Is there any way to know when the NOTAM/Navigational warning was posted? I'd like to know if it was planned for a long time or just appeared recently, and if what is the usual lead time on those things.
Russian direct-ascent anti-satellite missile test creates significant, long-lasting space debrisBy U.S. Space Command Public Affairs OfficePETERSON SPACE FORCE BASE, Colo. – Russia tested a direct-ascent anti-satellite (DA-ASAT) missile on Nov. 15, 2021, Moscow Standard Time, that struck a Russian satellite [COSMOS 1408] and created a debris field in low-Earth orbit. The test so far has generated more than 1,500 pieces of trackable orbital debris and will likely generate hundreds of thousands of pieces of smaller orbital debris.“Russia has demonstrated a deliberate disregard for the security, safety, stability, and long-term sustainability of the space domain for all nations,” said U.S. Army Gen. James Dickinson, U.S. Space Command commander. “The debris created by Russia's DA-ASAT will continue to pose a threat to activities in outer space for years to come, putting satellites and space missions at risk, as well as forcing more collision avoidance maneuvers. Space activities underpin our way of life and this kind of behavior is simply irresponsible.”USSPACECOM's initial assessment is that the debris will remain in orbit for years and potentially for decades, posing a significant risk to the crew on the International Space Station and other human spaceflight activities, as well as multiple countries' satellites. USSPACECOM continues to monitor the trajectory of the debris and will work to ensure all space-faring nations have the information necessary to safeguard their on-orbit activities if impacted by the debris cloud, a service the United States provides to the world, to include Russia and China.“Russia is developing and deploying capabilities to actively deny access to and use of space by the United States and its allies and partners,” Dickinson added. “Russia's tests of direct-ascent anti-satellite weapons clearly demonstrate that Russia continues to pursue counterspace weapon systems that undermine strategic stability and pose a threat to all nations.”
As this new debris decays it will pass through the Starlink layers! will it pose a significant risk? will it be widely dispersed by then?Right now it is just above Starlink.
I haven't seen any mention of the altitude of the debris field. Anyone else see it mentioned anywhere? The inclination looked highe than ISS based on the upthread posts, but that also is not mentioned.
Quote from: DistantTemple on 11/15/2021 11:45 pmAs this new debris decays it will pass through the Starlink layers! will it pose a significant risk? will it be widely dispersed by then?Right now it is just above Starlink.I forgot; is the Starlink satellite autonomous collision avoidance operational?They may be the satellites best able to handle the threat.
The Chinese Space Station, at around 400 KM, would be below the debris cloud for now, but I would think it would eventually be a concern, unless maybe the phasing of the cloud's position vs the position of the Chinese Station would be enough to ensure separation.
posing a significant risk to the crew on the International Space Station and other human spaceflight activities
Right now it is just above Starlink.