What is this particular 'statistical analysis' trying to achieve? It certainly isn't useful in predicting thrust/power, because the explanatory variable itself includes thrust/power. However, for a casual observer who doesn't know what R2/R1 means the plots definitely give that impression.I first made that very same point, and I made it explicitly, rather than using words.
Todd chose those variables. For me, formulas, plots and analysis speak for themselves more clearly than using words.
You are welcome to use words, or nothing (no discussion of the variables and the formula, no plots and no statistical analysis), if you prefer.
I already pointed out a useful thing that came from the analysis (Yang 3).
Here is another one: obviously the EM Drive data is not random or faked data, because it plots the way it is supposed to behave, when regressed. The different L, Cos[theta] and omega for Cannae fall on their own line, and as an outlier form the truncated cone geometry. That does not mean that the EM Drive can necessarily be used for Space Propulsion, it just shows that the data is not random.
How could Yang 3 not be on the same line? It's the same geometry and frequency as the other two Yang's tests. And I don't get your point about not faked/random data: it shows that device dimensions and frequency used are not random, but nothing at all about thrust/power.
It seems that what people criticizing the plotting may be missing is that this relationship of Thrust/Power vs Ln[R2/R1] implies, besides geometry, the quality of resonance factor Q, which varies by several orders of magnitude between Tajmar's EM Drive and Shawyer's and Yang's, and does not appear as an explicit variable in the regression plot.
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
It seems that what people criticizing the plotting may be missing is that this relationship of Thrust/Power vs Ln[R2/R1] implies, besides geometry, the quality of resonance factor Q, which varies by several orders of magnitude between Tajmar's EM Drive and Shawyer's and Yang's, and does not appear as an explicit variable in the regression plot.
A couple of other interesting correlations seem to be happening with this chart. All the vacuum experiments are at the bottom. Also the TMxxx experiments (especially TM212) are at the bottom. The TE012 and TE013 experiments are at the top.
So is this simply about geometry controlling modes or is there something else?
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
I would definitely not recommend that they go the direction of using a microwave magnetron for their RF source. The high RF output and high voltage power supply is where the danger is. But if they want to pick up a 50-100W amp, I say go for it. Just be weary of regulations on broadcasting RF. Resonant cavity experiments are exempt since they do not intend to radiate, but there can be leaks!
Speaking from personal experience, the magnetron is a terrible choice for many other reasons besides the danger: frequency drift, runaway thermal heating, difficult to make battery powered, vortex shedding from the heatsink, thermal heating/expansion of the leads, difficulty in modeling the antenna cap, it's heavy... the list goes on and every single problem has to be accounted for.
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
I would definitely not recommend that they go the direction of using a microwave magnetron for their RF source. The high RF output and high voltage power supply is where the danger is. But if they want to pick up a 50-100W amp, I say go for it. And speaking from personal experience, the magnetron is a terrible choice for many other reasons besides the danger: frequency drift, runaway thermal heating, difficult to make battery powered, vortex shedding from the heatsink, thermal heating/expansion of the leads, difficulty in modeling the antenna cap, it's heavy... the list goes on and every single problem has to be accounted for.
Samsonov deserves great credit for this accomplishment. Samsonov concluded from his experiment that there was no thrust, within the relative error of his experiments.
...I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive....
The author then built the actual cavity from a sheet of 0.5 mm copper using a pair of FR4 plates for side walls and verified its resonance modes with a scalar network analyzer (Figure 4(c)).
Samsonov deserves great credit for this accomplishment. Samsonov concluded from his experiment that there was no thrust, within the relative error of his experiments.
I agree that Samsonov's experiment is the gold standard - solid state and battery powered - which is the direction most of us are going now. I would also add to that list a frustum machined from solid copper and not thin wall copper.
I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive. And with the end-plates attached in only four places each, basically he created a frustum shaped antenna, not a true cavity. An IR video would likely have shown the RF escaping through the slits and no resonance pattern.
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
Interesting rumour just arrived.
Seems the Chinese have tested a EmDrive on station but have no idea why it works. Maybe they should talk to Roger or Gilo Industries?
Sure hope the X-37B is testing a better EmDrive on station.
...I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive....Let's also consider:
1) Samsonov had significant previous professional expertise in electromagnetically resonant Radio Frequency Cavities and waveguides. He wrote that he assessed resonance based on his scalar network analyzer:
Samsonov wrote:Quote from: SamsonovThe author then built the actual cavity from a sheet of 0.5 mm copper using a pair of FR4 plates for side walls and verified its resonance modes with a scalar network analyzer (Figure 4(c)).
(Figure 4c from Samsonov, showing resonance, with S11 plot, shown below in attachment)
2) Samsonov modeled his experiments, ahead of time, using COMSOL Finite Element Analysis
3) Samsonov determined that his experiment was going to resonate in TE012 mode shape. All TE0np mode shapes are notorious for:
a) resulting in higher Q than TM mode shapes, hence the bandwidth of resonance is narrower than for TM mode shapes. To be at resonance and stay at resonance is more difficult for TE0np modes, as also experienced by NASA for TE012, which decided to continue with TM212 because it was too difficult to excite TE012.
b) as documented in several textbooks (i.e. Collin) it is more difficult to excite a TE mode shape than to excite a TM mode shape
4) It is much more difficult to verify a TE mode shape than a TM mode shape using an infrared thermal camera because the TM mode shapes have associated currents due to the parallel transverse magnetic field in the azimuthal direction and due to the normal electric field in the axial direction, while the TE modes do not produce significant electric fields on the metal, because TE modes do not have an electric field component normal to the metal. There is only the magnetic field perpendicular to the azimuthal and longitudinal directions that is parallel to the (big and small) ends that can produce a current on the wall. Since the TE mode shapes result in higher Q, there is less dissipation at the walls and hence the TE0np mode shapes are more difficult to assess with an infrared thermal camera.
Samsonov deserves great credit for this accomplishment. Samsonov concluded from his experiment that there was no thrust, within the relative error of his experiments.
I agree that Samsonov's experiment is the gold standard - solid state and battery powered - which is the direction most of us are going now. I would also add to that list a frustum machined from solid copper and not thin wall copper.
I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive. And with the end-plates attached in only four places each, basically he created a frustum shaped antenna, not a true cavity. An IR video would likely have shown the RF escaping through the slits and no resonance pattern.
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
Thanks, I'll take your advice. I would like to play around with magnetic fields and forces on wires though involving ~1-3 Amps DC and maybe around 1000 turn coils. Is there a way I could accidentally harm myself?
...I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive....Let's also consider:
1) Samsonov had significant previous professional expertise in electromagnetically resonant Radio Frequency Cavities and waveguides. He wrote that he assessed resonance based on his scalar network analyzer:
Samsonov wrote:Quote from: SamsonovThe author then built the actual cavity from a sheet of 0.5 mm copper using a pair of FR4 plates for side walls and verified its resonance modes with a scalar network analyzer (Figure 4(c)).
(Figure 4c from Samsonov, showing resonance, with S11 plot, shown below in attachment)
2) Samsonov modeled his experiments, ahead of time, using COMSOL Finite Element Analysis
3) Samsonov determined that his experiment was going to resonate in TE012 mode shape. All TE0np mode shapes are notorious for:
a) resulting in higher Q than TM mode shapes, hence the bandwidth of resonance is narrower than for TM mode shapes. To be at resonance and stay at resonance is more difficult for TE0np modes, as also experienced by NASA for TE012, which decided to continue with TM212 because it was too difficult to excite TE012.
b) as documented in several textbooks (i.e. Collin) it is more difficult to excite a TE mode shape than to excite a TM mode shape
4) It is much more difficult to verify a TE mode shape than a TM mode shape using an infrared thermal camera because the TM mode shapes have associated currents due to the parallel transverse magnetic field in the azimuthal direction and due to the normal electric field in the axial direction, while the TE modes do not produce significant electric fields on the metal, because TE modes do not have an electric field component normal to the metal. There is only the magnetic field perpendicular to the azimuthal and longitudinal directions that is parallel to the (big and small) ends that can produce a current on the wall. Since the TE mode shapes result in higher Q, there is less dissipation at the walls and hence the TE0np mode shapes are more difficult to assess with an infrared thermal camera.Regarding the network analyzer. They normally output a increasing sweep frequency to measure feedback at a set sample rate time. The sweeping output doesn't create a stable standing wave mode as it sweeps frequency in the frustum, especially when dealing with a picky narrow BW mode TE012. http://tinyurl.com/jjo7pja
He was down around 20db. rfmwguy or monomorphic what was your VNA showing?
Shell
Samsonov deserves great credit for this accomplishment. Samsonov concluded from his experiment that there was no thrust, within the relative error of his experiments.
I agree that Samsonov's experiment is the gold standard - solid state and battery powered - which is the direction most of us are going now. I would also add to that list a frustum machined from solid copper and not thin wall copper.
I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive. And with the end-plates attached in only four places each, basically he created a frustum shaped antenna, not a true cavity. An IR video would likely have shown the RF escaping through the slits and no resonance pattern.I saw the gaps between the FR4 and cone as well and thought the same as you that this would lead to killing the Q and any hope of measured thrust.
This drive is easy to make not work, but incredibly tough to make work. So many details have to be exactly right.
Shell
I guess I will post this here, as I did on Reddit where I asked people's opinion of divulging EmDrive information.
Based on my own concerns, the number of new people asking for help building plus the feedback I received on reddit, I've decided not to help others design, build or test an EmDrive. The exception to this is the very small group of individuals I currently work with, know and trust to have the credentials to work with this dangerous piece of gear.
As I see this project move from conjecture to reality, safety concerns have to be the #1 priority. It bears repeating, as I've done so during every guest interview I've done on science podcasts.
Do not consider live testing of an EmDrive unless you have experience in High Voltage, High Power RF and general RFI/EMI experience. Yes, the device is fascinating and has a great potential...it also has a danger associated with it. Leave it to the experts. - Dave
/soapbox
Thanks, I'll take your advice. I would like to play around with magnetic fields and forces on wires though involving ~1-3 Amps DC and maybe around 1000 turn coils. Is there a way I could accidentally harm myself?Yes, very defiantly. That's a great flyback transformer, a real heart stopper if you're shocked.
Shell
...I've looked closely at Samsonov's frustum and can say with confidence he probably never achieved resonance. Since he did not confirm resonance with an IR camera, his null result should really be labeled inconclusive....Let's also consider:
1) Samsonov had significant previous professional expertise in electromagnetically resonant Radio Frequency Cavities and waveguides. He wrote that he assessed resonance based on his scalar network analyzer:
Samsonov wrote:Quote from: SamsonovThe author then built the actual cavity from a sheet of 0.5 mm copper using a pair of FR4 plates for side walls and verified its resonance modes with a scalar network analyzer (Figure 4(c)).
(Figure 4c from Samsonov, showing resonance, with S11 plot, shown below in attachment)
2) Samsonov modeled his experiments, ahead of time, using COMSOL Finite Element Analysis
3) Samsonov determined that his experiment was going to resonate in TE012 mode shape. All TE0np mode shapes are notorious for:
a) resulting in higher Q than TM mode shapes, hence the bandwidth of resonance is narrower than for TM mode shapes. To be at resonance and stay at resonance is more difficult for TE0np modes, as also experienced by NASA for TE012, which decided to continue with TM212 because it was too difficult to excite TE012.
b) as documented in several textbooks (i.e. Collin) it is more difficult to excite a TE mode shape than to excite a TM mode shape
4) It is much more difficult to verify a TE mode shape than a TM mode shape using an infrared thermal camera because the TM mode shapes have associated currents due to the parallel transverse magnetic field in the azimuthal direction and due to the normal electric field in the axial direction, while the TE modes do not produce significant electric fields on the metal, because TE modes do not have an electric field component normal to the metal. There is only the magnetic field perpendicular to the azimuthal and longitudinal directions that is parallel to the (big and small) ends that can produce a current on the wall. Since the TE mode shapes result in higher Q, there is less dissipation at the walls and hence the TE0np mode shapes are more difficult to assess with an infrared thermal camera.Regarding the network analyzer. They normally output a increasing sweep frequency to measure feedback at a set sample rate time. The sweeping output doesn't create a stable standing wave mode as it sweeps frequency in the frustum, especially when dealing with a picky narrow BW mode TE012. http://tinyurl.com/jjo7pja
He was down around 20db. rfmwguy or monomorphic what was your VNA showing?
Shell

