the table. Too much to do in too little time. It will be made "official" later.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2017 07:14 am by woods170 »

Online edzieba

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #84 on: 02/09/2017 12:33 pm »
I wonder whether SpaceX might worry that a circumlunar Dragon flight, cool though it would be, if it's possible, would embarrass NASA.  Not a good idea to embarrass your largest customer.

SpaceX is planning to send the same spacecraft all the way to Mars three years from now next year, with help from NASA. Why would there be any embarrassment about a lunar flyby?

Matthew


There, fixed that for ya. I've been informed that 2018 is off the table. Remember, 2018 was only a NET.

Is your source reliable or close to the program? We have heard nothing about this until just now.
Sources close to the program. It's off the table. Too much to do in too little time. It will be made "official" later.
Is it off the table in the sense that NASA and its partners will not be able to get payloads ready in time (was always a worry), or that SpaceX do not think they will have even a non-crew-rated Dragon 2 ready to mate to a Falcon Heavy in time?

Offline Negan

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #85 on: 02/09/2017 02:37 pm »
Is it off the table in the sense that NASA and its partners will not be able to get payloads ready in time (was always a worry), or that SpaceX do not think they will have even a non-crew-rated Dragon 2 ready to mate to a Falcon Heavy in time?

NASA had already stated previously they would not be sending in payloads on the first Red Dragon. They want to see a successful landing first.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2017 02:42 pm by Negan »

Offline Star One

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SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #86 on: 02/09/2017 03:11 pm »
Is it off the table in the sense that NASA and its partners will not be able to get payloads ready in time (was always a worry), or that SpaceX do not think they will have even a non-crew-rated Dragon 2 ready to mate to a Falcon Heavy in time?

NASA had already stated previously they would not be sending in payloads on the first Red Dragon. They want to see a successful landing first.

And mystified why the OP's instinct was to first of all point the finger at NASA for any delay.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2017 03:11 pm by Star One »

Offline Mader Levap

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #87 on: 02/09/2017 06:01 pm »
So, can we finally dispense with the paper rocket nonsense?
It is paper rocket until second when it successfully completes maiden mission.

As far I am concerned it is in "always 6 months away" limbo until proven otherwise.
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Offline AncientU

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #88 on: 02/09/2017 06:03 pm »
So, can we finally dispense with the paper rocket nonsense?
It is paper rocket until second when it successfully completes maiden mission.

As far I am concerned it is in "always 6 months away" limbo until proven otherwise.

Fine.
For consistency, let's all now use that definition for SLS/Orion, too.
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Online dglow

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Offline IanThePineapple

I have 3 paper Falcon 9s from http://axmpaperspacescalemodels.com/, 2 launch config models and 1 landed model. FH model next :D

Offline Kansan52

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Offline woods170

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #92 on: 02/09/2017 07:21 pm »
Is it off the table in the sense that NASA and its partners will not be able to get payloads ready in time (was always a worry), or that SpaceX do not think they will have even a non-crew-rated Dragon 2 ready to mate to a Falcon Heavy in time?

NASA had already stated previously they would not be sending in payloads on the first Red Dragon. They want to see a successful landing first.

And mystified why the OP's instinct was to first of all point the finger at NASA for any delay.
There is no reason to point a finger at NASA. See below.


Is it off the table in the sense that NASA and its partners will not be able to get payloads ready in time (was always a worry), or that SpaceX do not think they will have even a non-crew-rated Dragon 2 ready to mate to a Falcon Heavy in time?
As usual, SpaceX managed to under-estimate the amount of work to be done. AMOS-6 didn't exactly help either for the effect it has on losing FH experience base.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2017 07:23 pm by woods170 »

Offline guckyfan

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #93 on: 02/09/2017 08:48 pm »
As usual, SpaceX managed to under-estimate the amount of work to be done.

They always said they may be able to launch 2018, but maybe not. How would this be under-estimating?

Offline Lar

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #94 on: 02/09/2017 09:03 pm »
People.

Serious excellent-ification-ness deficiency in the last few posts. Be nicer please.
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Offline Lars-J

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #95 on: 02/09/2017 09:14 pm »
Why is the Red Dragon mission being discussed in *this* thread? This is not the thread for that mission, as far as I can tell. This is about the FH Demo mission, which now has hardware being shipped across the country.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2017 09:14 pm by Lars-J »

Online envy887

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #96 on: 02/09/2017 09:51 pm »
So, can we finally dispense with the paper rocket nonsense?
It is paper rocket until second when it successfully completes maiden mission.

As far I am concerned it is in "always 6 months away" limbo until proven otherwise.

This definition is self-contradicting: How could one possibly launch a paper rocket? How could one possibly complete a mission without a launch?

A flight-ready hardware assembly is a real rocket. This one even more so, since it's already flown a successful mission as a real rocket.

Online meekGee

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #97 on: 02/10/2017 12:06 am »
So, can we finally dispense with the paper rocket nonsense?
It is paper rocket until second when it successfully completes maiden mission.

As far I am concerned it is in "always 6 months away" limbo until proven otherwise.

This definition is self-contradicting: How could one possibly launch a paper rocket? How could one possibly complete a mission without a launch?

A flight-ready hardware assembly is a real rocket. This one even more so, since it's already flown a successful mission as a real rocket.

It was the same with F9, and with reusability, and Raptor, and...

At least it's not causing any real harm.

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Offline georgegassaway

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #98 on: 02/10/2017 05:31 am »
This just in:

“Rocket company that said several years ago that new heavy rocket design would fly 6 months later,  still saying it’ll only be another 6 months.  News at 11.

New Landing pad construction for said rocket’s 2nd side booster, NO news at 11. But we have rumors of paperwork about the impact of possibly constructing it sometime, eventually.”   :)

Seriously, it is nice to see the first FH side booster on the road.
« Last Edit: 02/10/2017 05:36 am by georgegassaway »
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Offline Hauerg

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Re: SpaceX Falcon Heavy - Demo Mission - May 2017 - Discussion
« Reply #99 on: 02/10/2017 05:53 am »
Actually, IF your balls are big enough you can land both boosters on the single pad and the center core on the ship.

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