I know people that have read the EW paper and they tell me it works.
Shall I discount what they tell me until I read the paper myself?
I have measured thrust.
Dave has measured thrust.
Jamie has measured thrust.
Paul has measured thrust.
Shell has measured thrust.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Roger has measured thrust.
Yang has measured thrust.
Tajmar has measured thrust.
4 others have measured thrust
I'm in regular contact with them all.
Shall I discount what they show & tell because it is not in front of my eyes?Let's go over the list in "scientific/skeptical modus" ?
I have measured thrust.
Possible, that is indeed what you said, but we didn't see much recorded data inhere.
We have only your word...
Dave has measured thrust.
Dave deserves a huge credit for his openness and straightforward reporting.
Sadly, his reported results still hoover way to close to the "background noise" and spark too much debate whether or not there was a force
Jamie has measured thrust.
Possible. As far I know he is still the process of refining his setup and testing. Too early to make a conclusion yet
Paul has measured thrust.
Possible. That is indeed what Paul March said "and yet the thrust remains". We'll see when the peer review has been publish what the comments and remarks will be, before accepting this as proof.
Shell has measured thrust.
Possible. Shell did report "something", but could not back it up with data. Sadly , she got a lot of FLAK for it. I understand and respect her reluctance to release more info, before she feels confident enough in her testing setup.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Possible, but the setup was very crude and controversy around buoyancy/Lorentz forces remained a heated discussion point. He needed better results to mount above the background noise.
Roger has measured thrust.
Possible, but the posted video has some issues that need to be addressed. For the rest , we only have streamlined graphics, intended for pitching rather then data obtained directly from the experiment (Like Dave did)
Yang has measured thrust.
Yes? NO ? The mystery wrapping around Yang's result only get thicker by the day, invoking "black programs" etc to either discredit or validate (depending from the side you're taking it) her results.
I'm really not sure what to think about it. Is there deliberate disinformation? maybe, maybe not?
Tajmar has measured thrust.
hmmm.. NO...
dr.Tajmar said that it was inconclusive and that his initial testing warranted further, more in depth investigation. He did neither disprove nor validated the EMdrive...He needs more testing...
4 others have measured thrust
No info = no conclusion
What I observe, as most of the active readers on the NSF forum , is that we have a lot of potential and intriguing results that really need more in depth research. But there is no bull's-eye yet...
So touting all these tests as "EM victories" seems definitely premature...
It doesn't mean the EM effect can't be real, only that the evidence for it does not weigh heavy enough to be conclusive. I hope you understand the important nuance...
Honesty also forces me to tell that we had a DIY tester inhere that had a null result. Forgot his name.. need to look it up
If I remember correctly, it was Mulletron
Her results have been verified in another Chinese lab. There is a lot more to that story, like the Boeing story that is yet to be told. I'm informed she has not retired and is engaged in cryo EmDrive work. Seems Boeing/US is not the only country to take it's EmDrive work black.
Her results have been verified in another Chinese lab. There is a lot more to that story, like the Boeing story that is yet to be told. I'm informed she has not retired and is engaged in cryo EmDrive work. Seems Boeing/US is not the only country to take it's EmDrive work black.Careful, Phil. I took a TON of ehm.... "flack" on this forum for suggesting such a thing a few months ago.
...
Honesty also forces me to tell that we had a DIY tester inhere that had a null result. Forgot his name.. need to look it upIf I remember correctly, it was Mulletron
I know people that have read the EW paper and they tell me it works.
Shall I discount what they tell me until I read the paper myself?
I have measured thrust.
Dave has measured thrust.
Jamie has measured thrust.
Paul has measured thrust.
Shell has measured thrust.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Roger has measured thrust.
Yang has measured thrust.
Tajmar has measured thrust.
4 others have measured thrust
I'm in regular contact with them all.
Shall I discount what they show & tell because it is not in front of my eyes?Let's go over the list in "scientific/skeptical modus" ?
I have measured thrust.
Possible, that is indeed what you said, but we didn't see much recorded data inhere.
We have only your word...
Dave has measured thrust.
Dave deserves a huge credit for his openness and straightforward reporting.
Sadly, his reported results still hoover way to close to the "background noise" and spark too much debate whether or not there was a force
Jamie has measured thrust.
Possible. As far I know he is still the process of refining his setup and testing. Too early to make a conclusion yet
Paul has measured thrust.
Possible. That is indeed what Paul March said "and yet the thrust remains". We'll see when the peer review has been publish what the comments and remarks will be, before accepting this as proof.
Shell has measured thrust.
Possible. Shell did report "something", but could not back it up with data. Sadly , she got a lot of FLAK for it. I understand and respect her reluctance to release more info, before she feels confident enough in her testing setup.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Possible, but the setup was very crude and controversy around buoyancy/Lorentz forces remained a heated discussion point. He needed better results to mount above the background noise.
Roger has measured thrust.
Possible, but the posted video has some issues that need to be addressed. For the rest , we only have streamlined graphics, intended for pitching rather then data obtained directly from the experiment (Like Dave did)
Yang has measured thrust.
Yes? NO ? The mystery wrapping around Yang's result only get thicker by the day, invoking "black programs" etc to either discredit or validate (depending from the side you're taking it) her results.
I'm really not sure what to think about it. Is there deliberate disinformation? maybe, maybe not?
Tajmar has measured thrust.
hmmm.. NO...
dr.Tajmar said that it was inconclusive and that his initial testing warranted further, more in depth investigation. He did neither disprove nor validated the EMdrive...He needs more testing...
4 others have measured thrust
No info = no conclusion
Honesty also forces me to tell that we had a DIY tester inhere that had a null result.
Mulltron has NO thrust
Mulltron produced a very detailed test result that resulted in a NULL result.
Emmett Brown NULL test
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=38577.msg1454408#msg1454408
RFplumber NULL test
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39004.msg1479546#msg1479546
What I observe, as most of the active readers on the NSF forum , is that we have a lot of potential and intriguing results that really need more in depth research. But there is no bull's-eye yet...
So touting all these tests as "EM victories" seems definitely premature...
It doesn't mean the EM effect can't be real, only that the evidence for it does not weigh heavy enough to be conclusive. I hope you understand the important nuance...
(edited for adding NULL result tests to the list)
Thank you for a nice summary and kudos. I would only modify it by saying I measured 18.4 mN of torsion beam displacement force on Gen II, but it was not repeatable/consistent. While this is well over what Mr Li would predict for Lorentz, his guidance on my build did lead me (and him) to consider Lorentz force to not be a factor, certainly shy of 18.4 mN. However, sporadic test results due to magnetron heating/drift/degradation limited me to state that 18.4 mN was the highest displacement force but its unsustainable. Gen III, when I get around to it, will be self-contained and solid state. Thanks.
rfmwguy,
The problem is that the lack of repeatability of your results and the apparent interference of other factors make it so that doubt remains... And a good science experiment needs proof beyond doubt, no?
I really do appreciate your public effort very much!!! Your epic journey almost got me in to building one myself, but as I"m seriously lacking on the electronics side, I thought it is wiser not to get started....
Anyway, we have to be careful not to see patterns where there are in fact none. As long there is doubt, the EMdrive should be denied recognition, however painful it might be. Simply because it's controversial nature : exceptional statements need exceptional proof.
I very much want this EM effect to be true, but not at the expense of truth...
In all honest, I'm growing tired of the cherry picking on both believers and non-believers of the EM effect...
Where is the honesty of presenting ALL results, not just those that fit their own point of view![]()
I had an outburst like that too on reddit, on the cherry picking of a "non-believer". So yeah, I shoot on both sides because both sides excel in telling half-truths...
From my angle, there are enough intriguing results that warrant an in depth research in the EMdrive.
That is until it is entirely proven the results are false, OR, until a working model can be showed and replicated...
It would appear Roger is moving to set the record straight on the Boeing Flight Thruster saga as the just received email from Roger states:QuoteHi Phil
I notice that there has been some discussion on the NSF forum about the Boeing EmDrive connection.
I have been invited to do a filmed interview by a media organisation next week, covering my side of the EmDrive story. The interview will be done with an agreed script, as the topic is regarded as sensitive by those organisations that matter on both sides of the pond.
However the Boeing story is well documented, and these documents will be released into the public domain in due course. My comments on Boeing in the interview will be as the script notes below:
We were then invited by Boeing to take part in a technology transfer, which was carried out under a Technology Assistance Agreement (TAA) set up by the US State Department. Boeing offered a small contract payment, to be followed by a lucrative licence agreement. The UK MoD agreed to an export licence, and we designed, built and tested a Flight Thruster for use on a test satellite. The thruster gave 18 grams of thrust.
All design data was transferred to Boeing and the contract was completed by July 2010. We waited for them to sign the licence agreement, which had been prepared by Boeing’s lawyers and agreed by SPR. However, once the test data was confirmed, it all suddenly went quiet and we have heard no more from Boeing since then.
Feel free to share the above.
Best regards,
Roger
That non-believer on reddit you referred to might be me. I post that post in a hurry and (cherry-) picked some facts, most were from memory, just to prevent the post from being deleted by the modulator. It suffered being not complete as a result.

That non-believer on reddit you referred to might be me. I post that post in a hurry and (cherry-) picked some facts, most were from memory, just to prevent the post from being deleted by the modulator. It suffered being not complete as a result.I'm fine with an incomplete or hurried text/article, if it wasn't for inappropriate use of the word "trend".
That made me react, because it was clearly a biased way of formulating.
It was however the perfect excuse to stand up for neutrality in this bizarre case of a "propellantless engine", so I hold no grunge...
The point is how to weigh all these DIY results : there is a minority of tests that are most certainly negative and there is a majority of "possible positive".
Do the 100% null results count for more then the uncertainty of all the APPARENT positive tests? hard to judge...
I know people that have read the EW paper and they tell me it works.
Shall I discount what they tell me until I read the paper myself?
I have measured thrust.
Dave has measured thrust.
Jamie has measured thrust.
Paul has measured thrust.
Shell has measured thrust.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Roger has measured thrust.
Yang has measured thrust.
Tajmar has measured thrust.
4 others have measured thrust
I'm in regular contact with them all.
Shall I discount what they show & tell because it is not in front of my eyes?Let's go over the list in "scientific/skeptical modus" ?
I have measured thrust.
Possible, that is indeed what you said, but we didn't see much recorded data inhere.
We have only your word...
Dave has measured thrust.
Dave deserves a huge credit for his openness and straightforward reporting.
Sadly, his reported results still hoover way to close to the "background noise" and spark too much debate whether or not there was a force
Jamie has measured thrust.
Possible. As far I know he is still the process of refining his setup and testing. Too early to make a conclusion yet
Paul has measured thrust.
Possible. That is indeed what Paul March said "and yet the thrust remains". We'll see when the peer review has been publish what the comments and remarks will be, before accepting this as proof.
Shell has measured thrust.
Possible. Shell did report "something", but could not back it up with data. Sadly , she got a lot of FLAK for it. I understand and respect her reluctance to release more info, before she feels confident enough in her testing setup.
Iulian has measured thrust.
Possible, but the setup was very crude and controversy around buoyancy/Lorentz forces remained a heated discussion point. He needed better results to mount above the background noise.
Roger has measured thrust.
Possible, but the posted video has some issues that need to be addressed. For the rest , we only have streamlined graphics, intended for pitching rather then data obtained directly from the experiment (Like Dave did)
Yang has measured thrust.
Yes? NO ? The mystery wrapping around Yang's result only get thicker by the day, invoking "black programs" etc to either discredit or validate (depending from the side you're taking it) her results.
I'm really not sure what to think about it. Is there deliberate disinformation? maybe, maybe not?
Tajmar has measured thrust.
hmmm.. NO...
dr.Tajmar said that it was inconclusive and that his initial testing warranted further, more in depth investigation. He did neither disprove nor validated the EMdrive...He needs more testing...
4 others have measured thrust
No info = no conclusion
Honesty also forces me to tell that we had a DIY tester inhere that had a null result.
Mulltron has NO thrust
Mulltron produced a very detailed test result that resulted in a NULL result.
Emmett Brown NULL test
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=38577.msg1454408#msg1454408
RFplumber NULL test
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39004.msg1479546#msg1479546
What I observe, as most of the active readers on the NSF forum , is that we have a lot of potential and intriguing results that really need more in depth research. But there is no bull's-eye yet...
So touting all these tests as "EM victories" seems definitely premature...
It doesn't mean the EM effect can't be real, only that the evidence for it does not weigh heavy enough to be conclusive. I hope you understand the important nuance...
(edited for adding NULL result tests to the list)
Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Bayesian inference is an important technique in statistics, and especially in mathematical statistics. Bayesian updating is particularly important in the dynamic analysis of a sequence of data. Bayesian inference has found application in a wide range of activities, including science, engineering, philosophy, medicine, sport, and law. In the philosophy of decision theory, Bayesian inference is closely related to subjective probability, often called "Bayesian probability".
rfmwguy,
The problem is that the lack of repeatability of your results and the apparent interference of other factors make it so that doubt remains... And a good science experiment needs proof beyond doubt, no?
I really do appreciate your public effort very much!!! Your epic journey almost got me in to building one myself, but as I"m seriously lacking on the electronics side, I thought it is wiser not to get started....
Anyway, we have to be careful not to see patterns where there are in fact none. As long there is doubt, the EMdrive should be denied recognition, however painful it might be. Simply because it's controversial nature : exceptional statements need exceptional proof.
I very much want this EM effect to be true, but not at the expense of truth...
In all honest, I'm growing tired of the cherry picking on both believers and non-believers of the EM effect...
Where is the honesty of presenting ALL results, not just those that fit their own point of view![]()
I had an outburst like that too on reddit, on the cherry picking of a "non-believer". So yeah, I shoot on both sides because both sides excel in telling half-truths...
From my angle, there are enough intriguing results that warrant an in depth research in the EMdrive.
That is until it is entirely proven the results are false, OR, until a working model can be showed and replicated...
New EmDrive article on conference: http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/emdrive-controversial-space-propulsion-will-be-discussed-by-scientists-actual-conference-1582115
New EmDrive article on conference: http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/emdrive-controversial-space-propulsion-will-be-discussed-by-scientists-actual-conference-1582115
I was in Estes Park yesterday. Stopped by The Stanley and asked if the conference was being held there. Turns out it is being held at the YMCA. Unfortunately I had to fly back today and couldn't change my schedule to attend. Doh!