Please do post an image or video of a rocket running off compressed air and fuel if there is any example, even a lab experiment - running means more than a second or two.
Did you deliberately cut out from your quote what I responded to? It was merely a response for 'Star One' who seemed to suggested that just because they are now breaking ground on a facility that the Sabre engine is moving beyond the theoretical. Not yet. It may, or it may fail miserably for many reasons. (not all being technical)
In theory one needs to look at the physics - engine instability has been a massive problem - one only needs to look at Saturn F1 - keeping the flame-front attached to the injector is not trivial and that's with pure fuel and oxygen. Compressed air is far from been pure oxygen - good luck keeping the engine stable, I have yet to see in all history a rocket breathing engine - no a scramjet is a jet, not a rocket - lots of scramjets - no rocket engines.
Reaction Engines plan offers:The pre-cooler for the theoretical engine,
for the theoretical hypersonic airplane,
that can theoretically be optimized to the point where it can deliver small-payload to LEO.]
That's a lot of THEORY, and very little machinery, despite working on the concept since 1958
Quote from: Lars-J on 03/05/2018 02:01 amDid you deliberately cut out from your quote what I responded to? It was merely a response for 'Star One' who seemed to suggested that just because they are now breaking ground on a facility that the Sabre engine is moving beyond the theoretical. Not yet. It may, or it may fail miserably for many reasons. (not all being technical)Sounds like concern trolling to me. All that "Just because they have, doesn't mean they will go anywhere further."
Quote from: john smith 19 on 03/05/2018 07:33 pmQuote from: Lars-J on 03/05/2018 02:01 amDid you deliberately cut out from your quote what I responded to? It was merely a response for 'Star One' who seemed to suggested that just because they are now breaking ground on a facility that the Sabre engine is moving beyond the theoretical. Not yet. It may, or it may fail miserably for many reasons. (not all being technical)Sounds like concern trolling to me. All that "Just because they have, doesn't mean they will go anywhere further."No, he didn't say "Just because they have, doesn't mean they will go anywhere further." He said they haven't yet.
So far on 2 major projects SX took a lot longer than expected and on the third they've given up. So they will probably deliver a result eventually. In contrast REL (when fully funded) have delivered what they promised, when they promised.
SpaceX has launched 50 payloads to orbit or beyond while REL has madea sub-component of a sub-scale engine. Comparing the two in terms ofdelivering launch solutions is a complete non sequitur (my polite version).
What I find interesting is in an era of stupid money flowing into spacestart-ups like no tomorrow is that REL's "universally beloved and vetted"approach has attracted no attention outside military dreams for fasterplanes.
> However as SX is a private company making significant profits it can afford to avoid discussion of how much BFR/BFS will cost to develop. >
Quote from: john smith 19 on 03/07/2018 08:10 pm> However as SX is a private company making significant profits it can afford to avoid discussion of how much BFR/BFS will cost to develop. >I'm guessing you've not watched either IAC presentation, or followed their online comments?
And you'd be wrong. The question is wheather or not I believe them. In fact, looking again at the presentations I'm still trying to find a number for the development cost of the BFR/BFS, not the mfg cost. [Each is the size of a A380/787. Those took about $12Bn to develop, from companies that have at least 40 (or in Boeing's case more like 90) years of doing so. Do you have a number for SX's development cost?
Quote from: docmordrid on 03/08/2018 06:02 amQuote from: john smith 19 on 03/07/2018 08:10 pm> However as SX is a private company making significant profits it can afford to avoid discussion of how much BFR/BFS will cost to develop. >I'm guessing you've not watched either IAC presentation, or followed their online comments?And you'd be wrong. The question is wheather or not I believe them. In fact, looking again at the presentations I'm still trying to find a number for the development cost of the BFR/BFS, not the mfg cost. [Each is the size of a A380/787. Those took about $12Bn to develop, from companies that have at least 40 (or in Boeing's case more like 90) years of doing so. Do you have a number for SX's development cost?
2016 IAC estimate was $10B dev cost for the large ITS.
If we're using aircraft development cost as estimator, then it's worth pointing out that Falcon 9 is similar in weight to a 737 or A320. A quick look at Wikipedia shows the latest A320 upgrade A320neo costs $1.3 billion to develop, the latest 737 upgrade 737MAX's development cost is even higher. Comparing these to what we know about Falcon 9's development cost: $400M initially + $1B reusability upgrade, it looks like SpaceX's development cost for a totally new launch vehicle with never seen before technology is equivalent to Airbus/Boeing doing an upgrade on their existing airframe.
Is that a surprise?? It shouldn't be. One look at photos of SpaceX's factory floor shows very little difference in design and manufacturing techniques. It's not "never before seen technology"... it's just a novel way of putting aerospace-rated components together... and flying them.
SpaceX has demonstrated to be a lot more efficient than traditional aerospace companies when it comes to development, but I am still sure it is several billion.
2016 IAC estimate was $10B dev cost for the large ITS. Both the Saturn V and Shuttle, the most comparable projects, cost around $40B in initial dev costs, adjusted for inflation. Since SpaceX's cost structures are less than 1/4th of NASA's, evidenced by Falcon, FH, and Dragon, the $10B is not entirely unfounded.
REL doesn't have history of their own costs for actual flight vehicles to draw on for estimates (and probably wouldn't even be building flight vehicles).
I'm not aware of any remotely similar project ( that actually flew) to Skylon, which is a much larger advancement in the state-of-art than BFR/BFS.
The closest is probably X-33/Venturestar, which burned $1.2B without flying the subscale tech demo.
Quote from: CameronD on 03/08/2018 09:33 pmIs that a surprise?? It shouldn't be. One look at photos of SpaceX's factory floor shows very little difference in design and manufacturing techniques. It's not "never before seen technology"... it's just a novel way of putting aerospace-rated components together... and flying them.True Until stage recovery was made to work most of SX's novelty was not in what it did but how it did it.(compared with common aerospace industry practice). IE Mostly building in house, not mandating aerospace suppliers exclusively. But. A LOX/RP1 fueled TSTO with Aluminum tanks and gas generator cycle engines? That's about as low risk a design as it gets. The existing knowledge base in all those areas was huge.
Note stage recovery R&D cost is included in the estimate. If you skipped the $1B cost of reusability research, then the low risk design of F9 v1.0 only costs $400M to develop, less than 1/3 of the cost to develop a comparable airliner.
After they went to v1.1 then v1.2, it's no longer low risk design or novel way of putting aerospace-rated components together, it's something else all together. It's the only Kerosene TSTO that can launch significant mass to GTO, no one else comes even close.
Skylon also needs fuel, engines, structures, and TPS that not only have never been flown, they haven't even gotten part component level ground testing. It requires much more advancement in SOA than BFR does, and somewhat more than BFS.
BFS will use an ablative, almost certainly pica-x. BFR will likely use metallic TPS.
Both will be flight proven on Falcon/Dragon.
BFR will work reasonably well even if SpaceX grossly misses many of their performance targets.
I'm pretty sure that's not the case for any SSTO concept.