...
Yes I admit you were right Zen-In from the begining of this thing. That makes a fool of me to believe in such device and advance of the humanity. Guess I need to chill for a while.
So much hope destroyed.. lets keep to exploding engines.. Just hope it will not cost us of too much lives of astronauts

...I couldn't agree more Dave. Small shop testing has it's limits with testing, budgets and cannot be expected to do level testing in vacuum unless funded to be able to do so. All of the builders here have pushed their test beds and drive designs far past where we were even 6 months ago.
Back to work for me.
ShellWe also have Mr. Li (TellMeAgain) as a builder that proved that spending $7 on a piano wire, he put together a test using a torsional pendulum to address Lorentz forces. Much better design that a Teeter_Totter device, as has been known in Aerospace R&D for micro-thrusters over 50 years. And as has been known for hundreds of years ever since Cavendish tests to measure G.
Torsional Pendulum --> much better instrument to measure micro-thrust for spaceflight applications than a teeter-totter
BOTTOM LINE: the selection of a teeter-totter over a torsional pendulum was not governed by budget limitations
Yes I admit you were right Zen-In from the begining of this thing. That makes a fool of me to believe in such device and advance of the humanity. Guess I need to chill for a while.
So much hope destroyed.. lets keep to exploding engines.. Just hope it will not cost us of too much lives of astronauts
Appears Mike McCullough addressed Baez's commentary today on the Plank constant: http://physicsfromtheedge.blogspot.com/2016/05/new-emdrive-result-unmissing-planck.html
Also, I gather there has been a frantic search for Planck's constant in the MiHsC formula. Planck's constant is implied in the formula, but the physical fact that the photons are resonating (tuned to fit) within the cavity means that it is possible to re-express h using E, c and L (the length of the cavity).
It is to her credit that Yang has disclosed these new experiments. The 20 experimental results shown in the graph don't look to me like convincing argument for any force. I don't see a need for fitting a curve to these data. If all 20 force measurements are averaged the result is -74 microNewtons. If the outliers are thrown out first (any force measurement greater than .4 mN or less than -.4 mN) the average becomes -30 microNewtons. While these calculations are just estimates themselves they do show a trend approaching zero.
Yes I admit you were right Zen-In from the begining of this thing. That makes a fool of me to believe in such device and advance of the humanity. Guess I need to chill for a while.
So much hope destroyed.. lets keep to exploding engines.. Just hope it will not cost us of too much lives of astronauts
It was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.
That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.No, not 3 mN, please read their report and posts from TellMeAgain, look at what they measured in 20 tests with batteries, 0.7mN (80%) @ 220Watts = 3.18 mN/kW (the force is 0.7 mN (80%)!!!! ):
(snip)
As all readers can see from the plot, she actually measured less than 0.7 mN.
You appear to me misinterpreting the meaning of her statistical analysis !!! .
You are confusing measured force in an experiment with confidence estimates given uncertainty.
It is to her credit that Yang has disclosed these new experiments. The 20 experimental results shown in the graph don't look to me like convincing argument for any force. I don't see a need for fitting a curve to these data. If all 20 force measurements are averaged the result is -74 microNewtons. If the outliers are thrown out first (any force measurement greater than .4 mN or less than -.4 mN) the average becomes -30 microNewtons. While these calculations are just estimates themselves they do show a trend approaching zero.
Yes I admit you were right Zen-In from the begining of this thing. That makes a fool of me to believe in such device and advance of the humanity. Guess I need to chill for a while.
So much hope destroyed.. lets keep to exploding engines.. Just hope it will not cost us of too much lives of astronauts


It was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.
That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.No, not 3 mN, please read their report and posts from TellMeAgain, look at what they measured in 20 tests with batteries, 0.7mN (80%) @ 220Watts = 3.18 mN/kW (the force is 0.7 mN (80%)!!!! ):
....
As all readers can see from the plot, she actually measured less than 0.7 mN.
You appear to me misinterpreting the meaning of her statistical analysis !!! .
You are confusing measured force in an experiment with confidence estimates given uncertainty.
Her test stand had high uncertainty below 3mN
I agreed to stop curating the EM Drive Experimental wiki because I did not see it worthwhile to argue about DIY builders being able to report whatever number they saw fit to report in the Experimental Wiki.
It was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.
That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.No, not 3 mN, please read their report and posts from TellMeAgain, look at what they measured in 20 tests with batteries, 0.7mN (80%) @ 220Watts = 3.18 mN/kW (the force is 0.7 mN (80%)!!!! ):
....
As all readers can see from the plot, she actually measured less than 0.7 mN.
You appear to me misinterpreting the meaning of her statistical analysis !!! .
You are confusing measured force in an experiment with confidence estimates given uncertainty.Dave,
in your most recent message (http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39772.msg1527511#msg1527511) you are persisting with this statement:QuoteHer test stand had high uncertainty below 3mN
which is statistically incorrect when comparing her results to other test stands. Including yours.
Now, at the time that you insisted on placing in the Experimental Results wiki, your experimental results as being about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts, I disagreed with the statistical analysis you used to justify this. We agreed to disagree.I agreed to stop curating the EM Drive Experimental wiki because I did not see it worthwhile to argue about DIY builders being able to report whatever number they saw fit to report in the Experimental Wiki.
However, now that Prof. Yang has reported her latest data, it is important to include it in the Experimental Wiki.
Your statements about her not being able to measure less than 3 mN in her test stand don't make any statistical sense, particularly when using the methodology that you used to come up with 0.1 mN in your test results:
Before placing Prof. Yang's results in the wiki (which are much closer to zero, by any objective observation of the data, as correctly observed by Zen-In) (*) I wanted to give you an opportunity to do a correct analysis: use the same methodology that you used to come up with 0.1 mN for your tests, on the reported 20 tests by Yang, and please report what is your assessment using the same methodology you used (apples and apples). If you don't know how to perform such statistical analysis and you have to rely on somebody else, please kindly ask him to do that for Yang's data.
If you are not interested, or unable to use the same statistical analysis to analyze Yang's data as you used to analyze your own data, please let us know so that a) I will update the wiki with my own estimate and b) we know that when you are comparing 0.1 mN for your data to Yang's data you acknowledge that you are not using the same statistical methodology to compare your experiments to her experiments.
__________
(*) Fine with me if DIY builders want to use their own numbers and assessments to report their own numbers, but when it comes to reporting other's data as Prof. Yang's we better come up with a mutually agreed methodology.
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Glenn will have to answer the statistical analysis questions and I'd bet he'd gladly run the analysis if he had Yang's data runs. He's patiently been waiting on the sidelines for something to do
...
Glenn will have to answer the statistical analysis questions and I'd bet he'd gladly run the analysis if he had Yang's data runs. He's patiently been waiting on the sidelines for something to do
...
Yes I admit you were right Zen-In from the begining of this thing. That makes a fool of me to believe in such device and advance of the humanity. Guess I need to chill for a while.
So much hope destroyed.. lets keep to exploding engines.. Just hope it will not cost us of too much lives of astronautsNASA's, Cannae and other resonant cavity tests are still alive. McCulloch thinks his theory is still viable.
Zen-In has a propellant-less patented design that is supported by conventional physics (no argument) rather than anything esoteric. Many other concepts are viable: solar sails, electromagnetic tethers, etc etc.
MIT, CalTech, Stanford, NASA, Boeing, US Air Force have many other viable projects. Cheer up

"Cleaning" the input to a nonlinear process may ensure that the outcome is null or much reduced.
So, one possible outcome of "filtering the RF souce" is ensuring that the experiment will result in lower force/PowerInput or not a significant level of force.

...
Glenn will have to answer the statistical analysis questions and I'd bet he'd gladly run the analysis if he had Yang's data runs. He's patiently been waiting on the sidelines for something to doDon't understand why you write "if he had Yang's data runs".
What have you been basing your 3 mN on ?
Please tell Glenn to use Yang's data as given in the above chart and in the rest of her paper . Her data is given in her paper. That's what he has to work with! Is the kind of data and number of data different than yours?
Of course. Admitting this is part of getting clarity here. Again what have you been basing your characterization of Yang data on?
Since, again I don't agree with the way you are characterizing Yang's data. I'll wait to see what Glenn has to say.
I would appreciate a rough idea of how long will it take for Glenn to assess Yang's data (a week ?)
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From Mr. Li's low uncertainty (14%) at +/- 3mN here: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39772.msg1527132#msg1527132
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From Mr. Li's low uncertainty (14%) at +/- 3mN here: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39772.msg1527132#msg1527132
I also posted a note in McCulloch's blog http://physicsfromtheedge.blogspot.com/2016/05/new-emdrive-result-unmissing-planck.html.
People should look at the actual data, as done by Zen-In, since Yang's statistical statement is not being properly interpreted.
Take a look at your data, for comparison: I am able to find very few independent experiments. Only very few independent NSF-1701 experiments with the EM Drive "thrusting".
NSF-1701 Flight tests: A, B, C and D ?
You only conducted 4 independent tests ? (and is it less than that? where all 4 tests run under the same nominal parameters ?)
I'm going to need your help with your tests, as I was not active in the thread at that time
I recall 4 "flight test" sessions on the beam under power.
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From Mr. Li's low uncertainty (14%) at +/- 3mN here: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=39772.msg1527132#msg1527132
I also posted a note in McCulloch's blog http://physicsfromtheedge.blogspot.com/2016/05/new-emdrive-result-unmissing-planck.html.
People should look at the actual data, as done by Zen-In, since Yang's statistical statement is not being properly interpreted.
Take a look at your data, for comparison: I am able to find very few independent experiments. Only very few independent NSF-1701 experiments with the EM Drive "thrusting".
NSF-1701 Flight tests: A, B, C and D ?
You only conducted 4 independent tests ? (and is it less than that? were all 4 tests run under the same nominal parameters ?)
I'm going to need your help with your tests, as I was not active in the thread at that timeNo offense, but I won't have time to go over the old testing again other than to say Glenn has my spreadsheets, which include tests done without the DAC. These were with a laser pointer, low resolution and analyzed optically. My test report has more info here: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?action=dlattach;topic=38577.0;attach=1072184
The videos are chronological and contain real-time information about the Flight Tests and the progression of the test stand. Tried to be as comprehensive as possible to avoid having to repeat myselfI recall 4 "flight test" sessions on the beam under power.

(when you attempted to compare your 0.1 mN with her 3 mN
)
Flight Test #1 provided a null result with the magnetron mounted on the small plate (beneath
the frustum) with its power feed positioned 1/4 wave distance from the edge. The test stand
configuration did not use the laser displacement sensor, but a simple laser pointer and mirror to provide
approximately 28 feet of laser beam travel to the target. The initial testing also used Galinstan liquid
metal in copper cups for power connection to the frustum.
Flight Test #2 moved the magnetron to the center of the large diameter plate, on top of the
frustum. No other changes to the test stand were made. The results were inconclusive.
Flight Test #2A was a longer duration with the same configuration as Test #2 in an attempt to
improve the laser targeting with the laser pointer. It was also inconclusive.*
*After Flight Test #2A, a decision was made to improve the test stand by:
1) Removing the Galinstan, which added several milligrams of “drag” against electrode
movement and unwanted vibrations transmitted along the support and electrode copper
wires when controller keypad entries were made.
2) Changing from the laser pointer/spot display to a laser displacement sensor and DAQ
system (inclusive of the LDS, capable of logging and displaying beam displacement).
First Release 10/4/15 Page 4
Flight Test #2B contained all aforementioned improvements and the Final Bill of Materials. At
the time, only a video of the computer monitor could be recorded, as additional data-logging software
had not yet been integrated and screen recording was not possible with the slower PC. It also became
apparent that any natural thermal lift caused by the heating of the magnetron must be filtered out of the
recorded data to show any potential thrust. The magnetron heat sink temperature typically increases to
between 170 and 200 degrees C. A non-null test was deemed likely by myself for the first time but I
wanted to conduct further flight tests before reaching a conclusion.
Flight Test #2C had the same test stand equipment, hardware and software. The magnetron ON
cycle duration was varied from 20, 30, 50 and 70% power on cycles in order to differentiate frustum
movement from thermal lift and natural mechanical oscillations. 50% power cycle was deemed best to
avoid natural beam oscillations and fast thermal lift. Another non-null test was deemed likely by myself
but I desired one additional flight test to complete Phase I testing.
Flight Test #2D was a 50% power cycle test run in two separate 10 minute increments with an
approximate 10 minute delay in between. New data-logging software was installed and the test
provided over 2,700 data points per channel at a rate of about 75 samples per minute. The video was
simply to show the computer time stamp and allow data synch with magnetron ON/OFF time via the
audio track. This permitted insertion of a data set denoting the magnetron power state. The LDS was on
channel 1, the other channels were open (unloaded) which permitted an analysis of system noise. The
collected data was analyzed by a professional data analyst* using advanced algorithms. It was his
conclusion that with a probability of greater than .95, there was an anomoly causing the data
(displacement) to be distinctly different during ON cycles versus OFF cycles8-14. This professionally
confirms the visual changes I witnessed, which included displacement opposite of thermal lift, holding
steady against lift, and the attenuation of thermal lift while the magnetron was in the ON cycle. This
was the most rigorous review of any of the other Flight Tests.
Going over Dave's data:QuoteFlight Test #1 provided a null result with the magnetron mounted on the small plate (beneath
the frustum) with its power feed positioned 1/4 wave distance from the edge. The test stand
configuration did not use the laser displacement sensor, but a simple laser pointer and mirror to provide
approximately 28 feet of laser beam travel to the target. The initial testing also used Galinstan liquid
metal in copper cups for power connection to the frustum.
Flight Test #2 moved the magnetron to the center of the large diameter plate, on top of the
frustum. No other changes to the test stand were made. The results were inconclusive.
Flight Test #2A was a longer duration with the same configuration as Test #2 in an attempt to
improve the laser targeting with the laser pointer. It was also inconclusive.*
*After Flight Test #2A, a decision was made to improve the test stand by:
1) Removing the Galinstan, which added several milligrams of “drag” against electrode
movement and unwanted vibrations transmitted along the support and electrode copper
wires when controller keypad entries were made.
2) Changing from the laser pointer/spot display to a laser displacement sensor and DAQ
system (inclusive of the LDS, capable of logging and displaying beam displacement).
First Release 10/4/15 Page 4
Flight Test #2B contained all aforementioned improvements and the Final Bill of Materials. At
the time, only a video of the computer monitor could be recorded, as additional data-logging software
had not yet been integrated and screen recording was not possible with the slower PC. It also became
apparent that any natural thermal lift caused by the heating of the magnetron must be filtered out of the
recorded data to show any potential thrust. The magnetron heat sink temperature typically increases to
between 170 and 200 degrees C. A non-null test was deemed likely by myself for the first time but I
wanted to conduct further flight tests before reaching a conclusion.
Flight Test #2C had the same test stand equipment, hardware and software. The magnetron ON
cycle duration was varied from 20, 30, 50 and 70% power on cycles in order to differentiate frustum
movement from thermal lift and natural mechanical oscillations. 50% power cycle was deemed best to
avoid natural beam oscillations and fast thermal lift. Another non-null test was deemed likely by myself
but I desired one additional flight test to complete Phase I testing.
Flight Test #2D was a 50% power cycle test run in two separate 10 minute increments with an
approximate 10 minute delay in between. New data-logging software was installed and the test
provided over 2,700 data points per channel at a rate of about 75 samples per minute. The video was
simply to show the computer time stamp and allow data synch with magnetron ON/OFF time via the
audio track. This permitted insertion of a data set denoting the magnetron power state. The LDS was on
channel 1, the other channels were open (unloaded) which permitted an analysis of system noise. The
collected data was analyzed by a professional data analyst* using advanced algorithms. It was his
conclusion that with a probability of greater than .95, there was an anomoly causing the data
(displacement) to be distinctly different during ON cycles versus OFF cycles8-14. This professionally
confirms the visual changes I witnessed, which included displacement opposite of thermal lift, holding
steady against lift, and the attenuation of thermal lift while the magnetron was in the ON cycle. This
was the most rigorous review of any of the other Flight Tests.
From the above, it looks like you run at most only 2 (two) tests (NSF-1701 tests) keeping all parameters the same.
This is in contrast to Prof. Yang conducting 20 tests keeping all parameters the same.
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Wrong, the several thousand data points show a series of powerups per session. Each session had two primary on/off cycles. Don't recall the sub-cycles for power up. Depends on how you want to split hairs on terminology.

....
Wrong, the several thousand data points show a series of powerups per session. Each session had two primary on/off cycles. Don't recall the sub-cycles for power up. Depends on how you want to split hairs on terminology.No, you cannot compare like that. Prof Yang also used a magnetron, and her magnetron might have been firing on and off during each of her 20 tests. You don't have access to her magnetron time history. You cannot compare thousands of times of your magnetron firing on and off during A SINGLE TEST of yours, with Yang's 20 separate tests.
It seems to me like Glenn might have assumed an ergodic process