Author Topic: SpaceX Falcon 9 - AMOS-6 - (Pad Failure) - DISCUSSION THREAD (2)  (Read 713273 times)

Offline Norm38

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1721
  • Liked: 1285
  • Likes Given: 2349
For those not electrical engineers I will introduce the concept of the MOSFET Safe Operating Area.
A MSOFET will take a lot of abuse and heat, within SOA. Outside of that, the part fails dead short.

It's not just voltage, not just current.  It is instantaneous power, on the order of nanoseconds.

They need to fully map out the COPV SOA, then make sure they never exceed it, with margin.

Offline wolfpack

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 743
  • Wake Forest, NC
  • Liked: 160
  • Likes Given: 4
"Through extensive testing in Texas, SpaceX has shown that it can re-create a COPV failure entirely through helium loading conditions. "

This is good news.

Ummmmmmmmm...

Wouldn't it be better to have a helium system that can't be blown up by loading conditions?

All of this is trending towards a lack of margin in F9. I know they want to push the envelope but maybe an extra screw or nail isn't a bad idea here. "Proceduring" your way around design weak spots reminds me of rubber o-rings.

Offline virnin

  • Full Member
  • *
  • Posts: 102
  • Kansas
  • Liked: 46
  • Likes Given: 67
"Through extensive testing in Texas, SpaceX has shown that it can re-create a COPV failure entirely through helium loading conditions. "

This is good news.

Ummmmmmmmm...

Wouldn't it be better to have a helium system that can't be blown up by loading conditions?

All of this is trending towards a lack of margin in F9. I know they want to push the envelope but maybe an extra screw or nail isn't a bad idea here. "Proceduring" your way around design weak spots reminds me of rubber o-rings.
"You can't make something fool-proof because fools are so ingenious."  Any system will fail under "some" conditions.

Norm38 is right on the money with re-evaluating the SOA for the helium system.  It sounds like that's what they are doing in Texas.

Offline Stranger

  • Member
  • Posts: 31
  • Liked: 7
  • Likes Given: 9

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=41252.msg1596029#msg1596029

Assuming an operation error (no defects or installation errors).

1. COPV being filled to operational pressure before being completely immersed.

On the Falcon 9 has a pre-pressurization COPV?
this happens at the start or advance?


Offline guckyfan

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 7442
  • Germany
  • Liked: 2336
  • Likes Given: 2900
Just because they "reproduced "the same conditions and the same result does not mean that they found the root cause. Remember, they reproduce the results using a sniper and a bullet.

The question in my mind is, did they use the same conditions and got the same result, or did they push the same type of conditions a little harder to get the result? If it was exactly the same conditions they should have caught it earlier, unless they cycled hundreds of times to get one blowing up.

Offline MP99

It is good that they are closer to figuring out the physical root cause of the explosion. But why did SpaceX allow a new loading procedure during the static fire? Are they underestimating the risk of their incremental tweaks to the launch vehicle?

The last failure taught them to perform more validation testing of certified components. Will this failure teach SpaceX to perform more testing before making changes to their in-production equipment and procedures?

It's conceivable that the change was introduction of subcooled LOX, but that this only bites occasionally.

You would certainly expect them to fully characterise the whole envelope of loading conditions, and to reconsider anything else in the stage where they may not have performed sufficient depth of analysis of subcooling.

Cheers, Martin

Offline Torbjorn Larsson, OM

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 309
  • Liked: 110
  • Likes Given: 80
"Through extensive testing in Texas, SpaceX has shown that it can re-create a COPV failure entirely through helium loading conditions. "

This is good news.

Ummmmmmmmm...

Wouldn't it be better to have a helium system that can't be blown up by loading conditions?

All of this is trending towards a lack of margin in F9. I know they want to push the envelope but maybe an extra screw or nail isn't a bad idea here. "Proceduring" your way around design weak spots reminds me of rubber o-rings.

Quote
Ice Ice Baby, Ice Ice Baby
All right stop, Collaborate and listen
Ice is back with my brand new invention

... and a surprising 'invention' it was. But SpaceX are redesigning the Falcon 9, we just read that they will introduce F9 "Block 5" for 'endless' reuse and, likely, better margins yet again. Apparently return to flight won't necessitate any redesign as such, meaning there are no plans to put the He tanks entirely outside the liquid oxygen compartment, say.

Will it work? That question may be part of why testing is ongoing. In other words, what Norm said, it is a functioning practice in some industries.

Offline Torbjorn Larsson, OM

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 309
  • Liked: 110
  • Likes Given: 80
That question may be part of why testing is ongoing.

I forgot to check, and it is now part of the remaining testing:

SpaceX’s efforts are now focused on two areas – finding the exact root cause, and developing improved helium loading conditions that allow SpaceX to reliably load Falcon 9. With the advanced state of the investigation, we also plan ...

Offline jgoldader

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 760
  • Liked: 322
  • Likes Given: 172

Wouldn't it be better to have a helium system that can't be blown up by loading conditions?

All of this is trending towards a lack of margin in F9. I know they want to push the envelope but maybe an extra screw or nail isn't a bad idea here. "Proceduring" your way around design weak spots reminds me of rubber o-rings.

My car gave the "low tire pressure" warning yesterday.  I pulled out the gauge and, sure enough, two tires were really low, one at about 26 psig vs the recommended 34.  I drove to the gas station, put money in the air compressor, and started to fill the tires. The compressor filled them far faster than I expected, and I filled one tire well over 34 psig.  I let the extra air out, and was just happy the thing didn't explode, causing me a very bad day.  Moral of the story: even cars have systems that can be blown up by loading conditions.  Tires are safe when loaded properly, but not when loaded improperly.  The fuel system can catch fire, too, from a spark caused by the operator not being grounded, etc.
Recovering astronomer

Offline Stranger

  • Member
  • Posts: 31
  • Liked: 7
  • Likes Given: 9

Wouldn't it be better to have a helium system that can't be blown up by loading conditions?

All of this is trending towards a lack of margin in F9. I know they want to push the envelope but maybe an extra screw or nail isn't a bad idea here. "Proceduring" your way around design weak spots reminds me of rubber o-rings.

My car gave the "low tire pressure" warning yesterday.  I pulled out the gauge and, sure enough, two tires were really low, one at about 26 psig vs the recommended 34.  I drove to the gas station, put money in the air compressor, and started to fill the tires. The compressor filled them far faster than I expected, and I filled one tire well over 34 psig.  I let the extra air out, and was just happy the thing didn't explode, causing me a very bad day.  Moral of the story: even cars have systems that can be blown up by loading conditions.  Tires are safe when loaded properly, but not when loaded improperly.  The fuel system can catch fire, too, from a spark caused by the operator not being grounded, etc.

Note that the tire does not explode. Margin of safety. And even if it exploded, it was only the tire. The machine would remain intact. Local accident, not global

Offline woods170

  • IRAS fan
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 12192
  • IRAS fan
  • The Netherlands
  • Liked: 18491
  • Likes Given: 12560
"Through extensive testing in Texas, SpaceX has shown that it can re-create a COPV failure entirely through helium loading conditions. "

Got word from sources that the previous referenced "Helium Hammer" had indeed knocked on SpaceX' door. Indications are that the phenomenon is able of occurring in gaseous helium, in a manner much resembling the effect in liquid helium.

Offline mfck

  • Office Plankton Representative
  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 543
  • Israel
  • Liked: 254
  • Likes Given: 222
So would it be correct to say, in layman terms, that the root cause is not in any one state or condition of the system, but in a transition, an unexpected and very fast one?

Offline vanoord

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 695
  • Liked: 451
  • Likes Given: 108
Note that the tire does not explode. Margin of safety. And even if it exploded, it was only the tire. The machine would remain intact. Local accident, not global

Tyres exploding due to overpressurisation (particularly truck tyres) can easily be fatal if you're standing near. There's a good reason commercial outfits often inflate tyres in cages.

Overpressurise a tyre attached to vehicle, allow an unexpected input to come into play such as shock-loading over a pothole and it may well explode - or at least fail pretty dramatically.

That happened to my brother a couple of weeks back, although we didn't investigate root cause - just fitted a new tree and carried on.

If that tyre were to explode (or suffer a simile RUD) on the motorway/freeway at 80mph in wet conditions, it's quite possible you'd be looking at a catastrophic loss of vehicle.

SpaceX have experienced a problem which caused LOV: if that had happened when they were testing the upper stage on its own, it wouldn't have been LOV.

It's semantics, but an issue with the vehicle could turn out to be nothing; an inconvenience; loss of vehicle and mission; or loss of vehicle, mission and loss of the launch pad.

Offline jgoldader

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 760
  • Liked: 322
  • Likes Given: 172
Note that the tire does not explode. Margin of safety. And even if it exploded, it was only the tire. The machine would remain intact. Local accident, not global

If it blew up while I was driving, that could have caused a serious accident.  But I expect I'd have been very unhappy if the tire blew up 40 cm from my face.  Thanks be to the tire company, the margin of safety was there!  But your point about the margin is quite correct; despite a serious error on my part (and I've filled tires dozens of times) everything turned out well.  When margins are smaller, there's far less room for procedural errors. 
Recovering astronomer

Offline CyndyC

The question in my mind is, did they use the same conditions and got the same result, or did they push the same type of conditions a little harder to get the result? If it was exactly the same conditions they should have caught it earlier, unless they cycled hundreds of times to get one blowing up.

My thoughts exactly, nor do I see how the new info fits easily with some earlier expert info from an NSF member, except for his last two sentences:

"Leak before burst" is really a *design* principle that is later verified in qualification testing. But once the design has been qual tested, flight articles are obviously not tested to that level.

For acceptance testing of flight article COPV's, SpaceX probably tests to a factor of, say, 1.5 x Max Expected Operating Pressure (MEOP) or whatever the NASA factor of safety is for testing pressure vessels on man-rated vehicles (I forget exactly what the NASA requirement is, but 1.5 x MEOP sticks in my mind. Jim can correct me.)

In any event, SpaceX would have acceptance tested the flight COPV's at a pressure well above MEOP. So if a COPV failed at or below MEOP, there will be much head-scratching. If a COPV got over-pressurized, then the question is how.
« Last Edit: 10/29/2016 08:38 pm by CyndyC »
"Either lead, follow, or get out of the way." -- quote of debatable origin tweeted by Ted Turner and previously seen on his desk

Offline CyndyC

Since day one my instinct has been that the 1st stage was somehow implicated in this event, no matter how unapparent the possibility. In my search for a post with information on a different subject, I came across a post that might explain the connection I've been groping for.

Quote
Wouldn't there have to be a designed-in conductive path from the second stage through the interstage to the first stage to keep all structure at the same potential during ascent?

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=30981.msg1582782#msg1582782
"Either lead, follow, or get out of the way." -- quote of debatable origin tweeted by Ted Turner and previously seen on his desk

Offline HMXHMX

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1724
  • Liked: 2257
  • Likes Given: 672
Quote
Also my internet research reveals that COPVs are usually tested to a standard called 'Leak before Burst"  Unknown if SpaceX tests to this standard.

"Leak before burst" is really a *design* principle that is later verified in qualification testing. But once the design has been qual tested, flight articles are obviously not tested to that level.

For acceptance testing of flight article COPV's, SpaceX probably tests to a factor of, say, 1.5 x Max Expected Operating Pressure (MEOP) or whatever the NASA factor of safety is for testing pressure vessels on man-rated vehicles (I forget exactly what the NASA requirement is, but 1.5 x MEOP sticks in my mind. Jim can correct me.)

In any event, SpaceX would have acceptance tested the flight COPV's at a pressure well above MEOP. So if a COPV failed at or below MEOP, there will be much head-scratching. If a COPV got over-pressurized, then the question is how.



They apparently proof to only 1.25x MEOP, which is sporty.  Burst is only 1.5x MEOP, which is definitely sporty; I'd use not less than 2x.  Their approach is acceptable for metal vessels, not (IMHO) for composite.

Screen shot from Cimarron video, time stamp 6:02.

Edit: missing word
« Last Edit: 10/29/2016 11:30 pm by HMXHMX »

Offline spacekid

  • Member
  • Posts: 41
  • St. Petersburg, FL
  • Liked: 12
  • Likes Given: 25
Quote
Also my internet research reveals that COPVs are usually tested to a standard called 'Leak before Burst"  Unknown if SpaceX tests to this standard.

"Leak before burst" is really a *design* principle that is later verified in qualification testing. But once the design has been qual tested, flight articles are obviously not tested to that level.

For acceptance testing of flight article COPV's, SpaceX probably tests to a factor of, say, 1.5 x Max Expected Operating Pressure (MEOP) or whatever the NASA factor of safety is for testing pressure vessels on man-rated vehicles (I forget exactly what the NASA requirement is, but 1.5 x MEOP sticks in my mind. Jim can correct me.)

In any event, SpaceX would have acceptance tested the flight COPV's at a pressure well above MEOP. So if a COPV failed at or below MEOP, there will be much head-scratching. If a COPV got over-pressurized, then the question is how.



They apparently proof to only 1.25x MEOP, which sporty.  Burst is only 1.5x MEOP, which is definitely sporty; I'd use not less than 2x.  Their approach is acceptable for metal vessels, not (IMHO) for composite.

In the failure method that I've heard discussed here, I think a possible cause were the carbon fibers being cut by the solid oxygen which would reduce the strength of the design and cause the COPV to burst below its designed pressure.

Offline Herb Schaltegger

Since day one my instinct has been that the 1st stage was somehow implicated in this event, no matter how unapparent the possibility. In my search for a post with information on a different subject, I came across a post that might explain the connection I've been groping for.

Quote
Wouldn't there have to be a designed-in conductive path from the second stage through the interstage to the first stage to keep all structure at the same potential during ascent?

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=30981.msg1582782#msg1582782

What could an electrical conductivity question possibly have to do with an overpressure/failure of a He-filled COPV?
Ad astra per aspirin ...

Offline JMS

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 378
  • Liked: 124
  • Likes Given: 78
Since day one my instinct has been that the 1st stage was somehow implicated in this event, no matter how unapparent the possibility. In my search for a post with information on a different subject, I came across a post that might explain the connection I've been groping for.

Quote
Wouldn't there have to be a designed-in conductive path from the second stage through the interstage to the first stage to keep all structure at the same potential during ascent?

http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=30981.msg1582782#msg1582782
What could an electrical conductivity question possibly have to do with an overpressure/failure of a He-filled COPV?
Or for that matter, a scenario involving over filling the tire on your Honda civic?
« Last Edit: 10/30/2016 01:42 am by JMS »

Tags:
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement Northrop Grumman
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
0